Well-To-Do-Cameo — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$57

Unrealized P&L

+$50

Hit rate

79.9%

Resolved

Trades

691

lifetime

Volume

$742.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$1.08K

Open exposure

$423

1 position

First seen

2026-01-01

last 07-19 08:53

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Politics

51% 0% —

Other

35% 100% +$38

Sports

8% 100% +$19

Crypto

3% — —

Tech

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

18 active days in 12wk • peak 44 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (5) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No		-600	$-473	70¢	$-423	+$50	07-19 08:53

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
netanyahu out by march 31 854	63	$80.2K	48,170	32,424	+15,745	open	—	03-31 23:52
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)	22	$35.9K	18,000	18,000	-0	Sean Strickland	+$19	05-10 05:18
will henrique gouveia e melo win the 2026 portugal presidential election	2	$18.1K	9,059	9,059	+0	open	—	01-22 09:52
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	4	$18.0K	9,000	9,000	+0	Yes	+$0	05-09 19:27
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	2	$18.0K	9,000	9,000	+0	open	—	05-15 17:56
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	70	$17.3K	9,179	8,689	+490	open	—	03-03 15:00
Will a U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the United States occur by April 30, 2026?	9	$17.1K	9,000	8,138	+862	Yes	+$11	05-02 17:21
will israel or the us target an iranian nuclear facility 276	15	$13.9K	7,453	6,522	+932	open	—	03-03 16:20
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	7	$12.6K	6,352	6,352	+0	open	—	04-22 17:18
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	15	$11.6K	5,827	5,827	+0	open	—	04-22 12:33
Will the US strike Iran next?	26	$11.5K	5,577	6,000	-423	open	—	01-10 22:02
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	37	$9.8K	7,000	7,000	+0	open	—	07-19 08:53
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	1	$9.2K	9,200	0	+9,200	open	—	06-17 07:59
us strikes iran by january 29 2026 183 883 657 383 499	5	$9.2K	9,161	0	+9,161	open	—	01-30 04:57
israel announces lebanon ceasefire extension by june 7	4	$9.1K	9,162	0	+9,162	open	—	06-05 17:33
will bitcoin dip to 85k in january 2026	1	$9.1K	9,152	0	+9,152	open	—	01-29 16:05
us strikes iran by january 27 2026 458 884 547 617 932	11	$9.1K	9,142	0	+9,142	open	—	01-28 05:00
Will the US strike Iran next?	1	$9.1K	9,133	0	+9,133	open	—	01-27 19:24
us strikes iran by january 26 2026 337 214 511	8	$9.1K	9,106	0	+9,106	open	—	01-27 02:26
will the us strike somalia next 656	1	$9.1K	9,097	0	+9,097	open	—	01-25 01:23
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	7	$9.1K	9,082	0	+9,082	open	—	05-29 14:06
will trump say million or billion or trillion 10 times during cnbc interview	5	$9.1K	9,071	0	+9,071	open	—	01-23 19:18
Will Russia enter Riasne by May 31?	1	$9.0K	9,053	0	+9,053	Yes	+$9	05-06 22:55
us strikes iran by january 17 2026 625	14	$9.0K	9,050	0	+9,050	open	—	01-18 05:00
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	1	$9.0K	9,100	0	+9,100	open	—	06-02 07:18
us strikes iran by january 16 2026 498	25	$9.0K	9,041	0	+9,041	open	—	01-17 07:25
us strikes iran by january 15 2026 652 612	10	$9.0K	9,031	0	+9,031	open	—	01-16 06:48
QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?	1	$9.0K	9,034	0	+9,034	Yes	+$18	05-03 18:29
Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs South America Rejects (BO3) - 1win Essence Group A	1	$9.0K	9,000	0	+9,000	open	—	05-02 21:55
fifwc usa par 2026 06 12 team total home 0pt5	1	$9.0K	9,000	0	+9,000	open	—	06-13 01:31

