Dramatic-Survivor — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$402

Unrealized P&L

-$599

Hit rate

51.3%

Resolved

205

Trades

657

lifetime

Volume

$29.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$46

Open exposure

$738

3 positions

First seen

2026-01-04

last 10-30 05:38

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 98 days

Categories

Other

51% 18% -$589

Crypto

47% 13% +$77

Tech

2% 33% +$125

Politics

0% 0% -$14

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

20 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (25) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	+42,653	$1,188	1¢	$597	-$591	10-30 05:33
Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 October 26-November 1?	Yes	+1,082	$100	12¢	$135	+$35	10-30 05:38
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	Yes	+6,130	$48	0¢	$6	-$42	10-11 15:24

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	49	$3.7K	19,188	19,188	+0	open	—	06-26 17:35
will apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28 781	14	$2.6K	12,566	12,566	+0	No	+$2,217	02-05 21:36
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on July 8?	11	$2.5K	4,221	4,221	+0	Yes	+$1,940	07-08 15:12
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	26	$1.6K	39,383	16,295	+23,087	No	-$440	06-10 17:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	3	$1.5K	1,381	1,381	+0	Down	+$1,218	05-06 18:30
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	8	$1.2K	42,653	0	+42,653	open	—	10-30 05:33
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	8	$967	6,087	6,087	+0	No	+$618	05-27 17:14
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	25	$788	5,148	5,148	+0	No	+$349	07-06 16:21
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	13	$717	17,804	0	+17,804	No	-$717	08-12 16:06
will apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on january 31 756	13	$618	51,583	0	+51,583	No	-$618	01-21 03:14
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	7	$588	1,766	1,766	+0	open	—	10-30 05:32
will alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28	10	$581	14,146	0	+14,146	No	-$581	02-14 23:46
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	11	$509	56,013	0	+56,013	No	-$509	04-21 04:47
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	2	$422	500	500	+0	Yes	+$332	07-30 22:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	5	$400	6,860	526	+6,334	Up	-$100	05-06 18:44
Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026?	9	$397	3,009	3,009	+0	open	—	06-10 17:17
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	38	$381	10,292	10,292	+0	No	-$360	07-27 15:13
will bitcoin reach 100k in january 2026	4	$369	4,587	4,587	+0	No	-$140	01-26 16:34
bitcoin up or down on june 27 2026	3	$351	314	314	+0	Up	+$152	06-27 15:07
bitcoin up or down on june 25 2026	6	$315	391	281	+110	Down	+$191	06-25 14:43
will bitcoin reach 94k january 19 25	2	$307	1,137	1,137	+0	No	+$102	01-21 19:29
will bitcoin reach 76k april 13 19	4	$300	277	261	+16	Yes	+$217	04-14 14:28
bitcoin up or down on june 29 2026	2	$300	263	263	+0	Down	+$100	06-29 12:05
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 23?	3	$298	10,937	0	+10,937	Down	-$298	05-23 14:16
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	9	$287	9,111	9,111	+0	Yes	-$51	06-05 15:51
will bitcoin reach 78k april 13 19	2	$287	254	239	+15	Yes	+$206	04-17 14:59
will bitcoin reach 100k in february 2026	5	$275	11,052	0	+11,052	No	-$275	02-09 19:59
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on September 20?	1	$270	2,008	0	+2,008	No	-$270	09-20 09:34
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on July 7?	8	$254	2,831	0	+2,831	No	-$254	07-07 00:59
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026?	7	$246	1,872	1,872	+0	open	—	06-26 03:14

