Offensive-Macrofauna — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.94K

Unrealized P&L

+$26

Hit rate

81.5%

Resolved

374

Trades

601

lifetime

Volume

$85.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$143

Open exposure

$1.06K

1 position

First seen

2026-01-04

last 10-27 05:04

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 99 days

Categories

Other

62% 71% -$1,122

Crypto

36% 89% -$596

Politics

2% 40% -$193

Sports

0% 0% -$25

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

17 active days in 12wk • peak 31 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes		+1,123	$1,030	94¢	$1.1K	+$26	10-27 05:04

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	2	$3.0K	1,502	1,502	+0	Yes	-$2	03-15 11:03
lol tes al 2026 01 24	9	$2.2K	1,785	1,785	+0	Anyone's Legend	-$562	01-24 11:25
highest temperature in shenzhen on march 21 2026 24c	2	$1.9K	952	952	+0	No	+$6	03-21 08:22
lol blg g2 2026 03 18	3	$1.6K	1,535	122	+1,413	Bilibili Gaming	+$20	03-18 15:03
highest temperature in chongqing on march 29 2026 19c	1	$1.5K	1,523	0	+1,523	No	+$8	03-29 15:44
highest temperature in london on march 16 2026 12c	1	$1.4K	1,390	0	+1,390	Yes	+$4	03-16 18:21
lol we nip 2026 01 22	2	$1.2K	614	614	+0	Ninjas in Pyjamas	+$12	01-22 13:46
lol fox1 gen 2026 01 22	3	$1.2K	602	602	+0	Gen.G	+$14	01-22 12:46
lol ig1 tes 2026 01 21	2	$1.1K	575	575	+0	Invictus Gaming	+$11	01-21 15:23
lol dk ns 2026 01 21	2	$1.1K	564	564	+0	Dplus KIA	+$11	01-21 10:25
highest temperature in london on january 20 10c	2	$1.1K	553	553	+0	Yes	+$15	01-21 02:41
lol ig1 blg 2026 01 20	2	$1.1K	538	538	+0	Bilibili Gaming	+$10	01-20 14:32
lol edg nip 2026 01 19	2	$1.0K	528	528	+0	Ninjas in Pyjamas	+$10	01-19 15:35
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	3	$1.0K	1,123	0	+1,123	open	—	10-27 05:04
Backpack FDV above $1B one day after launch?	2	$1.0K	508	508	+0	No	+$7	03-23 16:04
Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on May 13?	1	$1000	1,003	0	+1,003	Yes	+$3	05-13 15:11
highest temperature in london on april 4 2026 15c	5	$985	1,002	0	+1,002	Yes	+$17	04-04 16:56
highest temperature in london on april 1 2026 14c	10	$957	476	503	-27	Yes	+$20	04-02 07:16
lol tes blg 2026 01 18	2	$935	477	477	+0	Bilibili Gaming	+$19	01-18 10:45
lol blg fox1 2026 03 16	2	$890	581	581	+0	Bilibili Gaming	-$110	03-16 14:27
lol ns hle1 2026 01 18	2	$889	464	464	+0	Nongshim Red Force	+$27	01-18 09:33
lol t1 dk 2026 02 22	3	$867	584	414	+171	Dplus KIA	-$161	02-22 10:45
bitcoin above 100k on january 14	2	$814	413	413	+0	No	-$2	01-14 00:15
highest temperature in london on april 3 2026 17corhigher	8	$799	819	0	+819	No	+$20	04-03 16:15
Over $8M committed to the Trove public sale?	2	$778	390	390	+0	Yes	+$1	01-11 16:16
lol t1 dk 2026 02 22 game2	2	$712	360	360	+0	T1	+$7	02-22 09:43
Backpack FDV above $300M one day after launch?	3	$700	741	0	+741	No	+$41	03-24 05:46
highest temperature in shenzhen on march 27 2026 25c	2	$668	690	0	+690	Yes	+$22	03-27 15:06
highest temperature in london on january 22 9c	1	$613	619	0	+619	Yes	+$6	01-22 16:28
highest temperature in london on january 21 10c	1	$574	588	0	+588	Yes	+$14	01-21 15:36

