Agreeable-Ash — Polymarket

Realized P&L (30d)

+$2.11K

Unrealized P&L

-$22

Hit rate

72.8%

Resolved (30d)

Trades (30d)

204

2,305 lifetime

Volume (30d)

$5.09K

$24.9K lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

$130

10 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 11-08 02:25

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 281 days

Categories

Politics

52% 50% +$2,882

Other

43% 41% +$111

Sports

4% 63% +$346

Crypto

0% 35% -$33

Tech

0% 40% +$6

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

78 active days in 12wk • peak 18 trades/day

Open positions (10) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	+50	$40	82¢	$41	+$1	10-05 13:44
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	+60	$20	45¢	$27	+$7	08-30 23:14
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs	T1	+55	$24	44¢	$24	+$0	11-08 02:25
Will Grand Theft Auto VI win Game of the Year at the 2026 Game Awards?	No	+98	$23	14¢	$14	-$10	09-07 15:54
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	+50	$10	18¢	$9	-$1	10-05 13:44
Will T1 win Worlds 2026?	Yes	+50	$10	16¢	$8	-$2	11-05 03:48
Will Trump endorse María Corina Machado for Venezuela president in 2026?	Yes	-50	-$3	11¢	$-6	-$2	07-11 15:37
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-27 House seat?	Yes	+54	$22	2¢	$1	-$21	11-03 02:05
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	-30	$0	0¢	$-0	+$0	10-07 21:46
Will T1 be number 1 on the end of year Global Power Rankings?	Yes	+0	-$6	13¢	$0	+$6	10-24 16:30

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will trump say friend of mine during wef address on january 21	10	$938	1,010	1,030	-20	Yes	+$807	01-21 14:56
Will Trump say "Star" during his Midterm Rally in Georgia?	13	$634	1,686	100	+1,586	Yes	+$999	10-16 22:54
will trump say beckstrom during the state of the union address	3	$530	121	521	-400	Yes	+$102	02-25 04:09
will trump say beautiful 3 times during tpusa events on april 17	6	$425	236	334	-99	Yes	+$74	04-17 23:29
will tit me pregunt be played first at the super bowl halftime show	11	$316	500	0	+500	Yes	+$184	02-08 23:42
will joo cotrim figueiredo win the 2026 portugal presidential election 643	8	$305	913	835	+78	No	-$30	01-18 04:40
Will Trump say "Laken Riley Act" during his Midterm Rally in Georgia?	2	$292	200	200	+0	No	+$60	10-16 19:58
will silent hill f win outstanding visual style at the 2025 steam awards	4	$254	0	282	-282	Yes	-$28	01-03 19:51
Will Trump say "Two Percent" during his Midterm Rally in Lubbock, Texas?	3	$237	210	210	+0	Yes	+$145	10-28 03:25
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?	6	$218	299	250	+49	Yes	+$15	11-04 01:04
will trump say job 15 times during remarks in las vegas 20260803153421449	7	$214	548	200	+348	Yes	+$58	08-05 22:53
Will the Republican Party win the MT-01 House seat?	1	$200	417	0	+417	No	+$217	10-29 01:46
Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?	3	$193	200	200	+0	open	—	11-04 10:55
will travis scott perform during the super bowl lx halftime show	5	$192	296	0	+296	No	+$104	02-08 23:31
will trump say iran 5 times during monday press conference	2	$183	100	100	+0	Yes	-$5	03-09 22:08
trump renames ai by september 30	7	$182	202	202	+0	Yes	+$95	09-29 14:39
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-22 House seat?	4	$174	239	0	+239	Yes	+$65	11-03 06:02
Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?	12	$166	390	310	+80	Yes	+$79	09-11 16:13
will trump say think about it during remarks in new york 20260811183234684	3	$165	150	150	+0	Yes	+$105	08-14 19:43
will trump say obama during the state of the union address 686	8	$164	300	225	+75	Yes	+$50	02-25 03:25
Will Trump and Putin not meet?	9	$163	150	150	+0	open	—	09-22 16:28
lol kt t1 2026 01 23 total games 2pt5	2	$158	355	0	+355	Under	-$158	01-23 03:58
will trump say barack hussein obama this week march 22	10	$145	94	94	+0	Yes	+$43	03-16 22:05
Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?	6	$145	397	198	+198	No	-$6	11-01 13:35
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	6	$137	164	89	+76	Yes	+$29	02-28 20:34
will trump say hell 7 times during remarks in new york 20260811183234682	4	$137	100	100	+0	Yes	+$57	08-14 19:37
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	1	$130	200	0	+200	Yes	+$70	10-26 23:21
Will MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1?	3	$130	100	100	+0	No	+$62	08-27 21:10
will trump say million or billion or trillion 10 times during cnbc interview	5	$127	200	200	+0	No	-$123	01-21 23:52
Will Trump say "Make America Great Again" this week?	11	$121	227	227	+0	No	+$84	05-17 21:12

