Sniveling-Cooperation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$37

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

82.7%

Resolved

Trades

237

lifetime

Volume

$5.73K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$24

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-19

last 08-06 00:54

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Politics

62% 75% +$80

Other

36% 0% $-43

Crypto

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

25 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?	18	$316	400	400	-0	open	—	04-25 07:23
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	4	$279	200	200	+0	No	+$1	05-05 15:30
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	5	$242	500	500	+0	open	—	05-07 15:35
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?	11	$224	600	486	+114	open	—	05-04 11:43
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	4	$209	1,400	1,400	+0	No	+$39	05-04 14:17
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	6	$192	300	300	+0	open	—	04-26 18:55
Will Frenchie die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	3	$185	100	100	+0	open	—	05-14 10:54
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?	5	$179	214	214	+0	open	—	05-01 19:03
Will Hughie Campbell die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	2	$178	100	100	+0	open	—	05-18 22:57
Will Annie January (Starlight) die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	3	$174	100	100	+0	open	—	05-19 02:24
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	3	$170	1,000	1,000	+0	No	+$70	05-06 17:55
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?	3	$167	100	100	+0	open	—	04-30 07:17
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	4	$149	101	101	+0	open	—	04-20 17:19
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	4	$144	500	500	+0	open	—	04-21 14:13
Will Homelander die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	5	$142	100	100	+0	open	—	04-29 12:38
us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 21 2026	2	$135	100	100	+0	open	—	04-20 07:22
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in April?	7	$134	400	400	+0	open	—	04-21 20:06
israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	8	$124	200	200	+0	open	—	04-26 02:12
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	3	$104	108	108	+0	open	—	04-24 12:43
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	6	$99	255	255	+0	open	—	07-12 08:19
Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 22, 2026?	2	$96	100	100	+0	open	—	05-07 19:41
Trump re-sues WSJ by April 27?	9	$95	200	195	+5	open	—	04-26 20:08
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	8	$94	400	400	+0	open	—	04-24 13:02
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?	1	$92	0	100	-100	open	—	07-02 08:35
Will Trump visit Pakistan by May 31?	2	$87	300	300	+0	open	—	04-24 13:18
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?	1	$85	0	100	-100	open	—	07-15 14:17
Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	2	$85	100	100	+0	open	—	04-24 12:43
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	3	$83	300	300	+0	open	—	04-24 13:02
will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	3	$82	100	100	+0	open	—	04-20 20:40
us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	5	$78	200	200	+0	open	—	04-23 17:58

