Difficult-Alliance — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

60.3%

Resolved

138

Trades

538

lifetime

Volume

$163.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$305

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-12

last 10-19 08:06

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 63 days

Categories

Crypto

82% 82% +$53

Other

11% 60% -$35

Sports

7% 0% -$17

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

16 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?	No		-0	$1	99¢	$-0	-$1	06-03 13:53

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will bitcoin reach 150k in february 2026	17	$9.1K	4,578	4,578	+0	No	+$0	02-25 12:21
will ethereum reach 4000 in march 2026	7	$6.2K	3,090	3,090	+0	No	-$2	03-22 01:05
will bitcoin dip to 20k in march 2026	6	$6.1K	3,059	3,059	+0	No	-$3	03-15 20:18
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $20 in April?	17	$4.1K	2,051	2,051	+0	No	+$0	04-20 03:29
Will XRP reach $3.00 in April?	14	$4.1K	2,037	2,037	+0	No	+$1	04-22 10:32
will bitcoin reach 125k in february 2026	6	$4.0K	2,031	2,031	-0	No	+$1	02-15 01:13
will bitcoin reach 110k in march 2026	4	$3.8K	1,896	1,896	+0	No	-$1	03-09 01:08
Will Bitcoin reach $92,000 August 31-September 6?	7	$3.0K	1,500	1,500	+0	No	+$12	09-04 00:51
Will EdgeX launch a token by December 31, 2026?	38	$2.9K	1,470	1,470	+0	Yes	+$2	03-25 01:54
Bitcoin all time high by June 30, 2026?	16	$2.1K	1,061	1,061	-0	No	+$2	06-16 17:37
Will Solana reach $160 in April?	7	$2.1K	1,043	1,043	+0	No	$0	04-04 00:02
will crude oil cl hit low 70 by end of march 122 549 218 531 991 459	3	$2.1K	1,035	1,035	+0	No	+$0	03-31 18:48
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April?	2	$2.1K	1,040	1,039	+0	No	-$1	04-06 18:52
will solana reach 160 in march 2026	2	$2.1K	1,038	1,038	+0	No	-$1	03-22 10:51
will bitcoin reach 100k in july 2026	3	$2.1K	1,030	1,030	+0	No	+$1	07-23 07:54
will bitcoin reach 76k march 9 15	3	$2.0K	1,027	1,027	+0	No	+$3	03-15 23:18
will bitcoin reach 82k april 6 12	6	$2.0K	1,036	1,036	+0	No	-$24	04-08 02:20
will bitcoin dip to 40k in march 2026	2	$2.0K	1,032	1,032	+0	No	+$3	03-15 11:54
will the secret agent win best picture at the 98th academy awards 938	2	$2.0K	1,021	1,021	+0	No	+$0	03-14 03:01
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in April?	2	$2.0K	1,021	1,021	+0	No	-$1	04-10 20:54
Will Ethereum dip to $400 in April?	2	$2.0K	1,018	1,018	+0	No	-$1	04-11 22:55
will xrp dip to 0pt2 in march 2026	31	$2.0K	1,019	1,019	+0	No	+$1	03-10 10:21
will f1 win best picture at the 98th academy awards 948	2	$2.0K	1,017	1,017	+0	No	-$1	03-10 10:18
will bitcoin dip to 65k on march 13	2	$2.0K	1,019	1,019	+0	No	+$5	03-14 01:08
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	2	$2.0K	1,017	1,017	+0	No	+$0	04-16 17:36
Will XRP reach $2.80 in May?	19	$2.0K	1,015	1,015	+0	No	+$0	05-23 21:13
will ethereum reach 5000 in february 2026	2	$2.0K	1,015	1,015	+0	No	-$1	02-20 10:41
Will XRP dip to $0.20 in April?	2	$2.0K	1,015	1,015	+0	No	-$1	04-15 11:42
Will Ethereum reach $3,800 in May?	2	$2.0K	1,015	1,015	+0	No	+$1	05-18 21:08
will bitcoin reach 74k on april 8	9	$2.0K	1,019	1,019	+0	No	+$9	04-09 01:47

