Self-Reliant-Stallion — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

39.8%

Resolved

Trades

232

lifetime

Volume

$1.23K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-04

last 06-01 20:02

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Other

66% 20% +$0

Politics

19% — —

Sports

14% 100% +$0

Crypto

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

12 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump visit China by April 30?	5	$87	150	150	+0	open	—	03-17 12:52
will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	32	$83	4,759	0	+4,759	open	—	03-24 16:45
lal rso osa 2026 03 15 rso	3	$57	38	38	+0	open	—	03-15 21:37
Will Neymar play in the World Cup?	3	$36	135	135	+0	open	—	06-01 13:42
Roland Garros WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Naomi Osaka	2	$32	18	18	+0	open	—	06-01 20:02
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?	6	$32	123	123	+0	open	—	03-22 08:14
ucl bog1 spo1 2026 03 11 bog1	2	$28	21	21	+0	open	—	03-11 21:13
lal mal esp 2026 03 15 mal	2	$25	18	18	+0	open	—	03-15 14:59
uel lyo1 cel4 2026 03 19 cel4	2	$24	16	16	+0	open	—	03-19 19:39
sea com rom 2026 03 15 com	2	$22	16	16	+0	open	—	03-15 18:53
ucl cfc1 psg1 2026 03 17 spread away 1pt5	2	$22	19	19	+0	open	—	03-17 21:48
lal ala osa 2026 04 05 halftime result draw	3	$20	15	15	+0	open	—	04-05 19:54
Canadiens vs. Sabres	2	$20	40	0	+40	open	—	05-18 18:37
Will Trump say "Friend of mine" during events with Xi Jinping?	2	$20	19	19	+0	open	—	05-14 13:32
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)	1	$19	26	0	+26	open	—	05-18 18:48
col rak fio 2026 03 19 fio	2	$19	14	14	+0	open	—	03-19 19:44
ucl fcb1 new 2026 03 18 spread home 1pt5	2	$17	12	12	+0	open	—	03-18 19:42
Spurs vs. Thunder	1	$17	25	0	+25	open	—	05-18 08:46
lal mad get 2026 03 14 mad	2	$16	11	11	+0	open	—	03-14 17:03
epl ars eve 2026 03 14 ars	2	$16	9	9	+0	open	—	03-14 19:38
ucl mnc1 rma1 2026 03 17 rma1	2	$16	13	13	+0	open	—	03-17 21:55
ucl bay1 ata1 2026 03 18 spread home 1pt5	2	$15	10	10	+0	open	—	03-18 21:54
nba por bkn 2026 03 16 spread away 10pt5	2	$15	10	10	+0	open	—	03-17 03:22
fl1 ang ogc 2026 03 14 btts	2	$15	10	10	+0	open	—	03-14 20:05
rus soc rub 2026 04 06 rub	3	$15	10	10	+0	open	—	04-06 18:40
col aek cry 2026 03 19 total 2pt5	2	$14	9	9	+0	open	—	03-19 19:44
Counter-Strike: 9z vs Heroic (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2 Playoffs	2	$14	15	15	+0	open	—	05-28 12:39
ucl tot atm1 2026 03 18 total 2pt5	2	$13	8	8	+0	open	—	03-18 21:15
ucl liv1 gal 2026 03 18 spread home 1pt5	2	$13	8	8	+0	open	—	03-18 21:32
fl1 asm sbr 2026 03 14 asm	2	$13	8	8	+0	open	—	03-14 22:01

