Pushy-Cobbler — Polymarket

Realized P&L (7d)

+$82

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

13.4%

Resolved (7d)

Trades (7d)

8,237 lifetime

Volume (7d)

$76

$26.3K lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-18

last 11-05 15:52

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 268 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 26% -$332

Politics

0% 0% $0

Other

0% 0% -$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

82 active days in 12wk • peak 41 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?	Yes		+10	$8	66¢	$7	-$1	10-31 15:04

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-24 15:30 UTC	7	$132	140	0	+140	Down	+$8	02-24 18:11
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-22 11:30 UTC	3	$114	118	0	+118	Down	+$4	02-22 11:42
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-23 16:15 UTC	8	$109	118	0	+118	Up	+$9	02-23 16:22
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-05 01:45 UTC	2	$104	59	58	+1	Down	+$9	04-05 01:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-27 10:15 UTC	5	$92	117	0	+117	Down	-$92	02-27 10:20
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-05 08:15 UTC	10	$86	80	80	+0	Up	-$17	03-05 08:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-18 01:30 UTC	4	$80	75	73	+2	Down	+$8	02-18 01:32
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-31 09:30 UTC	2	$79	60	59	+1	Up	-$17	03-31 09:42
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-24 17:45 UTC	10	$79	42	42	+0	Up	+$2	03-24 17:55
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-26 02:45 UTC	2	$79	45	44	+0	Up	+$7	03-26 02:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-06 12:15 UTC	2	$76	40	40	+0	Up	+$4	03-06 12:28
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-05 21:00 UTC	2	$76	44	44	+1	Down	+$10	04-05 21:12
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-09 13:45 UTC	6	$75	93	0	+93	Down	+$18	03-09 13:55
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-28 00:15 UTC	2	$70	79	0	+79	Down	+$9	02-28 00:20
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-31 02:00 UTC	3	$66	59	29	+30	Down	+$20	03-31 02:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-18 12:15 UTC	2	$66	35	34	+1	Up	+$1	03-18 12:27
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-13 14:15 UTC	5	$66	200	199	+1	Up	-$62	03-13 14:27
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-01 06:45 UTC	2	$65	45	44	+1	Down	-$13	04-01 06:57
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-22 17:45 UTC	2	$65	80	0	+80	Up	+$15	02-22 17:50
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-22 13:45 UTC	6	$65	59	59	+0	Up	-$23	02-22 13:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-27 17:00 UTC	2	$64	80	0	+80	Down	-$64	02-27 17:05
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-22 22:00 UTC	3	$63	79	0	+79	Down	+$16	02-22 22:05
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-27 04:30 UTC	6	$62	79	0	+79	Down	+$18	02-27 04:36
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-02 16:15 UTC	2	$61	80	0	+80	Down	+$19	03-02 16:20
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-25 02:15 UTC	2	$58	78	0	+78	Down	+$19	02-25 02:20
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-01 18:00 UTC	1	$58	59	0	+59	Up	+$1	03-01 18:05
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-22 12:00 UTC	2	$57	30	29	+0	Up	+$1	03-22 12:13
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-28 23:30 UTC	5	$57	30	29	+0	Down	+$1	03-28 23:41
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-07 09:15 UTC	2	$57	30	30	+0	Down	+$2	04-07 09:28
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-24 14:00 UTC	1	$56	59	0	+59	Down	-$56	03-24 14:10

