Married-Rationale — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$124

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

59.3%

Resolved

Trades

170

lifetime

Volume

$2.30K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$14

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-04

last 07-15 20:55

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 7 days

Categories

Crypto

75% 43% $-78

Sports

25% 67% +$203

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

18 active days in 12wk • peak 61 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (24) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)	4	$154	125	125	+0	Sean Strickland	+$94	05-10 04:50
Spurs vs. Timberwolves	3	$95	70	70	+0	Timberwolves	+$45	05-11 02:26
Washington Nationals vs. Cincinnati Reds	2	$85	55	55	+0	Washington Nationals	+$25	05-13 02:18
btc updown 5m 1780659000	3	$75	130	0	+130	open	—	06-05 11:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	5	$61	50	49	+1	Up	+$24	05-11 02:39
Spurs vs. Timberwolves: O/U 218.5	2	$61	41	41	+0	Over	+$21	05-11 02:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	3	$60	115	0	+115	Up	$-60	05-10 12:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	4	$60	111	0	+111	Down	$-60	05-10 12:49
UFC 328: Tatsuro Taira vs. Joshua Van (Flyweight, Main Card)	2	$52	38	38	+0	Joshua Van	+$22	05-10 03:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	5	$49	748	0	+748	Down	$-49	05-13 20:50
btc updown 5m 1780657500	4	$43	189	0	+189	open	—	06-05 11:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	2	$40	102	0	+102	Up	$-40	05-10 12:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	3	$40	79	0	+79	Up	+$39	05-10 04:18
btc updown 5m 1780604700	3	$37	177	0	+177	open	—	06-04 20:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	3	$37	499	0	+499	Down	$-37	05-13 00:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	3	$37	102	0	+102	Down	$-37	05-13 20:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	3	$37	97	0	+97	Up	+$60	05-13 18:37
UFC 328: Joaquin Buckley vs. Sean Brady (Welterweight, Main Card)	2	$36	26	26	+0	Sean Brady	+$16	05-10 02:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	2	$36	31	31	+0	Up	$-4	05-10 05:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	2	$31	69	0	+69	Up	$-31	05-13 20:35
btc updown 5m 1781212500	2	$31	72	0	+72	open	—	06-11 21:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	2	$30	50	0	+50	Down	$-30	05-10 15:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	2	$30	45	0	+45	Down	+$15	05-10 05:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	2	$29	19	19	+0	open	—	05-04 18:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	3	$26	50	0	+50	Down	+$24	05-11 02:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	2	$25	62	0	+62	Up	+$38	05-11 02:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	2	$25	177	0	+177	Down	+$152	05-10 04:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	2	$25	1,156	0	+1,156	Down	$-25	05-10 15:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	1	$25	48	0	+48	Down	+$23	05-13 18:31
btc updown 5m 1780657800	1	$25	67	0	+67	open	—	06-05 11:10

