Unlined-Minor — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.41K

Unrealized P&L

-$10

Hit rate

59.8%

Resolved

434

Trades

2,355

lifetime

Volume

$193.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$82

Open exposure

$359

4 positions

First seen

2026-01-14

last 11-12 16:09

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 173 days

Categories

Other

66% 57% -$2,111

Politics

17% 53% +$34

Crypto

11% 57% -$136

Sports

7% 50% +$800

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

62 active days in 12wk • peak 70 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch?	Yes	+200	$153	72¢	$143	-$10	11-11 12:29
Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch?	No	+464	$127	29¢	$132	+$5	11-12 16:09
Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	+110	$61	56¢	$61	+$0	11-12 15:26
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	+300	$28	7¢	$22	-$5	10-23 18:24

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	64	$5.2K	3,863	3,863	+0	open	—	10-28 23:31
elon musk of tweets february 13 february 20 320 339	33	$3.5K	1,918	1,918	+0	No	-$137	02-20 11:51
GRVT FDV above $200M one day after launch?	23	$3.5K	2,060	2,060	+0	Yes	-$64	07-31 14:40
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	37	$3.3K	1,974	1,974	+0	open	—	11-04 10:37
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 World Series?	6	$3.3K	2,000	2,000	+0	No	+$431	10-15 06:28
lol hle1 gen 2026 08 10	21	$2.9K	2,012	2,012	+0	Hanwha Life Esports	-$206	08-10 07:48
Will Team Vitality Win the CS2 EWC 2026?	22	$2.9K	2,000	2,000	+0	No	+$20	08-16 21:25
bitcoin above 72k on march 5	15	$2.8K	1,783	1,783	+0	No	-$35	03-05 18:16
elon musk of tweets february 17 february 24 320 339	18	$2.6K	1,576	1,576	+0	No	+$25	02-24 06:17
bitcoin above 64k on july 11 2026	24	$2.4K	1,650	1,650	+0	Yes	-$388	07-11 15:47
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	12	$2.0K	1,100	1,100	+0	Yes	+$105	09-21 08:32
elon musk of tweets february 23 february 25 40 64	22	$2.0K	1,027	1,048	-21	No	+$7	02-25 14:18
atp sinner brooksb 2026 07 03	4	$2.0K	1,982	0	+1,982	Jannik Sinner	+$24	07-03 15:14
atp sinner borges 2026 07 01	2	$1.9K	1,975	0	+1,975	Jannik Sinner	+$99	07-01 12:48
lol drx dnf 2026 08 06	2	$1.9K	1,005	1,005	+0	Kiwoom DRX	+$140	08-06 09:35
elon musk of tweets february 27 march 6 200 219	7	$1.9K	1,156	1,156	+0	Yes	-$263	03-05 10:14
atp sinner kecmano 2026 06 29	8	$1.8K	1,890	0	+1,890	Jannik Sinner	+$66	06-29 13:56
Will Ben Shelton Win ATP Montreal	5	$1.8K	1,000	1,000	-0	Yes	-$5	08-09 11:58
lol blg edg 2026 08 08	3	$1.8K	947	947	+0	Bilibili Gaming	+$9	08-08 12:30
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$1.8K	1,000	1,000	+0	No	-$66	07-06 06:44
elon musk of tweets february 10 february 17 280 299	7	$1.8K	899	899	+0	No	+$43	02-17 16:08
elon musk of tweets february 10 february 17 220 239	6	$1.7K	918	918	+0	No	+$28	02-17 11:18
elon musk of tweets february 21 february 23 40 64	5	$1.6K	816	816	+0	No	+$52	02-23 07:11
will morocco reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149718	2	$1.6K	1,000	1,000	+0	No	-$32	07-04 20:13
cs2 mglz navi 2026 08 15	2	$1.5K	1,027	1,027	+0	Natus Vincere	-$267	08-15 12:59
elon musk of tweets february 21 february 23 0 39	2	$1.5K	766	766	+0	No	+$5	02-21 22:34
GRVT FDV above $250M one day after launch?	16	$1.5K	969	969	+0	Yes	-$50	07-30 16:08
elon musk of tweets february 20 february 27 280 299	20	$1.5K	1,434	1,669	-235	No	-$56	02-27 06:40
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 11 to July 13, 2026?	15	$1.5K	800	800	+0	No	+$29	07-13 14:32
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	24	$1.4K	1,420	1,419	+0	No	-$440	10-27 22:31

