Unsightly-Noodles — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$22

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

99.9%

Resolved

114

Trades

155

lifetime

Volume

$3.22K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$21

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-11

last 11-09 21:38

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 44 days

Categories

Politics

42% 100% +$14

Other

36% 97% +$7

Crypto

18% 97% +$0

Tech

3% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

29 active days in 12wk • peak 14 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Republicans win Alaska, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?	3	$212	108	108	+0	open	—	11-09 21:38
Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	3	$201	101	101	+0	No	+$1	10-29 13:24
Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch?	2	$191	102	102	+0	open	—	11-03 14:50
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?	2	$173	87	87	+0	No	+$0	09-07 12:19
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 14 2026	3	$161	82	82	+0	No	+$0	08-13 16:34
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?	2	$155	79	79	+0	No	+$3	09-01 03:51
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	2	$137	94	94	+0	open	—	10-25 21:40
Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?	1	$105	109	0	+109	Yes	+$3	11-04 02:30
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	1	$98	101	0	+101	Yes	+$3	10-25 23:44
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 5, 2026?	1	$94	94	0	+94	No	+$0	10-06 04:04
LAPTOP FDV above $25M one day after launch?	2	$87	44	44	+0	Yes	+$0	09-10 19:36
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 31?	1	$87	87	0	+87	No	+$0	09-01 08:11
Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?	3	$87	87	0	+87	Yes	+$0	09-04 08:54
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	1	$83	83	0	+83	Yes	+$0	08-05 01:12
will the us announce a blockade on iran by june 30 20260622191116911	1	$83	83	0	+83	No	+$0	07-01 00:42
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?	1	$82	86	0	+86	No	+$4	10-03 16:38
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	1	$81	82	0	+82	No	+$1	08-14 17:19
israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 9 20260727170733638	1	$80	81	0	+81	Yes	+$0	08-09 15:37
Aligned FDV above $50M one day after launch?	1	$78	79	0	+79	Yes	+$2	08-20 11:56
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026?	1	$73	73	0	+73	No	+$0	09-14 18:56
Will Xi Jinping visit US by October 31?	1	$65	65	0	+65	Yes	+$0	09-22 16:02
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	1	$62	62	0	+62	No	+$0	05-31 05:12
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?	1	$58	59	0	+59	No	+$2	09-29 04:43
Will Dogecoin reach $0.20 in April?	1	$53	53	0	+53	No	+$0	04-27 21:55
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 22 2026	2	$52	53	0	+53	No	+$0	08-21 22:31
will xauusd dip to 3900 in july 2026	1	$47	47	0	+47	No	+$0	07-31 08:41
LAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch?	1	$44	45	0	+45	No	+$0	09-10 19:33
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	2	$44	94	94	+0	No	+$0	10-17 14:45
Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?	1	$40	40	0	+40	Yes	+$0	08-18 10:40
Will Poland be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?	1	$38	38	0	+38	No	+$0	05-14 20:51