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-01 20:02:58	Roland Garros WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Naomi Osaka	Aryna Sabalenka	SELL	18	99¢	$18	0x4873e0…
06-01 17:59:02	Roland Garros WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Naomi Osaka	Aryna Sabalenka	BUY	18	80¢	$14	0x3b6053…
06-01 13:42:53	Will Neymar play in the World Cup?	No	SELL	135	11¢	$15	0x1c847d…
05-28 12:40:10	Will Neymar play in the World Cup?	No	BUY	35	19¢	$6	0xdfa016…
05-28 12:39:49	Counter-Strike: 9z vs Heroic (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2 Playoffs	Heroic	SELL	15	45¢	$7	0x83c821…
05-28 12:29:54	Counter-Strike: 9z vs Heroic (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2 Playoffs	Heroic	BUY	15	46¢	$7	0xb976ea…
05-28 12:18:25	Will Neymar play in the World Cup?	No	BUY	100	15¢	$15	0x361d77…
05-18 23:27:52	Canadiens vs. Sabres: O/U 5.5	Over	BUY	17	53¢	$9	0xc2c691…
05-18 18:48:43	Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)	Arsenal FC	BUY	26	74¢	$19	0xa1ba85…
05-18 18:37:54	Canadiens vs. Sabres	Canadiens	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x799286…
05-18 08:47:16	Canadiens vs. Sabres	Canadiens	BUY	30	49¢	$15	0x9c4deb…
05-18 08:46:48	Spurs vs. Thunder	Thunder	BUY	25	68¢	$17	0x1524ba…
05-18 05:38:02	World Championships: Finland vs. USA	USA	SELL	14	35¢	$5	0xaa535a…
05-18 00:42:24	World Championships: Finland vs. USA	USA	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0xeff22f…
05-18 00:03:51	Cavaliers vs. Pistons	Cavaliers	BUY	27	37¢	$10	0x923b42…
05-14 20:43:57	Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?	No	BUY	2,630	0¢	$3	0x883eba…
05-14 13:35:49	Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	5	30¢	$1	0x846328…
05-14 13:35:36	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	6	42¢	$2	0xc0dd2e…
05-14 13:32:54	Will Trump say "Tough Negotiator" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	SELL	5	83¢	$4	0x655618…
05-14 13:32:47	Will Trump say "Friend of mine" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	SELL	19	76¢	$15	0xc9efa2…
05-13 21:24:51	Will Trump say "Covid" or "Pandemic" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	27	18¢	$5	0x89a791…
05-13 21:23:46	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	6	59¢	$3	0x6cad74…
05-13 21:23:25	Will Trump say "Tough Negotiator" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0xa09308…
05-13 21:23:13	Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x43e83d…
05-13 21:22:56	Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	62	9¢	$6	0x5c463f…
05-13 21:22:43	Will Trump say "Friend of mine" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0xd55801…
05-13 20:10:51	Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?	No	SELL	36	3¢	$1	0x8b686d…
05-11 20:55:48	Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Girona FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x99deba…
05-11 20:14:56	Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Girona FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x776838…
05-11 11:15:47	Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?	No	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0x682cfd…
05-10 20:21:20	FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: Both Teams to Score	Yes	SELL	2	50¢	$1	0x67596d…
05-10 20:19:46	FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x1c8314…
05-10 19:21:15	AS Monaco FC vs. Lille OSC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	SELL	4	47¢	$2	0xb6c661…
05-10 19:19:23	AS Monaco FC vs. Lille OSC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xd12bb9…
05-10 19:19:23	AS Monaco FC vs. Lille OSC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x1fd942…
04-11 16:29:53	sea mil udi 2026 04 11 mil	Yes	BUY	6	40¢	$3	0x719f81…
04-11 16:11:05	lal elc val 2026 04 11 elc	Yes	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xcf80db…
04-11 15:51:57	lal elc val 2026 04 11 draw	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x19b6ee…
04-11 15:48:27	lal elc val 2026 04 11 elc	Yes	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0x813519…
04-11 15:42:31	lal elc val 2026 04 11 val	Yes	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0xfa4107…
04-06 19:02:23	lal gir vil 2026 04 06 halftime result away	Yes	BUY	7	37¢	$3	0x835ef2…
04-06 18:42:05	sea nap mil 2026 04 06 btts	Yes	BUY	5	51¢	$2	0x418570…
04-06 18:40:57	rus soc rub 2026 04 06 rub	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x847062…
04-06 13:53:59	rus soc rub 2026 04 06 rub	Yes	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0x702e9e…
04-06 12:39:07	rus soc rub 2026 04 06 rub	Yes	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x142c09…
04-05 19:59:13	lal ala osa 2026 04 05 ala	Yes	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0xf6831f…
04-05 19:55:39	sea int rom 2026 04 05 total 4pt5	Under	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x26e1b1…
04-05 19:54:15	lal ala osa 2026 04 05 halftime result draw	Yes	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x0dfb78…
04-05 19:21:59	lal ala osa 2026 04 05 halftime result draw	Yes	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0xfbfaf1…