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-12 16:09:16	Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch?	No	BUY	100	26¢	$26	0x68af80…
11-12 15:26:09	Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	12	55¢	$7	0xe6cb7b…
11-12 15:26:01	Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	88	55¢	$48	0xbaee9d…
11-11 12:29:40	Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	200	71¢	$142	0x1a5369…
11-11 07:55:57	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from November 9 to November 11, 2026?	No	BUY	10	32¢	$3	0xb444b3…
11-10 14:38:18	Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch?	No	BUY	100	29¢	$29	0x91aee7…
11-10 14:07:06	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	No	BUY	10	75¢	$8	0x260153…
11-10 13:54:28	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	No	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0xe95bfa…
11-10 11:51:04	Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?	No	SELL	26	33¢	$9	0x236de8…
11-10 11:44:33	Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?	No	SELL	43	33¢	$14	0x169927…
11-10 11:42:07	Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?	No	SELL	31	33¢	$10	0x5f900e…
11-10 10:09:57	Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch?	No	BUY	64	27¢	$17	0xd645ce…
11-09 22:26:57	Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?	No	BUY	100	32¢	$32	0x0d1bcf…
11-06 20:01:43	Rolex Paris Masters: Taylor Fritz vs Carlos Alcaraz	Carlos Alcaraz	SELL	184	74¢	$136	0xd11944…
11-06 19:51:37	Rolex Paris Masters: Taylor Fritz vs Carlos Alcaraz	Carlos Alcaraz	SELL	184	61¢	$112	0xba8244…
11-06 19:36:16	Rolex Paris Masters: Taylor Fritz vs Carlos Alcaraz	Carlos Alcaraz	SELL	6	84¢	$5	0xcb9d5d…
11-06 19:36:16	Rolex Paris Masters: Taylor Fritz vs Carlos Alcaraz	Carlos Alcaraz	SELL	321	84¢	$270	0x0d296e…
11-06 19:11:58	Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Paris, France?	No	SELL	1,000	53¢	$530	0xc6e663…
11-06 19:04:37	Rolex Paris Masters: Taylor Fritz vs Carlos Alcaraz	Carlos Alcaraz	BUY	110	71¢	$78	0x8dae8e…
11-06 18:07:42	Rolex Paris Masters: Taylor Fritz vs Carlos Alcaraz	Carlos Alcaraz	BUY	436	72¢	$314	0x0ef236…
11-06 18:05:24	Rolex Paris Masters: Taylor Fritz vs Carlos Alcaraz	Carlos Alcaraz	BUY	150	73¢	$110	0xbbf03d…
11-05 16:07:22	Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	10	58¢	$6	0x9831b2…
11-05 11:13:31	Rolex Paris Masters: Matteo Berrettini vs Carlos Alcaraz	Carlos Alcaraz	SELL	650	50¢	$325	0xb3fb54…
11-05 10:58:19	Rolex Paris Masters: Matteo Berrettini vs Carlos Alcaraz	Carlos Alcaraz	BUY	650	79¢	$514	0x8fdd3d…
11-04 17:45:37	Rolex Paris Masters: Alex Michelsen vs Carlos Alcaraz	Carlos Alcaraz	BUY	510	83¢	$423	0x3a3c39…
11-04 17:23:57	Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Paris, France?	No	BUY	1,000	59¢	$590	0x7f051f…
11-04 16:30:57	AEK vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 0.5	Under	BUY	1,000	2¢	$17	0x983b6e…
11-04 13:20:31	Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	Yes	SELL	100	85¢	$85	0x76ef96…
11-04 10:37:01	Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	109	88¢	$96	0xb396d7…
11-04 10:30:45	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 9%-12%?	Yes	SELL	34	12¢	$4	0xfc6f37…
11-04 10:30:45	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 9%-12%?	Yes	SELL	66	12¢	$8	0x3e3ebc…
11-04 10:30:33	Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	365	88¢	$322	0xdbfb1c…
11-04 10:30:16	Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	100	88¢	$88	0xc9a96c…
11-04 10:28:15	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 9%-12%?	Yes	BUY	100	17¢	$17	0xaa2c26…
11-04 09:30:21	Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	66	90¢	$59	0xd6bed6…
11-04 09:30:19	Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0x97025a…
11-04 09:30:15	Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	25	90¢	$22	0x4c0aa9…
11-04 09:22:36	Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	300	87¢	$262	0x940883…
11-04 09:09:24	Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	74	84¢	$62	0x8a5ebe…
11-04 08:55:45	Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	279	84¢	$233	0x2be143…
11-04 08:55:10	Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	300	100¢	$300	0xe096ec…
11-04 08:55:01	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Yes	SELL	500	100¢	$500	0x6b28a0…
11-04 08:54:45	Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	200	100¢	$200	0x32e71c…
11-04 08:49:21	Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	21	84¢	$18	0xd3177e…
11-04 08:07:52	Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	88¢	$88	0xc5a676…
11-04 08:00:25	Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	200	84¢	$168	0x16060d…
11-04 07:55:06	Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	84¢	$8	0x5a0244…
11-04 07:55:06	Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	95	84¢	$80	0x49fe18…