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-08 02:25:40	LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs	T1	BUY	45	44¢	$20	0x805436…
11-07 22:56:04	LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs	T1	BUY	9	44¢	$4	0xb2e885…
11-07 22:47:10	Games Total: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x52279f…
11-07 22:26:01	Will any game at Worlds 2026 last 50 minutes or more?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x6a1474…
11-07 22:24:36	Games Total: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xfefb12…
11-07 02:01:27	LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Gen.G (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs	Gen.G	BUY	12	81¢	$10	0xd1e8ce…
11-07 01:38:58	Games Total: O/U 4.5	Over	SELL	17	24¢	$4	0x0e0736…
11-07 00:48:18	Games Total: O/U 4.5	Over	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0x0b48e2…
11-06 00:19:58	LoL: Dplus KIA vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs	Dplus KIA	BUY	99	4¢	$4	0x257039…
11-06 00:17:31	LoL: Dplus KIA vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner	Bilibili Gaming	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0x4400da…
11-05 05:22:15	LoL: Dplus KIA vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs	Dplus KIA	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x000dcb…
11-05 03:50:04	Will any game at Worlds 2026 last 50 minutes or more?	Yes	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x66fc3f…
11-05 03:48:13	Will T1 win Worlds 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0x5e265e…
11-04 11:45:09	LoL: Gen.G vs LYON - Game 3 Winner	LYON	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xcf5f28…
11-04 11:44:57	LoL: Gen.G vs LYON - Game 2 Winner	LYON	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x0af857…
11-04 11:44:46	LoL: Gen.G vs LYON - Game 1 Winner	LYON	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x755478…
11-04 10:55:19	Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	200	80¢	$160	0x20254e…
11-04 04:00:49	Will the Democratic Party win the VA-05 House seat?	Yes	SELL	79	21¢	$17	0x21e129…
11-04 04:00:09	Will the Democratic Party win the VA-05 House seat?	Yes	SELL	157	22¢	$35	0x86b416…
11-04 02:42:31	Will the Democratic Party win the MI-04 House seat?	Yes	BUY	13	60¢	$8	0xccccf9…
11-04 02:15:01	Will an Independent win the Montana Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	157	13¢	$20	0xf3c3f8…
11-04 02:13:40	Will the Democrats win the Kentucky Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,101	2¢	$20	0x47a786…
11-04 01:04:48	Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	49	68¢	$33	0x859e2a…
11-04 00:56:46	Will the Republicans win the Montana Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	250	8¢	$20	0x931148…
11-04 00:01:09	Will the Republicans win the Arkansas Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	229	8¢	$18	0x63c261…
11-03 23:57:28	Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	20¢	$20	0x881c85…
11-03 23:54:42	Will the Republicans win the Montana Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	500	9¢	$45	0x3b993b…
11-03 12:25:16	Will the Republican Party win the MO-02 House seat?	No	BUY	130	41¢	$53	0x84ed82…
11-03 06:12:33	Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	100	42¢	$42	0x6b553d…
11-03 06:02:51	Will the Democratic Party win the FL-22 House seat?	Yes	BUY	40	74¢	$30	0x7b97ce…
11-03 06:02:51	Will the Democratic Party win the FL-22 House seat?	Yes	BUY	40	74¢	$30	0x1a04df…