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-06 00:54:06	Will Xi Jinping purge Dong Jun in 2026?	Yes	BUY	301	6¢	$18	0x267336…
08-04 23:59:17	Will Xi Jinping purge Dong Jun in 2026?	Yes	BUY	16	6¢	$1	0xa51f80…
07-30 21:34:27	israel withdraws from lebanon by december 31 2026	Yes	BUY	108	10¢	$11	0xf0a5af…
07-30 21:22:45	israel withdraws from lebanon by december 31 2026	Yes	BUY	0	10¢	$0	0x126a5a…
07-30 17:22:41	israel withdraws from lebanon by december 31 2026	Yes	BUY	0	10¢	$0	0xa1735b…
07-29 19:10:47	Will Xi Jinping purge Dong Jun in 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	6¢	$1	0x9ad2f4…
07-27 10:26:46	israel withdraws from lebanon by december 31 2026	Yes	BUY	17	10¢	$2	0x1e5307…
07-27 01:22:57	israel withdraws from lebanon by december 31 2026	Yes	BUY	163	10¢	$16	0x8e137e…
07-26 19:02:12	israel withdraws from lebanon by december 31 2026	Yes	BUY	0	10¢	$0	0xfb28c6…
07-26 17:01:01	israel withdraws from lebanon by december 31 2026	Yes	BUY	0	10¢	$0	0x8e8193…
07-26 17:00:21	israel withdraws from lebanon by december 31 2026	Yes	BUY	0	10¢	$0	0x616049…
07-26 17:00:19	israel withdraws from lebanon by december 31 2026	Yes	BUY	1	10¢	$0	0xe264a4…
07-26 06:04:07	israel withdraws from lebanon by december 31 2026	Yes	BUY	11	10¢	$1	0x8ea65c…
07-24 19:04:52	Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?	Yes	BUY	167	12¢	$20	0x420f7d…
07-16 05:14:49	Will Xi Jinping purge Dong Jun in 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	6¢	$0	0x6353d5…
07-16 04:49:38	Will Xi Jinping purge Dong Jun in 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	6¢	$0	0x3b6f28…
07-16 03:55:59	Will Xi Jinping purge Dong Jun in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	6¢	$0	0x7f0118…
07-16 03:38:41	Will Xi Jinping purge Dong Jun in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	6¢	$0	0xcc0b4d…
07-15 14:17:53	Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	100	85¢	$85	0x59c962…
07-14 05:14:52	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	100	12¢	$12	0x83487f…
07-13 15:41:37	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	Yes	BUY	200	25¢	$50	0x97103d…
07-13 15:16:47	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	Yes	SELL	78	28¢	$22	0x69f478…
07-13 02:13:44	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	600	3¢	$18	0xb08cb3…
07-12 08:19:16	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	SELL	200	0¢	$1	0x0205fe…
07-10 16:12:53	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 17 2026 20260625223459704	Yes	SELL	150	28¢	$42	0x9992d8…
07-09 18:31:38	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 17 2026 20260625223459704	Yes	BUY	150	10¢	$15	0xc7ba66…
07-07 22:37:38	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586	Yes	SELL	78	27¢	$21	0xde8451…
07-02 17:51:56	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by august 31 223	Yes	BUY	80	25¢	$20	0xd6ecd0…
07-02 08:48:16	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	BUY	200	10¢	$20	0x0b3572…
07-02 08:35:35	Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?	No	SELL	100	92¢	$92	0xf2841a…
06-30 14:50:56	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846	Yes	BUY	57	13¢	$7	0x628630…
06-30 14:07:10	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846	Yes	BUY	45	13¢	$6	0xe1ae04…
06-30 14:04:35	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846	Yes	BUY	53	13¢	$7	0x7c9f2c…
06-29 16:57:37	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by july 31	Yes	BUY	400	5¢	$20	0xc594eb…
06-29 10:40:05	us iran final nuclear deal by july 31 2026 20260621201255151	Yes	BUY	660	3¢	$20	0x9737e0…
06-29 06:23:28	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	26	7¢	$2	0x76acaf…
06-29 06:15:47	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	100	7¢	$7	0x6fc3fd…
06-29 06:13:16	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	18	7¢	$1	0xf08abf…
06-29 06:08:55	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	147	7¢	$10	0xd7950b…
06-28 01:31:52	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	SELL	25	84¢	$21	0x438749…
06-27 21:07:50	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	SELL	30	77¢	$23	0x111847…
06-26 20:43:22	israel withdraws from lebanon by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	500	3¢	$15	0x494070…
06-25 11:44:07	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	25	58¢	$14	0xb7a607…
06-25 05:41:07	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	30	65¢	$20	0x6270de…
06-24 14:51:08	israel withdraws from lebanon by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	340	6¢	$20	0x4e9c14…
06-20 21:56:43	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 21 2026	No	BUY	200	5¢	$10	0x183452…
06-20 15:58:01	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	400	2¢	$9	0xb2895e…
05-24 04:40:23	Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by May 30?	Yes	SELL	200	1¢	$2	0x8d5a0e…
05-24 04:40:13	Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	6¢	$6	0x0a86ad…
