Awful-Sweatsuit — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$264

Unrealized P&L

+$114

Hit rate

73.3%

Resolved

Trades

421

lifetime

Volume

$138.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$329

Open exposure

$1.82K

3 positions

First seen

2026-03-06

last 06-08 08:39

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

95% 50% +$264

Other

5% — —

Sports

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

58 active days in 12wk • peak 58 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Marco Rubio attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?	No	+1,106	$1,000	91¢	$1.0K	+$12	06-03 19:26
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	+963	$692	82¢	$790	+$98	06-01 17:44
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	+106	$10	14¢	$14	+$4	06-08 08:39

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will iran strike israel on march 10	11	$34.6K	26,447	26,447	+0	open	—	03-14 11:07
will iran conduct a military action against israel on march 19 2026 486	40	$14.8K	17,300	9,513	+7,788	open	—	03-22 15:19
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	49	$8.8K	14,001	12,424	+1,577	open	—	04-08 20:46
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	5	$8.6K	4,757	4,757	+0	open	—	05-28 14:35
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 9 795	3	$6.6K	4,387	4,387	+0	open	—	03-08 21:19
will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	16	$5.7K	7,760	908	+6,853	open	—	04-21 22:47
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 8 163	2	$5.2K	4,667	4,667	+0	open	—	03-08 21:19
will trump talk to mark rutte in march 855	18	$5.0K	5,508	2,877	+2,631	open	—	04-02 14:13
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	4	$4.3K	3,962	1,351	+2,611	open	—	05-28 21:30
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	1	$2.5K	2,907	0	+2,907	open	—	06-01 19:54
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?	7	$2.2K	1,251	1,251	+0	open	—	05-25 20:07
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?	6	$2.1K	1,201	1,201	+0	open	—	04-30 15:59
will israel or the us target isfahan nuclear technology center nuclear facility	15	$2.1K	1,887	1,193	+694	open	—	04-01 22:04
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?	7	$1.9K	1,796	1,796	+0	open	—	04-08 20:45
will qatar strike iran by march 31	8	$1.4K	8,897	8,838	+58	open	—	03-29 06:22
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	3	$1.4K	1,075	470	+605	open	—	05-06 21:41
us x iran ceasefire by april 30	4	$1.3K	755	754	+0	open	—	04-07 23:31
will iran strike ruwais refinery by march 31	8	$1.3K	2,029	0	+2,029	open	—	03-13 17:31
us strikes iraq by march 7	5	$1.2K	956	956	+0	open	—	03-08 19:55
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?	10	$1.2K	2,190	2,190	+0	open	—	05-28 21:32
will iran successfully target shipping on march 19 2026 397	13	$1.2K	3,185	155	+3,030	open	—	03-20 18:33
will iran conduct a military action against israel on march 20 2026 353	4	$1.0K	4,165	0	+4,165	open	—	03-21 20:35
Will Marco Rubio attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?	1	$1000	1,106	0	+1,106	open	—	06-03 19:26
will israel take military action in lebanon on march 20 2026	7	$1000	3,213	0	+3,213	open	—	03-25 20:16
iran confirmed not to participate in 2026 fifa world cup by march 31	6	$984	2,200	2,200	+0	open	—	03-30 19:46
will israel launch a major ground offensive in gaza by march 31	3	$969	7,657	7,581	+77	open	—	03-19 09:00
us x iran ceasefire by april 15	6	$922	744	744	+0	open	—	04-07 23:05
will the us invade iran by march 31	2	$853	2,698	2,698	+0	open	—	03-27 17:16
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?	2	$721	422	422	+0	open	—	04-30 16:03
Will Donald Trump have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	2	$700	771	0	+771	open	—	04-20 07:16

