Cloudy-Calico — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$74

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

66.6%

Resolved

3,262

Trades

5,025

lifetime

Volume

$10.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-07

last 10-31 20:56

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 173 days

Categories

Crypto

96% 73% -$108

Other

4% 79% +$34

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

63 active days in 12wk • peak 178 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
highest temperature in chengdu on march 26 2026 23c	3	$58	31	31	+0	No	-$2	03-26 07:00
highest temperature in ankara on march 20 2026 7c	3	$43	24	24	+0	Yes	+$3	03-20 16:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	11	$37	80	0	+80	Down	-$37	10-21 14:28
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-11 14:00 UTC	5	$30	21	11	+10	Up	+$1	07-11 14:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-12 14:00 UTC	4	$26	16	11	+5	Down	+$0	07-12 14:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	6	$26	27	15	+13	Down	-$14	05-12 12:29
highest temperature in ankara on march 20 2026 8c	2	$24	14	14	+0	No	+$4	03-20 16:17
highest temperature in shanghai on march 25 2026 16c	8	$23	17	17	+0	Yes	+$9	03-25 07:37
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-17 07:40 UTC	5	$22	22	6	+16	Up	$0	04-17 07:44
highest temperature in shanghai on march 23 2026 16c	3	$22	22	22	+0	Yes	+$12	03-23 03:46
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-17 11:15 UTC	4	$21	12	12	+0	Up	+$1	07-17 11:28
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-09 11:15 UTC	4	$20	11	11	+0	Down	+$1	07-09 11:24
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-10 03:00 UTC	3	$20	11	11	+0	Down	+$0	07-10 03:13
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-19 11:30 UTC	6	$20	54	2	+52	Down	+$1	02-19 11:39
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-15 03:45 UTC	3	$20	10	10	+0	Up	+$0	07-15 03:56
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-10 10:30 UTC	5	$20	23	0	+23	Up	-$2	07-10 10:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-16 04:30 UTC	2	$20	20	0	+20	Down	+$0	07-16 04:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-16 11:45 UTC	4	$20	13	11	+2	Down	-$2	07-16 11:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-10 11:30 UTC	6	$19	11	11	+0	Down	+$1	07-10 11:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	11	$19	33	0	+33	Up	+$15	10-21 09:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	9	$19	22	0	+22	Down	+$0	05-07 11:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	5	$18	27	0	+27	Down	-$2	05-07 11:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-13 14:25 UTC	4	$18	33	33	+0	Down	-$4	03-13 14:29
highest temperature in shanghai on march 23 2026 15c	3	$17	15	15	+0	No	+$3	03-23 04:32
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-19 14:30 UTC	4	$17	30	0	+30	Up	+$5	02-19 14:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	5	$17	11	6	+5	Down	+$0	05-07 08:58
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-21 10:45 UTC	4	$17	22	0	+22	Down	$0	07-21 10:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	11	$17	32	0	+32	Down	-$2	04-25 10:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-16 04:45 UTC	6	$16	16	9	+7	Up	-$8	07-16 04:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-09 12:00 UTC	6	$16	9	9	+0	Down	+$0	07-09 12:11

