(anonymous) 0x819dfe…3507f1
whale hot 6W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$113.7K
Unrealized P&L
+$14.1K
Hit rate
68.2%
Resolved
9,573
Trades
24,762
lifetime
Volume
$922.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$37
Open exposure
$115.0K
30 positions
First seen
2026-08-31
last 10-31 05:08
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 53 days
Categories
Other
56% 53% +$18,030
Politics
19% 67% +$34,935
Sports
14% 62% +$52,698
Crypto
9% 42% -$1,320
Tech
2% 100% +$9,388
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
57 active days in 12wk • peak 2087 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? Yes +20,850 $13,541 99¢ $20.7K +$7,143 10-02 06:09
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +33,400 $25,784 57¢ $19.2K -$6,579 10-27 13:38
Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026? Yes +35,069 $12,257 38¢ $13.5K +$1,245 10-31 04:44
Another Fed rate hike in 2026? No +32,101 $7,017 29¢ $9.1K +$2,131 10-29 02:50
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +8,480 $5,855 97¢ $8.2K +$2,370 10-30 00:16
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026? No +8,014 $7,917 99¢ $7.9K +$24 10-31 05:08
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 31, 2026? No +5,652 $3,441 98¢ $5.6K +$2,121 10-01 02:01
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +10,298 $3,930 54¢ $5.5K +$1,579 10-02 01:03
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? Yes +19,879 $3,777 28¢ $5.5K +$1,690 10-29 02:51
Will the total domestic gross for Resident Evil be between 150m and 160m by October 31? Yes +5,467 $4,332 99¢ $5.4K +$1,086 10-31 04:09
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28? Yes +2,867 $2,635 100¢ $2.9K +$232 10-29 23:02
Will Vivek Ramaswamy pull the Amy Acton mother ad? Yes +3,216 $2,289 73¢ $2.3K +$53 10-31 04:46
Will Trump say "Two Percent" during his Midterm Rally in Lubbock, Texas? Yes +1,662 $1,575 100¢ $1.7K +$85 10-28 21:05
Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 70% or more? No +1,376 $393 97¢ $1.3K +$941 10-25 19:30
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31? No +1,327 $1,011 99¢ $1.3K +$302 10-08 03:27
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +3,860 $849 30¢ $1.1K +$289 10-29 02:50
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1480? No +1,305 $941 71¢ $921 -$20 10-14 04:55
Will there be a Hormuz agreement by October 23, oil below $80, and the Democrats win the Senate? No +500 $485 100¢ $499 +$14 10-12 19:35
Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Republicans win the Senate? No +500 $480 97¢ $486 +$6 10-11 18:11
US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? No +500 $338 73¢ $365 +$27 10-19 18:59
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1500? No +363 $261 82¢ $299 +$39 10-14 04:55
US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms? No +2,256 $644 10¢ $214 -$429 10-19 18:55
Will Badr bin Hamad Al Busaidi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? No +290 $232 73¢ $212 -$20 10-24 02:30
Will there be a Hormuz agreement by October 23, oil below $80, and the Republicans win the Senate? No +200 $194 100¢ $200 +$6 10-12 19:20
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4? No +918 $241 14¢ $124 -$117 10-30 03:08
Will Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? No +150 $110 64¢ $96 -$14 10-23 11:46
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by December 31? No +133 $81 62¢ $82 +$1 10-30 22:41
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8? No +283 $122 29¢ $81 -$41 10-21 22:13
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2? No +850 $187 8¢ $70 -$117 10-30 01:43
Total Internet Blackout in Iran by December 31, 2026? No +97 $66 72¢ $70 +$3 10-24 11:57