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-19 08:06:27	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in October?	No	SELL	847	99¢	$842	0x4fdfa9…
10-16 16:32:15	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in October?	No	SELL	38	99¢	$38	0x2d7e70…
10-16 15:40:51	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in October?	No	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x9dcbef…
10-16 10:57:07	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in October?	No	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0xccee0c…
10-16 10:08:00	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in October?	No	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xd6b27b…
10-16 10:07:57	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in October?	No	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x91836f…
10-16 08:30:52	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in October?	No	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0xe9a4b8…
10-16 07:16:33	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in October?	No	SELL	82	99¢	$82	0x984587…
10-15 01:42:35	will wti reach 150 in october 2026	No	BUY	1,000	99¢	$993	0x41b933…
10-06 08:31:54	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in October?	Yes	SELL	200	53¢	$106	0x93238c…
10-02 07:12:39	will wti dip to 90 in october 2026	Yes	SELL	200	93¢	$186	0x784937…
10-02 06:31:35	will wti reach 95 in october 2026	Yes	BUY	200	82¢	$164	0xf233b9…
10-02 01:49:17	will wti dip to 90 in october 2026	Yes	BUY	200	84¢	$168	0xe19897…
09-24 13:49:46	Will Bitcoin dip to $68,000 September 21-27?	No	BUY	271	99¢	$269	0x3d5e61…
09-20 14:45:34	will bitcoin reach 88k september 14 20 2026	No	BUY	900	100¢	$898	0xaf00db…
09-15 15:42:24	Will Bitcoin dip to $64,000 September 14-20?	No	BUY	118	98¢	$116	0x5c97de…
09-10 12:37:45	Will Bitcoin dip to $66,000 September 7-13?	No	BUY	295	99¢	$292	0x6be8d9…
09-10 12:29:00	Will Bitcoin dip to $66,000 September 7-13?	No	BUY	205	99¢	$203	0x7bd0e4…
09-10 03:58:30	Will Bitcoin reach $94,000 September 7-13?	No	BUY	333	99¢	$331	0x4972f9…
09-10 00:27:36	Will Bitcoin reach $94,000 September 7-13?	No	BUY	167	99¢	$166	0xa2b284…
09-06 21:03:40	Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 August 31-September 6?	No	BUY	202	100¢	$201	0xe053f0…
09-04 00:51:09	Will Bitcoin reach $92,000 August 31-September 6?	No	SELL	500	100¢	$498	0xd8f2d9…
09-03 15:02:03	Will Bitcoin reach $92,000 August 31-September 6?	No	BUY	500	99¢	$494	0xb64031…
09-02 16:53:21	Will Bitcoin reach $92,000 August 31-September 6?	No	SELL	880	100¢	$876	0x66943d…
09-02 14:44:06	Will Bitcoin reach $92,000 August 31-September 6?	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x084de7…
09-02 12:54:03	Will Bitcoin reach $92,000 August 31-September 6?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x637f82…
09-01 14:43:54	Will Bitcoin reach $92,000 August 31-September 6?	No	BUY	923	99¢	$911	0x825f4d…
09-01 12:21:06	Will Bitcoin reach $92,000 August 31-September 6?	No	BUY	77	99¢	$76	0x50ffb3…
08-27 01:26:15	will ethereum reach 3100 in august 2026	No	SELL	200	100¢	$200	0x779380…
08-25 02:29:55	will ethereum reach 3100 in august 2026	No	BUY	200	96¢	$193	0xe67346…
