Realized P&L
+$38
Unrealized P&L
+$59
Hit rate
100.0%
Resolved
12
Trades
3,161
lifetime
Volume
$217.3K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$69
Open exposure
$4.32K
17 positions
First seen
2026-02-27
last 06-30 00:20
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 8 days
Categories
Other
59% 100% +$11
Politics
23% 100% +$27
Crypto
14% 100% +$0
Tech
4%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
55 active days in 12wk • peak 388 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? No +857 $844 100¢ $856 +$13 06-10 16:22
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? No +747 $726 100¢ $746 +$20 06-18 14:50
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30? No +601 $588 100¢ $600 +$12 06-18 17:39
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2026? No -509 $-504 100¢ $-508 $-4 06-11 02:17
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? No +504 $493 100¢ $503 +$11 06-18 06:31
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026? No +272 $265 100¢ $271 +$6 06-10 00:10
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026? No -138 $-138 100¢ $-138 $-0 06-23 21:20
Bill Clinton divorce by June 30? No -118 $-116 100¢ $-117 $-1 06-02 21:30
Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026? No -117 $-116 100¢ $-117 $-1 06-01 18:29
Greece x Turkey military engagement by June 30? No -117 $-116 100¢ $-117 $-0 06-17 17:04
Will US withdraw from NATO by June 30? No +116 $116 100¢ $116 +$0 06-08 03:16
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? No +79 $78 98¢ $78 +$0 06-25 22:21
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026? No +40 $38 100¢ $40 +$1 06-17 19:35
Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026? Yes +39 $39 100¢ $39 +$1 06-30 00:20
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30? No +39 $39 100¢ $39 +$0 06-21 14:05
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30? No -33 $-34 100¢ $-33 +$1 06-08 13:22
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June? No +0 $-0 100¢ $0 +$0 06-23 08:13