Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$19

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

58.0%

Resolved

152

Trades

162

lifetime

Volume

$243

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-07-27

last 10-28 08:28

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 60 days

Categories

Other

80% 56% +$10

Politics

16% 67% +$10

Tech

2% 33% -$1

Crypto

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

64 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes		+1	$1	98¢	$1	+$0	10-25 22:57

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
trump x greenland deal signed by september 23	1	$2	3	+3	Yes	+$1	09-19 01:06
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $236 Week of September 7 2026?	1	$2	4	+4	No	+$2	09-08 00:02
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $765 Week of September 21 2026?	1	$2	3	+3	Yes	+$1	09-20 22:29
spx opens up or down on august 7 2026	1	$2	4	+4	Up	+$2	08-07 05:15
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $220 Week of September 21 2026?	1	$2	5	+5	No	-$2	09-21 23:35
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?	1	$2	7	+7	Yes	-$2	09-08 17:48
Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his remarks in North Carolina?	1	$2	7	+7	No	+$5	09-15 23:56
Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $180 Week of September 14 2026?	1	$2	3	+3	Yes	+$1	09-13 21:47
Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $502.50 Week of September 21 2026?	1	$2	5	+5	Yes	+$3	09-21 15:33
spx up or down on september 17 2026	1	$2	7	+7	Up	-$2	09-17 00:10
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $65 Week of September 14 2026?	1	$2	4	+4	Yes	+$2	09-14 22:28
will googl reach 360 by september 21 2026 from september 22	1	$2	4	+4	No	-$2	09-22 19:36
Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $168 Week of September 14 2026?	1	$2	6	+6	No	-$2	09-17 08:29
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $63 Week of September 21 2026?	1	$2	5	+5	No	-$2	09-23 11:38
will warsh say gas during september press conference 20260909	1	$2	4	+4	No	+$2	09-16 07:58
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 8?	1	$2	9	+9	Down	-$2	09-08 09:09
will tsla reach 382 50 by september 21 2026 from september 23	1	$2	9	+9	Yes	-$2	09-24 03:39
will xagusd reach 72 in august 2026	1	$2	4	+4	No	+$2	08-23 16:32
Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $64 Week of September 21 2026?	1	$2	3	+3	No	+$1	09-21 15:28
Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $64 Week of September 14 2026?	1	$2	6	+6	Yes	-$2	09-14 05:47
will trump say kamala during remarks in new york 20260811183234697	1	$2	5	+5	Yes	+$3	08-12 17:31
will warsh say anchor during september press conference 20260909	1	$2	3	+3	Yes	-$2	09-16 15:58
Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $172.50 Week of September 14 2026?	1	$2	7	+7	Yes	+$4	09-14 14:10
spy up or down on september 23 2026	1	$2	5	+5	Down	+$3	09-23 03:37
Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $179 Week of September 21 2026?	1	$2	5	+5	No	+$3	09-21 07:15
next mythos class model released by september 2 2026	1	$2	5	+5	Yes	-$2	09-01 05:09
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.00 in August?	1	$2	3	+3	No	+$1	08-30 00:29
us x iran effective ceasefire by september 7	1	$2	4	+4	Yes	+$2	09-03 10:46
israel closes its airspace by august 31 389	1	$2	3	+3	No	+$1	08-02 21:04
spx up or down on august 18 2026	1	$2	4	+4	Down	+$2	08-17 22:18

