Cloudy-Calico — Polymarket

Realized P&L (7d)

-$21

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

88.6%

Resolved (7d)

502

Trades (7d)

583

4,873 lifetime

Volume (7d)

$1.08K

$9.87K lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-07

last 10-29 09:24

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 171 days

Categories

Crypto

96% 72% -$106

Other

4% 73% +$33

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

62 active days in 12wk • peak 178 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
highest temperature in chengdu on march 26 2026 23c	3	$58	31	31	+0	No	-$2	03-26 07:00
highest temperature in ankara on march 20 2026 7c	3	$43	24	24	+0	Yes	+$3	03-20 16:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	11	$37	80	0	+80	Down	-$37	10-21 14:28
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-11 14:00 UTC	5	$30	21	11	+10	Up	+$1	07-11 14:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-12 14:00 UTC	4	$26	16	11	+5	Down	+$0	07-12 14:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	6	$26	27	15	+13	Down	-$14	05-12 12:29
highest temperature in ankara on march 20 2026 8c	2	$24	14	14	+0	No	+$4	03-20 16:17
highest temperature in shanghai on march 25 2026 16c	8	$23	17	17	+0	Yes	+$9	03-25 07:37
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-17 07:40 UTC	5	$22	22	6	+16	Up	$0	04-17 07:44
highest temperature in shanghai on march 23 2026 16c	3	$22	22	22	+0	Yes	+$12	03-23 03:46
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-17 11:15 UTC	4	$21	12	12	+0	Up	+$1	07-17 11:28
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-09 11:15 UTC	4	$20	11	11	+0	Down	+$1	07-09 11:24
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-10 03:00 UTC	3	$20	11	11	+0	Down	+$0	07-10 03:13
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-19 11:30 UTC	6	$20	54	2	+52	Down	+$1	02-19 11:39
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-15 03:45 UTC	3	$20	10	10	+0	Up	+$0	07-15 03:56
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-10 10:30 UTC	5	$20	23	0	+23	Up	-$2	07-10 10:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-16 04:30 UTC	2	$20	20	0	+20	Down	+$0	07-16 04:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-16 11:45 UTC	4	$20	13	11	+2	Down	-$2	07-16 11:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-10 11:30 UTC	6	$19	11	11	+0	Down	+$1	07-10 11:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	11	$19	33	0	+33	Up	+$15	10-21 09:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	9	$19	22	0	+22	Down	+$0	05-07 11:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	5	$18	27	0	+27	Down	-$2	05-07 11:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-13 14:25 UTC	4	$18	33	33	+0	Down	-$4	03-13 14:29
highest temperature in shanghai on march 23 2026 15c	3	$17	15	15	+0	No	+$3	03-23 04:32
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-19 14:30 UTC	4	$17	30	0	+30	Up	+$5	02-19 14:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	5	$17	11	6	+5	Down	+$0	05-07 08:58
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-21 10:45 UTC	4	$17	22	0	+22	Down	$0	07-21 10:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	11	$17	32	0	+32	Down	-$2	04-25 10:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-16 04:45 UTC	6	$16	16	9	+7	Up	-$8	07-16 04:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-09 12:00 UTC	6	$16	9	9	+0	Down	+$0	07-09 12:11