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 05:04:38	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	885	94¢	$830	0x2bfc48…
10-27 05:02:51	Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	108	95¢	$102	0xc5f1d0…
10-27 05:02:42	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Yes	SELL	62	65¢	$40	0x154181…
10-27 05:02:24	Variational FDV above $5B one day after launch?	No	SELL	105	96¢	$100	0x0418b1…
10-27 05:02:15	Will Predict.fun launch a token by June 30, 2027?	Yes	SELL	105	99¢	$104	0x9c77c2…
10-27 05:02:05	Will Phantom launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	110	95¢	$104	0xda9e36…
10-27 05:01:53	Will Faker win a Finals MVP Award at an international event in 2026?	No	SELL	115	95¢	$110	0x6485ce…
10-27 05:01:29	Predict.fun FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	SELL	50	71¢	$35	0x51c7cc…
10-27 05:00:42	Will Canza launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	78	45¢	$35	0xdbe105…
10-23 16:40:48	LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Movistar KOI (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Bilibili Gaming	BUY	37	81¢	$30	0x555e5f…
10-23 16:37:59	LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Karmine Corp (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Anyone's Legend	BUY	46	65¢	$30	0x77e3b1…
10-23 16:36:33	LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Movistar KOI (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Bilibili Gaming	BUY	123	81¢	$100	0x9c5619…
10-18 02:17:35	Valorant: LOUD vs Team Vitality (BO5) - VCT Champions Playoffs	Team Vitality	BUY	24	42¢	$10	0x4c80e7…
10-18 02:15:54	Games Total: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	66	76¢	$50	0x657b9d…
10-17 10:54:27	lol fox1 we 2026 10 17	BNK FEARX	BUY	167	96¢	$160	0x0cf4c1…
10-17 10:52:50	val vit 100t1 2026 10 17 game4	100 Thieves	BUY	37	82¢	$30	0xb2de0b…
10-17 10:40:57	lol fox1 we 2026 10 17	BNK FEARX	BUY	106	94¢	$100	0xbc508f…
10-17 10:04:45	val vit 100t1 2026 10 17	Team Vitality	SELL	30	40¢	$12	0x057085…
10-17 09:51:02	val vit 100t1 2026 10 17	Team Vitality	BUY	30	66¢	$20	0xf74b93…
10-17 09:38:18	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	115	87¢	$100	0x7588a9…
10-17 09:37:59	lol fox1 we 2026 10 17 total games 3pt5	Over	BUY	49	61¢	$30	0x37189e…
10-12 13:44:14	LoL: BNK FEARX vs JD Gaming - Game 4 Winner	BNK FEARX	BUY	28	71¢	$20	0xba3302…
10-11 15:31:54	Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO5) - ESL Pro League Playoffs	Vitality	BUY	16	70¢	$11	0x8e761f…
10-11 14:50:21	Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO5) - ESL Pro League Playoffs	Vitality	BUY	77	65¢	$50	0x790bab…
10-11 13:09:16	Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs	Aurora Gaming	BUY	78	90¢	$70	0xc40123…
10-11 12:46:03	Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs	Aurora Gaming	BUY	46	65¢	$30	0x08cfa7…
10-11 12:44:51	val g21 t1 2026 10 11 game2	G2 Esports	BUY	30	67¢	$20	0x8dc76d…
10-10 10:55:18	Valorant: NRG vs LOUD (BO3) - VCT Champions Playoffs	LOUD	SELL	97	45¢	$43	0xd81bae…
10-10 10:40:58	Valorant: NRG vs LOUD (BO3) - VCT Champions Playoffs	LOUD	BUY	97	93¢	$90	0x8378e8…
10-10 01:04:07	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 12?	Yes	BUY	106	94¢	$100	0x41edc6…
10-09 16:10:21	Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Spirit (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs	Team Falcons	BUY	48	42¢	$20	0xd43011…
10-09 14:37:19	Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs	MOUZ	BUY	59	68¢	$40	0x93c899…
10-09 13:35:49	cs2 vit prv 2026 10 09	Vitality	SELL	118	100¢	$118	0x8a0938…
10-09 11:14:24	val t1 pr1 2026 10 09	Paper Rex	BUY	118	85¢	$100	0xad4730…
10-09 06:44:24	Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Spirit (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs	Team Falcons	BUY	48	42¢	$20	0x8cabbe…
10-09 06:43:45	Counter-Strike: Vitality vs PARIVISION (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs	Vitality	BUY	118	85¢	$100	0x7eb5f4…
10-09 02:41:09	Valorant: T1 vs Paper Rex (BO3) - VCT Champions Playoffs	Paper Rex	BUY	45	67¢	$30	0x06036b…
10-09 02:39:32	Buccaneers vs. Cowboys	Buccaneers	BUY	233	86¢	$200	0x772ac6…
10-09 02:37:56	Buccaneers vs. Cowboys	Cowboys	SELL	86	14¢	$12	0x723d5b…
10-08 16:56:27	Buccaneers vs. Cowboys	Cowboys	BUY	37	81¢	$30	0x55787b…
10-08 16:56:11	Buccaneers vs. Cowboys	Cowboys	BUY	49	81¢	$40	0x159da4…
10-08 16:53:05	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	59	84¢	$50	0xeebe44…
10-08 16:46:11	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x17392d…
10-08 15:04:45	Gemini 4.0 released by October 9, 2026?	No	BUY	60	83¢	$50	0xa9342d…
10-08 06:03:49	Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs BET-M 33 (BO3) - 1win Private Club #2: Closed Qualifier Playoffs	GamerLegion	BUY	44	68¢	$30	0x9e60f6…
10-08 06:01:50	LoL: Natus Vincere vs JD Gaming (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage	JD Gaming	BUY	68	74¢	$50	0x2ef784…
10-07 06:24:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Up	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x1a6606…