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-31 22:02:15	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 6PM ET	Up	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xa5cdab…
10-31 20:56:19	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 4PM ET	Down	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x799ade…
10-31 19:45:45	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 3PM ET	Down	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x0c3b96…
10-31 18:45:27	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 2PM ET	Up	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x0f9a38…
10-31 18:29:45	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 31, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x426bab…
10-31 18:29:34	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 31, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x23d698…
10-31 18:14:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x87ca75…
10-31 16:45:54	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 12PM ET	Up	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x795f42…
10-31 15:59:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xb0b20d…
10-31 15:34:30	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 11AM ET	Up	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x566017…
10-31 14:54:40	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 10AM ET	Down	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x176553…
10-31 14:54:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x57e7c1…
10-31 13:34:16	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 9AM ET	Down	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x192ebe…
10-31 13:09:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x3117ca…
10-31 13:05:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0xd51b9c…
10-31 12:58:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0xc3e6dd…
10-31 12:56:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x6df3ec…
10-31 12:37:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xf5a6a1…
10-31 12:36:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x5a3702…
10-31 12:36:06	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 8AM ET	Up	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x1d25de…
10-31 12:29:18	XRP Up or Down - October 31, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x017d3f…
10-31 12:14:19	BNB Up or Down - October 31, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x864329…
10-31 11:36:04	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 7AM ET	Up	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0xadaa66…
10-31 10:58:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	SELL	1	87¢	$1	0xe5d235…
10-31 10:58:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0xc43c7a…
10-31 10:47:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x9d1af0…
10-31 10:45:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x26603a…
10-31 10:44:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x1e9342…
10-31 10:43:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x1c2f07…
10-31 10:14:22	BNB Up or Down - October 31, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x2985b1…
10-31 09:44:18	Solana Up or Down - October 31, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xc752b4…
10-31 09:32:42	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 5AM ET	Up	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x09343f…
10-31 08:33:10	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 4AM ET	Down	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x4343f1…
10-31 07:59:24	BNB Up or Down - October 31, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x44ed6e…
10-31 07:53:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	72¢	$1	0x4e7296…
10-31 07:43:10	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 3AM ET	Down	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xbeb1fd…
10-31 07:33:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0xe9d741…
10-31 07:29:22	BNB Up or Down - October 31, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x4917d9…
10-31 07:29:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xe89ce6…
10-31 07:17:37	BNB Up or Down - October 31, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xef7104…
10-31 06:51:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Up	SELL	2	86¢	$1	0xd45ccc…
10-31 06:51:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xd54088…
10-31 06:47:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x0723d5…
10-31 06:46:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x3eb8a2…
10-31 06:43:55	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 2AM ET	Up	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x4a2d2d…
10-31 06:29:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x7e2c1a…
10-31 06:14:19	XRP Up or Down - October 31, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xd9aeeb…
10-31 05:51:39	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 1AM ET	Up	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xee57d4…
10-31 05:49:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x6f2e16…
10-31 05:47:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Down	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xfb4109…
10-31 05:44:27	BNB Up or Down - October 31, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x9b3ac2…
10-31 05:33:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	SELL	3	98¢	$3	0xa8f62b…
10-31 05:31:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xc2f1a7…
10-31 05:31:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x3a2c8f…
10-31 05:31:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xebc3cf…
10-31 05:29:18	XRP Up or Down - October 31, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xb3a3fc…
10-31 05:28:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xd4ca16…
10-31 05:28:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x589bc3…
10-31 04:59:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x7454f7…
10-31 03:59:19	BNB Up or Down - October 30, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xf05beb…
10-31 03:29:27	XRP Up or Down - October 30, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xe763a2…
10-31 01:30:04	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 9PM ET	Down	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x369110…
10-31 01:14:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xf0b371…
10-31 00:59:18	XRP Up or Down - October 30, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x3924a5…
10-31 00:44:19	XRP Up or Down - October 30, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x16e2af…
10-31 00:42:28	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 8PM ET	Up	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x140808…
10-31 00:29:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x5adb78…
10-30 23:59:24	XRP Up or Down - October 30, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x8c13e4…
10-30 23:34:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 7PM ET	Up	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xeefa9e…
10-30 23:29:18	XRP Up or Down - October 30, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x4f43dd…
10-30 22:55:40	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 6PM ET	Down	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x039a53…
10-30 21:00:03	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 4PM ET	Up	BUY	107	1¢	$1	0x6bf678…
10-30 20:44:18	XRP Up or Down - October 30, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xbe2e92…
10-30 20:29:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x109abb…
10-30 20:04:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x4aad39…
10-30 19:59:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	93¢	$2	0x1de760…
10-30 19:44:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	97¢	$2	0x6fe8f3…
10-30 19:29:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x0990cf…
10-30 18:44:36	XRP Up or Down - October 30, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x9c1679…
10-30 18:27:54	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 2PM ET	Down	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x177a02…
10-30 17:38:40	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 1PM ET	Up	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x9c70ab…
10-30 17:24:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x41a631…
10-30 17:19:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x70e9db…
10-30 16:44:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xd89c2c…
10-30 16:40:21	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 12PM ET	Up	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xe2dca5…
10-30 16:39:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x5bd01f…
10-30 16:19:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x6d6bd9…
10-30 16:14:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x40b3c7…
10-30 15:43:07	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 11AM ET	Up	SELL	1	13¢	$0	0xf7d444…
10-30 15:18:21	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 11AM ET	Up	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x1fc6f1…
10-30 14:48:12	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x0252a8…
10-30 14:19:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	3	96¢	$3	0x209fa4…
10-30 13:46:40	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 9AM ET	Down	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x90ce8f…
10-30 13:46:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9AM ET	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x1c6ddd…
10-30 13:39:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x1c6df1…
10-30 13:14:18	BNB Up or Down - October 30, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x0f305d…
10-30 12:39:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	3	96¢	$2	0x4f5b17…
10-30 11:59:19	BNB Up or Down - October 30, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xe1fc6e…
10-30 11:19:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xc9ac1c…
10-30 11:19:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x85355f…