Pushy-Cobbler — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

+$15

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

5.8%

Resolved (90d)

433

Trades (90d)

953

8,337 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$808

$26.4K lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-18

last 11-15 13:40

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 278 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 26% -$332

Politics

0% 0% $0

Other

0% 0% -$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

84 active days in 12wk • peak 41 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?	Yes		+10	$8	66¢	$7	-$1	10-31 15:04

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-24 15:30 UTC	7	$132	140	0	+140	Down	+$8	02-24 18:11
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-22 11:30 UTC	3	$114	118	0	+118	Down	+$4	02-22 11:42
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-23 16:15 UTC	8	$109	118	0	+118	Up	+$9	02-23 16:22
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-05 01:45 UTC	2	$104	59	58	+1	Down	+$9	04-05 01:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-27 10:15 UTC	5	$92	117	0	+117	Down	-$92	02-27 10:20
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-05 08:15 UTC	10	$86	80	80	+0	Up	-$17	03-05 08:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-18 01:30 UTC	4	$80	75	73	+2	Down	+$8	02-18 01:32
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-31 09:30 UTC	2	$79	60	59	+1	Up	-$17	03-31 09:42
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-24 17:45 UTC	10	$79	42	42	+0	Up	+$2	03-24 17:55
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-26 02:45 UTC	2	$79	45	44	+0	Up	+$7	03-26 02:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-06 12:15 UTC	2	$76	40	40	+0	Up	+$4	03-06 12:28
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-05 21:00 UTC	2	$76	44	44	+1	Down	+$10	04-05 21:12
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-09 13:45 UTC	6	$75	93	0	+93	Down	+$18	03-09 13:55
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-28 00:15 UTC	2	$70	79	0	+79	Down	+$9	02-28 00:20
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-31 02:00 UTC	3	$66	59	29	+30	Down	+$20	03-31 02:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-18 12:15 UTC	2	$66	35	34	+1	Up	+$1	03-18 12:27
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-13 14:15 UTC	5	$66	200	199	+1	Up	-$62	03-13 14:27
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-01 06:45 UTC	2	$65	45	44	+1	Down	-$13	04-01 06:57
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-22 17:45 UTC	2	$65	80	0	+80	Up	+$15	02-22 17:50
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-22 13:45 UTC	6	$65	59	59	+0	Up	-$23	02-22 13:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-27 17:00 UTC	2	$64	80	0	+80	Down	-$64	02-27 17:05
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-22 22:00 UTC	3	$63	79	0	+79	Down	+$16	02-22 22:05
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-27 04:30 UTC	6	$62	79	0	+79	Down	+$18	02-27 04:36
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-02 16:15 UTC	2	$61	80	0	+80	Down	+$19	03-02 16:20
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-25 02:15 UTC	2	$58	78	0	+78	Down	+$19	02-25 02:20
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-01 18:00 UTC	1	$58	59	0	+59	Up	+$1	03-01 18:05
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-22 12:00 UTC	2	$57	30	29	+0	Up	+$1	03-22 12:13
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-28 23:30 UTC	5	$57	30	29	+0	Down	+$1	03-28 23:41
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-07 09:15 UTC	2	$57	30	30	+0	Down	+$2	04-07 09:28
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-24 14:00 UTC	1	$56	59	0	+59	Down	-$56	03-24 14:10

