Cultivated-Doorpost — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1.49K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

81.2%

Resolved

568

Trades

2,201

lifetime

Volume

$237.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$108

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-08

last 10-26 04:51

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 162 days

Categories

Other

75% 73% -$3,270

Sports

25% 45% +$4,776

Crypto

0% 0% -$18

Politics

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

73 active days in 12wk • peak 61 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	50	$26.2K	721,452	721,452	+0	No	+$6,839	07-02 09:05
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	13	$20.0K	92,482	90,317	+2,165	No	-$1,107	07-15 14:44
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on May 6?	6	$7.3K	3,695	3,695	+0	No	+$36	05-06 10:16
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 28°C on May 5?	8	$4.1K	2,089	2,089	+0	No	+$44	05-05 07:01
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$4.0K	23,941	23,941	+0	No	+$24	06-10 15:54
highest temperature in chengdu on april 10 2026 24c	19	$3.9K	2,058	2,050	+8	No	+$117	04-10 08:39
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	6	$3.8K	10,728	10,728	+0	No	-$117	07-15 14:35
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 26°C or higher on May 7?	12	$3.8K	1,957	1,957	+0	No	+$97	05-07 05:51
highest temperature in chengdu on april 16 2026 22c	15	$3.7K	1,895	1,893	+2	No	+$45	04-16 04:44
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	2	$3.6K	4,037	4,037	+0	Yes	-$323	08-01 00:09
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on April 28?	8	$3.5K	1,804	1,800	+5	No	+$89	04-28 03:55
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 28°C on April 27?	28	$3.4K	1,711	1,708	+3	No	+$54	04-27 01:36
highest temperature in hong kong on april 7 2026 26c	4	$2.9K	1,437	1,437	+0	No	+$3	04-07 04:11
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	33	$2.8K	13,079	13,079	+0	No	+$26	06-15 11:09
highest temperature in chengdu on april 13 2026 21c	1	$2.7K	2,779	0	+2,779	No	+$79	04-13 07:30
highest temperature in chengdu on april 11 2026 25c	9	$2.4K	2,510	0	+2,510	No	+$71	04-11 05:39
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C on May 4?	8	$2.4K	2,587	0	+2,587	No	+$149	05-03 09:57
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on May 12?	9	$2.2K	2,322	0	+2,322	Yes	-$2,250	05-11 09:15
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 28°C on May 12?	3	$2.1K	2,154	0	+2,154	No	+$21	05-11 07:40
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on May 11?	10	$2.1K	2,164	0	+2,164	No	+$64	05-10 20:20
highest temperature in chongqing on april 17 2026 24c	15	$2.1K	2,124	0	+2,124	No	+$36	04-16 09:22
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 28°C on May 11?	2	$2.1K	1,030	1,030	+0	No	+$4	05-11 05:42
highest temperature in shanghai on april 8 2026 13corbelow	2	$2.0K	1,002	1,002	+0	No	-$2	04-07 09:24
highest temperature in chongqing on april 21 2026 16c	8	$1.9K	968	966	+3	No	+$31	04-20 16:25
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06?	1	$1.8K	2,767	0	+2,767	Yes	-$1,826	07-06 06:34
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 27°C on April 26?	4	$1.8K	898	898	+0	No	+$9	04-26 04:02
highest temperature in chengdu on april 9 2026 30c	13	$1.7K	1,804	0	+1,804	No	+$84	04-09 07:42
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 29°C on May 5?	12	$1.7K	1,776	0	+1,776	No	+$124	05-04 10:14
highest temperature in chengdu on april 21 2026 18c	7	$1.6K	843	840	+3	No	+$43	04-21 05:55
highest temperature in chengdu on april 12 2026 21c	12	$1.6K	815	815	+0	No	+$45	04-12 10:03

