Ill-Fated-Coyote — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$425

Unrealized P&L

-$11

Hit rate

53.7%

Resolved

128

Trades

378

lifetime

Volume

$3.55K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$31

5 positions

First seen

2026-04-29

last 07-04 16:19

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 28 days

Categories

Crypto

41% 63% -$87

Other

40% 35% -$254

Sports

16% 50% -$72

Politics

4% 33% -$12

Tech

1% 100% +$0

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-04).

Open positions (5) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?	No	+17	$10	74¢	$12	+$2	04-30 08:18
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	+56	$15	16¢	$9	-$6	05-02 10:07
Will the Los Angeles Rams win the 2027 NFL league championship?	Yes	+100	$10	6¢	$6	-$4	04-29 11:46
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	+23	$5	14¢	$3	-$2	04-30 13:31
Will Khamzat Chimaev be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026?	Yes	+3	$2	5¢	$0	-$2	05-01 08:51

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	2	$401	203	203	+0	No	+$1	04-30 14:21
Will the Kansas City Chiefs win the 2027 NFL league championship?	3	$224	1,678	1,678	+0	open	—	05-03 17:04
Xi Jinping out before 2027?	2	$200	108	108	+0	open	—	05-04 22:26
La Bisbal: Xinyu Wang vs Alina Charaeva	8	$181	222	110	+112	Alina Charaeva	-$121	04-30 13:44
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-04?	2	$149	149	75	+75	No	-$51	05-01 04:34
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 World Series?	3	$99	233	100	+133	No	-$41	05-02 04:29
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-09?	2	$98	96	96	+0	No	-$2	05-03 14:45
Huzhou: Katarzyna Kawa vs Hanyu Guo	5	$76	48	48	+0	Katarzyna Kawa	+$6	05-02 08:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	3	$74	49	49	+0	Down	+$24	04-29 16:25
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on May 4?	2	$71	210	210	+0	No	-$29	05-02 08:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	11	$71	67	28	+38	Down	-$41	05-04 06:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	7	$70	105	0	+105	Up	-$70	04-29 16:37
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on May 4?	8	$69	103	103	+0	Yes	+$7	05-04 03:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	2	$68	49	49	+0	Down	+$18	05-04 03:41
76ers vs. Celtics	6	$65	44	44	+0	76ers	+$5	05-03 05:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	4	$59	64	36	+28	Down	-$24	05-04 05:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	4	$58	36	36	+0	Down	-$2	05-04 03:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	6	$56	61	29	+31	Down	+$7	05-04 05:17
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-02?	2	$55	35	35	+0	Yes	+$15	05-02 23:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	3	$55	82	0	+82	Down	+$27	05-04 05:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	7	$54	66	22	+44	Up	+$8	05-04 05:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	2	$51	27	27	+0	Up	+$1	05-04 03:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	4	$47	44	15	+29	Down	+$6	05-04 05:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	6	$47	59	24	+35	Down	+$1	05-04 05:42
La Bisbal: Daria Kasatkina vs Tamara Korpatsch	11	$45	44	44	+0	Daria Kasatkina	-$3	05-03 09:55
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-03?	4	$42	67	61	+6	No	-$2	05-03 14:34
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	2	$41	34	34	+0	No	+$1	05-30 14:01
Will the Atlanta Braves win the 2026 World Series?	2	$40	351	0	+351	No	-$40	05-02 04:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	4	$39	35	9	+26	Down	+$3	05-04 06:09
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 30?	4	$39	33	33	+0	Yes	-$3	04-30 11:41