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-19 08:53:52	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	781	70¢	$546	0x66de73…
07-19 08:29:01	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	7	70¢	$5	0x35c342…
07-19 08:17:18	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	286	70¢	$200	0x0897f8…
07-19 08:12:04	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	51	70¢	$36	0xf4d0a9…
07-19 08:07:19	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	1,875	70¢	$1,312	0x635dae…
07-19 06:22:37	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	212	69¢	$146	0x513b28…
07-19 06:16:37	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	16	69¢	$11	0x5026f3…
07-19 06:06:31	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	6	69¢	$4	0x687dbd…
07-19 05:57:09	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	161	69¢	$111	0x4e748e…
07-19 05:54:39	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	29	69¢	$20	0x2f7db0…
07-19 05:44:16	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	1,875	69¢	$1,294	0x7fb6ef…
07-19 05:23:42	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0xfa8f69…
07-19 04:56:30	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	33	70¢	$23	0xab79cd…
07-19 04:46:00	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	8	70¢	$6	0x29fb89…
07-19 04:42:51	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0xeacf71…
07-19 04:17:39	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0xdb94c1…
07-19 04:06:06	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	42	70¢	$29	0x699e94…
07-19 02:25:27	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	532	71¢	$378	0x96e8e8…
07-18 23:57:01	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	11	71¢	$8	0x35a803…
07-18 23:56:51	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	556	71¢	$394	0x71546b…
07-18 23:56:42	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	929	71¢	$660	0x4c09f0…
07-18 23:55:15	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	214	70¢	$150	0xbc4faf…
07-18 23:52:52	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	7	70¢	$5	0x063f3a…
07-18 23:51:49	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	575	70¢	$402	0x5266ff…
07-18 23:49:16	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	18	70¢	$13	0x4269e2…
07-18 23:49:00	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	20	70¢	$14	0xbc1e51…
07-18 23:49:00	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	20	70¢	$14	0x0fef5b…
07-18 23:47:58	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	18	70¢	$13	0xe0a801…
07-18 23:47:55	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	129	70¢	$90	0x410ac3…
07-18 23:18:42	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	1,000	70¢	$700	0x2819e5…
07-18 23:10:55	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	4	71¢	$3	0x3d9678…
07-18 23:04:48	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	22	71¢	$16	0xd32497…
07-18 22:49:51	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	12	71¢	$9	0x9f2a37…
07-18 22:48:58	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	933	71¢	$663	0xa0385a…
07-18 21:44:51	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	1,878	70¢	$1,315	0x868422…
07-18 21:44:15	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	1,122	70¢	$785	0x61ee70…
07-01 21:42:41	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	Yes	BUY	3,500	100¢	$3,496	0x3a4415…
06-29 19:02:20	fifwc bra jpn 2026 06 29 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	9,000	100¢	$8,991	0x55778d…
06-27 18:43:22	ufc mic6 sha28 2026 06 27 totals 2pt5	Over	BUY	117	100¢	$117	0xcd6a20…
06-27 18:42:50	ufc mic6 sha28 2026 06 27 totals 2pt5	Over	BUY	233	100¢	$232	0x736c1a…
06-27 18:37:04	ufc mic6 sha28 2026 06 27 totals 2pt5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x7ff536…
06-27 16:59:32	ufc ikr bru8 2026 06 27	Ikram Aliskerov	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x9312ad…
06-27 16:59:25	ufc ikr bru8 2026 06 27	Ikram Aliskerov	BUY	97	100¢	$97	0x882f31…
06-27 16:58:53	ufc ikr bru8 2026 06 27	Ikram Aliskerov	BUY	69	100¢	$69	0xddd488…
06-27 16:58:49	ufc ikr bru8 2026 06 27	Ikram Aliskerov	BUY	48	100¢	$48	0x4f4767…
06-27 16:58:41	ufc ikr bru8 2026 06 27	Ikram Aliskerov	BUY	45	100¢	$45	0x9aeced…
06-27 16:58:38	ufc ikr bru8 2026 06 27	Ikram Aliskerov	BUY	651	100¢	$651	0x3b047a…
06-27 16:58:37	ufc ikr bru8 2026 06 27	Ikram Aliskerov	BUY	4,200	100¢	$4,196	0x7c0963…
06-27 16:58:37	ufc ikr bru8 2026 06 27	Ikram Aliskerov	BUY	47	100¢	$47	0x0289a2…
06-27 16:58:22	ufc ikr bru8 2026 06 27	Ikram Aliskerov	BUY	215	100¢	$215	0x31f61c…
06-27 16:58:17	ufc ikr bru8 2026 06 27	Ikram Aliskerov	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x5f728b…
06-27 16:58:17	ufc ikr bru8 2026 06 27	Ikram Aliskerov	BUY	888	100¢	$887	0x265d8c…