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 10:59:25	BNB Up or Down - October 29, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x75f570…
10-29 10:44:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x18d49b…
10-29 10:39:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0xf81711…
10-29 09:24:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x25abb4…
10-29 09:14:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x06a64b…
10-29 08:49:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x74fa8e…
10-29 08:34:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	78¢	$2	0x5e2860…
10-29 08:34:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x21d10c…
10-29 08:34:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x083533…
10-29 08:34:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	SELL	2	20¢	$0	0xd86a74…
10-29 08:33:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xf791eb…
10-29 08:29:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x379ae8…
10-29 08:28:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x92352a…
10-29 08:28:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x7276ca…
10-29 08:28:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	SELL	1	88¢	$1	0x1906af…
10-29 08:26:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xbfaee5…
10-29 08:24:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x84715d…
10-29 08:22:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	SELL	1	84¢	$1	0xeea94d…
10-29 08:22:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x61bda0…
10-29 08:19:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x7ab081…
10-29 08:18:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	SELL	1	85¢	$1	0xe89279…
10-29 08:18:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0xdeb171…
10-29 08:12:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x6853d7…
10-29 08:11:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x509f47…
10-29 07:59:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x490d2c…
10-29 07:57:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x2bb592…
10-29 07:57:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0xcf371e…
10-29 07:43:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0x75fc34…
10-29 07:42:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x60e42a…
10-29 06:34:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	SELL	2	97¢	$1	0x209bf0…
10-29 06:34:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xe487d7…
10-29 06:33:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	SELL	1	69¢	$1	0x307f0a…
10-29 06:32:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xdb8521…
10-29 06:04:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xc32c38…
10-29 05:44:35	Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 29, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xf2b4fc…
10-29 05:44:25	XRP Up or Down - October 29, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x6f32dd…
10-29 03:59:23	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x09896e…
10-29 03:34:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Up	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x58c0d3…
10-29 03:14:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xb9563e…
10-29 02:29:17	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x420e82…
10-29 01:14:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xe00f77…
10-29 00:44:52	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 8PM ET	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x9ebe0c…
10-29 00:42:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8PM ET	Down	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x81620f…
10-29 00:29:26	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xd78a09…
10-28 23:59:23	XRP Up or Down - October 28, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x717c95…
10-28 23:14:29	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x615a6a…
10-28 22:59:43	XRP Up or Down - October 28, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x1568a9…
10-28 22:59:29	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x8b954e…
10-28 21:39:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x848f20…
10-28 20:44:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	98¢	$1	0x2c1ba2…
10-28 20:38:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x45a23b…
10-28 19:19:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x3048bb…
10-28 19:19:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x313d4d…
10-28 19:14:28	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xbb19f1…
10-28 19:03:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x5c37e9…
10-28 18:58:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xbf5adb…
10-28 18:39:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x6fef2f…
10-28 18:36:53	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 2PM ET	Up	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0xe17ce2…
10-28 18:19:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x0715d3…
10-28 18:13:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x89be5b…
10-28 17:59:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x184083…
10-28 17:58:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x1a3fae…
10-28 17:13:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x44b821…
10-28 16:47:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12PM ET	Down	BUY	3	91¢	$2	0x011a9c…
10-28 15:38:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0xfafa18…
10-28 15:29:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0x61181b…
10-28 15:19:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	4	43¢	$2	0x8e2459…
10-28 14:03:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0xf8bb87…
10-28 13:08:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xedaa7c…
10-28 12:59:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0x2928b3…
10-28 12:59:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x2b1399…
10-28 12:54:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0xed8f3a…
10-28 12:53:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x5e3c81…
10-28 12:19:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x8f6d12…
10-28 12:19:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x09d921…
10-28 12:17:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0xca2b3e…
10-28 11:19:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	SELL	1	81¢	$1	0xc731bd…
10-28 11:18:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x0d0b8f…
10-28 10:19:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	BUY	3	50¢	$1	0x633543…
10-28 09:29:23	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xfc2995…
10-28 09:19:20	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-28 09:15 UTC	Down	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x88ff44…
10-28 09:08:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-28 09:05 UTC	Up	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xa7a299…
10-28 08:34:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x99085e…
10-28 08:14:32	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	98¢	$2	0xade623…
10-28 07:44:19	XRP Up or Down - October 28, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	98¢	$2	0x6df54c…
10-28 06:50:08	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 2AM ET	Up	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0xdef8fe…
10-28 06:48:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0xa1fae7…
10-28 06:44:31	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0xd321a6…
10-28 06:44:20	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x3da5d5…
10-28 06:14:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x2126ea…
10-28 05:50:07	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 1AM ET	Down	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x028eb4…
10-28 04:59:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	96¢	$3	0x3de0cc…
10-28 04:44:26	BNB Up or Down - October 28, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	96¢	$3	0x6db616…
10-28 04:29:26	XRP Up or Down - October 28, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0xef9590…
10-28 03:32:06	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 11PM ET	Up	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x2c35a4…
10-28 03:31:25	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 11PM ET	Up	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0x4274e0…
10-28 03:14:36	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	87¢	$1	0xbb0b98…
10-28 02:09:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0xf48e45…
10-28 02:09:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0xb88caa…
10-28 01:44:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0xc869c3…