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-04 16:19:44	Will Canada win on 2026-07-04?	Yes	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x02c357…
06-30 00:20:22	Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-29?	Yes	BUY	24	41¢	$10	0x90513d…
06-02 08:41:37	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?	Yes	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x389c1e…
06-02 08:41:30	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?	Yes	BUY	28	4¢	$1	0x28cb62…
05-30 14:05:15	Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	SELL	9	13¢	$1	0x1dc8d0…
05-30 14:04:09	Spurs vs. Thunder	Thunder	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x5157c3…
05-30 14:02:36	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?	Yes	BUY	26	39¢	$10	0x0a7c80…
05-30 14:02:10	Will Russia enter Sloviansk by June 30?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xd2a536…
05-30 14:01:54	Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	No	SELL	34	63¢	$21	0x0da16f…
05-14 11:31:46	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x9ae54f…
05-14 11:31:07	Will Trump say "Rare earth" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0xdc2c41…
05-13 13:08:45	Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-17?	Yes	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x7ccab8…
05-06 14:51:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	SELL	2	73¢	$1	0x88244b…
05-06 14:51:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x4f3de1…
05-06 14:50:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	SELL	2	51¢	$1	0x656889…
05-06 14:50:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xfb2b79…
05-06 14:50:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	SELL	2	39¢	$1	0x5ee434…
05-06 14:50:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xe8f007…
05-06 14:48:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x6c1cc4…
05-06 14:48:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x95db6b…
05-06 14:47:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	SELL	1	14¢	$0	0x60d609…
05-06 14:45:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x9365b2…
05-06 14:42:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	SELL	2	66¢	$1	0x0bdc75…
05-06 14:41:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x4c8b31…
05-06 14:41:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xd10d97…
05-05 10:49:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xc93001…
05-05 10:49:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	SELL	4	42¢	$2	0x69988b…
05-05 10:46:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x2d06d6…
05-05 10:46:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x0a7cdd…
05-05 10:44:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x931841…
05-05 10:44:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x630a2c…
05-05 10:44:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x213bd8…
05-05 10:42:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	SELL	2	73¢	$1	0x8193ef…
05-05 10:40:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xe4cb9f…
05-05 10:39:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	SELL	3	98¢	$3	0xd9d5e2…
05-05 10:37:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xbdfa88…
05-05 10:37:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x7c29c7…
05-05 10:37:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x0a9fa2…
05-05 10:36:44	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	14¢	$0	0x2bcbc3…
05-05 10:36:42	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	7¢	$0	0xeb6aab…
05-04 22:26:58	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	SELL	108	92¢	$100	0x911f43…
05-04 06:15:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	SELL	5	4¢	$0	0x91d985…
05-04 06:14:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x6ceac1…
05-04 06:14:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	27	94¢	$25	0x7a1a2c…
05-04 06:13:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xea9b6e…
05-04 06:12:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x76cb67…
05-04 06:12:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	SELL	14	89¢	$12	0x48c38f…
05-04 06:11:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0xaa2190…
05-04 06:11:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0xde5ce6…
05-04 06:11:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Down	SELL	10	26¢	$3	0x121c67…
05-04 06:10:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0xfdbacf…
05-04 06:10:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xe113bd…
05-04 06:09:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	26	98¢	$25	0x0ac630…
05-04 06:06:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	SELL	9	91¢	$8	0xe11e08…
05-04 06:05:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0xe6a403…
05-04 06:05:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x8ca682…
05-04 06:04:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x3d8658…
05-04 06:04:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x819f28…
05-04 06:03:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x10efd0…
05-04 06:01:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x93e20e…
05-04 06:00:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xdfa5cb…
05-04 05:56:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	SELL	9	73¢	$7	0x309f6f…
05-04 05:56:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x50059a…
05-04 05:52:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	BUY	30	83¢	$25	0xcd8f08…
05-04 05:48:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Down	BUY	26	97¢	$25	0x987a8c…
05-04 05:42:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	27	92¢	$25	0x424f60…
05-04 05:41:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	SELL	15	16¢	$2	0xed08a3…
05-04 05:41:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0x44f267…
05-04 05:41:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0xbe4dcd…
05-04 05:41:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	SELL	9	47¢	$4	0xf93755…
05-04 05:40:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x6d766e…
05-04 05:37:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	SELL	6	92¢	$5	0x370165…
05-04 05:37:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x1d73a4…
05-04 05:34:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	BUY	28	90¢	$25	0xe97aa9…
05-04 05:34:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Up	SELL	36	10¢	$4	0x79bee2…
05-04 05:34:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Up	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0xe013a0…
05-04 05:32:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Up	BUY	30	84¢	$25	0xf4dd69…
05-04 05:27:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	36	70¢	$25	0xe777f2…
05-04 05:27:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	38	66¢	$25	0xc23b86…
05-04 05:26:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0xb9c078…
05-04 05:24:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Up	BUY	28	88¢	$25	0x78b56d…
05-04 05:22:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Up	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x202677…
05-04 05:22:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Up	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x3219ff…
05-04 05:22:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Down	SELL	11	35¢	$4	0x588a04…
05-04 05:21:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Down	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x20c5ad…
05-04 05:21:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Down	SELL	11	48¢	$5	0x107654…
05-04 05:21:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Down	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0xc67ffe…
05-04 05:17:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Down	BUY	31	80¢	$25	0x5680ae…
05-04 05:17:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Down	SELL	6	84¢	$5	0x46ad74…
05-04 05:16:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Down	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x06f573…
05-04 05:16:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	SELL	24	48¢	$11	0x29a523…
05-04 05:16:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0xa47bf8…
05-04 05:15:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0xb603fe…
05-04 05:13:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	29	86¢	$25	0x18df90…
05-04 05:12:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Down	SELL	15	78¢	$12	0xdf0dc7…
05-04 05:11:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x947a7a…
05-04 05:10:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x8bff51…
05-04 03:55:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Down	SELL	27	99¢	$26	0x595e56…
05-04 03:52:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Down	BUY	27	94¢	$25	0x4f60d9…
05-04 03:52:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Up	SELL	10	20¢	$2	0x9f399a…