Crafty-Preserves — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$314

Unrealized P&L

+$2

Hit rate

54.4%

Resolved

397

Trades

726

lifetime

Volume

$2.72K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$27

6 positions

First seen

2026-01-03

last 10-17 19:02

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 95 days

Categories

Other

74% 34% -$159

Crypto

16% 56% -$4

Politics

9% 12% -$141

Sports

0% 0% -$9

Tech

0% 0% -$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

31 active days in 12wk • peak 29 trades/day

Open positions (6) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Modi out by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+217	$3	4¢	$8	+$5	10-17 19:02
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+203	$8	4¢	$7	-$1	08-29 20:16
macron out by december 31 2026 20260728190614227	Yes	+125	$6	4¢	$4	-$1	09-23 22:19
Xi Jinping out before 2027?	Yes	+114	$5	4¢	$4	-$1	09-16 22:59
Xi Jinping divorce before 2027?	Yes	+215	$2	1¢	$2	+$0	09-23 15:30
Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+25	$2	6¢	$2	+$0	08-30 21:33

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will crude oil cl hit high 90 by end of march 124 949 438 563 647 712 323	3	$435	265	265	+0	Yes	+$89	03-06 19:13
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	3	$238	169	169	+0	Yes	+$98	03-09 04:11
will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	3	$109	150	22	+127	No	-$101	03-18 01:10
Modi out by December 31, 2026?	30	$102	972	755	+217	open	—	10-17 19:02
will crude oil cl hit high 130 by end of march 366 294	1	$100	146	0	+146	No	-$100	03-09 04:54
will bitcoin dip to 60k in february 2026 394 616	2	$87	77	77	+0	Yes	+$67	02-06 03:33
us x venezuela military engagement by january 15 2026 392	1	$71	0	71	-71	Yes	$0	01-03 09:27
Will Switzerland vs. Canada end in a draw?	3	$67	204	0	+204	No	-$67	06-24 18:10
si hit 90 high jan 2026 157 295 494	2	$61	56	56	+0	Yes	+$41	01-14 10:30
will bitcoin dip to 65k in march 2026	1	$50	63	0	+63	Yes	+$13	03-09 03:17
us x venezuela military engagement by december 31 391 819 722 945 174 285 817 971 353 859 836 598 255 382 192 983	1	$39	19,500	0	+19,500	No	-$39	01-03 11:25
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?	3	$39	67	0	+67	No	-$39	06-25 20:32
will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	2	$39	83	83	+0	No	+$9	03-10 16:14
will trump say make iran great again during wef address on january 21	2	$31	132	132	+0	No	-$29	01-21 14:51
will bitcoin dip to 60k in march 2026	3	$30	336	0	+336	No	-$30	03-30 06:07
Will England vs. Ghana end in a draw?	3	$26	23	23	+0	Yes	+$20	06-23 22:06
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	1	$26	0	45	-45	Yes	-$20	01-12 18:52
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	2	$25	21	21	+0	Yes	+$17	02-28 08:44
will xrp reach 1pt6 february 9 15	4	$25	26	26	+0	Yes	+$19	02-15 07:42
Will Ghana win on 2026-06-23?	5	$24	415	0	+415	No	-$24	06-23 21:21
will bitcoin dip to 40k in march 2026	2	$20	1,286	0	+1,286	No	-$20	03-10 16:14
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24?	1	$20	39	0	+39	Yes	+$19	06-24 16:44
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	2	$16	29	29	+0	Yes	+$6	01-12 18:59
will trump say hell 2 times during newsnation interview	2	$16	108	108	+0	Yes	-$4	01-22 06:58
karoline leavitt out by march 31	1	$15	263	0	+263	No	-$15	03-08 20:40
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	2	$14	143	143	+0	Yes	-$6	04-19 10:02
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on August 12?	4	$13	19	19	+0	Yes	+$9	08-12 09:25
Will the US strike Nigeria next?	3	$13	4,032	0	+4,032	No	-$13	02-10 10:33
starmer out by june 22 2026	2	$11	7	7	+0	Yes	+$1	06-22 08:07
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on August 6?	2	$11	7	7	+0	Yes	+$1	08-05 23:22

