Nimble-Barrage — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$0

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

55.0%

Resolved

Trades

8,342

lifetime

Volume

$1.64K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-02-18

last 07-04 18:01

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 7 days

Categories

Crypto

71% 70% +$0

Other

15% 0% $-0

Politics

14% 0% $-0

Tech

0% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

24 active days in 12wk • peak 63 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	No		-2	$-1	46¢	$-1	+$0	06-20 12:23

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 15m 1771461900	53	$47	51	50	+1	open	—	02-19 00:51
btc updown 15m 1771462800	34	$39	49	38	+12	open	—	02-19 01:07
will bitcoin reach 85k in march 2026	22	$9	5	5	+0	open	—	03-23 11:55
ethereum up or down february 23 8pm et	12	$5	4	4	+0	open	—	02-24 01:15
xrp up or down february 19 7pm et	12	$5	3	3	+0	open	—	02-20 00:26
will the dhs shutdown last 30 days or more 945 663	13	$5	3	3	+0	open	—	03-12 19:21
xrp up or down march 5 7pm et	7	$5	4	4	+0	open	—	03-06 00:19
bitcoin up or down march 3 7pm et	46	$5	4	4	+0	open	—	03-04 00:53
bitcoin up or down march 30 2026 2am et	71	$5	4	3	+0	open	—	03-30 06:47
bitcoin up or down april 1 2026 4am et	30	$5	9	5	+4	open	—	04-01 08:59
solana up or down march 29 2026 7pm et	11	$5	4	3	+0	open	—	03-29 23:50
will bitcoin reach 80k in march 2026	3	$5	3	3	+0	open	—	03-22 17:42
xrp up or down february 26 7pm et	32	$5	4	4	+0	open	—	02-27 00:57
xrp up or down march 6 7pm et	21	$5	3	3	+0	open	—	03-07 00:45
ethereum up or down february 27 7pm et	49	$5	4	4	+0	open	—	02-28 00:55
will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day in march	30	$5	3	3	+0	open	—	03-27 08:13
bitcoin up or down april 4 2026 10am et	25	$5	4	3	+0	open	—	04-04 14:53
bitcoin up or down april 5 2026 8am et	39	$5	4	3	+0	open	—	04-05 12:35
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	11	$5	3	3	+0	open	—	03-18 17:18
solana up or down april 9 2026 3pm et	26	$5	3	3	+0	open	—	04-09 19:57
bitcoin up or down april 2 2026 2am et	34	$5	4	3	+0	open	—	04-02 06:57
ethereum up or down february 20 7pm et	3	$5	3	2	+1	open	—	02-21 00:45
xrp up or down march 1 7pm et	18	$5	4	4	+0	open	—	03-02 00:46
bitcoin up or down march 30 2026 10pm et	43	$5	4	3	+1	open	—	03-31 03:00
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by June 30?	12	$5	3	3	+0	open	—	04-03 16:37
ethereum up or down february 19 7pm et	11	$5	3	3	+0	open	—	02-20 00:34
will gold gc hit high 5600 by end of march	3	$5	3	3	+0	open	—	03-12 12:33
bitcoin up or down april 1 2026 10pm et	16	$5	4	3	+1	open	—	04-02 02:32
bitcoin up or down february 22 7pm et	17	$5	4	4	+0	open	—	02-23 00:30
ethereum up or down march 4 7pm et	33	$5	4	4	+0	open	—	03-05 00:58