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-08 08:39:09	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	BUY	106	9¢	$10	0xbdf440…
06-03 19:26:39	Will Marco Rubio attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?	No	BUY	1,106	90¢	$1,000	0x944516…
06-02 20:30:08	Will Trump speak to Friedrich Merz in June?	No	BUY	111	9¢	$10	0xa53afd…
06-01 19:59:21	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?	No	BUY	909	66¢	$600	0xfe64ce…
06-01 19:54:07	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	No	BUY	2,907	86¢	$2,500	0x1f365a…
06-01 19:22:11	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?	Yes	SELL	465	5¢	$24	0x37bf51…
06-01 17:44:09	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	130	71¢	$92	0xbf0672…
05-31 21:38:51	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026?	Yes	SELL	335	22¢	$74	0xfc55e1…
05-31 11:59:08	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	278	72¢	$200	0x43e5b2…
05-31 11:58:59	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	278	72¢	$200	0x6a861c…
05-31 11:58:38	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	278	72¢	$200	0x38a8a0…
05-30 14:00:02	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	335	30¢	$100	0xa047bf…
05-29 06:53:13	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?	Yes	BUY	233	43¢	$100	0x51016d…
05-29 06:52:47	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29?	Yes	SELL	2,221	8¢	$178	0x8ea43a…
05-29 06:51:44	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?	Yes	BUY	233	43¢	$100	0x904d6c…
05-28 21:36:31	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 28?	Yes	SELL	4,641	2¢	$94	0xd94b34…
05-28 21:32:37	Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?	Yes	SELL	591	11¢	$62	0x64ce5f…
05-28 21:30:57	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	562	89¢	$500	0x4b7c32…
05-28 18:23:30	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	698	86¢	$600	0x49b720…
05-28 16:54:22	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 28?	Yes	BUY	769	13¢	$100	0xfff634…
05-28 16:49:19	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 28?	Yes	BUY	725	14¢	$100	0xecdeed…
05-28 16:48:32	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 28?	Yes	BUY	769	13¢	$100	0x42f59c…
05-28 16:48:05	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29?	Yes	BUY	478	21¢	$100	0xe9c0ba…
05-28 16:48:00	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 28?	Yes	BUY	782	13¢	$100	0x4918cb…
05-28 16:46:10	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 28?	Yes	BUY	774	13¢	$100	0x8d15dd…
05-28 16:45:56	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 28?	Yes	BUY	821	12¢	$100	0x533613…
05-28 16:44:06	Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?	Yes	BUY	591	17¢	$100	0x1b400b…
05-28 14:44:41	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29?	Yes	BUY	71	14¢	$10	0x7f4447…
05-28 14:39:33	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29?	Yes	BUY	560	18¢	$100	0x650599…
05-28 14:38:42	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29?	Yes	BUY	1,111	18¢	$200	0xd9e2a1…
05-28 14:37:13	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1,351	86¢	$1,162	0xe8313f…
05-28 14:35:37	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	3,568	93¢	$3,320	0x0fd7ed…
05-27 08:26:14	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1,189	90¢	$1,071	0xf3d6f2…
05-26 08:25:21	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2,703	74¢	$2,000	0x19b96c…
05-26 08:17:06	Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?	Yes	SELL	600	29¢	$176	0xb8b7fb…
05-26 08:16:08	Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?	Yes	SELL	600	31¢	$185	0x34a086…
05-26 07:59:48	Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?	Yes	SELL	400	32¢	$128	0x93046f…
05-25 20:07:18	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	SELL	975	85¢	$826	0xce0185…
05-25 20:05:24	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	SELL	10	87¢	$9	0x927fc2…
05-25 20:04:09	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	SELL	132	87¢	$115	0xb57b0c…
05-25 20:04:00	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	SELL	60	87¢	$52	0xb73014…
05-25 20:04:00	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	SELL	74	87¢	$64	0x4fb31f…
05-25 19:42:34	Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?	Yes	BUY	244	41¢	$100	0xbb2c16…
05-25 19:32:32	Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?	Yes	BUY	262	38¢	$100	0xb219dd…
05-25 19:31:34	Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?	Yes	BUY	542	37¢	$200	0xfa571f…
05-25 19:29:05	Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?	Yes	BUY	246	35¢	$85	0x4a1b21…
05-25 19:27:04	Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?	Yes	BUY	306	33¢	$100	0x136c3f…
05-25 09:45:05	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	4,507	89¢	$4,000	0x5be3de…
05-23 16:54:40	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	1,132	88¢	$1,000	0x2f6758…
05-23 16:28:53	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	Yes	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0x4aff3e…
05-22 15:15:57	Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 31?	No	BUY	127	79¢	$100	0xe4442b…
05-22 15:15:28	Will Jared Kushner have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 31?	No	BUY	128	78¢	$100	0x08be04…
05-17 17:55:37	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	222	19¢	$42	0x8019ae…
