(anonymous) 0x82c74a…94f1f8 Create alert
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$846
Unrealized P&L
-$2.89K
Hit rate
63.8%
Resolved
65
Trades
482
lifetime
Volume
$10.8K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$22
Open exposure
$2.18K
13 positions
First seen
2026-06-20
last 11-09 12:51
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 20 days
Categories
Politics
53% 60% -$260
Other
39% 43% -$578
Crypto
7% — —
Sports
0% 50% +$6
Tech
0% 33% -$13
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
56 active days in 12wk • peak 23 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? Yes +50,506 $2,187 1¢ $631 -$1,555 11-09 12:51
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2027? Yes +7,881 $745 7¢ $552 -$193 11-07 17:11
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? Yes +25,000 $1,363 2¢ $387 -$975 11-05 03:06
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027? Yes +4,000 $453 8¢ $340 -$113 10-28 09:46
Will over 64 Senators vote for the Clarity Act? No +149 $138 93¢ $139 +$1 10-06 13:39
Will over 60 Senators vote for the Clarity Act? No +50 $46 96¢ $48 +$2 10-06 09:08
Abstract FDV above $3B one day after launch? No +30 $30 98¢ $29 $0 10-07 09:11
Will over 55 Senators vote for the Clarity Act? Yes +333 $23 6¢ $20 -$3 10-06 13:39
Trump out as President before 2027? Yes +600 $51 2¢ $13 -$37 07-27 16:07
Will the Fed Pause-Pause-Hike in the next three decisions (Oct-Dec-Jan)? No +10 $9 94¢ $9 +$1 11-04 03:49
russia coup attempt in 2026 Yes +200 $18 2¢ $4 -$14 07-27 10:49
Kraken IPO closing market cap above $16B? Yes +70 $3 2¢ $2 -$2 10-07 08:59
Abstract FDV above $200M one day after launch? Yes +30 $1 2¢ $1 -$1 10-07 09:11