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-04 18:01:59	bitcoin up or down july 4 2026 2pm et	Down	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xd54ba6…
07-03 15:57:13	bitcoin up or down july 3 2026 11am et	Down	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x15e636…
07-03 15:16:58	bitcoin up or down july 3 2026 11am et	Down	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x01ead3…
07-03 14:08:29	ethereum up or down july 3 2026 10am et	Down	BUY	2	70¢	$1	0xa454dc…
07-03 14:03:26	bitcoin up or down july 3 2026 10am et	Down	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x3d7551…
07-03 14:00:47	solana up or down july 3 2026 10am et	Down	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x6cf740…
07-03 14:00:35	bitcoin up or down july 3 2026 10am et	Down	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x902824…
07-03 12:09:41	Will a Chinese AI model become #1 by June 30?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x885983…
07-03 11:07:34	ethereum up or down july 3 2026 7am et	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x04d19f…
07-03 11:04:53	bitcoin up or down july 3 2026 7am et	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xd624ae…
07-03 09:37:31	bitcoin up or down july 3 2026 5am et	Down	SELL	0	56¢	$0	0x33f9d6…
07-03 09:37:16	bitcoin up or down july 3 2026 5am et	Down	SELL	0	57¢	$0	0x29ebe0…
07-03 09:37:13	bitcoin up or down july 3 2026 5am et	Down	SELL	0	56¢	$0	0x170b95…
07-03 09:06:02	ethereum up or down july 3 2026 5am et	Up	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x9538e7…
07-03 09:01:40	bitcoin up or down july 3 2026 5am et	Down	SELL	0	53¢	$0	0xfb2bd7…
07-03 09:00:34	bitcoin up or down july 3 2026 5am et	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xd1b7e9…
07-03 09:00:26	bitcoin up or down july 3 2026 5am et	Down	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xd3903e…
07-03 07:04:32	will bitcoin reach 72pt5k in july 2026	No	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xf49923…
07-02 10:16:35	ethereum up or down july 2 2026 6am et	Up	BUY	2	72¢	$1	0x2f2f89…
07-02 10:16:35	ethereum up or down july 2 2026 6am et	Up	BUY	2	72¢	$1	0x0d9751…
07-02 10:02:05	bitcoin up or down july 2 2026 6am et	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x2e9ced…
07-02 10:01:01	bitcoin up or down july 2 2026 6am et	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xe159c8…
07-02 07:57:25	ethereum up or down july 2 2026 3am et	Down	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0xb45058…
07-02 07:52:44	solana up or down july 2 2026 3am et	Up	SELL	0	91¢	$0	0xdf77f6…
07-02 07:49:13	ethereum up or down july 2 2026 3am et	Down	SELL	0	93¢	$0	0x00b330…
07-02 07:49:10	ethereum up or down july 2 2026 3am et	Down	SELL	0	94¢	$0	0x868e1d…
07-02 07:47:40	ethereum up or down july 2 2026 3am et	Down	SELL	0	78¢	$0	0x6e490a…
07-02 07:47:19	solana up or down july 2 2026 3am et	Up	SELL	0	63¢	$0	0xf758c3…
07-02 07:43:53	solana up or down july 2 2026 3am et	Up	SELL	0	54¢	$0	0x063e33…
07-02 07:39:35	solana up or down july 2 2026 3am et	Down	SELL	0	56¢	$0	0x6cccef…
07-02 07:39:35	solana up or down july 2 2026 3am et	Down	SELL	0	56¢	$0	0x576cbf…
07-02 07:35:11	solana up or down july 2 2026 3am et	Down	SELL	0	67¢	$0	0xb0d302…
07-02 07:35:07	solana up or down july 2 2026 3am et	Down	SELL	0	67¢	$0	0xce92b4…
07-02 07:33:16	solana up or down july 2 2026 3am et	Up	SELL	0	22¢	$0	0x21a8e2…
07-02 07:33:11	bitcoin up or down july 2 2026 3am et	Up	SELL	0	20¢	$0	0xa9fb8f…
07-02 07:32:40	solana up or down july 2 2026 3am et	Down	SELL	0	73¢	$0	0x253e94…
07-02 07:32:40	solana up or down july 2 2026 3am et	Down	SELL	0	73¢	$0	0x1270bd…
07-02 07:30:38	ethereum up or down july 2 2026 3am et	Down	SELL	0	74¢	$0	0xf8b882…
07-02 07:30:35	solana up or down july 2 2026 3am et	Down	SELL	0	70¢	$0	0x60de1f…
07-02 07:20:31	solana up or down july 2 2026 3am et	Down	SELL	0	66¢	$0	0x87dd44…
07-02 07:20:22	solana up or down july 2 2026 3am et	Down	SELL	0	66¢	$0	0xeaae93…
07-02 07:17:29	ethereum up or down july 2 2026 3am et	Down	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xecc854…
07-02 07:14:07	ethereum up or down july 2 2026 3am et	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xa49315…
07-02 07:05:32	solana up or down july 2 2026 3am et	Down	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xd139de…
07-02 07:02:29	solana up or down july 2 2026 3am et	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xa5ee1d…
07-02 07:01:38	bitcoin up or down july 2 2026 3am et	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xc0c31a…
07-02 07:01:20	bitcoin up or down july 2 2026 3am et	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xfb83ce…
07-01 16:53:29	ethereum up or down july 1 2026 12pm et	Down	SELL	0	97¢	$0	0x291fa1…
07-01 16:51:35	ethereum up or down july 1 2026 12pm et	Down	SELL	0	89¢	$0	0xadf5ea…
07-01 16:16:16	bitcoin up or down july 1 2026 12pm et	Down	SELL	2	58¢	$1	0x34dadf…
07-01 16:01:40	ethereum up or down july 1 2026 12pm et	Down	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x094e15…
07-01 16:01:14	bitcoin up or down july 1 2026 12pm et	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xd2c134…
07-01 15:30:47	solana up or down july 1 2026 11am et	Up	SELL	0	86¢	$0	0xb91a00…
07-01 15:23:11	solana up or down july 1 2026 11am et	Up	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x50c473…
