Realized P&L
+$6
Unrealized P&L
+$2
Hit rate
100.0%
Resolved
2
Trades
1,366
lifetime
Volume
$9.21K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$7
Open exposure
$105
9 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-02 21:44
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 2 days
Categories
Politics
46%
Other
40% 100% +$6
Sports
12% 100% +$0
Crypto
1%
Tech
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
38 active days in 12wk • peak 46 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will there be at least 3000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? Yes +50 $38 72¢ $36 $-2 06-20 14:12
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No +25 $15 60¢ $15 $-0 06-09 22:08
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +18 $11 76¢ $14 +$3 06-01 23:23
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No +10 $9 100¢ $10 +$1 06-07 19:19
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +10 $8 86¢ $9 +$1 05-31 06:05
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +10 $8 74¢ $7 $-1 06-06 21:34
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No +6 $5 86¢ $5 +$0 06-01 12:08
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? No +5 $5 96¢ $5 +$0 05-31 05:26
China x Philippines military clash before 2027? No +5 $4 86¢ $4 +$0 06-20 11:08