(anonymous) 0x819dfe…3507f1
whale hot 5W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L (90d)
+$107.9K
Unrealized P&L
+$11.4K
Hit rate
67.6%
Resolved (90d)
9,569
Trades (90d)
24,746
24,746 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$883.0K
$883.0K lifetime
Avg / trade
$36
Open exposure
$89.8K
30 positions
First seen
2026-08-31
last 10-30 04:15
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 53 days
Categories
Other
56% 53% +$12,911
Politics
18% 67% +$34,935
Sports
14% 61% +$51,939
Crypto
10% 42% -$1,320
Tech
2% 100% +$9,388
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
56 active days in 12wk • peak 2087 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? Yes +20,850 $13,541 98¢ $20.4K +$6,851 10-02 06:09
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +33,400 $25,784 60¢ $19.9K -$5,911 10-27 13:38
Another Fed rate hike in 2026? No +32,101 $7,017 27¢ $8.7K +$1,650 10-29 02:50
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +8,480 $5,855 90¢ $7.7K +$1,819 10-30 00:16
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +10,298 $3,930 58¢ $6.0K +$2,094 10-02 01:03
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 31, 2026? No +5,652 $3,441 98¢ $5.5K +$2,087 10-01 02:01
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? Yes +19,879 $3,777 26¢ $5.1K +$1,292 10-29 02:51
Will the total domestic gross for Resident Evil be between 150m and 160m by October 31? Yes +4,148 $3,028 98¢ $4.1K +$1,039 10-16 22:49
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28? Yes +2,867 $2,635 97¢ $2.8K +$146 10-29 23:02
Will Trump say "Two Percent" during his Midterm Rally in Lubbock, Texas? Yes +1,662 $1,575 100¢ $1.7K +$85 10-28 21:05
Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 70% or more? No +1,376 $393 97¢ $1.3K +$941 10-25 19:30
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31? No +1,327 $1,011 99¢ $1.3K +$302 10-08 03:27
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +3,860 $849 28¢ $1.1K +$232 10-29 02:50
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1480? No +1,305 $941 78¢ $1.0K +$81 10-14 04:55
Will there be a Hormuz agreement by October 23, oil below $80, and the Democrats win the Senate? No +500 $485 100¢ $499 +$14 10-12 19:35
Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Republicans win the Senate? No +500 $480 98¢ $491 +$11 10-11 18:11
US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms? No +2,256 $644 18¢ $395 -$249 10-19 18:55
US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? No +500 $338 77¢ $385 +$47 10-19 18:59
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1500? No +363 $261 82¢ $299 +$39 10-14 04:55
Will Badr bin Hamad Al Busaidi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? No +290 $232 77¢ $224 -$9 10-24 02:30
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? No +2,266 $393 10¢ $215 -$177 10-08 16:21
Will there be a Hormuz agreement by October 23, oil below $80, and the Republicans win the Senate? No +200 $194 100¢ $200 +$6 10-12 19:20
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4? No +918 $241 20¢ $179 -$62 10-30 03:08
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2? No +850 $187 13¢ $110 -$77 10-30 01:43
Will Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? No +150 $110 64¢ $96 -$14 10-23 11:46
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8? No +283 $122 26¢ $72 -$50 10-21 22:13
Total Internet Blackout in Iran by December 31, 2026? No +97 $66 72¢ $70 +$4 10-24 11:57
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026? Yes +1,130 $886 5¢ $59 -$826 10-09 13:19
Will Majid Takht-Ravanchi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? No +50 $35 68¢ $34 -$1 10-24 03:08
Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31? No +13 $11 98¢ $13 +$2 10-02 08:04