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-17 19:02:36	Modi out by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	331	3¢	$11	0x06bb3d…
10-13 14:03:16	Will Calin Georgescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	Yes	SELL	430	1¢	$3	0xadabce…
10-03 12:33:08	Nicușor Dan out as President of Romania in 2026?	Yes	BUY	103	6¢	$6	0x56e293…
10-03 11:52:11	Nicușor Dan out as President of Romania in 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	6¢	$3	0x347365…
10-03 01:37:09	Will Calin Georgescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	Yes	BUY	408	1¢	$3	0xd257fc…
10-03 01:35:21	Will Calin Georgescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	Yes	BUY	22	0¢	$0	0x1c49f8…
09-23 22:20:31	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	Yes	BUY	179	1¢	$2	0x7a9611…
09-23 22:19:43	macron out by december 31 2026 20260728190614227	Yes	BUY	38	5¢	$2	0xbbca69…
09-23 20:43:25	Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by September 30?	Yes	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0xe3e58e…
09-23 15:37:04	Graham Platner divorce by October 31?	Yes	BUY	31	6¢	$2	0x1acc59…
09-23 15:33:55	Obama divorce before 2027?	Yes	BUY	40	4¢	$2	0x23cb56…
09-23 15:30:04	Xi Jinping divorce before 2027?	Yes	BUY	215	1¢	$2	0x475c75…
09-23 00:06:14	Macron out by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	24	5¢	$1	0x1be31b…
09-23 00:05:26	Modi out by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	43	6¢	$3	0xafeab8…
09-23 00:03:47	US imposes new sanctions on China by September 30?	Yes	BUY	43	6¢	$3	0xed0785…
09-23 00:01:52	Trump endorses China's claim to Taiwan by end of summit?	Yes	BUY	34	4¢	$1	0x74fac3…
09-22 23:59:31	Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?	Yes	BUY	182	1¢	$2	0x52ebc3…
09-22 23:58:28	Will Trump insult Xi by end of summit?	Yes	BUY	125	2¢	$2	0x6f2ffd…
09-22 12:29:16	Will Trump and Xi hug at their summit?	Yes	BUY	30	7¢	$2	0x7579d1…
09-22 03:25:51	Trump endorses China's claim to Taiwan by end of summit?	Yes	BUY	76	3¢	$2	0x6eff2d…
09-22 03:25:06	China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?	Yes	SELL	42	5¢	$2	0xd256b0…
09-22 03:09:08	China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?	Yes	BUY	42	5¢	$2	0xca308f…
09-21 01:04:49	Modi out by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	95	7¢	$7	0x187ac9…
09-20 01:00:37	Modi out by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	74	7¢	$5	0x660232…
09-19 20:43:29	Macron out by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	62	4¢	$2	0x0d92c6…
09-16 22:59:30	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	114	4¢	$5	0xf00df6…
09-11 23:10:58	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?	Yes	BUY	58	2¢	$1	0xd7017a…
09-11 23:08:34	US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	31	5¢	$1	0x5712ff…
09-04 12:29:16	US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	31	5¢	$2	0x810bae…
09-04 12:20:18	will wti reach 120 in september 2026	Yes	SELL	49	3¢	$2	0x46d7e1…
09-01 18:17:15	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in September?	Yes	BUY	49	2¢	$1	0x387c81…
08-30 23:08:07	Will Iran target Qatar by August 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x369f1a…
08-30 22:17:15	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in August?	Yes	SELL	113	2¢	$2	0x8a4e30…
08-30 22:09:58	will wti reach 85 in august 2026 from august 26	No	BUY	1,400	0¢	$1	0x6dcd42…
08-30 22:02:57	Israel military action against Greater Beirut by August 31?	Yes	BUY	74	2¢	$1	0x3e940b…
08-30 21:33:45	Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	6¢	$2	0x2ddd4e…
08-30 21:22:22	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?	No	BUY	51	4¢	$2	0x29aaa8…
08-30 11:01:19	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on August 30?	Yes	SELL	5	25¢	$1	0x61001b…
08-29 20:24:36	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August?	Yes	BUY	38	3¢	$1	0x290be6…
08-29 20:24:33	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in August?	Yes	BUY	113	1¢	$1	0x42dd5e…
08-29 20:16:51	Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	28	4¢	$1	0xaf793e…
08-29 20:16:33	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on August 30?	Yes	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x35aa28…
08-26 18:56:06	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on August 27?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x2279d0…
08-26 09:22:30	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on August 26?	Yes	SELL	7	62¢	$4	0x57001e…
08-25 20:17:01	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on August 26?	Yes	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x85c8ea…
08-25 07:13:25	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on August 25?	Yes	SELL	9	21¢	$2	0x5813bf…
08-25 05:01:18	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on August 25?	Yes	BUY	19	5¢	$1	0x2bcf01…
08-23 02:42:21	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on August 23?	Yes	BUY	2	7¢	$0	0xd541a5…
08-18 05:08:18	Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	75	4¢	$3	0xd45e6a…
08-18 05:06:33	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on August 18?	Yes	SELL	10	30¢	$3	0xbaeaa3…
08-18 04:37:18	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on August 18?	Yes	BUY	10	17¢	$2	0x1d7b29…
08-17 15:14:19	Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	4¢	$4	0x543609…
08-16 21:04:01	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 17?	Yes	SELL	9	46¢	$4	0x820a6e…
08-16 19:38:09	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on August 17?	Yes	BUY	13	9¢	$1	0x6595da…
