(anonymous) 0x819dfe…3507f1
whale hot 5W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L (30d)
+$91.5K
Unrealized P&L
+$10.4K
Hit rate
68.6%
Resolved (30d)
1,541
Trades (30d)
4,445
24,749 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$740.4K
$884.4K lifetime
Avg / trade
$36
Open exposure
$90.3K
30 positions
First seen
2026-08-31
last 10-30 16:10
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 53 days
Categories
Other
56% 53% +$12,911
Politics
18% 67% +$34,935
Sports
14% 62% +$52,698
Crypto
10% 42% -$1,320
Tech
2% 100% +$9,388
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
56 active days in 12wk • peak 2087 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? Yes +20,850 $13,541 98¢ $20.5K +$6,924 10-02 06:09
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +33,400 $25,784 59¢ $19.7K -$6,078 10-27 13:38
Another Fed rate hike in 2026? No +32,101 $7,017 26¢ $8.3K +$1,329 10-29 02:50
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +8,480 $5,855 93¢ $7.9K +$2,031 10-30 00:16
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +10,298 $3,930 58¢ $6.0K +$2,094 10-02 01:03
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 31, 2026? No +5,652 $3,441 98¢ $5.6K +$2,118 10-01 02:01
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? Yes +19,879 $3,777 24¢ $4.9K +$1,093 10-29 02:51
Will the total domestic gross for Resident Evil be between 150m and 160m by October 31? Yes +4,148 $3,028 98¢ $4.1K +$1,025 10-16 22:49
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28? Yes +2,867 $2,635 98¢ $2.8K +$189 10-29 23:02
Will Trump say "Two Percent" during his Midterm Rally in Lubbock, Texas? Yes +1,662 $1,575 100¢ $1.7K +$85 10-28 21:05
Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 70% or more? No +1,376 $393 96¢ $1.3K +$928 10-25 19:30
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31? No +1,327 $1,011 100¢ $1.3K +$309 10-08 03:27
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FURIA (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Playoffs MOUZ +4,177 $1,431 28¢ $1.2K -$261 10-30 16:10
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +3,860 $849 28¢ $1.1K +$212 10-29 02:50
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1480? No +1,305 $941 73¢ $953 +$12 10-14 04:55
Will there be a Hormuz agreement by October 23, oil below $80, and the Democrats win the Senate? No +500 $485 100¢ $499 +$14 10-12 19:35
Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Republicans win the Senate? No +500 $480 99¢ $494 +$14 10-11 18:11
US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? No +500 $338 74¢ $367 +$30 10-19 18:59
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1500? No +363 $261 82¢ $299 +$39 10-14 04:55
US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms? No +2,256 $644 12¢ $282 -$362 10-19 18:55
Will Badr bin Hamad Al Busaidi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? No +290 $232 76¢ $221 -$12 10-24 02:30
Will there be a Hormuz agreement by October 23, oil below $80, and the Republicans win the Senate? No +200 $194 100¢ $200 +$6 10-12 19:20
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? No +2,266 $393 7¢ $159 -$234 10-08 16:21
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4? No +918 $241 16¢ $151 -$90 10-30 03:08
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2? No +850 $187 12¢ $103 -$84 10-30 01:43
Will Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? No +150 $110 68¢ $103 -$7 10-23 11:46
Total Internet Blackout in Iran by December 31, 2026? No +97 $66 73¢ $71 +$4 10-24 11:57
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8? No +283 $122 24¢ $69 -$52 10-21 22:13
Will Majid Takht-Ravanchi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? No +50 $35 66¢ $33 -$2 10-24 03:08
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026? Yes +1,130 $886 2¢ $28 -$857 10-09 13:19