11-03 05:54:00	Will the Democratic Party win the FL-22 House seat?	Yes	BUY	20	74¢	$15	0xf26357…
11-03 03:44:58	Will the Democratic Party win the AL-02 House seat?	Yes	BUY	79	50¢	$40	0x83ee4a…
11-03 03:44:57	Will the Democratic Party win the AL-02 House seat?	Yes	BUY	21	50¢	$10	0x3e907f…
11-03 02:05:28	Will the Democratic Party win the FL-27 House seat?	Yes	BUY	54	41¢	$22	0x978b48…
11-03 02:02:40	Will the Republican Party win the FL-27 House seat?	Yes	SELL	40	58¢	$23	0x786e06…
11-03 01:30:19	Will the Democratic Party win the CO-05 House seat?	Yes	BUY	7	44¢	$3	0xae5fca…
11-02 22:34:52	Will the Democrats win the Florida Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	12¢	$24	0x38c8f0…
11-02 18:12:52	Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	36	75¢	$27	0x86f353…
11-02 18:11:52	Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	94	75¢	$71	0xb2563c…
11-02 02:06:13	Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	145	28¢	$41	0x3ac6f7…
11-02 02:02:49	Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	55	28¢	$15	0xdbf0ca…
11-01 23:26:40	Thunder vs. Cavaliers	Thunder	BUY	20	37¢	$7	0x04b79d…
11-01 23:26:12	Nets vs. Pacers	Pacers	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x280b54…
11-01 14:22:52	Will Trump say "Ass" during his Midterm Rally in Iowa?	Yes	BUY	36	55¢	$20	0xf73b8f…
11-01 13:35:30	Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	198	35¢	$69	0x4408d8…
11-01 12:10:03	Will the Democratic Party win the VA-01 House seat?	Yes	BUY	31	65¢	$20	0xccbac4…
10-31 18:36:03	Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	27¢	$54	0xc71974…
10-31 11:12:55	Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	50	73¢	$36	0xe68656…
10-30 23:01:49	Will Trump say "Ass" during his Midterm Rally in Florida?	Yes	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0xefa4b7…
10-30 23:01:22	Will Trump say "Hell" 15+ times during his Midterm Rally in Florida?	Yes	BUY	24	42¢	$10	0x57c353…
10-30 22:49:16	Will Team Liquid Make the Worlds 2026 Grand Final?	Yes	BUY	82	0¢	$0	0x18d1a6…
10-30 22:49:15	Will Team Liquid Make the Worlds 2026 Grand Final?	Yes	BUY	810	0¢	$4	0x04f52b…
10-30 22:47:58	Will Team Liquid Make the Worlds 2026 Grand Final?	Yes	BUY	108	1¢	$1	0x03c620…
10-30 21:02:03	Will Team Liquid Reach the Worlds 2026 Knockout Stage?	Yes	BUY	100	16¢	$16	0x69844a…
10-30 11:31:28	Will the Democratic Party win the MO-02 House seat?	Yes	BUY	100	36¢	$36	0x458028…
10-30 01:45:24	Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	141	71¢	$100	0xbe18dd…
10-30 01:45:15	Will the Democratic Party win the FL-22 House seat?	Yes	BUY	139	72¢	$100	0x48de71…
10-29 22:28:12	Will Trump say "Transgender" 7+ times during his Midterm Rally in South Carolina?	Yes	SELL	154	2¢	$2	0x189024…
10-29 21:29:06	LoL: Karmine Corp vs CTBC Flying Oyster - Game 2 Winner	Karmine Corp	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0x276247…
10-29 21:28:42	LoL: Karmine Corp vs CTBC Flying Oyster - Game 2 Winner	Karmine Corp	BUY	38	53¢	$20	0xfc25a7…
10-29 16:28:29	Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	204	49¢	$100	0xbb88ee…
10-29 16:02:26	Will Trump say "Transgender" 7+ times during his Midterm Rally in South Carolina?	Yes	BUY	154	65¢	$100	0x82fe28…
10-29 12:01:32	Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?	No	BUY	100	37¢	$37	0x231aec…
10-29 01:46:55	Will the Republican Party win the MT-01 House seat?	No	BUY	417	48¢	$200	0x843e4e…
10-29 01:05:59	Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	39¢	$39	0xf297eb…