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-05 15:52:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	62	6¢	$4	0xf1a8bd…
11-05 15:50:57	Ethereum Up or Down - November 5, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	8¢	$1	0x86ae3d…
11-05 15:50:57	Ethereum Up or Down - November 5, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0x7df4be…
11-05 15:50:57	Ethereum Up or Down - November 5, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0x6c4e06…
11-05 15:44:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	8	1¢	$0	0xf8017a…
11-05 15:44:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0x750af4…
11-05 15:05:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	63	6¢	$4	0x5a4709…
11-05 15:05:30	Ethereum Up or Down - November 5, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	40	8¢	$3	0x8a1126…
11-05 15:05:28	Ethereum Up or Down - November 5, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0x3a7c30…
11-05 15:05:24	Ethereum Up or Down - November 5, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0xf543e8…
11-05 12:36:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	64	5¢	$3	0x1d215b…
11-05 12:32:55	Ethereum Up or Down - November 5, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0xfc991c…
11-05 12:32:55	Ethereum Up or Down - November 5, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0xecff44…
11-05 12:32:55	Ethereum Up or Down - November 5, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	8¢	$0	0xc77ed7…
11-05 12:32:55	Ethereum Up or Down - November 5, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0xb313a6…
11-05 12:32:55	Ethereum Up or Down - November 5, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0x8ec36d…
11-05 12:32:55	Ethereum Up or Down - November 5, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0x8742ec…
11-05 12:32:55	Ethereum Up or Down - November 5, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0x805e10…
11-05 12:32:55	Ethereum Up or Down - November 5, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0x755cd2…
11-05 12:32:55	Ethereum Up or Down - November 5, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0x75225c…
11-05 12:32:55	Ethereum Up or Down - November 5, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0x3c4d54…
11-05 12:32:55	Ethereum Up or Down - November 5, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0x28c971…
11-05 03:51:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	29	4¢	$1	0xbc4a0d…
11-04 22:54:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	5¢	$0	0xc23326…
11-04 22:54:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	5¢	$0	0x4a2b8a…
11-04 22:54:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	17	5¢	$1	0x1975bf…
11-04 22:54:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	5¢	$0	0xb278c7…
11-04 22:54:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0xb327b9…
11-04 14:37:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	4¢	$0	0xc6d76e…
11-04 14:37:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	4¢	$0	0xf2341d…
11-04 12:24:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	4¢	$0	0x099a7f…
11-04 07:39:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	30	4¢	$1	0xf2e6a2…
11-04 05:51:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	27	6¢	$2	0x7601cb…
11-04 05:51:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	21	6¢	$1	0x17cb10…
11-04 03:07:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	46	6¢	$3	0x485011…
11-04 03:06:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	6¢	$0	0xec708b…
11-04 00:23:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	26	6¢	$2	0x6b65ed…
11-04 00:23:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	20	6¢	$1	0x054fa0…
11-04 00:20:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	6¢	$0	0x59f050…
11-04 00:20:30	Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	8¢	$0	0xa2470d…
11-04 00:20:30	Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	15	8¢	$1	0x9ac27b…
11-04 00:20:30	Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	13	8¢	$1	0x7e1f40…
11-04 00:20:22	Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	13	8¢	$1	0xea787e…
11-04 00:20:21	Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	13	8¢	$1	0xa90be3…
11-03 21:53:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	31	4¢	$1	0x0f0ffe…
11-03 21:53:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	40	4¢	$2	0x25fe12…
11-03 11:37:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	31	4¢	$1	0x1749b4…
11-03 11:37:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	0	4¢	$0	0x490ed6…
11-03 11:37:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	4¢	$0	0xcfb164…
11-03 01:40:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0xe5e757…
11-03 01:40:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	5¢	$0	0xa2bc47…
11-03 01:40:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	4	5¢	$0	0x3db67c…
11-03 01:40:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	17	5¢	$1	0x384357…
11-03 01:29:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x7b1b8f…
11-02 16:35:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	4¢	$0	0xb2d388…
11-02 13:37:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	4	4¢	$0	0xc87bbf…
11-02 13:37:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	4¢	$0	0x24ab33…
11-02 13:21:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0xdbd25d…
11-02 13:21:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	4	6¢	$0	0xcd287d…
11-02 13:21:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	25	6¢	$2	0xbe5032…
11-02 13:21:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	16	6¢	$1	0x8a88f8…
11-02 01:55:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	3¢	$0	0x473aaf…
11-02 01:55:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	3¢	$0	0x608769…
11-02 01:55:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	25	3¢	$1	0xb0c3f3…
11-02 01:26:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x48ac06…
11-01 01:53:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	4¢	$0	0x55b6aa…
10-31 15:04:09	Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?	Yes	BUY	10	77¢	$8	0x88eaa4…
10-30 18:52:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	52	6¢	$3	0xfea82f…
10-30 15:18:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	38	6¢	$2	0xd4ab30…
10-30 13:52:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	9	6¢	$1	0xa69187…
10-30 13:52:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	20	6¢	$1	0xe9aed8…
10-30 10:36:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	4¢	$0	0x906ecd…
10-30 10:10:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x8fbf2a…
10-30 05:53:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	33	4¢	$1	0xc938c6…
10-30 04:05:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	33	5¢	$2	0x4a04c7…
10-30 02:51:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	34	5¢	$2	0xbc982f…
10-30 01:31:04	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	18	8¢	$1	0xdbfb7e…
10-30 01:31:04	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	18	8¢	$1	0x03059b…
10-30 01:22:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	11	4¢	$0	0xf2b408…
10-30 01:22:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	23	4¢	$1	0x685c70…
10-30 00:22:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	6¢	$0	0xfdcf3b…
10-30 00:22:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	6¢	$0	0x65ff1f…
10-30 00:21:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	15	6¢	$1	0x23e23b…
10-30 00:21:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	11	6¢	$1	0xf2264d…
10-29 23:51:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	20	6¢	$1	0xdc8ad1…
10-29 23:51:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	6¢	$1	0xc0eb02…
10-29 13:52:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x1041bf…
10-29 06:22:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	26	6¢	$2	0xff1c7f…
10-29 06:22:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0xad13e5…
10-29 02:51:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	4¢	$0	0xbdea87…
10-29 01:48:20	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	8¢	$0	0xda08d8…
10-29 01:48:20	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	14	8¢	$1	0x3e9684…
10-29 01:48:20	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	8	8¢	$1	0x1a5017…
10-29 01:48:19	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	15	8¢	$1	0xa09855…
10-29 01:35:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	26	6¢	$2	0x1fc8f7…
10-29 01:35:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0x79ca6e…
10-29 01:33:40	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	38	8¢	$3	0x0b00b5…
10-28 18:36:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	17	5¢	$1	0x470af0…
10-28 18:36:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	15	5¢	$1	0x039c3e…
10-28 15:37:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	4¢	$0	0x5e9b9b…