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-30 05:38:36	Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 October 26-November 1?	Yes	BUY	1,082	9¢	$100	0x79bfbf…
10-30 05:33:37	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	BUY	7,014	1¢	$100	0xebbb73…
10-30 05:32:10	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	555	58¢	$324	0x1963c0…
10-29 14:46:38	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	BUY	3,130	2¢	$49	0x54d3b3…
10-29 12:56:43	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	BUY	4,097	2¢	$100	0x1f4228…
10-28 11:03:19	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	BUY	5,131	2¢	$100	0xb54143…
10-26 18:18:48	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	365	13¢	$49	0x312ef2…
10-26 08:32:41	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	BUY	4,264	2¢	$100	0x974fcc…
10-22 07:27:17	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	91	13¢	$12	0xfba626…
10-22 07:26:06	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	13¢	$13	0xee7727…
10-22 07:24:00	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 22?	Up	BUY	579	3¢	$20	0xb516ca…
10-22 07:21:32	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	BUY	2,191	2¢	$50	0x51b5d4…
10-22 07:20:56	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 22?	Up	BUY	714	4¢	$25	0xc2cf8e…
10-18 06:29:54	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 18?	Yes	BUY	2,213	0¢	$10	0xce10ec…
10-16 17:10:55	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 17?	Yes	BUY	219	16¢	$35	0xf5d11a…
10-16 17:09:46	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 17?	Yes	BUY	1,667	1¢	$10	0x03747e…
10-16 17:07:42	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	605	10¢	$62	0x3ce188…
10-16 17:02:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 17:00 UTC	Up	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x0b6657…
10-16 16:56:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 12PM ET	Down	BUY	711	10¢	$70	0x77fc75…
10-16 16:54:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 16:50 UTC	Down	BUY	69	3¢	$2	0x9408ea…
10-16 16:45:24	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	605	13¢	$79	0x74f10c…
10-16 08:51:46	will bitcoin reach 86k october 12 18 2026	Yes	BUY	26	4¢	$1	0x0effd6…
10-15 08:15:07	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	BUY	9,683	2¢	$189	0xdef6ab…
10-13 16:11:57	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 14?	Yes	BUY	51	4¢	$2	0x088eb3…
10-11 15:44:27	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 11?	Down	BUY	179	1¢	$2	0x221e72…
10-11 15:24:37	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6,130	1¢	$48	0x1bbf42…
10-07 15:32:14	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,211	4¢	$49	0x1e3a81…
09-24 14:46:06	Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in September?	Yes	BUY	455	11¢	$50	0x6f12e4…
09-20 14:07:15	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	Yes	BUY	1,333	0¢	$4	0x09b12b…
09-20 09:34:52	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on September 20?	Yes	BUY	2,008	13¢	$270	0xb865d1…
09-17 02:10:10	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 September 14-20?	Yes	BUY	469	4¢	$19	0x3229af…
09-17 02:09:18	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	Yes	BUY	2,268	0¢	$7	0x948920…
09-17 02:06:52	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	BUY	7,143	7¢	$500	0x655c79…
09-12 09:00:28	Bitcoin Up or Down on September 12?	Up	BUY	595	8¢	$47	0x269445…
09-10 12:29:01	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	Yes	BUY	333	0¢	$1	0x327b01…
09-08 07:46:18	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 8?	Yes	BUY	2,293	4¢	$92	0x5747a4…
09-08 07:45:18	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	Yes	BUY	7,054	1¢	$50	0xd8f7d4…
08-12 16:06:10	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	Yes	BUY	2,402	2¢	$48	0xc1e88c…
08-10 13:08:21	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	Yes	BUY	1,952	2¢	$48	0x767fd5…
08-08 16:08:13	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	Yes	BUY	1,112	4¢	$48	0x1667f2…
08-08 04:51:55	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	Yes	BUY	179	4¢	$7	0x415935…
08-08 04:51:33	bitcoin above 66k on august 8 2026	Yes	BUY	2,147	2¢	$40	0x55a589…
08-07 05:42:54	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	Yes	BUY	1,789	5¢	$95	0x5ee766…
07-31 07:16:33	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on July 31?	Yes	BUY	316	2¢	$6	0xf3c755…
07-31 07:16:02	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on July 31?	Yes	BUY	65	2¢	$1	0x4f26d0…
07-31 07:14:45	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on July 31?	Yes	BUY	178	2¢	$3	0xbd7c55…
07-31 07:14:38	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on July 31?	Yes	BUY	167	2¢	$3	0xf19f2a…
07-31 07:13:23	bitcoin up or down on july 31 2026	Up	BUY	165	19¢	$31	0x9e6e2e…
07-31 07:13:03	bitcoin up or down on july 31 2026	Up	BUY	135	19¢	$26	0x4fd087…
07-31 06:56:56	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on July 31?	Yes	BUY	191	2¢	$4	0xbd9eb6…