10-28 23:47:07	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	100	53¢	$53	0x8cf124…
10-28 22:46:16	Will the Democratic Party win the MO-02 House seat?	Yes	BUY	100	37¢	$37	0x8f485d…
10-28 19:23:26	Will Warsh say "Inflation" 20+ times during October Press Conference?	Yes	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0x81e013…
10-28 19:23:13	Will Warsh say "Inflation" 20+ times during October Press Conference?	Yes	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0xd24912…
10-28 18:55:58	Will Warsh say "Good Afternoon" during October Press Conference?	Yes	BUY	73	1¢	$1	0x0f7e25…
10-28 17:57:41	Will Warsh say "Good Day" during October Press Conference?	No	BUY	61	5¢	$3	0xfa0fd8…
10-28 15:14:34	Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	13¢	$13	0x1532d0…
10-28 03:25:36	Will Trump say "Two Percent" during his Midterm Rally in Lubbock, Texas?	Yes	SELL	210	91¢	$191	0xdd287f…
10-28 01:28:12	Will Trump say "Two Percent" during his Midterm Rally in Lubbock, Texas?	Yes	BUY	200	22¢	$44	0x6332b2…
10-28 01:17:36	Will Trump say "Two Percent" during his Midterm Rally in Lubbock, Texas?	Yes	BUY	10	22¢	$2	0xf89edd…
10-28 00:01:26	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	SELL	20	94¢	$19	0x142f5f…
10-27 23:23:11	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	100	59¢	$59	0x2ca3b5…
10-27 20:14:21	Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	97	20¢	$19	0xcead82…
10-27 19:14:29	Israel Election: Any Coalition Wins a Majority?	Yes	SELL	120	13¢	$16	0x598712…
10-27 16:31:05	Israel Election: Any Coalition Wins a Majority?	Yes	BUY	120	13¢	$16	0x64e5e6…
10-27 16:15:57	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	200	6¢	$12	0x858bd8…
10-27 15:31:21	Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	50	78¢	$39	0xf2e1de…
10-27 14:24:30	Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	20¢	$20	0xc2a832…
10-27 13:18:38	Will the Democratic Party win the MT-01 House seat?	Yes	BUY	43	47¢	$20	0x1f57f2…
10-27 12:18:12	Will the Republican Party win the MI-04 House seat?	No	BUY	50	58¢	$29	0x7cdf3b…
10-27 03:32:02	Will the Democratic Party win the MT-01 House seat?	Yes	BUY	49	45¢	$22	0xc62187…
10-26 23:21:15	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Yes	BUY	200	65¢	$130	0xa374a6…
10-26 21:45:17	Will the Republican Party win the FL-27 House seat?	Yes	BUY	40	65¢	$26	0xb08633…
10-26 15:46:51	Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	44	18¢	$8	0x257ca6…
10-26 15:43:48	Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	106	18¢	$19	0x294766…
10-26 14:04:24	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	200	6¢	$12	0x9c5f1c…
10-26 12:09:53	Will the Democratic Party win the SC-01 House seat?	Yes	BUY	100	42¢	$42	0xc2cd9d…
10-25 09:58:36	Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amapá?	Yes	BUY	20	35¢	$7	0x5b178d…
10-25 00:35:56	Will Trump say "Border" 22+ times during his Midterm Rally in Georgia?	Yes	BUY	58	45¢	$26	0xc8939c…
10-25 00:22:26	LoL: Team Liquid vs Bilibili Gaming (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Team Liquid	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0xb9561d…
10-24 22:53:18	Will Trump say "Hell" 15+ times during his Midterm Rally in Georgia?	Yes	BUY	10	53¢	$5	0xb738c3…
10-24 22:53:00	Will Trump say "Hell" 15+ times during his Midterm Rally in Georgia?	Yes	BUY	10	53¢	$5	0xfbb50a…
10-24 22:48:59	LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	T1	BUY	20	57¢	$11	0xc2c2ba…
10-24 16:30:44	Will T1 be number 1 on the end of year Global Power Rankings?	Yes	SELL	138	13¢	$18	0xf3e08d…