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-26 04:51:06	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 18°C on October 26?	No	SELL	306	10¢	$31	0xd146b4…
10-26 00:23:59	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 18°C on October 26?	No	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0x96ba3f…
10-26 00:21:54	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 18°C on October 26?	No	BUY	90	98¢	$88	0xc4f344…
10-26 00:21:50	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 18°C on October 26?	No	BUY	166	98¢	$162	0x187e60…
10-25 06:45:12	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 22°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	58	99¢	$57	0x610545…
10-25 06:01:17	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 22°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	150	99¢	$148	0x16f004…
10-25 06:01:08	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 22°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	95	98¢	$93	0x0bcd44…
10-24 10:32:17	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 22°C on October 24?	Yes	SELL	273	100¢	$273	0xf74072…
10-24 07:39:35	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 22°C on October 24?	Yes	BUY	48	98¢	$47	0xc96d6f…
10-24 07:39:24	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 22°C on October 24?	Yes	BUY	52	98¢	$51	0xce7fbe…
10-24 06:59:29	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 22°C on October 24?	Yes	BUY	106	99¢	$105	0x5e30bd…
10-24 06:07:54	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 22°C on October 24?	Yes	BUY	67	94¢	$63	0xdfc540…
10-24 04:03:38	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 20°C on October 24?	No	SELL	85	100¢	$85	0x1dd4be…
10-24 04:01:20	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 20°C on October 24?	No	SELL	62	100¢	$62	0x92150a…
10-24 02:47:56	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 20°C on October 24?	No	BUY	39	99¢	$39	0xc2a0e6…
10-24 02:47:50	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 20°C on October 24?	No	BUY	108	99¢	$106	0xa7b2f5…
10-23 06:22:03	Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Academy vs Spirit Academy (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #12 Group Stage	Spirit Academy	BUY	14	58¢	$8	0x119060…
10-21 22:27:47	Counter-Strike: Eternal Fire vs BC.Game Esports (BO3) - DraculaN Playoffs	BC.Game Esports	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x2c99cc…
10-21 22:17:33	Counter-Strike: Eternal Fire vs BC.Game Esports (BO3) - DraculaN Playoffs	BC.Game Esports	BUY	10	75¢	$8	0xaac70f…
10-21 15:07:57	Counter-Strike: Fluxo W7M vs Galorys (BO3) - Circuit X Curitiba Group A	Fluxo W7M	BUY	21	82¢	$17	0x579cd9…
10-21 13:24:26	Counter-Strike: Just Players vs Fire Flux Esports (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stage	Fire Flux Esports	BUY	4	10¢	$0	0xed1e94…
10-21 13:22:54	Counter-Strike: Just Players vs Fire Flux Esports (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stage	Fire Flux Esports	BUY	3	15¢	$0	0x3c5a60…
10-21 13:22:17	Counter-Strike: Just Players vs Fire Flux Esports (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stage	Fire Flux Esports	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0x96f52e…
10-21 13:22:14	Counter-Strike: Just Players vs Fire Flux Esports (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stage	Fire Flux Esports	BUY	22	15¢	$3	0x503f68…
10-21 13:21:14	Counter-Strike: Just Players vs Fire Flux Esports (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stage	Fire Flux Esports	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0xc8d11c…
10-21 13:18:11	Counter-Strike: Just Players vs Fire Flux Esports (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stage	Fire Flux Esports	BUY	10	34¢	$3	0xf1c41b…
10-20 15:37:39	Counter-Strike: Sinners vs SAW (BO3) - DraculaN Playoffs	Sinners	SELL	300	100¢	$300	0xa44754…
10-20 15:03:38	Counter-Strike: Sinners vs SAW (BO3) - DraculaN Playoffs	Sinners	BUY	300	94¢	$284	0x7ebfb0…
10-20 14:36:54	Counter-Strike: Sinners vs SAW (BO3) - DraculaN Playoffs	Sinners	SELL	378	86¢	$326	0xdd1808…
10-20 14:17:09	Counter-Strike: Sinners vs SAW (BO3) - DraculaN Playoffs	Sinners	BUY	378	81¢	$306	0x81e302…
10-20 11:10:47	Dota 2: Power Rangers vs HULIGANI (BO3) - EPL Masters Group A	HULIGANI	SELL	111	100¢	$111	0x5f1f29…
10-20 10:52:09	Dota 2: Power Rangers vs HULIGANI (BO3) - EPL Masters Group A	HULIGANI	BUY	111	98¢	$109	0x9a8721…
10-20 07:09:13	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 20°C on October 20?	Yes	SELL	46	83¢	$38	0xb9d61a…
10-20 07:08:55	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 20°C on October 20?	Yes	SELL	290	66¢	$192	0xfcc37d…
10-20 06:56:32	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 20°C on October 20?	Yes	SELL	20	97¢	$19	0xcac9a0…
10-20 06:37:13	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 20°C on October 20?	Yes	SELL	20	97¢	$19	0x43c992…
10-20 06:18:47	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 20°C on October 20?	Yes	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0x343322…
10-20 06:16:20	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 20°C on October 20?	Yes	SELL	20	97¢	$19	0xa91c3c…
10-20 05:39:05	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 20°C on October 20?	Yes	BUY	249	97¢	$242	0xcb4b68…
10-20 05:38:56	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 20°C on October 20?	Yes	BUY	94	96¢	$90	0x3d6ed9…
10-20 05:20:59	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 20°C on October 20?	Yes	BUY	26	96¢	$25	0x7fdb76…
10-20 05:20:17	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 20°C on October 20?	Yes	BUY	31	95¢	$29	0x160dfb…
10-19 16:39:57	Counter-Strike: fnatic vs Liquid (BO3) - 1win Private Club #2 Playoffs	fnatic	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0xbf60a5…
10-19 16:21:23	Counter-Strike: fnatic vs Liquid (BO3) - 1win Private Club #2 Playoffs	fnatic	BUY	21	94¢	$20	0xce6869…
10-19 13:24:30	Counter-Strike: GenOne vs Omega (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 6: Closed Qualifier Playoffs	Omega	BUY	35	68¢	$24	0x4109e0…
10-19 13:22:33	Counter-Strike: GenOne vs Omega (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 6: Closed Qualifier Playoffs	Omega	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0xff067d…
10-19 13:22:33	Counter-Strike: GenOne vs Omega (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 6: Closed Qualifier Playoffs	Omega	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0xbff65b…
10-19 13:22:33	Counter-Strike: GenOne vs Omega (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 6: Closed Qualifier Playoffs	Omega	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0x462770…
10-19 13:22:21	Counter-Strike: GenOne vs Omega (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 6: Closed Qualifier Playoffs	Omega	BUY	15	71¢	$11	0x840f1b…
10-19 10:16:41	Counter-Strike: GenOne vs FORZE Reload (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stage	FORZE Reload	SELL	55	100¢	$55	0x77efe9…