06-27 16:58:04	ufc ikr bru8 2026 06 27	Ikram Aliskerov	BUY	114	100¢	$114	0x6314cf…
06-27 16:58:04	ufc ikr bru8 2026 06 27	Ikram Aliskerov	BUY	510	100¢	$510	0x39de18…
06-27 16:57:58	ufc ikr bru8 2026 06 27	Ikram Aliskerov	BUY	56	100¢	$56	0xdeec4c…
06-27 16:57:49	ufc ikr bru8 2026 06 27	Ikram Aliskerov	BUY	1,030	100¢	$1,029	0xae329d…
06-27 16:57:40	ufc ikr bru8 2026 06 27	Ikram Aliskerov	BUY	1,000	100¢	$999	0x49aa38…
06-27 16:02:28	ufc eri16 fhasan 2026 06 27	Farman Hasanov	BUY	66	100¢	$66	0x994790…
06-27 16:02:07	ufc eri16 fhasan 2026 06 27	Farman Hasanov	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0xfd7a09…
06-27 16:01:50	ufc eri16 fhasan 2026 06 27	Farman Hasanov	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0xf7e20f…
06-27 16:01:44	ufc eri16 fhasan 2026 06 27	Farman Hasanov	BUY	262	100¢	$262	0x45e580…
06-27 16:01:26	ufc eri16 fhasan 2026 06 27	Farman Hasanov	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xcb0869…
06-27 16:01:10	ufc eri16 fhasan 2026 06 27	Farman Hasanov	BUY	45	100¢	$45	0x4f71f9…
06-27 16:01:08	ufc eri16 fhasan 2026 06 27	Farman Hasanov	BUY	48	100¢	$48	0x99b787…
06-27 16:00:59	ufc eri16 fhasan 2026 06 27	Farman Hasanov	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x5aad5d…
06-27 16:00:49	ufc eri16 fhasan 2026 06 27	Farman Hasanov	BUY	482	100¢	$481	0x18415f…
06-27 16:00:35	ufc eri16 fhasan 2026 06 27	Farman Hasanov	BUY	82	100¢	$82	0xbf9c7f…
06-27 16:00:16	ufc eri16 fhasan 2026 06 27	Farman Hasanov	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x88a3fc…
06-27 16:00:07	ufc eri16 fhasan 2026 06 27	Farman Hasanov	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x7d3bdf…
06-27 15:59:40	ufc eri16 fhasan 2026 06 27	Farman Hasanov	BUY	1,618	100¢	$1,616	0x5420ba…
06-27 15:59:37	ufc eri16 fhasan 2026 06 27	Farman Hasanov	BUY	88	100¢	$88	0xb02dcf…
06-27 15:59:28	ufc eri16 fhasan 2026 06 27	Farman Hasanov	BUY	145	100¢	$145	0x00d2e9…
06-27 15:59:22	ufc eri16 fhasan 2026 06 27	Farman Hasanov	BUY	79	100¢	$79	0xa4bd20…
06-27 15:59:11	ufc eri16 fhasan 2026 06 27	Farman Hasanov	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x2e0392…
06-27 15:59:08	ufc eri16 fhasan 2026 06 27	Farman Hasanov	BUY	260	100¢	$260	0x0f066e…
06-27 15:59:05	ufc eri16 fhasan 2026 06 27	Farman Hasanov	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x50b816…
06-27 15:58:47	ufc eri16 fhasan 2026 06 27	Farman Hasanov	BUY	300	100¢	$300	0x35ee1e…
06-27 15:58:44	ufc eri16 fhasan 2026 06 27	Farman Hasanov	BUY	62	100¢	$62	0xd74f7e…
06-27 15:58:43	ufc eri16 fhasan 2026 06 27	Farman Hasanov	BUY	304	100¢	$304	0x22c289…
06-27 15:58:37	ufc eri16 fhasan 2026 06 27	Farman Hasanov	BUY	4,944	100¢	$4,938	0xa5642e…
06-27 15:58:37	ufc eri16 fhasan 2026 06 27	Farman Hasanov	BUY	83	100¢	$83	0x393a0c…
06-27 15:44:56	ufc eri16 fhasan 2026 06 27 totals 0pt5	Over	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x83f508…
06-17 07:59:29	US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9,200	100¢	$9,191	0x17c8f4…
06-15 01:15:24	ufc ste6 die4 2026 06 14	Diego Lopes	SELL	3,000	100¢	$2,997	0xc80daa…
06-15 01:13:57	ufc ste6 die4 2026 06 14	Diego Lopes	BUY	3,000	99¢	$2,970	0xe06f71…
06-13 01:31:33	fifwc usa par 2026 06 12 team total home 0pt5	Over	BUY	9,000	100¢	$8,991	0xf60587…
06-05 17:33:19	israel announces lebanon ceasefire extension by june 7	Yes	BUY	201	100¢	$201	0xaf22d8…
06-05 17:32:40	israel announces lebanon ceasefire extension by june 7	Yes	BUY	5,054	100¢	$5,044	0x054c87…
06-05 17:29:37	israel announces lebanon ceasefire extension by june 7	Yes	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x96bdb2…
06-05 17:29:36	israel announces lebanon ceasefire extension by june 7	Yes	BUY	3,888	100¢	$3,880	0x5cbe0b…
06-02 07:18:50	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	9,100	99¢	$9,036	0x3f282c…
05-29 14:06:35	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	Yes	BUY	2,809	100¢	$2,804	0x602ad4…
05-29 13:57:32	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	Yes	BUY	5,000	100¢	$4,990	0xa43764…
05-29 13:51:11	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	Yes	BUY	500	100¢	$499	0x7872c1…
05-29 13:43:48	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	Yes	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x414f94…
05-29 13:40:01	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	Yes	BUY	550	100¢	$549	0x9726c4…
05-29 13:35:12	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x50ae3a…
05-29 13:35:03	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	Yes	BUY	200	100¢	$199	0x63be12…
05-15 17:56:05	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	SELL	9,000	100¢	$8,964	0xb86657…
05-15 17:12:32	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	9,000	100¢	$8,991	0x1b8642…