Wild-Cleat — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$54

Unrealized P&L

+$8

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

151

Trades

190

lifetime

Volume

$5.88K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$31

Open exposure

$159

1 position

First seen

2026-01-06

last 10-28 18:21

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 47 days

Categories

Other

50% 100% +$30

Politics

27% 100% +$10

Crypto

16% 100% +$12

Tech

3% 100% +$0

Sports

3% 100% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

41 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No		+161	$151	99¢	$159	+$8	10-28 18:21

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	4	$455	315	155	+161	open	—	10-28 18:21
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?	2	$348	175	175	+0	No	+$2	09-08 01:21
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?	2	$314	157	157	+0	No	+$0	10-16 03:58
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?	3	$308	159	159	+0	No	+$0	08-26 16:43
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,700 in September?	2	$283	142	142	+0	No	+$0	09-29 18:00
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 15?	4	$268	141	141	+0	No	+$1	09-01 09:26
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?	1	$172	177	0	+177	Yes	+$4	10-02 03:32
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 15?	1	$172	172	0	+172	No	+$0	09-16 06:25
us x iran diplomatic meeting by march 31 2027 20260922	1	$170	172	0	+172	No	+$1	09-30 23:53
Aligned FDV above $20M one day after launch?	1	$161	162	0	+162	Yes	+$0	08-20 08:26
Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?	1	$160	161	0	+161	No	+$1	08-18 19:05
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 22 2026	1	$160	160	0	+160	No	+$0	08-22 08:20
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	1	$160	160	0	+160	No	+$0	08-16 00:44
squid fdv above 75m one day after launch 994	1	$158	158	0	+158	Yes	+$0	08-05 18:33
Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	1	$158	158	0	+158	No	+$0	08-05 10:49
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 11 2026	1	$157	158	0	+158	No	+$1	08-11 03:41
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 14 2026	1	$156	161	0	+161	No	+$4	08-12 22:44
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 9 2026	1	$156	157	0	+157	No	+$0	08-09 17:54
will gpt 6 be released by august 7 2026	1	$156	156	0	+156	No	+$0	08-06 11:22
Will Paraguay advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$153	154	0	+154	Yes	+$1	06-26 04:40
Cap FDV above $800M one day after launch?	1	$131	133	0	+133	No	+$1	06-27 04:52
Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in May?	1	$122	122	0	+122	No	+$0	05-31 22:19
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	1	$114	117	0	+117	Yes	+$3	05-28 16:01
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 20?	1	$109	110	0	+110	Yes	+$1	05-20 20:20
Solstice FDV above $100M one day after launch?	1	$107	115	0	+115	Yes	+$8	05-26 05:02
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 15?	2	$103	52	52	+0	No	+$1	10-13 18:43
Will Romania be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	1	$90	106	0	+106	Yes	+$16	05-15 19:31
GRVT FDV above $100M one day after launch?	1	$89	91	0	+91	Yes	+$2	07-30 13:53
Gemini 4.0 released by November 30, 2026?	2	$85	43	43	+0	Yes	+$0	10-13 06:45
Will Silver (SI) settle at <$50 in June?	1	$52	52	0	+52	No	+$0	06-29 16:57

