(anonymous) 0x822ccb…9fa06a
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Realized P&L
+$74
Unrealized P&L
-$1
Hit rate
80.6%
Resolved
618
Trades
766
lifetime
Volume
$7.89K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$10
Open exposure
$48
15 positions
First seen
2026-06-20
last 10-27 06:11
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 112 days
Categories
Other
89% 79% +$119
Sports
9% 73% -$25
Crypto
1% 50% -$35
Politics
1% 75% +$9
Tech
0% 100% +$5
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
48 active days in 12wk • peak 47 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +15 $11 90¢ $14 +$3 10-08 18:26
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +12 $10 82¢ $10 $0 08-31 18:33
US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027? Yes +10 $7 62¢ $6 -$1 10-05 15:47
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes +5 $5 97¢ $5 +$0 10-03 19:37
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? No +3 $3 99¢ $3 +$0 06-20 21:55
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes +5 $4 54¢ $3 -$1 09-03 15:46
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +1 $1 94¢ $1 +$0 10-08 18:25
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? No +1 $1 97¢ $1 +$0 10-08 18:25
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No +1 $1 98¢ $1 +$0 10-07 19:08
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +1 $1 86¢ $1 $0 10-08 18:25
Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2028? No +1 $1 81¢ $1 $0 10-03 19:38
Israeli airspace closed by December 31, 2026? No +1 $1 70¢ $1 $0 10-07 19:08
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by December 31, 2026? Yes +1 $1 78¢ $1 $0 10-05 15:48
Will Indiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2028? No +1 $1 66¢ $1 $0 10-03 19:37
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.4% before 2027? Yes +1 $1 23¢ $0 -$1 10-05 15:48