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 08:28:08	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 28?	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x6c7330…
10-28 00:04:02	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0xc1f6f5…
10-27 15:49:33	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $52 in October?	No	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x1083be…
10-27 07:49:09	Gemini Carbon released by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x9f710e…
10-26 23:48:24	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,100 in October?	No	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x618552…
10-25 22:57:53	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0xeed875…
10-25 14:49:12	Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 35M tonnes at end of October 2026?	No	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x3d343b…
10-25 06:35:03	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 29?	Yes	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x2587ab…
10-23 04:36:15	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 23?	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x07e20f…
10-22 20:31:47	Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by October 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xc175a8…
10-22 12:25:35	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	No	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x1db2b0…
10-21 21:20:39	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	Yes	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x060367…
10-21 12:54:44	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 21?	Up	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xe173e1…
10-21 04:34:39	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 26?	Yes	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x66bcb5…
10-20 20:22:20	Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $186 Week of October 19 2026?	No	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x491069…
10-20 12:11:23	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 20?	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x4bf7aa…
10-20 04:10:54	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 23?	Yes	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x4a2604…
10-19 20:10:20	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 25?	No	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xaf4add…
10-19 12:05:23	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $382.50 Week of October 19 2026?	No	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0xb60aea…
10-19 04:05:09	Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $198 Week of October 19 2026?	No	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x048102…
10-18 20:04:38	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0xdd07b1…
10-18 11:53:15	Will United Airlines (UAL) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x29e271…
10-18 01:58:41	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x18a656…
10-17 16:00:29	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 21, 2026?	No	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xccf417…
10-16 12:58:39	will wti dip to 95 by october 12 2026 from october 15	Yes	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x05a735…
10-16 12:41:43	spy up or down on october 16 2026	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x93b87c…
10-16 04:35:52	spx up or down on october 16 2026	Up	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xdeb80a…
10-15 19:04:23	Will the Tesla Roadster fly for 1s+?	No	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x0f6dd0…
10-15 10:48:34	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $770 on October 15?	Yes	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x99f7cc…
10-15 02:00:25	will the tesla roadsters 0 60 time be less than 1 second	No	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x21f944…
10-14 17:59:51	next fable model 5pt2 released by october 16 2026	No	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x62a962…
10-14 09:58:04	spx up or down on october 14 2026	Up	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x2baac1…
10-14 01:55:14	meta close above 750 on october 14 2026	No	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xbf847a…
10-13 16:01:36	xauusd up or down on october 13 2026	Up	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x2116fa…
10-13 07:04:41	spy up or down on october 13 2026	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xae1f12…
10-12 23:03:41	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $59 Week of October 12 2026?	No	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xdc42dc…
10-12 15:03:06	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $532.50 Week of October 12 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x1ca85b…
10-12 07:02:26	Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $102.50 Week of October 12 2026?	No	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0xc87c2c…
10-11 23:02:20	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $790 Week of October 12 2026?	No	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x333a2d…
10-11 22:52:18	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,100 Week of October 12 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xdf9fba…
10-11 14:28:06	Will Riyadh airport be closed by October 15?	Yes	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x15cb67…
10-11 04:33:32	Will Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) Q3 Innovative Medicine revenue be above $17.2B?	Yes	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xa2a86a…
10-10 19:24:31	Will Citigroup (C) Q3 provision for credit losses be above $2.6B?	No	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xef6a48…
10-10 09:40:33	Gemini Argon released by October 16, 2026?	No	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x97ab85…
10-09 15:24:51	Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x2979d6…
10-09 05:43:26	Gemini 4.0 released by October 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x426bfc…
10-08 21:41:41	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x70dd92…
10-08 13:40:39	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $775 on October 8?	Yes	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xe49646…
10-08 13:09:32	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $93 on October 8?	Yes	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xaac6be…
10-08 04:19:02	Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $112.50 Week of October 5 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x2c4b21…
10-08 04:17:05	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026?	No	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x9135cc…