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 18:21:58	Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	160	98¢	$157	0x0c14fd…
10-28 06:16:16	Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	155	98¢	$152	0xdbaf3c…
10-27 15:59:38	Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	150	94¢	$142	0x2e3818…
10-27 15:09:53	Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	4	95¢	$4	0x5db8c0…
10-27 12:58:42	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0x9e44f6…
10-17 20:02:11	Will Jumper's FDV be greater than $75M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x25003f…
10-16 03:58:01	US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?	No	SELL	157	100¢	$157	0x99da2a…
10-15 23:23:19	US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?	No	BUY	157	100¢	$157	0x074e7e…
10-15 09:03:52	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	12	17¢	$2	0xa65b84…
10-13 18:43:40	US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 15?	No	SELL	52	99¢	$52	0x70542f…
10-13 06:58:47	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in October?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x292176…
10-13 06:45:43	Gemini 4.0 released by November 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	43	99¢	$43	0xb1f01a…
10-11 19:00:58	US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 15?	No	BUY	52	98¢	$51	0xe506e2…
10-10 20:57:07	Will Jumper's FDV be greater than $75M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	21	89¢	$19	0x37ab0c…
10-10 20:57:06	Will Jumper's FDV be greater than $75M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	12	89¢	$11	0x89c5ce…
10-09 06:09:34	Gemini 4.0 released by November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	43	98¢	$42	0x726cf7…
10-08 17:17:21	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	12	14¢	$2	0x71b062…
10-06 10:01:49	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in October?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x64bd62…
10-05 18:25:46	Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x10d1f3…
10-05 00:06:29	Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xeeacb7…
10-02 03:32:11	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?	Yes	BUY	177	98¢	$172	0x0b267c…
09-30 23:53:56	us x iran diplomatic meeting by march 31 2027 20260922	No	BUY	172	99¢	$170	0xe418f0…
09-30 17:25:47	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x4f06b7…
09-30 01:48:21	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in September?	No	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0xc3713a…
09-29 18:00:03	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,700 in September?	No	SELL	142	100¢	$142	0xecce62…
09-28 13:28:24	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in September?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xbc954e…
09-27 17:51:44	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,700 in September?	No	BUY	142	100¢	$141	0xd4987d…
09-25 14:56:23	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in September?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x745795…
09-23 12:25:38	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xf5d2b0…
09-16 06:25:22	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 15?	No	BUY	172	100¢	$172	0xa01278…
09-11 09:06:42	Will Solana dip to $40 in September?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$2	0xe08ba9…
09-08 01:21:31	US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?	No	SELL	175	100¢	$175	0x426205…
09-04 01:38:18	US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?	No	BUY	175	99¢	$173	0xc7de42…
09-01 09:26:06	US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 15?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x9dd705…
09-01 08:37:51	US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 15?	No	SELL	40	96¢	$38	0x3feca1…
09-01 08:00:18	US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 15?	No	SELL	100	96¢	$96	0x98a405…
08-31 16:25:15	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in August?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xc19439…
08-31 16:24:04	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in August?	No	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0x64f853…
08-30 06:56:49	will bitcoin dip to 67pt5k in august 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x333375…
08-28 21:40:27	US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 15?	No	BUY	141	95¢	$134	0x2f4c07…
08-28 12:40:57	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in August?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x6430c5…
08-26 16:43:31	US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?	No	SELL	159	97¢	$154	0xcbaf99…
08-26 08:43:36	Will Bitcoin dip to $47,500 in August?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$1	0x2f3caf…
08-25 08:25:07	US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?	No	BUY	82	97¢	$79	0xa6f471…
08-25 07:51:31	Will Bitcoin dip to $47,500 in August?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xcfde0c…
08-24 14:23:10	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x6841e7…
08-24 03:09:27	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642 513 584 641 939 632 729	No	BUY	78	97¢	$75	0x23e08b…
08-22 08:20:04	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 22 2026	No	BUY	160	100¢	$160	0xba26cb…
08-21 06:51:37	will spy dip to 680 in august 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xfd0c24…
