Realized P&L
+$38
Unrealized P&L
+$22
Hit rate
100.0%
Resolved
12
Trades
3,025
lifetime
Volume
$209.8K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$69
Open exposure
$4.77K
12 positions
First seen
2026-02-27
last 06-10 00:10
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 8 days
Categories
Other
59% 100% +$11
Politics
23% 100% +$27
Crypto
14% 100% +$0
Tech
4%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
43 active days in 12wk • peak 388 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? No +1,364 $1,347 99¢ $1.4K +$6 06-08 06:42
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? No +747 $726 99¢ $738 +$11 06-08 11:26
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30? No +562 $550 99¢ $556 +$7 06-04 19:23
Netanyahu out by June 30? No +511 $503 98¢ $502 $-1 06-01 20:30
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? No +509 $503 98¢ $499 $-4 06-02 09:41
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? No +346 $337 97¢ $336 $-1 06-08 19:11
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026? No +272 $265 98¢ $267 +$2 06-10 00:10
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026? No -138 $-137 100¢ $-137 $-0 06-04 01:14
Bill Clinton divorce by June 30? No -118 $-116 99¢ $-117 $-1 06-02 21:30
Will US withdraw from NATO by June 30? No +116 $116 100¢ $116 $-0 06-08 03:16
Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026? No -117 $-116 99¢ $-116 +$1 06-01 18:29
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30? No -33 $-34 99¢ $-33 +$1 06-08 13:22