04-05 18:52:17	lal ala osa 2026 04 05 halftime result draw	Yes	BUY	6	46¢	$3	0xc8f2aa…
03-24 16:45:35	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	No	BUY	940	0¢	$2	0x7f9f2c…
03-24 10:01:23	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	No	BUY	1,185	0¢	$2	0x7dbcda…
03-24 10:01:03	Will Jerome Powell be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	788	0¢	$2	0x2ceae9…
03-24 06:13:55	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	No	BUY	707	0¢	$2	0x2db281…
03-24 06:13:39	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	41	5¢	$2	0x57d0f6…
03-23 20:12:37	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	No	BUY	508	0¢	$3	0xd96349…
03-23 20:12:11	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	48	5¢	$3	0xd7cd50…
03-23 11:19:19	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	No	BUY	135	1¢	$1	0x03e6d2…
03-23 11:10:21	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	No	BUY	136	1¢	$2	0xcc6b93…
03-23 10:19:43	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	No	BUY	42	1¢	$1	0x31db61…
03-23 10:07:37	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	No	BUY	125	1¢	$2	0x75ca09…
03-23 09:29:45	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	No	BUY	71	1¢	$1	0xc4cec6…
03-23 05:28:13	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	No	BUY	103	2¢	$2	0xcfde51…
03-23 05:27:11	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	SELL	18	41¢	$8	0x1d9a16…
03-22 19:18:07	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	No	BUY	147	2¢	$2	0x7f11e8…
03-22 19:13:31	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	No	BUY	59	2¢	$1	0xc78ca1…
03-22 18:43:13	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	No	BUY	94	2¢	$2	0xde0db4…
03-22 13:32:55	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	No	BUY	62	2¢	$1	0x81676a…
03-22 09:52:47	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	No	BUY	76	2¢	$2	0x78513f…
03-22 08:14:41	Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	SELL	105	12¢	$13	0x78cc68…
03-21 21:10:47	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	No	BUY	51	3¢	$2	0x2ad6cc…
03-21 21:10:33	trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677	Yes	SELL	7	25¢	$2	0xfa71d1…
03-21 19:48:17	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	No	BUY	42	12¢	$5	0x232c28…
03-21 19:20:05	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	No	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0xe04414…
03-21 18:57:41	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	No	BUY	25	10¢	$2	0x0a13af…
03-21 18:54:01	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	No	BUY	17	15¢	$2	0xde996c…
03-21 18:48:49	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	No	BUY	19	16¢	$3	0xd95aa4…
03-21 18:47:39	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	No	BUY	12	17¢	$2	0xf797be…
03-21 18:44:37	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	No	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0x37cb22…
03-21 18:41:39	trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677	Yes	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0x28e68f…
03-21 18:41:09	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	BUY	11	28¢	$3	0x4bca64…
03-21 18:39:47	fl1 aja sbr 2026 03 21 sbr	Yes	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0x4a7fb8…
03-21 18:30:07	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	No	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0x780f9b…
03-21 18:23:59	lal sev val 2026 03 21 halftime result draw	Yes	BUY	7	47¢	$3	0x89ba53…
03-21 18:23:39	sea juv sas 2026 03 21 halftime result draw	Yes	BUY	8	33¢	$2	0x43eb2c…
03-21 18:22:23	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	No	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0xfec0ac…
03-21 18:21:15	fl1 aja sbr 2026 03 21 halftime result draw	Yes	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x168143…
03-21 18:20:55	fl1 aja sbr 2026 03 21 sbr	Yes	BUY	6	54¢	$3	0xb385a9…
03-21 18:02:09	sea mil tor 2026 03 21 tor	Yes	BUY	20	14¢	$3	0x2bcafb…
03-19 21:56:07	uel rom1 bol1 2026 03 19 rom1	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x6b3709…
03-19 20:52:15	uel ast4 lil 2026 03 19 halftime result draw	Yes	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x4b7360…
03-19 20:51:01	uel rom1 bol1 2026 03 19 halftime result away	Yes	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0xfbadb4…
03-19 20:46:13	uel rom1 bol1 2026 03 19 halftime result away	Yes	BUY	8	51¢	$4	0x7c553f…
03-19 19:44:21	col aek cry 2026 03 19 total 2pt5	Under	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x0ba6c9…
03-19 19:44:01	col rak fio 2026 03 19 fio	Yes	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0x8e57b0…
03-19 19:39:59	uel lyo1 cel4 2026 03 19 cel4	Yes	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0x681198…
03-19 19:29:15	col rak fio 2026 03 19 rak	Yes	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0x390f35…
03-19 19:08:11	Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	SELL	18	12¢	$2	0xdf5ecd…
03-19 18:39:03	uel mid1 not 2026 03 19 spread away 1pt5	Nottingham Forest FC	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0xad85e1…
03-19 18:05:59	uel lyo1 cel4 2026 03 19 cel4	Yes	BUY	16	51¢	$8	0xd2d6e5…