10-07 06:24:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Up	SELL	66	95¢	$63	0xe76c41…
10-07 06:24:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	SELL	177	6¢	$10	0x39ca60…
10-07 06:24:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Up	BUY	106	94¢	$100	0xd5a717…
10-07 06:24:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0x427319…
10-07 06:24:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	BUY	104	96¢	$100	0x02096a…
10-07 06:24:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	BUY	111	90¢	$100	0x854030…
10-07 06:23:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	BUY	30	83¢	$25	0xd36243…
10-07 06:23:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Up	BUY	33	76¢	$25	0x833ad3…
10-07 06:22:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Up	BUY	33	75¢	$25	0x030f51…
10-07 06:13:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	28	88¢	$25	0xd251fb…
10-07 06:12:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	30	82¢	$25	0x34fef2…
10-07 06:04:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x1682e8…
10-07 05:54:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	BUY	26	98¢	$25	0x6baf9f…
10-07 05:54:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	BUY	26	97¢	$25	0xac6d10…
10-07 05:52:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	BUY	32	77¢	$25	0xe7fd6d…
10-07 05:52:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	BUY	35	72¢	$25	0x9a6bdd…
10-07 05:14:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	26	98¢	$25	0x15cdcb…
10-07 05:14:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	27	92¢	$25	0xb5d9b8…
10-07 05:13:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	37	68¢	$25	0x6302e1…
10-07 05:12:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	27	93¢	$25	0x970104…
10-07 05:12:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	28	90¢	$25	0xfc159b…
10-07 05:12:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	27	91¢	$25	0xcbf5e9…
10-07 04:19:54	Will Phantom launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	110	91¢	$100	0xaf3541…
10-07 04:19:09	Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	108	93¢	$100	0x9f919d…
10-07 04:18:12	Will Jumper's FDV be greater than $300M one day after launch?	No	BUY	4	76¢	$3	0x845216…
10-07 04:16:54	Variational FDV above $5B one day after launch?	No	BUY	105	96¢	$100	0xe11a79…
10-07 04:15:33	Predict.fun FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	BUY	50	80¢	$40	0x43f2a0…
10-07 04:10:03	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Yes	BUY	62	65¢	$40	0x2c360c…
10-07 04:07:32	Will Canza launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	78	64¢	$50	0xdad0ee…
10-07 03:58:56	US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?	No	BUY	55	91¢	$50	0x9bd277…
10-06 17:57:35	Counter-Strike: Legacy vs M80 (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage	M80	BUY	29	70¢	$20	0x51da42…
10-06 17:44:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	26	97¢	$25	0x38ed36…
10-06 17:44:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	26	96¢	$25	0x86f198…
10-06 17:31:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	27	94¢	$25	0xfd22a2…
10-06 17:31:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	27	93¢	$25	0xef7676…
10-06 17:31:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	27	93¢	$25	0x604341…
10-06 17:29:14	Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage	FURIA	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0xc47ba3…
10-06 17:27:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	27	94¢	$25	0x5ba539…
10-06 17:27:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	27	94¢	$25	0xe259ad…
10-06 17:27:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	26	96¢	$25	0x073f2d…
10-06 17:27:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	26	97¢	$25	0xa60c48…
10-06 17:26:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	26	96¢	$25	0x8dc3fb…
10-06 17:19:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x66838b…
10-06 17:19:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	26	98¢	$25	0x2a41f1…
10-06 17:19:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	26	96¢	$25	0x14f730…
10-06 17:19:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	28	90¢	$25	0xe4ed7c…
10-06 17:18:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	27	92¢	$25	0x12a1f5…
10-06 17:18:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	27	91¢	$25	0x0812d2…
10-06 17:04:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	29	85¢	$25	0xf5ed57…
10-06 16:50:50	Will Predict.fun launch a token by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	105	96¢	$100	0x9f2391…
10-06 16:48:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	26	96¢	$25	0x1da8fb…
10-06 07:55:49	Games Total: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0xf5e67e…
10-06 02:28:13	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 6?	Up	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0xd98fa3…