Jovial-Vendor — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.04K

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

163

lifetime

Volume

$8.60K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$53

Open exposure

4 positions

First seen

2026-01-08

last 07-05 22:50

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

92% 0% $-1,044

Other

7% — —

Crypto

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

18 active days in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Russia enter Kharkiv by December 31, 2026?	No	+5	$5	91¢	$5	$-0	07-05 14:23
Will Russia capture Prymorske by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+9	$2	22¢	$2	$-0	07-05 14:26
Probable FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	+6	$1	12¢	$1	+$0	07-05 22:27
Will GTA 6 cost $100+?	No	+0	$0	98¢	$0	+$0	06-28 15:34

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	3	$1.1K	1,100	0	+1,100	open	—	04-30 12:21
will us or israel strike iran on march 6 2026	1	$1000	1,002	0	+1,002	open	—	03-05 20:00
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	5	$793	1,041	205	+836	Yes	$-563	05-08 18:01
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	4	$543	630	630	+0	open	—	04-07 23:28
will us or israel strike iran on march 5 2026	1	$500	502	0	+502	open	—	03-04 17:18
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	4	$481	719	0	+719	Yes	$-481	05-08 18:38
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	4	$329	250	250	+0	open	—	03-07 10:34
Will Trump dance today?	2	$298	300	0	+300	open	—	04-26 22:04
will trump declare war on iran by march 31 2026	8	$287	309	77	+231	open	—	03-09 18:47
iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by march 31	3	$282	320	0	+320	open	—	03-24 20:53
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	3	$248	385	0	+385	open	—	04-07 21:26
Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?	1	$246	247	0	+247	open	—	04-22 19:50
iran strike on israel by february 28	2	$200	103	103	+0	open	—	02-28 08:27
will russia capture kostyantynivka by march 31 872 578	1	$195	0	300	-300	open	—	01-19 02:55
us x iran ceasefire by april 30	4	$190	273	273	+0	open	—	04-07 23:28
will a gulf state strike iran by march 7	4	$168	153	153	+0	open	—	03-03 13:57
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	2	$130	70	70	+0	open	—	03-03 20:38
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	4	$128	94	94	+0	open	—	03-06 16:29
us strikes iran by january 14 2026 913	2	$111	417	0	+417	open	—	01-14 20:02
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	6	$109	240	240	+0	open	—	04-03 16:09
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	1	$100	132	0	+132	open	—	02-28 08:10
will putin meet with zelenskyy by march 31 2026	1	$97	0	100	-100	open	—	02-17 21:04
iran x israelus conflict ends by march 7	11	$79	100	0	+100	open	—	02-28 20:28
Will Trump declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?	1	$69	90	0	+90	open	—	04-04 04:59
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	2	$66	100	100	+0	open	—	01-12 02:20
us strikes iran by january 15 2026 652 612	2	$64	200	200	+0	open	—	01-15 11:16
will russia capture all of kupiansk by march 31	1	$64	0	65	-65	open	—	02-25 14:56
will saudi arabia strike iran by march 31	5	$63	101	60	+41	open	—	03-10 20:20
israel strikes iran by january 16 2026 418	2	$63	138	138	+0	open	—	01-15 11:16
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?	1	$56	60	0	+60	open	—	04-07 20:39