08-16 19:30:24	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 17?	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xd94093…
08-16 19:27:22	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 17?	Yes	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x1c1bb2…
08-16 04:09:01	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 16?	Yes	BUY	9	15¢	$1	0xf0b142…
08-16 04:00:24	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on August 16?	Yes	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0xd8e950…
08-15 06:02:22	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 15?	Yes	SELL	3	58¢	$2	0x7f0e35…
08-15 05:49:25	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 15?	Yes	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x54d60e…
08-15 05:37:16	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on August 15?	Yes	BUY	10	12¢	$1	0x90f479…
08-15 00:17:13	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on August 15?	Yes	SELL	5	22¢	$1	0xc0005c…
08-14 19:16:43	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on August 15?	Yes	SELL	5	51¢	$3	0x81b830…
08-14 17:04:43	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on August 15?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x1c6072…
08-14 16:52:33	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on August 15?	Yes	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x258e2d…
08-13 22:51:12	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on August 14?	Yes	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xd304a5…
08-13 22:20:37	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 14?	Yes	BUY	15	8¢	$1	0xccdb7d…
08-13 21:53:51	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 14?	Yes	SELL	13	16¢	$2	0xf6a953…
08-13 20:10:39	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on August 14?	Yes	BUY	12	16¢	$2	0x72a37f…
08-13 15:39:49	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 14?	Yes	BUY	27	5¢	$1	0x60099e…
08-13 15:32:27	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 13?	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x652049…
08-13 15:28:24	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on August 14?	Yes	BUY	34	3¢	$1	0x7601d8…
08-13 11:23:39	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on August 13?	Yes	SELL	24	4¢	$1	0xbf6cc6…
08-13 06:15:36	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on August 13?	Yes	SELL	54	2¢	$1	0x914e31…
08-12 23:37:15	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on August 13?	Yes	BUY	24	4¢	$1	0x21a41f…
08-12 23:26:13	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 13?	Yes	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x4fdcc6…
08-12 23:21:21	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 13?	Yes	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x1139e2…
08-12 23:20:49	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 13?	Yes	BUY	15	9¢	$1	0x8a3c60…
08-12 23:18:00	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 13?	Yes	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x5e89c5…
08-12 23:12:49	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on August 13?	Yes	BUY	54	5¢	$3	0x934a98…
08-12 09:58:48	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 12?	Yes	BUY	22	6¢	$1	0x9c36f9…
08-12 09:25:04	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on August 12?	Yes	SELL	10	91¢	$9	0x009b27…
08-11 20:38:39	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on August 12?	Yes	SELL	0	25¢	$0	0x33064e…
08-11 20:37:27	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on August 12?	Yes	SELL	9	25¢	$2	0x53a6db…
08-11 20:04:42	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on August 12?	Yes	BUY	19	10¢	$2	0x452248…
08-11 20:04:04	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on August 12?	Yes	SELL	21	11¢	$2	0x33ba5e…
08-11 19:27:03	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on August 12?	Yes	BUY	21	16¢	$3	0x47bd06…
08-10 07:19:04	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 12?	Yes	SELL	200	0¢	$0	0xac80fe…
08-10 07:03:25	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on August 10?	Yes	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0x54b86e…
08-10 06:47:54	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 12?	Yes	BUY	200	0¢	$1	0x09a966…
08-09 21:57:45	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on August 10?	Yes	SELL	4	87¢	$4	0x779a54…
08-09 15:56:01	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on August 10?	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xc21d99…
08-09 15:34:06	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on August 10?	Yes	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x71d068…
08-09 13:17:34	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 39°C on August 9?	Yes	SELL	8	1¢	$0	0x6fa713…
08-09 13:17:33	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C on August 9?	Yes	SELL	4	13¢	$1	0x21cdd0…
08-09 12:36:07	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 40°C or higher on August 9?	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xb2f9de…
08-09 12:32:00	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C on August 9?	Yes	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0x0cc77e…
08-09 12:27:22	Modi out by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	56	6¢	$3	0x157f6a…
08-09 10:04:15	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 40°C or higher on August 9?	Yes	SELL	12	6¢	$1	0xd61c9a…
08-09 10:02:15	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 40°C or higher on August 9?	Yes	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xc4902d…