05-22 12:53:23	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	SELL	50	79¢	$40	0x566bb2…
05-20 07:09:22	Will Billy Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	SELL	208	5¢	$10	0x04d6d4…
05-19 10:19:20	Will Billy Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	100	7¢	$7	0x32eaa7…
05-19 02:40:01	Will Billy Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	41	28¢	$12	0xe64701…
05-19 02:34:31	Will Billy Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	59	28¢	$16	0x22997d…
05-19 02:24:57	Will Annie January (Starlight) die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	SELL	6	96¢	$6	0x6e67c2…
05-19 02:24:25	Will Annie January (Starlight) die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	SELL	94	96¢	$90	0xd6235a…
05-18 22:57:45	Will Hughie Campbell die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	SELL	100	96¢	$96	0x16d00f…
05-18 16:55:52	Will Billy Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	8	40¢	$3	0x915926…
05-17 17:49:23	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	50	58¢	$29	0x10c98e…
05-14 10:54:31	Will Frenchie die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	SELL	100	99¢	$99	0x31b136…
05-11 03:22:56	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	BUY	500	1¢	$6	0xd58c27…
05-08 18:31:17	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	50	60¢	$30	0x62608e…
05-08 18:29:36	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	41¢	$20	0xddbcec…
05-08 18:27:58	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	40¢	$20	0xc8e9fb…
05-07 19:41:47	Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 22, 2026?	No	SELL	100	48¢	$48	0x93aa02…
05-07 15:35:12	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	250	30¢	$75	0x8e0a49…
05-06 17:55:48	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	Yes	SELL	500	5¢	$25	0x4a5db8…
05-06 10:00:16	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	54	39¢	$21	0x4e6c8d…
05-06 09:41:10	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	Yes	SELL	500	19¢	$95	0x58cef1…
05-06 09:07:16	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	39¢	$2	0xcde268…
05-06 09:06:54	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	191	39¢	$74	0x407eae…
05-06 05:29:40	Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	100	48¢	$48	0x9b7f80…
05-05 15:30:04	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	No	SELL	100	81¢	$81	0xd66f9d…
05-05 09:11:56	Will JD Vance say "Community" in Des Moines?	No	BUY	53	5¢	$3	0x51298a…
05-05 07:45:36	Will JD Vance say "Community" in Des Moines?	No	BUY	10	5¢	$0	0x7b0b9b…
05-05 07:34:18	Will Frenchie die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	BUY	98	86¢	$85	0x3652fe…
05-05 06:45:06	Will JD Vance say "Worker" in Des Moines?	No	BUY	2	5¢	$0	0x1523b1…
05-05 02:20:14	Will Frenchie die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	BUY	2	86¢	$1	0x964ac6…
05-04 17:30:48	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	BUY	200	24¢	$48	0xcd4fb9…
05-04 16:57:10	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	No	BUY	100	61¢	$61	0x54b224…
05-04 16:16:04	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	No	SELL	100	59¢	$59	0xa39881…
05-04 14:17:40	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,000	1¢	$8	0xac932f…
05-04 11:43:30	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?	No	SELL	42	28¢	$12	0x081514…
05-04 11:43:24	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?	No	SELL	27	28¢	$8	0x579610…
05-04 11:43:24	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?	No	SELL	27	28¢	$8	0x56cfd4…
05-04 11:43:22	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?	No	SELL	27	28¢	$8	0x09d189…
05-04 11:42:58	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	No	BUY	100	78¢	$78	0xbc8d74…
05-04 11:42:54	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?	No	SELL	27	28¢	$8	0x86a661…
05-04 11:37:30	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?	No	SELL	50	28¢	$14	0xd56436…
05-04 11:29:36	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?	No	BUY	200	15¢	$30	0x417a23…
05-04 11:20:52	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?	No	SELL	86	28¢	$24	0x85b5ec…
05-04 11:05:38	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?	No	BUY	200	15¢	$30	0x99ba68…
05-04 10:59:46	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?	No	SELL	200	27¢	$54	0x0f8eaa…
05-04 10:58:58	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?	No	BUY	200	15¢	$30	0xae85e5…
05-03 19:08:18	Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	195	5¢	$9	0x9e9acc…
05-03 19:07:54	Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0xa68a62…
05-03 16:20:08	Will Sam Altman testify against Musk?	No	BUY	200	8¢	$16	0x1b7fcb…
05-02 08:17:28	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	4¢	$37	0x5625aa…
05-02 02:23:02	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	5¢	$50	0x70ec03…
05-01 22:13:42	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	500	14¢	$70	0xdb46b2…