05-16 07:34:30	Will an Iranian agent be charged in the US by May 31?	Yes	BUY	155	65¢	$100	0x650ddc…
05-16 06:33:59	Will an Iranian agent be charged in the US by May 31?	Yes	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0x4755c7…
05-08 10:04:53	Will Pope Leo XIV publish his encyclical by May 15?	Yes	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0xde3e0d…
05-07 19:41:03	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	222	45¢	$100	0x8726c6…
05-07 19:40:12	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	119	84¢	$100	0xa5e422…
05-07 14:57:07	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	125	80¢	$100	0x7c2314…
05-07 14:56:12	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	125	80¢	$100	0xe2f475…
05-06 21:41:35	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	SELL	202	92¢	$185	0x0f6f9d…
05-06 21:40:53	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	SELL	269	92¢	$247	0x8c068c…
05-05 21:50:24	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	69	100¢	$69	0x9a4d9f…
05-05 21:40:18	Will Trump praise Allah again by May 31?	No	BUY	119	84¢	$100	0xa32f82…
05-05 18:06:50	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	1,075	93¢	$1,000	0xa30cdf…
05-04 19:44:42	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	No	SELL	123	69¢	$85	0x0d1a70…
05-03 21:23:30	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	253	79¢	$200	0x653544…
05-03 21:23:06	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	205	21¢	$43	0x5a70e0…
05-03 21:20:06	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	69	100¢	$69	0x9d5259…
05-02 06:11:40	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	No	BUY	123	81¢	$100	0x28d05b…
05-02 06:06:08	Will Trump praise Allah again by May 31?	No	BUY	119	84¢	$100	0xc3db95…
04-30 16:03:16	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	422	100¢	$421	0xff4da8…
04-30 15:59:52	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?	No	SELL	1,201	100¢	$1,199	0xa22733…
04-30 15:59:06	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	167	60¢	$100	0x2ac6d0…
04-30 15:57:36	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	167	60¢	$100	0x70f237…
04-30 15:48:44	Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by May 31?	Yes	BUY	91	11¢	$10	0x2fc5ca…
04-30 15:46:00	Will Jared Kushner have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	Yes	SELL	552	0¢	$1	0xae42b4…
04-29 18:39:52	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	245	45¢	$110	0xa2b9ef…
04-29 18:32:02	Will Steve Witkoff have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	Yes	SELL	947	0¢	$3	0x565818…
04-26 01:12:06	Will Iran strike Qatar by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	113	88¢	$100	0x9b2107…
04-25 17:05:38	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	246	41¢	$100	0x9a3be4…
04-25 17:04:02	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2027?	No	SELL	243	61¢	$148	0x163f9b…
04-25 16:56:38	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	205	49¢	$100	0xbb1adc…
04-25 16:01:42	Will Steve Witkoff have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	392	26¢	$100	0x4cbf0d…
04-25 15:55:46	Will Steve Witkoff have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	555	18¢	$100	0x22b489…
04-25 15:50:04	Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by May 31?	Yes	BUY	59	17¢	$10	0x77bc91…
04-25 15:34:36	Will Jared Kushner have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	277	36¢	$100	0x500933…
04-25 15:30:04	Will Jared Kushner have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	276	36¢	$100	0xff1e85…
04-23 19:13:32	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	123	81¢	$100	0x9acc81…
04-23 19:13:22	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	123	81¢	$100	0xe91e1c…
04-21 22:47:56	us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 21 2026	No	SELL	235	100¢	$234	0xfe3a21…
04-21 22:47:50	will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	Yes	BUY	476	21¢	$100	0x4f149d…
04-21 22:26:58	will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	Yes	SELL	808	24¢	$194	0x239424…
04-21 22:26:42	will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	No	BUY	1,310	76¢	$1,000	0xcf4b2f…
04-21 22:00:06	will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	No	BUY	149	67¢	$100	0xe17140…
04-21 21:03:08	will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	No	BUY	1,896	53¢	$1,000	0x0b288b…
04-21 21:01:28	will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	Yes	SELL	100	48¢	$48	0x49a8c8…
04-21 20:38:06	will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	Yes	BUY	204	49¢	$100	0xa94ded…
04-21 20:37:50	will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	Yes	BUY	208	48¢	$100	0xa5768f…
04-21 20:18:34	will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	Yes	BUY	241	83¢	$200	0x27a6a9…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595	101	$659.8K	47,468	06-10 01:28
Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418	96	$21.8M	37,485	06-10 01:28
Faraway-Seaside 0xf0b0…8cab	89	$364.4K	28,039	06-01 00:43
Fragrant-Dandelion 0x1408…b4f8	84	$61.5K	13,448	05-06 11:14
Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24	83	$62.7K	6,344	06-01 17:56
Improbable-Entry 0x7e80…631b	78	$88.8K	1,985	06-09 17:32
Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71	78	$13.1K	2,071	06-06 21:43
Pertinent-Vengeance 0x0275…b936	78	$2.28K	1,344	06-09 16:51