Realized P&L
+$6
Unrealized P&L
+$10
Hit rate
100.0%
Resolved
2
Trades
1,310
lifetime
Volume
$8.89K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$7
Open exposure
$238
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-12 01:12
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 2 days
Categories
Politics
48%
Other
38% 100% +$6
Sports
12% 100% +$0
Crypto
1%
Tech
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
33 active days in 12wk • peak 46 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June? Yes +50 $28 85¢ $42 +$14 06-05 21:01
Starmer out by June 30, 2026? No +30 $26 84¢ $25 $-1 06-05 16:02
Israel closes its airspace by June 30? No +20 $17 88¢ $18 +$1 06-01 13:18
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No +25 $15 62¢ $15 +$0 06-09 22:08
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +18 $11 56¢ $10 $-1 06-01 23:23
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June? Yes +20 $7 50¢ $10 +$3 06-05 20:39
NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026? No +10 $9 98¢ $10 +$0 05-30 15:32
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? No +17 $12 55¢ $10 $-2 06-01 22:29
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by June 30? No +10 $8 91¢ $9 +$1 06-02 02:00
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027? No +39 $13 24¢ $9 $-4 06-01 22:17
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No +10 $9 82¢ $8 $-1 06-07 19:19
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +10 $8 82¢ $8 +$0 05-31 06:05
Will Iran advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes +12 $7 62¢ $8 +$0 06-04 20:06
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +10 $8 70¢ $7 $-1 06-06 21:34
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No +6 $5 82¢ $5 +$0 06-01 12:08
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? No +5 $5 96¢ $5 +$0 05-31 05:26
Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No -54 $-5 $-5 +$1 06-07 14:03
Will Ecuador advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes +5 $4 88¢ $4 +$0 06-03 13:55
Starmer out by December 31, 2026? Yes +5 $4 82¢ $4 +$0 06-05 21:39
Will Pizza Hut be acquired before 2027? Yes +5 $4 82¢ $4 +$0 06-05 23:01
Will Ivory Coast advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes +5 $4 78¢ $4 +$0 06-05 01:28
Will New Zealand advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No +5 $3 68¢ $3 +$0 06-03 03:35
Will Uzbekistan advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No +5 $3 68¢ $3 +$0 06-04 07:45
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026? No +10 $4 34¢ $3 $-0 05-30 12:58
Will Algeria advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes +5 $3 66¢ $3 +$0 06-03 10:19
Will Paraguay advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No +5 $2 36¢ $2 +$0 06-03 02:03
Will Japan advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No +5 $1 20¢ $1 $-0 06-03 07:13
Will Waymo launch in Dallas by June 30 2026? Yes +3 $1 25¢ $1 $-0 06-09 20:50
Will South Korea advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No +5 $2 $0 $-1 06-03 14:22
Will Portugal advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No +5 $0 $0 $-0 06-03 04:59