07-31 06:56:47	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on July 31?	Yes	BUY	238	2¢	$5	0x5261f1…
07-31 06:56:36	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on July 31?	Yes	BUY	298	2¢	$7	0xbeea11…
07-31 06:56:24	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on July 31?	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xfeb599…
07-30 22:22:36	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on July 31?	Yes	BUY	1,073	11¢	$118	0x0766a7…
07-30 22:18:36	will bitcoin dip to 62k july 27 august 2 2026	Yes	BUY	556	9¢	$50	0x868001…
07-30 22:15:39	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	Yes	BUY	2,136	5¢	$100	0x3fe2dc…
07-30 22:14:59	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	SELL	500	75¢	$377	0x2d18b9…
07-30 15:17:11	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on July 30?	Yes	BUY	125	1¢	$1	0xef7a1c…
07-30 14:47:11	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	Yes	BUY	1,570	4¢	$60	0xd5cb76…
07-30 14:46:48	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on July 30?	Yes	BUY	1,667	1¢	$25	0xdb2e2e…
07-29 23:10:15	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	Yes	BUY	1,126	4¢	$47	0x75b6f3…
07-29 23:09:54	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on July 30?	Yes	BUY	1,220	4¢	$50	0xfa7e8b…
07-29 23:08:54	will bitcoin dip to 63k on july 29	Yes	BUY	200	12¢	$24	0x7ef807…
07-29 23:05:56	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	BUY	500	9¢	$45	0xa91e7c…
07-29 06:57:08	Bitcoin Up or Down on July 29?	Down	BUY	115	27¢	$31	0x6fe1d1…
07-29 06:51:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 2AM ET	Down	BUY	6,948	0¢	$7	0xb196b6…
07-29 06:46:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 2AM ET	Down	BUY	500	0¢	$2	0x7a3305…
07-29 06:46:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 2AM ET	Down	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x7fb394…
07-29 06:46:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 2AM ET	Down	BUY	588	0¢	$2	0xfc6949…
07-29 06:45:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 2AM ET	Down	BUY	1,879	0¢	$4	0x6f6d6b…
07-27 15:13:21	bitcoin above 66k on july 27 2026	Yes	BUY	4,930	0¢	$10	0xf98d49…
07-27 15:13:06	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	SELL	10,292	0¢	$10	0x780df7…
07-27 15:03:52	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	Yes	BUY	2,530	4¢	$96	0xa98c96…
07-27 14:58:09	bitcoin above 66k on july 27 2026	Yes	BUY	250	0¢	$1	0x741519…
07-27 09:49:16	bitcoin above 66k on july 27 2026	Yes	BUY	796	12¢	$96	0xe4a52d…
07-24 22:47:15	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	Yes	BUY	966	5¢	$49	0xb25000…
07-24 22:45:27	will bitcoin dip to 63k on july 24	Yes	BUY	580	5¢	$30	0xb0f107…
07-24 22:42:03	will bitcoin dip to 62k july 20 26 2026	Yes	BUY	3,333	6¢	$200	0xdc1f59…
07-23 12:49:28	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	Yes	BUY	886	4¢	$39	0x092a29…
07-21 23:55:28	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	BUY	368	2¢	$7	0x0bccb0…
07-21 23:55:03	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	Yes	BUY	522	6¢	$30	0x56286f…
07-21 23:54:00	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on July 22?	Yes	BUY	974	6¢	$58	0xe9a33b…
07-20 04:37:13	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	BUY	2,398	2¢	$46	0x0be2ce…
07-20 04:36:43	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	Yes	BUY	632	8¢	$50	0x2ee9fa…
07-17 14:23:21	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	BUY	2,671	2¢	$48	0xe7fd42…
07-12 23:49:56	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	BUY	1,613	2¢	$25	0x165387…
07-12 15:42:52	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on July 12?	Yes	BUY	232	8¢	$18	0x755639…
07-12 15:41:53	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on July 12?	Yes	BUY	46	8¢	$4	0x2ed68b…
07-10 05:59:52	bitcoin up or down on july 10 2026	Down	BUY	70	7¢	$5	0x24b628…
07-09 12:31:26	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	BUY	220	5¢	$10	0x05deeb…
07-09 08:50:38	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on July 9?	Yes	BUY	8	9¢	$1	0xed390c…
07-09 08:49:17	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on July 9?	Yes	BUY	300	9¢	$26	0x586382…
07-09 08:48:16	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on July 9?	Yes	BUY	12	9¢	$1	0x449802…
07-09 08:21:14	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on July 9?	Yes	BUY	55	11¢	$6	0xdb24c7…
07-09 08:20:01	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on July 9?	Yes	BUY	44	9¢	$4	0xfdc1c3…
07-09 07:49:46	bitcoin up or down on july 9 2026	Down	BUY	50	8¢	$4	0x0368c3…
07-08 15:12:11	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on July 8?	Yes	SELL	688	82¢	$566	0xfe6fce…
07-08 15:12:11	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on July 8?	Yes	SELL	1,278	82¢	$1,050	0x00a2c9…
07-08 08:42:43	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on July 8?	Yes	SELL	655	49¢	$321	0x71bfa1…
07-08 03:47:22	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on July 8?	Yes	BUY	405	1¢	$5	0x26bcd8…