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-15 13:40:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xa4524f…
11-15 13:25:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	4	6¢	$0	0xd14087…
11-15 13:25:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	6¢	$0	0x1e944f…
11-15 13:25:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	38	6¢	$2	0xace800…
11-15 13:25:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	6¢	$0	0x087f51…
11-15 13:25:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	6¢	$0	0x4158d2…
11-15 13:21:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	6¢	$0	0x1eb93a…
11-15 13:21:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	6¢	$0	0x4b4016…
11-15 13:21:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	6¢	$0	0x8bec78…
11-15 13:20:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	6¢	$1	0xad1cc5…
11-15 09:23:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	26	4¢	$1	0x76d157…
11-15 07:37:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	67	5¢	$3	0x7ca1ef…
11-14 04:22:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	41	4¢	$2	0xc499dc…
11-14 04:22:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x9709f9…
11-14 04:22:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x0c4483…
11-14 04:22:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	9	4¢	$0	0xb9d0f7…
11-13 21:52:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	36	4¢	$1	0x6b8ce2…
11-13 21:52:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x33e5fe…
11-13 21:52:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	31	4¢	$1	0x903a39…
11-13 21:52:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	8	4¢	$0	0x9fedbe…
11-13 21:40:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	5¢	$0	0x291e25…
11-13 21:39:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	66	5¢	$3	0x432825…
11-13 21:21:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	70	6¢	$4	0x5973c4…
11-13 21:04:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	6¢	$0	0x3a60ef…
11-13 21:04:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	18	6¢	$1	0x183885…
11-13 21:04:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	29	6¢	$2	0xf47bfe…
11-13 21:04:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	6¢	$0	0x6af972…
11-13 21:03:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	16	6¢	$1	0x22495c…
11-13 17:24:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	26	4¢	$1	0xdd67f4…
11-13 15:49:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	20	4¢	$1	0xf1df24…
11-13 15:49:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0xa17534…
11-13 15:49:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	4¢	$0	0x42a5d8…
11-13 15:49:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	40	4¢	$2	0x257a92…
11-13 15:49:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x150009…
11-13 15:36:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	73	5¢	$4	0x74624d…
11-13 13:53:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	26	4¢	$1	0xedf5c5…
11-13 10:25:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	21	4¢	$1	0xb5c650…
11-13 10:25:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	4¢	$0	0x80798c…
11-13 03:21:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	74	6¢	$4	0x926870…
11-13 03:18:52	Ethereum Up or Down - November 12, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	63	8¢	$5	0x414c8c…
11-13 00:36:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	76	4¢	$3	0xc557d7…
11-12 19:53:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	20	4¢	$1	0xae0b6e…
11-12 11:35:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	42	6¢	$3	0xd17500…
11-12 11:35:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	34	6¢	$2	0x30038d…
11-12 11:32:21	Ethereum Up or Down - November 12, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	36	8¢	$3	0x888c3d…
11-12 11:32:19	Ethereum Up or Down - November 12, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	30	8¢	$2	0xcee106…
11-11 08:21:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	20	4¢	$1	0xf56bf7…
11-11 07:21:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	4¢	$0	0xbed335…
11-11 07:21:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	4¢	$0	0x6f8784…
11-11 07:20:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	4¢	$0	0x41d2e1…
11-11 07:20:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x06c663…
11-10 21:06:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	55	6¢	$3	0x49de91…
11-10 21:06:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0x79af3a…
11-10 21:06:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	9	6¢	$1	0x37630c…
11-10 21:06:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	6¢	$1	0xf48f37…
11-10 14:36:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	20	4¢	$1	0x331c08…
11-10 13:38:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	0	5¢	$0	0x9b5fbd…
11-10 13:38:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	27	5¢	$1	0xa7203e…
11-10 09:35:55	Ethereum Up or Down - November 10, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	69	8¢	$6	0x3369e2…
11-10 04:38:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	5¢	$0	0xab023b…
11-10 04:38:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x0365a5…
11-10 04:38:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	5¢	$0	0xd8a741…
11-10 03:53:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	40	4¢	$2	0x34ddac…
11-10 02:52:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	13	4¢	$1	0xba8b5b…
11-10 02:52:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	4¢	$0	0x4505b4…
11-10 02:52:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x31dd74…
11-09 16:05:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	20	4¢	$1	0x59fb8c…
11-09 16:05:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x58e955…
11-09 16:05:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	11	4¢	$0	0x456962…
11-09 16:05:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	9	4¢	$0	0x362c5c…
11-09 16:05:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	23	5¢	$1	0x02e765…
11-09 05:48:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	60	4¢	$2	0x17984f…
11-09 05:41:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xcd552e…
11-08 23:39:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	28	5¢	$1	0x082a42…
11-08 22:12:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	21	4¢	$1	0xd34179…
11-08 22:12:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	4¢	$0	0x4c93ef…
11-08 22:10:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	4¢	$0	0x906abd…
11-08 22:10:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	21	4¢	$1	0x8f7ddb…
11-08 22:10:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	4¢	$0	0x228b8c…
11-08 22:10:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	4¢	$0	0xc2afa3…
11-08 21:49:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	13	5¢	$1	0x68a1d9…
11-08 21:49:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x9804e4…
11-08 21:49:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	62	5¢	$3	0x4dcc39…
11-08 21:47:49	Ethereum Up or Down - November 8, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	73	8¢	$6	0x1f9ea6…
11-08 21:13:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x593fdc…
11-08 19:08:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	5¢	$1	0x9f45f8…
11-08 19:08:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	19	5¢	$1	0x449d5f…
11-08 19:08:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	0	5¢	$0	0x140669…
11-08 19:08:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	20	4¢	$1	0x8dcce0…
11-08 13:22:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	7	6¢	$0	0xd17d87…
11-08 13:22:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	6¢	$0	0x0ce0cc…
11-08 13:21:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	6¢	$0	0x1f86ab…
11-08 13:21:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	6¢	$0	0x93b8d7…
11-08 13:21:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	6¢	$0	0x55477c…
11-08 13:21:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	6¢	$0	0x013bdb…
11-08 13:21:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	30	6¢	$2	0x53e8b9…
11-08 13:21:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	6¢	$0	0x2f48ac…
11-08 13:21:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	6¢	$0	0xb7ac44…
11-07 15:49:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	61	6¢	$4	0x2539c0…
11-06 15:05:42	Ethereum Up or Down - November 6, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	48	8¢	$4	0x33c613…