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-06 08:27:14	ukraine election called by august 31 2026	No	BUY	10	91¢	$9	0x22be6e…
07-05 22:50:46	israeli parliament dissolved by july 15	No	SELL	5	84¢	$4	0x8d28f9…
07-05 22:49:55	israeli parliament dissolved by july 15	No	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0xf8e1a4…
07-05 22:27:04	Probable FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	6	10¢	$1	0xb2527a…
07-05 20:58:38	will trump meet with keir starmer in july 2026 20260626153701910	Yes	SELL	6	93¢	$6	0xed1d89…
07-05 20:20:05	will trump meet with keir starmer in july 2026 20260626153701910	Yes	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0xbfd152…
07-05 16:47:53	ukraine election called by august 31 2026	No	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0x6f4852…
07-05 14:26:23	Will Russia capture Prymorske by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x14da75…
07-05 14:25:25	Will Russia capture Prymorske by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x928c2d…
07-05 14:23:32	Will Russia enter Kharkiv by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x4eea15…
07-05 14:21:50	Will Russia enter Kharkiv by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	4	91¢	$4	0xaa2045…
06-30 19:04:14	will openais valuation hit high 1pt0t by december 31 846 461	Yes	SELL	5	74¢	$4	0xf8fdbc…
06-28 19:27:23	will openais valuation hit high 1pt0t by december 31 846 461	Yes	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x3918d5…
06-28 15:34:08	Will GTA 6 cost $100+?	No	SELL	0	97¢	$0	0x9d1a3e…
06-28 15:25:34	Will GTA 6 cost $100+?	No	SELL	0	97¢	$0	0xf1e9d0…
06-28 15:20:07	Will GTA 6 cost $100+?	No	SELL	0	97¢	$0	0x5d7bca…
06-28 15:12:16	Will GTA 6 cost $100+?	No	SELL	0	97¢	$0	0xeb2c1a…
06-28 14:58:38	Will GTA 6 cost $100+?	No	SELL	0	97¢	$0	0x60cbb1…
06-27 22:50:25	Will GTA 6 cost $100+?	No	SELL	0	97¢	$0	0x20f15e…
06-27 22:04:32	Will GTA 6 cost $100+?	No	SELL	0	97¢	$0	0x820d08…
06-27 21:56:20	Will GTA 6 cost $100+?	No	SELL	0	97¢	$0	0x20f49e…
06-27 21:29:44	Will GTA 6 cost $100+?	No	SELL	0	97¢	$0	0x0557e6…
06-27 21:21:19	Will GTA 6 cost $100+?	No	SELL	0	97¢	$0	0xa431ae…
06-27 18:08:25	Will GTA 6 cost $100+?	No	SELL	0	97¢	$0	0xc6d9a4…
06-27 18:07:49	Will GTA 6 cost $100+?	No	SELL	0	97¢	$0	0x0d87fd…
06-27 18:07:16	Will GTA 6 cost $100+?	No	SELL	0	97¢	$0	0x699d53…
06-27 14:19:52	Will Donald Trump visit India in 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	20¢	$1	0x03f3b0…
06-27 12:44:59	Will Donald Trump visit India in 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0x4b1a8f…
06-24 21:01:01	Will GTA 6 cost $100+?	No	SELL	0	97¢	$0	0x607e7f…
06-24 20:55:02	Will GTA 6 cost $100+?	No	SELL	0	97¢	$0	0x400b68…
06-24 20:54:19	Will GTA 6 cost $100+?	No	SELL	0	97¢	$0	0x47c3df…
06-24 20:44:08	Will GTA 6 cost $100+?	No	SELL	0	97¢	$0	0xd4343d…
06-22 16:04:05	Will GTA 6 cost $100+?	No	SELL	0	94¢	$0	0x20d8cc…
06-21 14:33:37	Will GTA 6 cost $100+?	No	SELL	0	93¢	$0	0xf03c1f…
06-09 16:54:36	Will GTA 6 cost $100+?	No	SELL	0	91¢	$0	0x86eb3e…
06-09 16:50:28	Will GTA 6 cost $100+?	No	SELL	0	91¢	$0	0xfa4569…
06-08 21:37:43	Will GTA 6 cost $100+?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x8b7f35…
05-08 18:38:19	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	106	47¢	$50	0x01c328…
05-08 18:36:09	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	46	44¢	$20	0xc19848…
05-08 18:31:01	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	167	60¢	$100	0x47a027…
05-08 18:19:34	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	400	78¢	$311	0x5af803…
05-08 18:01:01	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	No	BUY	300	67¢	$201	0x7ab262…
05-01 09:36:24	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	No	BUY	441	68¢	$300	0x69cf67…
04-30 12:21:22	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	300	99¢	$296	0x545cea…
04-26 22:04:48	Will Trump dance today?	Yes	BUY	197	99¢	$195	0xefab6b…
04-26 22:01:44	Will Trump dance today?	Yes	BUY	103	99¢	$102	0x866fa3…
04-24 06:09:04	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	534	99¢	$528	0x5388f2…
04-23 10:44:28	btc updown 15m 1776940200	Down	BUY	20	73¢	$15	0x3fcc01…
04-23 10:41:38	btc updown 15m 1776940200	Down	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xa7ee85…
04-23 10:36:30	btc updown 15m 1776940200	Down	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x729b52…
04-23 10:24:04	btc updown 15m 1776939300	Down	BUY	10	11¢	$1	0x26ca2d…
04-23 10:05:00	btc updown 15m 1776938400	Down	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0xb1802e…