10-07 18:01:21	Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $740 Week of October 5 2026?	No	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xc58c59…
10-07 09:55:12	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 10, 2026?	No	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x6695ac…
10-07 01:53:54	Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $76 Week of October 5 2026?	No	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xd940bc…
10-07 01:48:23	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $60 Week of October 5 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x26733f…
10-06 17:46:23	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 12, 2026?	No	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x54424b…
10-06 08:07:52	Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $194 Week of October 5 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x6e54be…
10-06 00:06:04	Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $1,020 Week of October 5 2026?	No	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xe9eb07…
10-05 15:35:46	Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $340 Week of October 5 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xa6ccc8…
10-04 23:07:17	will tsla dip to 360 by october 5 2026	No	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x4f431e…
10-02 09:29:54	Will the next Claude Haiku (4.6+) model be released by October 7, 2026?	No	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x71a6e1…
10-02 08:10:05	wti closes above 91 on october 2 2026	No	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0xe44047…
10-01 16:34:47	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $755 Week of September 28 2026?	No	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x45c9c2…
10-01 08:31:26	wti closes above 91 on october 1 2026	No	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x1b7a14…
09-30 23:01:56	spx up or down on october 1 2026	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xe2f97a…
09-30 10:53:38	wti closes above 92 on september 30 2026	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xae629e…
09-30 02:46:23	will googl reach 350 by september 28 2026	Yes	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xb75827…
09-30 02:39:59	will mu dip to 1050 by september 28 2026 from september 28	Yes	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0xa0f2d3…
09-30 02:20:09	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 30?	Up	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xc1c7e9…
09-30 02:19:41	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 30?	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xe172fe…
09-29 17:32:26	will tsla reach 367 50 by september 28 2026	Yes	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xe62476…
09-29 09:26:53	will msft reach 517 50 by september 28 2026	No	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x64fee6…
09-29 01:21:03	will meta dip to 680 by september 28 2026	No	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x7d8898…
09-28 15:37:38	will abnb dip to 154 by september 28 2026	Yes	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x10b1a1…
09-28 05:43:05	will spy reach 775 by september 28 2026	No	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xa711f7…
09-27 21:42:39	will xagusd dip to 62 by september 28 2026	Yes	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xcaa5a6…
09-27 13:31:21	will the 5 year treasury yield hit 5pt10 in september	Yes	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xa1be47…
09-27 01:53:32	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September?	No	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xfb2f27…
09-26 09:32:14	Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $344 in September?	No	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xea5044…
09-26 01:16:12	will pltr dip to 186 in september 2026	No	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x7a1591…
09-25 04:44:53	spy closes above 770 on september 25 2026	Yes	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xf0a4bd…
09-24 19:50:00	Trump renames AI by September 30?	No	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x0b9b03…
09-24 11:40:33	Will Trump say "Melania" during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival?	Yes	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xfd51b0…
09-24 03:39:46	will tsla reach 382 50 by september 21 2026 from september 23	No	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0x17c85c…
09-23 19:39:26	will msft reach 502 50 by september 21 2026 from september 23	Yes	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0x7563ee…
09-23 11:38:50	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $63 Week of September 21 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xd205d5…
09-23 03:37:23	spy up or down on september 23 2026	Down	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x4b8250…
09-22 19:36:21	will googl reach 360 by september 21 2026 from september 22	Yes	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0xb23b16…
09-21 23:35:12	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $220 Week of September 21 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xeec7d9…
09-21 15:33:50	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $502.50 Week of September 21 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x850b6e…
09-21 15:28:47	Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $64 Week of September 21 2026?	No	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0x7248d7…
09-21 07:15:02	Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $179 Week of September 21 2026?	No	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x39436d…
09-20 22:50:59	Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $130 Week of September 21 2026?	No	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0x77f0e3…
09-20 22:29:07	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $765 Week of September 21 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	80¢	$2	0xc8a171…
09-19 01:06:45	trump x greenland deal signed by september 23	Yes	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0x81feae…
09-17 18:00:58	Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $189 Week of September 14 2026?	No	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0x1ff541…
09-17 08:29:03	Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $168 Week of September 14 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0x3e6038…
09-17 00:10:28	spx up or down on september 17 2026	Down	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0x093107…
09-16 15:58:41	will warsh say anchor during september press conference 20260909	No	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0x6959b1…
09-16 07:58:03	will warsh say gas during september press conference 20260909	No	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0xd244b7…