07-01 15:23:10	solana up or down july 1 2026 11am et	Up	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x8a5bd7…
07-01 14:13:37	bitcoin up or down july 1 2026 10am et	Up	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x9fcb78…
07-01 14:13:37	bitcoin up or down july 1 2026 10am et	Up	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x83b8fb…
07-01 14:13:05	ethereum up or down july 1 2026 10am et	Up	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x1aa4d2…
07-01 13:02:10	bitcoin up or down july 1 2026 9am et	Up	BUY	2	68¢	$1	0xbcd458…
07-01 13:00:43	bitcoin up or down july 1 2026 9am et	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x7d12c2…
06-20 15:01:49	ethereum up or down june 20 2026 11am et	Down	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x6d4552…
06-20 15:01:10	bitcoin up or down june 20 2026 11am et	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xdff26e…
06-20 12:23:55	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	No	SELL	2	64¢	$1	0x1dd46f…
05-26 13:38:49	Solana Up or Down - May 26, 9AM ET	Down	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x713466…
05-26 13:31:17	Solana Up or Down - May 26, 9AM ET	Down	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x735eab…
05-19 17:31:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1PM ET	Up	SELL	0	37¢	$0	0xb5c564…
05-19 17:27:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1PM ET	Up	SELL	0	55¢	$0	0x589bfd…
05-19 17:20:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1PM ET	Up	SELL	0	73¢	$0	0x9606fd…
05-19 17:04:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1PM ET	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x0fd466…
05-19 17:04:26	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 1PM ET	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x79f9d7…
05-19 14:07:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x166e12…
05-14 13:33:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x589337…
05-13 19:42:16	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 3PM ET	Down	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0xf403b1…
05-13 16:33:23	Solana Up or Down - May 13, 12PM ET	Up	SELL	0	95¢	$0	0x00e7d1…
05-13 16:30:07	Solana Up or Down - May 13, 12PM ET	Up	SELL	0	90¢	$0	0xeb8d23…
05-13 16:28:56	Solana Up or Down - May 13, 12PM ET	Up	SELL	0	88¢	$0	0x9ffb1f…
05-13 16:27:53	Solana Up or Down - May 13, 12PM ET	Up	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x6997fe…
05-11 13:37:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9AM ET	Down	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0xad611c…
05-11 13:37:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9AM ET	Down	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x2c202f…
05-10 11:10:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 7AM ET	Down	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x351aff…
05-10 11:02:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7AM ET	Up	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x0d35de…
05-10 11:02:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7AM ET	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xa5ec2d…
05-10 11:02:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 7AM ET	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x269ead…
05-10 08:09:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4AM ET	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x1f5a52…
05-10 08:08:37	Solana Up or Down - May 10, 4AM ET	Up	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0xa91c80…
05-10 08:08:21	Solana Up or Down - May 10, 4AM ET	Up	BUY	2	73¢	$1	0xa1a0e1…
05-10 08:03:44	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 4AM ET	Down	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xdf0d71…
05-10 08:02:57	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 4AM ET	Down	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xc70cc3…
05-10 08:02:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4AM ET	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x808aca…
05-09 11:02:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7AM ET	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x01fad3…
05-09 11:02:48	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 7AM ET	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x69892b…
05-09 10:49:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6AM ET	Up	BUY	2	72¢	$1	0x52ee34…
05-09 10:49:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6AM ET	Up	BUY	2	72¢	$1	0x6c5253…
05-09 10:46:42	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 6AM ET	Up	BUY	2	69¢	$1	0x6ea18c…
05-09 10:46:16	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 6AM ET	Up	BUY	2	67¢	$1	0x9c5c5b…
05-09 09:11:13	Solana Up or Down - May 9, 5AM ET	Down	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xc70c11…
05-09 09:11:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5AM ET	Down	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xb60e7a…
05-09 09:10:50	Solana Up or Down - May 9, 5AM ET	Down	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x95cb63…
05-09 09:10:50	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 5AM ET	Down	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x57c417…
05-08 13:49:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9AM ET	Down	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0x554e60…