08-21 09:00:46	will ethereum reach 3000 in august 2026	No	SELL	450	90¢	$407	0x9c3153…
08-19 16:06:40	will bitcoin reach 78k august 17 23 2026	No	SELL	450	99¢	$446	0x07d7ea…
08-19 12:46:21	will ethereum reach 3000 in august 2026	No	BUY	450	100¢	$448	0xdf0747…
08-19 11:37:36	will bitcoin dip to 50k august 17 23 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x96b917…
08-18 14:30:04	will bitcoin reach 78k august 17 23 2026	No	BUY	450	100¢	$449	0xf2580c…
08-14 08:15:49	ethereum above 1700 on august 14 2026	Yes	BUY	900	100¢	$898	0x222c22…
08-12 15:06:36	will bitcoin dip to 61k on august 12	No	BUY	58	99¢	$57	0x92804a…
08-12 15:02:52	will bitcoin dip to 61k on august 12	No	BUY	70	99¢	$69	0xc76d62…
08-12 14:56:28	will bitcoin dip to 61k on august 12	No	BUY	171	99¢	$169	0x18d94d…
08-12 11:47:16	will bitcoin reach 67k on august 12	No	BUY	83	99¢	$82	0x3135f8…
08-12 11:47:06	will bitcoin reach 67k on august 12	No	BUY	111	99¢	$110	0x64ffcc…
08-12 11:44:27	will bitcoin reach 67k on august 12	No	BUY	106	99¢	$105	0xf7d818…
08-06 16:02:26	will bitcoin reach 68k on august 6	No	BUY	400	99¢	$396	0x60af07…
08-02 22:29:56	will wti reach 150 in august 2026	No	BUY	119	99¢	$118	0x9de092…
07-31 21:46:05	will bitcoin dip to 60k on july 31	No	BUY	200	100¢	$199	0xb0de9a…
07-31 02:06:09	will bitcoin dip to 62k on july 30	No	BUY	200	100¢	$199	0x0fb0bf…
07-31 01:03:50	will ethereum reach 2050 on july 30	No	BUY	200	100¢	$199	0x44db23…
07-30 23:01:32	will ethereum dip to 1850 on july 30	No	BUY	9	98¢	$9	0xb986dc…
07-30 14:06:08	ethereum above 1800 on july 30 2026	Yes	BUY	230	100¢	$230	0x6ac4c8…
07-30 13:36:20	ethereum above 1800 on july 30 2026	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x0816ce…
07-30 12:47:57	ethereum above 1800 on july 30 2026	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xf7a2c3…
07-30 12:24:41	bitcoin above 62k on july 30 2026	Yes	BUY	300	100¢	$299	0x750c5e…
07-24 10:33:52	will bitcoin dip to 61k on july 24	No	BUY	300	99¢	$297	0x22374b…
07-24 09:40:37	will bitcoin reach 71k on july 24	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x2ecf78…
07-24 09:40:25	will bitcoin dip to 60k on july 24	No	BUY	165	100¢	$165	0x586e60…
07-23 07:54:48	will bitcoin reach 100k in july 2026	No	SELL	1,030	100¢	$1,029	0xe12b77…
07-22 11:17:24	will bitcoin reach 100k in july 2026	No	BUY	849	100¢	$848	0x589b30…
07-22 11:16:34	will bitcoin reach 100k in july 2026	No	BUY	181	100¢	$180	0x02bc1f…
07-20 11:36:21	bitcoin above 68k on july 20 2026	No	BUY	466	100¢	$465	0xa58208…
07-20 11:06:16	bitcoin above 68k on july 20 2026	No	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0xf0d09d…
07-19 20:32:34	will ethereum reach 2100 on july 19	No	BUY	119	100¢	$118	0x815411…
07-19 10:08:36	will ethereum reach 2150 on july 19	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x08e4d0…
07-18 12:26:30	will ethereum dip to 1650 on july 18	No	BUY	290	100¢	$290	0x18c138…
07-14 23:37:41	ethereum above 1700 on july 15 2026	Yes	BUY	110	100¢	$109	0x9c5e11…
07-14 23:27:35	ethereum above 1700 on july 15 2026	Yes	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x61f70a…