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-09 21:38:58	Will Republicans win Alaska, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?	No	SELL	108	98¢	$107	0xd9f99c…
11-05 19:02:27	Will Republicans win Alaska, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?	No	BUY	72	97¢	$70	0x982103…
11-05 18:58:34	Will Republicans win Alaska, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?	No	BUY	36	97¢	$35	0x5c95d5…
11-04 02:30:34	Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	109	97¢	$105	0xb148c7…
11-03 14:50:22	Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	102	95¢	$97	0x27b0dc…
11-01 16:16:09	Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	102	92¢	$94	0xd188c0…
10-29 13:24:46	Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	24	100¢	$24	0x5fb7a0…
10-29 13:19:26	Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	77	100¢	$77	0x281e73…
10-29 02:31:32	Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x3dc079…
10-25 23:44:47	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	101	97¢	$98	0xee7c80…
10-25 22:08:56	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?	Yes	SELL	430	0¢	$2	0x708ba8…
10-25 21:40:33	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	94	74¢	$70	0x9ad5d6…
10-24 02:36:02	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?	Yes	BUY	22	0¢	$0	0xb52712…
10-24 02:36:02	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?	Yes	BUY	19	0¢	$0	0x77e6a5…
10-24 02:36:02	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?	Yes	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0x3c2e51…
10-24 02:36:02	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?	Yes	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0x2d9d5f…
10-24 02:20:39	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?	Yes	BUY	22	0¢	$0	0x3931e2…
10-24 02:20:38	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0xd89b5a…
10-24 02:20:38	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?	Yes	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0x4e0951…
10-24 02:20:21	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x6bc141…
10-24 02:20:20	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?	Yes	BUY	23	0¢	$0	0xed2e62…
10-24 02:20:20	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0xdbbae2…
10-24 02:20:20	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?	Yes	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0xc6befd…
10-24 02:20:20	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?	Yes	BUY	64	0¢	$0	0xb90462…
10-24 02:20:20	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?	Yes	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0x6fe9fc…
10-24 02:20:20	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?	Yes	BUY	60	0¢	$0	0x2be17b…
10-20 09:02:41	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	94	71¢	$67	0x80354c…
10-17 14:45:56	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	94	24¢	$22	0x7fafa1…
10-17 09:22:41	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	94	23¢	$22	0x47c0b8…
10-06 04:04:54	Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 5, 2026?	No	BUY	94	100¢	$94	0x7be91b…
10-05 05:10:56	Will Augusto Cury win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x021902…
10-03 16:38:32	Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?	No	BUY	86	96¢	$82	0x89f787…
09-30 23:07:12	saudi oil pipeline east west restarts by september 30	No	BUY	16	99¢	$15	0xcd4d35…
09-29 04:43:45	US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	59	97¢	$58	0x9f429f…
09-27 06:07:47	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x38f83f…
09-22 16:02:04	Will Xi Jinping visit US by October 31?	Yes	BUY	65	100¢	$65	0xaaac54…
09-22 15:26:51	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in September?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x683c10…
09-14 18:56:15	US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026?	No	BUY	73	100¢	$73	0x305b01…
09-14 15:17:24	Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x187156…
09-10 23:34:15	Will Augusto Cury win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe3f81a…
09-10 19:36:45	LAPTOP FDV above $25M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	44	100¢	$44	0x10c08d…
09-10 19:33:57	LAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	BUY	45	99¢	$44	0x82083a…
09-10 08:19:15	LAPTOP FDV above $25M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	44	99¢	$43	0x86e3b0…
09-07 12:19:45	US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?	No	SELL	87	100¢	$87	0xa08cbf…
09-05 10:45:48	us announces end of iranian blockade by september 7 2026	No	BUY	87	99¢	$86	0x573355…
09-04 08:54:24	Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x7954c2…
09-04 08:54:09	Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0xde50c8…
09-04 08:54:09	Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0x80811f…
09-01 08:11:30	Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 31?	No	BUY	87	100¢	$87	0xcd961e…
09-01 03:51:19	US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?	No	SELL	79	100¢	$79	0x8dddf2…
08-28 03:11:19	Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in August?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x6ba86f…
08-27 14:33:03	US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?	No	BUY	79	96¢	$76	0x6a4a5f…
08-23 20:35:39	Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?	Yes	BUY	300	0¢	$0	0x9f610d…
08-22 06:34:55	Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from August 20 to August 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	400	0¢	$0	0x2247e5…
08-21 22:31:13	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 22 2026	No	BUY	0	99¢	$0	0xb24cce…
08-21 22:20:24	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 22 2026	No	BUY	52	99¢	$52	0x3b1d5e…
08-21 07:58:33	will xauusd dip to 3500 in august 2026	No	BUY	2	100¢	$1	0xf1126d…
08-20 11:56:04	Aligned FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	79	98¢	$78	0x255a25…
08-18 10:40:10	Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?	Yes	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0xc978c1…
08-16 16:37:37	will bitcoin reach 80k in august 2026	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x50db44…
08-14 17:19:39	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	No	BUY	82	99¢	$81	0x6b4809…
08-13 16:34:07	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 14 2026	No	SELL	80	99¢	$79	0xd56d52…
08-13 16:33:43	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 14 2026	No	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x6147bb…
08-13 13:18:31	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 14 2026	No	BUY	82	98¢	$81	0x496f6d…
08-09 15:37:06	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 9 20260727170733638	Yes	BUY	81	100¢	$80	0x956c3d…
08-09 11:21:42	Will Microsoft be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x58a09d…
08-05 01:12:53	Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	Yes	BUY	83	100¢	$83	0x827311…
07-31 20:34:15	GRVT FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x674d0d…
07-31 08:41:38	will xauusd dip to 3900 in july 2026	No	BUY	47	100¢	$47	0x0b5caf…
07-31 05:22:51	will spy dip to 700 in july 2026	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4a4e6e…
07-30 15:43:54	will bitcoin dip to 55k in july 2026 381	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xe4c013…
07-26 21:06:19	will bitcoin dip to 42pt5k in july 2026 821	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xf93342…
07-26 15:22:34	will googl dip to 280 in july 2026	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x116b63…
07-26 04:08:09	will ethereum reach 2500 in july 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x00d1cc…
07-26 01:51:36	will googl dip to 280 in july 2026	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x9d7248…
07-24 12:50:19	will googl dip to 280 in july 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xca7cdf…
07-22 21:12:27	will xauusd dip to 3400 in july 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xf325ed…
07-21 08:35:07	will wti reach 120 in july 2026	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x920e7b…
07-20 16:28:22	will bitcoin dip to 40k in july 2026 457	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x3d8cd7…
07-17 17:59:37	will bitcoin dip to 47pt5k in july 2026 918	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x87f8f2…
07-05 08:11:16	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x3cbfce…
07-01 00:42:46	will the us announce a blockade on iran by june 30 20260622191116911	No	BUY	83	100¢	$83	0x4148af…
05-31 05:12:24	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	BUY	62	100¢	$62	0xb98c1d…
05-19 14:25:09	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $1.60 in May?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xa2fe9d…
05-14 20:51:00	Will Poland be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	38	99¢	$38	0xb9b389…
05-13 08:50:54	Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $50 in May?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x3f94b8…
05-11 12:44:19	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $1.60 in May?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xae1e94…
05-11 03:50:16	Will Solana dip to $40 in May?	No	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0xdaf2bb…
05-10 09:31:46	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $1.60 in May?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xa60e48…
05-09 10:05:26	Will Solana dip to $20 in May?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x82e011…
05-09 01:27:21	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x538f7c…
05-07 18:58:31	Will Saudi Aramco be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x58be8e…
05-07 18:04:13	Will Saudi Aramco be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xfc1a9a…
05-07 12:28:51	Will Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xfe246d…
05-06 17:35:47	Will OpenAI have the third best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x53b79c…
05-06 16:33:08	Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $290 in May?	No	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x63ebe5…
05-05 22:22:46	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $264 in May?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x97a3a7…
05-05 21:24:52	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	No	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0xd7a854…
05-05 12:50:34	Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x3a5702…
05-05 09:54:32	Will Solana dip to $10 in May?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x97ad41…