11-04 07:55:06	Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	47	84¢	$40	0x166514…
11-04 07:55:04	Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	24	84¢	$20	0x8886b3…
11-04 07:55:03	Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	24	84¢	$20	0xa032d6…
11-04 07:46:03	Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	81¢	$162	0x4ad78f…
11-04 07:34:34	Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	200	71¢	$142	0x34a62c…
11-04 07:31:19	Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	175	80¢	$140	0xae6ac3…
11-04 07:31:18	Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	25	80¢	$20	0xc3dce1…
11-04 07:28:54	Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	27¢	$0	0xf02dcc…
11-04 07:28:54	Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	27¢	$3	0x1f40a9…
11-04 07:27:46	Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0xe39c0b…
11-04 07:22:45	Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	250	84¢	$210	0x13799b…
11-04 07:00:15	Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	500	89¢	$444	0x155590…
11-04 06:59:04	Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	250	88¢	$219	0xb7ac68…
11-04 06:06:09	Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	21	94¢	$20	0xd4eec3…
11-04 06:05:57	Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	179	94¢	$168	0x08581a…
11-04 03:24:27	Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	400	84¢	$336	0xdc7252…
11-04 03:22:07	Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	200	90¢	$180	0xf08cac…
11-03 23:10:33	Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	Yes	SELL	100	34¢	$34	0xa75500…
11-03 22:10:07	Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	200	71¢	$142	0x695af6…
11-03 18:07:24	Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	36¢	$36	0x3a7382…
11-03 14:50:28	Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	73¢	$73	0x3d9550…
11-03 12:48:01	Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	74¢	$74	0x7e3d3c…
11-03 09:19:57	Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	80	37¢	$30	0x2a58fe…
11-03 09:09:34	Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	37¢	$2	0x54be7a…
11-03 09:09:33	Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	16	37¢	$6	0x020528…
11-03 07:49:42	Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	300	76¢	$228	0x98d962…
11-03 01:38:30	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 3%-6%?	Yes	BUY	100	33¢	$33	0x57495e…
11-02 23:16:19	Will Republicans win Iowa and Kansas, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?	Yes	BUY	714	7¢	$50	0x91297f…
11-02 16:39:22	Will Republicans win Iowa, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?	Yes	BUY	40	10¢	$4	0xcdc18c…
11-02 16:39:21	Will Republicans win Iowa, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?	Yes	BUY	60	10¢	$6	0x543408…
11-02 16:38:10	Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	300	76¢	$228	0x21bb92…
11-02 16:00:00	Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	100	74¢	$74	0x494e38…
11-02 15:38:03	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?	Yes	SELL	500	38¢	$190	0x731f5e…
11-02 12:53:16	Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	Yes	BUY	200	31¢	$62	0xcb6725…
11-02 10:18:37	Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	300	75¢	$225	0x9ff5c8…
10-31 20:09:40	FC Barcelona vs. Deportivo Alavés: O/U 0.5	Under	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0xee3c57…
10-31 11:13:37	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5	89¢	$4	0xd2fc56…
10-31 11:03:55	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?	Yes	BUY	500	39¢	$195	0x828b6e…
10-31 10:09:52	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0x513973…
10-31 08:42:22	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?	Yes	SELL	300	40¢	$120	0x971804…
10-30 23:02:27	Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	37	69¢	$26	0x450b46…
10-30 21:24:48	Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	16	69¢	$11	0xfa6831…
10-30 21:06:46	Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0x020296…
10-30 21:00:40	Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	0	69¢	$0	0x2f387d…
10-30 20:23:18	Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	250	56¢	$140	0x0ab2d4…
10-30 19:42:16	Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	32	69¢	$22	0xc181bf…
10-30 14:57:13	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	25¢	$5	0x95fd8c…
10-30 14:48:58	Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	150	70¢	$105	0xb47dc7…
10-30 14:44:07	Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	100	71¢	$71	0xba7055…
10-30 13:47:19	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x9ba2d0…
10-30 13:46:27	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x3f6d25…
10-30 11:10:57	Will Predict.fun launch a token by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	126	85¢	$107	0x311449…