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-15 20:55:20	btc updown 5m 1784148900	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xc09ab6…
07-12 18:00:40	btc updown 5m 1783879200	Up	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0xa609f6…
06-29 20:55:37	btc updown 5m 1782766500	Up	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0xa01f23…
06-29 20:55:23	btc updown 5m 1782766500	Up	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x37251c…
06-29 17:17:58	btc updown 5m 1782753300	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xa598b7…
06-12 05:13:54	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?	No	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0xc80624…
06-12 05:10:46	btc updown 5m 1781241000	Up	BUY	147	17¢	$25	0x9f52d5…
06-12 02:32:45	btc updown 5m 1781231400	Up	BUY	15	75¢	$11	0xcfc1ce…
06-11 22:46:33	btc updown 5m 1781217900	Up	BUY	24	25¢	$6	0x809b51…
06-11 22:17:52	btc updown 5m 1781216100	Up	BUY	9	68¢	$6	0x89eb67…
06-11 21:15:28	btc updown 5m 1781212500	Up	BUY	14	42¢	$6	0xa90a71…
06-11 21:15:21	btc updown 5m 1781212500	Up	BUY	58	43¢	$25	0xf8cf89…
06-07 19:30:34	btc updown 5m 1780860600	Up	BUY	49	51¢	$25	0xc02304…
06-07 15:46:30	btc updown 5m 1780847100	Up	BUY	86	29¢	$25	0x9031d8…
06-07 15:44:01	btc updown 5m 1780846800	Up	BUY	83	30¢	$25	0xeda0ed…
06-05 12:00:19	btc updown 5m 1780660800	Up	BUY	58	43¢	$25	0x8e119b…
06-05 11:31:24	btc updown 5m 1780659000	Up	BUY	53	47¢	$25	0xe052b3…
06-05 11:31:07	btc updown 5m 1780659000	Up	BUY	41	61¢	$25	0xb910e1…
06-05 11:30:55	btc updown 5m 1780659000	Up	BUY	36	70¢	$25	0x42618a…
06-05 11:10:13	btc updown 5m 1780657800	Up	BUY	67	37¢	$25	0x550348…
06-05 11:09:10	btc updown 5m 1780657500	Up	BUY	86	7¢	$6	0x19c6b4…
06-05 11:08:51	btc updown 5m 1780657500	Up	BUY	32	19¢	$6	0x703b71…
06-05 11:08:21	btc updown 5m 1780657500	Up	BUY	15	39¢	$6	0x95921d…
06-05 11:07:28	btc updown 5m 1780657500	Up	BUY	57	44¢	$25	0xed12db…
06-04 20:27:24	btc updown 5m 1780604700	Up	BUY	75	8¢	$6	0x55bb4f…
06-04 20:26:25	btc updown 5m 1780604700	Up	BUY	85	29¢	$25	0xe7dcfc…
06-04 20:25:33	btc updown 5m 1780604700	Up	BUY	17	35¢	$6	0x492d46…
06-01 12:17:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	35	71¢	$25	0x5e1bb8…
06-01 12:16:53	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	134	16¢	$22	0x0467eb…
05-19 18:16:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	20	30¢	$6	0xa48e5a…
05-18 19:59:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	28¢	$2	0x127e26…
05-18 19:59:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	24	25¢	$6	0x4c0af5…
05-16 23:52:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	BUY	74	8¢	$6	0x05d214…
05-16 20:06:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	13	48¢	$6	0x71d132…
05-16 20:05:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	15	39¢	$6	0x78e101…
05-16 20:05:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	19	31¢	$6	0xa53e3e…
05-16 19:56:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	14	43¢	$6	0xbdc1da…
05-16 19:56:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	16	38¢	$6	0xffb5dc…
05-16 14:59:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	7	82¢	$6	0xad4d51…
05-16 14:58:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	8	74¢	$6	0x9a57c8…
05-15 18:10:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	9	64¢	$6	0xf45a58…
05-15 18:10:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	17	36¢	$6	0xf4766f…
05-15 17:36:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	10	59¢	$6	0xe30e18…
05-15 17:36:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	12	52¢	$6	0x997ac1…
05-15 17:15:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	9	65¢	$6	0xb8104b…
05-15 17:15:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0xf1b221…
05-13 20:51:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	19	31¢	$6	0xf2939b…
05-13 20:50:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	600	1¢	$6	0xec7e2f…
05-13 20:48:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	20	30¢	$6	0xcede46…
05-13 20:47:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	29	21¢	$6	0x1d31a5…
05-13 20:47:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	21	28¢	$6	0x3d1150…
05-13 20:46:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	78	32¢	$25	0x335d1a…
05-13 20:42:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	41	62¢	$25	0x690963…
05-13 20:35:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	15	41¢	$6	0x90a314…
05-13 20:35:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	55	46¢	$25	0xd796a0…
05-13 20:28:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	21	29¢	$6	0x32a6d8…
05-13 20:26:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	9	68¢	$6	0x8e0380…
05-13 20:26:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	9	64¢	$6	0xd18ad0…
05-13 20:23:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	300	2¢	$6	0x3a57b1…
05-13 20:14:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	78	32¢	$25	0x1f5fb9…
05-13 20:13:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	12	48¢	$6	0xb3b4fd…
05-13 20:13:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	11	56¢	$6	0x9757a5…
05-13 18:37:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	65	38¢	$25	0x1e07c7…
05-13 18:37:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	16	36¢	$6	0xcc0c47…
05-13 18:36:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	15	41¢	$6	0xc8f1d3…
05-13 18:31:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	48	52¢	$25	0xb4f547…
05-13 02:21:40	Tampa Bay Rays vs. Toronto Blue Jays	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	26	76¢	$20	0x787378…
05-13 02:20:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	BUY	66	38¢	$25	0x587c0e…
05-13 02:18:38	Washington Nationals vs. Cincinnati Reds	Washington Nationals	SELL	55	100¢	$55	0xa276dd…
05-13 02:18:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	18	33¢	$6	0x43be86…
05-13 00:58:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	27	11¢	$3	0xd8c2c8…
05-13 00:54:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	BUY	300	2¢	$6	0x62f6f4…
05-13 00:52:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	BUY	86	7¢	$6	0x7d4f50…
05-13 00:50:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	BUY	114	22¢	$25	0x7da3d6…
05-13 00:49:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Down	BUY	29	86¢	$25	0x5e30ce…
05-12 23:56:27	Washington Nationals vs. Cincinnati Reds	Washington Nationals	BUY	55	55¢	$30	0xe7f91b…
05-12 23:50:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x538195…
05-11 14:33:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xe01e86…
05-11 02:59:42	Golden Knights vs. Ducks	Ducks	BUY	38	53¢	$20	0x3e4340…
05-11 02:58:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0x6125db…
05-11 02:58:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	45	22¢	$10	0x52fc0e…
05-11 02:40:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	38	40¢	$15	0x7a2810…
05-11 02:40:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0x130c4e…
05-11 02:39:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	SELL	49	87¢	$43	0x1aee5b…
05-11 02:37:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	BUY	29	43¢	$13	0xab75f0…
05-11 02:37:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	BUY	1	43¢	$0	0x995b32…
05-11 02:36:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	BUY	10	25¢	$2	0xc7c4b7…
05-11 02:36:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0x0f9f8c…
05-11 02:32:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	20	70¢	$14	0x5945f7…
05-11 02:31:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	10	35¢	$4	0x368911…
05-11 02:30:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	20	42¢	$8	0x388842…
05-11 02:29:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	56¢	$6	0x1bd7e0…
05-11 02:27:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	20	22¢	$4	0xc40e2f…
05-11 02:27:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	37¢	$1	0x035413…
05-11 02:27:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	8	37¢	$3	0x049143…
05-11 02:26:46	Spurs vs. Timberwolves: O/U 218.5	Over	SELL	41	100¢	$41	0xe9417b…
05-11 02:26:37	Spurs vs. Timberwolves	Timberwolves	SELL	70	100¢	$70	0xa08a0f…
05-11 02:25:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0xe06949…
05-11 01:07:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	BUY	29	35¢	$10	0x58b670…
05-11 01:07:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0x1574ad…