07-14 23:20:08	ethereum above 1700 on july 15 2026	Yes	BUY	79	100¢	$78	0xb9cc1c…
07-14 23:02:47	ethereum above 1700 on july 15 2026	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe5d444…
07-14 23:01:13	ethereum above 1700 on july 15 2026	Yes	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0x58dcda…
07-14 22:37:38	ethereum above 1700 on july 15 2026	Yes	BUY	66	100¢	$66	0xfb5560…
07-14 21:55:17	ethereum above 1700 on july 15 2026	Yes	BUY	54	100¢	$54	0x785f09…
07-14 21:25:05	ethereum above 2100 on july 15 2026	No	BUY	500	100¢	$498	0x1c645f…
07-14 20:13:08	ethereum above 1700 on july 15 2026	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xecdba2…
07-14 13:03:46	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	SELL	26	94¢	$24	0xac5ed2…
07-14 13:00:38	ethereum above 1900 on july 14 2026	No	SELL	199	89¢	$177	0x4e3859…
07-14 12:02:44	ethereum above 1900 on july 14 2026	No	SELL	24	100¢	$24	0x18ed8e…
07-14 12:01:35	ethereum above 1900 on july 14 2026	No	SELL	40	100¢	$40	0x37cc55…
07-14 11:57:53	ethereum above 1900 on july 14 2026	No	SELL	28	100¢	$27	0x9f5b63…
07-14 11:49:40	ethereum above 1900 on july 14 2026	No	SELL	139	100¢	$138	0xdff922…
07-14 11:48:41	ethereum above 1700 on july 14 2026	Yes	BUY	32	99¢	$32	0x69812e…
07-14 11:48:35	ethereum above 1700 on july 14 2026	Yes	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0xeb56ba…
07-14 11:48:29	ethereum above 1700 on july 14 2026	Yes	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0xfac10f…
07-14 11:44:50	ethereum above 1700 on july 14 2026	Yes	BUY	168	99¢	$166	0xddc006…
07-14 11:41:08	ethereum above 1900 on july 14 2026	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x724d49…
07-14 11:18:26	ethereum above 1900 on july 14 2026	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x0b8fbf…
07-14 11:17:29	ethereum above 1900 on july 14 2026	No	SELL	55	100¢	$55	0xd31e9b…
07-14 10:47:04	ethereum above 1900 on july 14 2026	No	BUY	500	100¢	$498	0x5fee95…
07-13 12:20:07	ethereum above 1700 on july 13 2026	Yes	BUY	200	99¢	$198	0x4974c8…
07-13 10:29:16	ethereum above 1900 on july 13 2026	No	BUY	183	99¢	$182	0x418571…
07-13 01:30:10	will bitcoin dip to 60k july 6 12 2026	No	BUY	341	100¢	$340	0xf7deb2…
07-13 01:15:13	will bitcoin dip to 60k july 6 12 2026	No	BUY	59	100¢	$59	0xb26b83…
07-13 00:07:02	will bitcoin dip to 60k july 6 12 2026	No	BUY	300	100¢	$300	0x705364…
07-11 15:30:50	will bitcoin reach 72k on july 11	No	BUY	995	100¢	$994	0x4099c4…
07-10 09:45:14	will bitcoin dip to 57k on july 10	No	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0x4d2fbb…
07-10 09:35:14	will bitcoin dip to 57k on july 10	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x320245…
07-09 20:57:52	will bitcoin dip to 58k on july 9	No	BUY	1,000	100¢	$999	0x7c8512…
07-07 20:58:29	will bitcoin dip to 57k on july 7	No	BUY	118	100¢	$118	0xd9ca66…
07-07 20:58:17	will bitcoin dip to 56k on july 7	No	BUY	891	100¢	$890	0x10f185…
07-06 22:05:53	bitcoin above 68k on july 7 2026	No	SELL	500	99¢	$496	0x0884ab…
07-06 16:08:49	bitcoin above 68k on july 7 2026	No	BUY	500	98¢	$492	0x390ea3…
07-05 12:15:52	will ethereum reach 2050 on july 5	No	BUY	213	100¢	$213	0x455a57…