08-20 08:26:54	Aligned FDV above $20M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	162	100¢	$161	0xf196fb…
08-18 19:05:33	Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?	No	BUY	161	99¢	$160	0xcc4161…
08-16 00:44:39	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	No	BUY	160	100¢	$160	0x6f4bc8…
08-13 00:00:43	Will Microsoft be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xdbec21…
08-12 22:44:04	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 14 2026	No	BUY	161	97¢	$156	0xc48f14…
08-11 22:31:45	will bitcoin dip to 42pt5k in august 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xa947b4…
08-11 03:41:00	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 11 2026	No	BUY	158	99¢	$157	0xf54063…
08-09 17:54:24	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 9 2026	No	BUY	157	100¢	$156	0xb48613…
08-07 22:18:13	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 7 2026	No	BUY	2	100¢	$1	0x2ed23c…
08-06 11:22:33	will gpt 6 be released by august 7 2026	No	BUY	156	100¢	$156	0x47cb2e…
08-06 05:27:26	will bitcoin reach 85k in august 2026	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x8d021b…
08-05 18:33:38	squid fdv above 75m one day after launch 994	Yes	BUY	158	100¢	$158	0xdf128e…
08-05 10:49:45	Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	No	BUY	158	100¢	$158	0xa068a4…
08-05 06:58:39	will wti reach 150 in august 2026	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xb69f10…
07-31 12:32:00	will xagusd dip to 52 in july 2026	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x9dfbe0…
07-30 13:53:29	GRVT FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	91	98¢	$89	0x7f7dac…
07-28 05:32:22	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x0df518…
07-26 09:27:28	will spy reach 770 in july 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xd63659…
07-24 20:01:30	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xddbf7e…
07-24 15:09:27	will spy dip to 670 in july 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x233e9c…
07-24 13:15:25	will ethereum dip to 1200 in july 2026 853	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x67f83e…
07-23 03:36:16	will xagusd dip to 48 in july 2026	No	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x9fd9f1…
07-20 16:09:39	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x65562d…
07-20 14:39:36	will wti dip to 60 in july 2026 528	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x01f94b…
07-19 17:59:42	will wti dip to 50 in july 2026 844	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xec12d8…
07-17 04:48:24	Will Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xb760e1…
07-17 03:06:31	will ethereum dip to 1000 in july 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xd822f2…
07-16 18:53:40	will bitcoin dip to 37pt5k in july 2026 944	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x9d6a9f…
07-16 18:18:28	will xauusd dip to 3400 in july 2026	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x1ee8d4…
07-14 01:56:04	will xagusd dip to 46 in july 2026	No	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x5d7658…
07-06 06:09:49	Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x8e4131…
06-29 16:57:01	Will Silver (SI) settle at <$50 in June?	No	BUY	52	100¢	$52	0x9cad76…
06-29 06:55:14	Will OpenAI have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x30eec1…
06-29 04:33:43	Will Silver (SI) settle over $70 on the final trading day of June 2026?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x8c694f…
06-29 01:09:37	Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $45 by end of June?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x893a60…
06-28 17:02:26	Will Moonshot have the best Math AI model at the end of June 2026?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xb1ce88…
06-28 14:57:49	Will Silver (SI) settle over $75 on the final trading day of June 2026?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0xa9be4a…
06-27 18:44:16	Cap FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x01e48a…
06-27 04:52:50	Cap FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	BUY	133	99¢	$131	0x5515a8…
06-26 08:24:11	gpt 5pt6 released by june 26 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x790e61…
06-26 04:40:04	Will Paraguay advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	154	99¢	$153	0x3f057c…
06-26 04:18:38	Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x2e4b9d…
05-31 22:19:35	Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in May?	No	BUY	122	100¢	$122	0x863c3c…
05-30 13:53:16	Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in May?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x2c19c3…
05-29 09:48:29	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $240 in May?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xf6f52d…
05-28 16:01:52	Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	Yes	BUY	117	98¢	$114	0xa8a7ab…
05-26 05:02:18	Solstice FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	115	93¢	$107	0x531c3e…
05-25 21:28:23	Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in May?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xc8f259…
05-20 20:20:03	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 20?	Yes	BUY	110	99¢	$109	0xeee49d…
05-15 19:31:24	Will Romania be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	106	85¢	$90	0x1e61c4…
05-09 18:56:18	Will Alibaba have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xf4d8b8…