04-23 09:50:16	btc updown 15m 1776937500	Down	BUY	20	90¢	$18	0xf3e3a9…
04-22 20:23:34	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	266	99¢	$263	0x052cdb…
04-22 19:50:14	Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?	No	BUY	247	99¢	$246	0x7ce6a5…
04-18 15:57:36	btc updown 15m 1776527100	Down	SELL	1	11¢	$0	0x9bf8d7…
04-18 15:53:50	btc updown 15m 1776527100	Down	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x2475a6…
04-07 23:28:51	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	No	SELL	273	0¢	$1	0x450a45…
04-07 23:28:45	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	SELL	630	1¢	$7	0xdefed6…
04-07 21:26:05	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	No	BUY	110	65¢	$72	0x1df789…
04-07 21:03:47	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	BUY	68	73¢	$50	0x0a934b…
04-07 20:39:55	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?	No	BUY	60	93¢	$56	0x6b903d…
04-07 20:13:49	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	BUY	462	87¢	$400	0xdc1d8b…
04-07 20:12:35	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	BUY	100	86¢	$86	0x774784…
04-04 06:42:53	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	No	BUY	75	64¢	$48	0x729bc6…
04-04 04:59:41	Will Trump declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	90	76¢	$69	0xb39589…
04-03 20:30:57	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	No	BUY	31	81¢	$25	0x648149…
04-03 19:57:07	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	No	BUY	72	83¢	$60	0x3342b1…
04-03 16:09:59	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	SELL	120	12¢	$14	0x371126…
04-03 16:04:35	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	SELL	120	12¢	$14	0x617866…
04-03 11:55:29	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	91	22¢	$20	0x724c38…
04-01 21:17:59	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	No	BUY	200	64¢	$128	0xfaebc7…
04-01 19:47:53	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0x668199…
04-01 16:46:11	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	No	BUY	170	61¢	$104	0x15c693…
03-30 14:47:37	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	59	34¢	$20	0x8e2621…
03-26 11:47:31	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	BUY	35	87¢	$30	0x26f8e2…
03-24 20:53:57	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by march 31	No	BUY	220	90¢	$198	0xe008ef…
03-21 20:41:47	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	68	44¢	$30	0x8769f2…
03-19 14:19:41	us announces military coordination with kurds in iran by march 31	No	SELL	3	96¢	$3	0x1432f7…
03-19 13:54:07	us announces military coordination with kurds in iran by march 31	No	SELL	17	96¢	$17	0x7304d2…
03-10 20:20:07	will saudi arabia strike iran by march 31	No	SELL	0	82¢	$0	0x2264a9…
03-10 20:14:19	will jordan strike iran by march 31	No	SELL	0	93¢	$0	0x321571…
03-10 19:58:53	will jordan strike iran by march 31	No	SELL	0	92¢	$0	0x22514a…
03-09 19:42:27	trump announces end of military operations against iran by march 31st	No	SELL	50	49¢	$24	0x837a93…
03-09 19:21:47	trump announces end of military operations against iran by march 31st	No	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x78dd89…
03-09 19:21:47	trump announces end of military operations against iran by march 31st	No	BUY	45	62¢	$28	0x2a4871…
03-09 18:47:43	will trump declare war on iran by march 31 2026	No	SELL	16	89¢	$14	0x556fb2…
03-09 18:43:21	will trump declare war on iran by march 31 2026	No	SELL	7	88¢	$7	0xd5f008…
03-09 17:42:51	will trump declare war on iran by march 31 2026	No	SELL	25	88¢	$22	0x9f1415…
03-09 16:08:59	will trump declare war on iran by march 31 2026	No	SELL	29	88¢	$25	0x1653e1…
03-09 09:57:43	US forces enter Iran by December 31?	No	SELL	75	33¢	$25	0x80617f…
03-09 09:57:29	US forces enter Iran by December 31?	No	SELL	2	33¢	$0	0x2ebc08…
03-09 09:54:39	us forces enter iran by march 14 337	Yes	BUY	30	24¢	$7	0xe54f9f…
03-08 23:00:35	will trump declare war on iran by march 31 2026	No	BUY	60	82¢	$49	0x03b01c…
03-08 15:08:15	will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 15 153 144 999 648 116 955 829 149	Yes	SELL	20	83¢	$17	0x0a01cc…
03-07 21:52:11	US forces enter Iran by December 31?	No	BUY	77	39¢	$30	0x55ebf6…
03-07 19:28:03	will jordan strike iran by march 31	No	BUY	30	92¢	$28	0xe22476…
03-07 10:34:23	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	SELL	250	67¢	$167	0xe1bf36…
03-07 00:14:09	us announces military coordination with kurds in iran by march 31	No	BUY	20	53¢	$10	0x3c87f1…
03-06 23:37:29	us announces military coordination with kurds in iran by march 31	No	BUY	0	53¢	$0	0x624836…