Well-Made-Convertible-Arrival — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$282

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

28.3%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$10.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$293

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-08

last 09-15 06:52

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 10 days

Categories

Other

55% 43% -$273

Politics

45% 20% -$9

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (12) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Italy send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	2	$944	493	493	+0	No	+$2	05-08 07:05
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in May 2026?	2	$914	468	468	+0	No	+$0	05-07 04:50
KRG declares independence from Iraq by December 31?	2	$882	470	470	+0	open	—	07-23 09:20
farsi island no longer under iranian control by august 31 20260720015111490	2	$875	465	465	+0	No	+$0	07-23 06:54
Will Iran target Jordan by August 31, 2026?	2	$865	460	460	+0	Yes	+$0	08-24 07:39
Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	3	$862	440	440	+0	No	+$0	04-24 10:06
Will Russia capture Havrylivka by December 31, 2026?	3	$860	465	465	+0	open	—	08-24 06:58
ukraine coup attempt by december 31	2	$803	425	425	+0	open	—	07-07 03:24
UAE x Saudi Arabia sever diplomatic relations in 2026?	2	$799	415	415	+0	open	—	07-07 02:15
Israel x Syria security agreement by June 30?	2	$608	315	315	+0	No	-$9	06-18 05:39
Spread: El Gouna SC (-1.5)	1	$473	493	0	+493	El Mokawloon El Arab SC	+$20	05-08 07:34
Spread: Tala'ea El Gaish SC (-2.5)	1	$456	470	0	+470	Ghazl El Mahalla SC	+$14	05-07 06:30
j2100 tsc van 2026 04 08 spread away 2pt5	1	$308	312	0	+312	Vanraure Hachinohe FC	-$308	04-08 08:00
will putin meet with zelenskyy by december 31 2026	2	$276	150	150	+0	open	—	08-30 02:32
Will Iran target Qatar by September 15, 2026?	2	$261	145	145	+0	No	+$0	08-30 03:13
Will India send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	5	$65	910	910	+0	No	-$1	04-23 07:27
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	1	$3	3	0	+3	Yes	+$0	09-15 06:52

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-15 06:52:58	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	3	88¢	$3	0xeb8369…
08-30 03:13:55	Will Iran target Qatar by September 15, 2026?	No	SELL	145	90¢	$130	0x7191cf…
08-30 02:43:48	Will Iran target Qatar by September 15, 2026?	No	BUY	145	90¢	$130	0x3b1128…
08-30 02:32:55	will putin meet with zelenskyy by december 31 2026	No	SELL	150	92¢	$138	0xe4e86d…
08-30 01:34:24	will putin meet with zelenskyy by december 31 2026	No	BUY	150	92¢	$138	0xc94296…
08-24 07:39:10	Will Iran target Jordan by August 31, 2026?	No	SELL	460	94¢	$432	0x695a02…
08-24 07:07:18	Will Iran target Jordan by August 31, 2026?	No	BUY	460	94¢	$432	0x038cbb…
08-24 06:58:51	Will Russia capture Havrylivka by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5	93¢	$5	0x833eab…
08-24 06:58:31	Will Russia capture Havrylivka by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	460	93¢	$428	0x9bb627…
08-24 06:31:19	Will Russia capture Havrylivka by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	465	92¢	$428	0x983b03…
07-23 09:20:21	KRG declares independence from Iraq by December 31?	No	SELL	470	94¢	$442	0xb2f4c3…
07-23 07:03:49	KRG declares independence from Iraq by December 31?	No	BUY	470	94¢	$440	0x61bc44…
07-23 06:54:12	farsi island no longer under iranian control by august 31 20260720015111490	No	SELL	465	94¢	$438	0x5530cf…
07-23 05:42:49	farsi island no longer under iranian control by august 31 20260720015111490	No	BUY	465	94¢	$438	0x2749ed…
07-07 03:24:41	ukraine coup attempt by december 31	No	SELL	425	95¢	$404	0xefd8a2…
07-07 02:42:26	ukraine coup attempt by december 31	No	BUY	425	94¢	$400	0x5a3b24…
07-07 02:15:56	UAE x Saudi Arabia sever diplomatic relations in 2026?	No	SELL	415	96¢	$400	0x321e67…
07-07 01:43:05	UAE x Saudi Arabia sever diplomatic relations in 2026?	No	BUY	415	96¢	$400	0x4b54af…
06-18 05:39:16	Israel x Syria security agreement by June 30?	No	SELL	315	95¢	$299	0x8f4882…
06-18 02:41:19	Israel x Syria security agreement by June 30?	No	BUY	315	98¢	$309	0x10fa00…
05-08 07:34:09	Spread: El Gouna SC (-1.5)	El Mokawloon El Arab SC	BUY	493	96¢	$473	0x080dfc…
05-08 07:05:27	Will Italy send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	493	96¢	$473	0x9e8223…
05-08 05:34:21	Will Italy send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	493	96¢	$471	0x2c8047…
05-07 06:30:31	Spread: Tala'ea El Gaish SC (-2.5)	Ghazl El Mahalla SC	BUY	470	97¢	$456	0x2d2bbb…
05-07 04:50:27	Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in May 2026?	No	SELL	468	98¢	$457	0xc51df5…
05-07 03:19:06	Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in May 2026?	No	BUY	468	98¢	$457	0x2e3b1d…
04-24 10:06:16	Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	11	98¢	$11	0xdae31b…
04-24 10:05:08	Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	429	98¢	$420	0x375bf2…
04-24 07:44:24	Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	440	98¢	$431	0xa5dc27…
04-23 07:27:28	Will India send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	440	4¢	$15	0x11a248…
04-23 07:27:00	Will India send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	470	3¢	$16	0x4a3604…
04-23 06:10:10	Will India send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	473	4¢	$17	0xc82fe2…
04-23 06:09:30	Will India send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	337	4¢	$12	0xb81805…
04-23 06:08:38	Will India send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	4¢	$4	0xee64e8…
04-08 08:00:21	j2100 tsc van 2026 04 08 spread away 2pt5	Tochigi SC	BUY	312	99¢	$308	0xd6b3f5…