10-19 08:23:12	Counter-Strike: GenOne vs FORZE Reload (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stage	FORZE Reload	BUY	55	78¢	$43	0x76209d…
10-19 08:21:54	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 19°C on October 19?	Yes	SELL	45	99¢	$44	0x776c13…
10-19 05:02:48	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 19°C on October 19?	Yes	BUY	45	83¢	$37	0xbb24aa…
10-19 05:01:29	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 19°C on October 19?	No	SELL	225	17¢	$39	0x6add67…
10-19 01:35:00	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 19°C on October 19?	No	BUY	45	89¢	$40	0xf1efee…
10-19 01:34:18	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 19°C on October 19?	No	BUY	45	89¢	$40	0xeb5a0c…
10-19 01:34:05	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 19°C on October 19?	No	BUY	94	85¢	$80	0xb9804f…
10-19 01:33:59	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 19°C on October 19?	No	BUY	40	83¢	$33	0x4fed5c…
10-18 07:37:18	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 22°C on October 18?	Yes	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x3feac6…
10-18 07:37:15	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 22°C on October 18?	Yes	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xf7ec38…
10-18 07:37:12	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 22°C on October 18?	Yes	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xf821a4…
10-18 07:37:09	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 22°C on October 18?	Yes	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x830204…
10-18 07:37:06	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 22°C on October 18?	Yes	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x87b35a…
10-18 07:37:03	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 22°C on October 18?	Yes	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xfb979a…
10-18 07:37:00	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 22°C on October 18?	Yes	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xed049f…
10-18 07:36:57	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 22°C on October 18?	Yes	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x89e46c…
10-18 07:36:54	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 22°C on October 18?	Yes	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x81e5a8…
10-18 07:36:51	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 22°C on October 18?	Yes	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x235a57…
10-18 07:36:47	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 22°C on October 18?	Yes	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x9ec02f…
10-18 07:36:45	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 22°C on October 18?	Yes	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xbf1738…
10-18 07:36:42	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 22°C on October 18?	Yes	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xcfe4a2…
10-18 07:36:38	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 22°C on October 18?	Yes	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xc10b5f…
10-18 07:36:36	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 22°C on October 18?	Yes	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x2e9ba3…
10-18 07:36:32	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 22°C on October 18?	Yes	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x25ed5c…
10-18 07:36:29	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 22°C on October 18?	Yes	SELL	9	100¢	$8	0x52cb23…
10-18 07:36:27	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 22°C on October 18?	Yes	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xf93c11…
10-18 07:36:23	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 22°C on October 18?	Yes	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x3dfa47…
10-18 07:36:20	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 22°C on October 18?	Yes	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xbcd961…
10-18 07:36:17	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 22°C on October 18?	Yes	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xd61879…
10-18 07:36:14	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 22°C on October 18?	Yes	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xac0d21…
10-18 07:36:11	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 22°C on October 18?	Yes	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x794fbf…
10-18 07:36:09	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 22°C on October 18?	Yes	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x6dd2d5…
10-18 07:36:06	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 22°C on October 18?	Yes	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x76e217…
10-18 07:36:03	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 22°C on October 18?	Yes	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xc99904…
10-17 22:40:38	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 22°C on October 18?	Yes	BUY	212	93¢	$197	0x0edc5c…
10-17 10:22:36	cs2 nip hero 2026 10 17	Heroic	BUY	100	68¢	$68	0xebd70a…
10-17 10:09:23	cs2 nip hero 2026 10 17	Heroic	BUY	10	62¢	$6	0xb2c46b…
10-17 09:44:08	cs2 nip hero 2026 10 17	Heroic	SELL	100	58¢	$58	0x1d424d…
10-17 09:10:20	cs2 nip hero 2026 10 17	Heroic	BUY	100	45¢	$45	0xeca0f2…
10-17 07:16:56	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 23°C on October 17?	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x06fb11…
10-17 07:16:53	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 23°C on October 17?	Yes	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x60d82c…
10-17 07:16:50	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 23°C on October 17?	Yes	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x7cdd94…
10-17 07:16:48	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 23°C on October 17?	Yes	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0xb6ccac…
10-17 07:16:42	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 23°C on October 17?	Yes	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0xcb15ac…
10-17 07:16:39	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 23°C on October 17?	Yes	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x5cd007…
10-17 07:16:36	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 23°C on October 17?	Yes	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0xa0cd3d…
10-17 07:16:33	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 23°C on October 17?	Yes	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x37048b…
10-17 07:16:30	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 23°C on October 17?	Yes	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x7d4431…
10-17 07:16:27	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 23°C on October 17?	Yes	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x2241c8…
10-17 07:16:24	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 23°C on October 17?	Yes	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0xb1293e…