Posh-Ground — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$14

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

57.4%

Resolved

Trades

940

lifetime

Volume

$13.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$14

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-18

last 06-03 22:50

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

59% 100% +$23

Politics

16% 0% $-2

Sports

12% 0% $-7

Crypto

7% — —

Tech

6% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?	6	$777	2,145	2,075	+70	open	—	04-07 11:14
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	13	$664	1,740	1,740	+0	open	—	04-20 20:06
will scottie scheffler win the 2026 masters tournament	3	$595	1,653	1,653	+0	open	—	04-09 20:02
Will Real Madrid reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?	4	$447	951	951	+0	open	—	04-15 19:07
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	14	$423	2,286	2,286	+0	open	—	04-18 12:30
mlb stl wsh 2026 04 06	2	$406	455	444	+11	open	—	04-07 00:18
Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?	3	$346	888	888	+0	open	—	04-06 22:13
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	2	$334	927	927	+0	open	—	04-04 21:39
cbb uconn duke 2026 03 29	16	$319	477	475	+2	open	—	03-28 17:27
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?	9	$282	1,057	1,020	+37	open	—	04-06 15:13
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	8	$274	1,618	1,618	+0	open	—	03-28 17:30
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	2	$255	597	563	+34	open	—	04-08 14:09
Will France win Eurovision 2026?	14	$236	1,072	1,072	+0	open	—	04-22 15:57
sea int cag 2026 04 17 int	2	$224	613	598	+15	open	—	04-14 18:49
epl mac ars 2026 04 19 ars	2	$223	513	501	+12	open	—	04-16 15:30
JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	2	$219	813	813	+0	open	—	04-09 16:28
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	3	$204	2,349	2,349	+0	open	—	04-02 01:27
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?	2	$199	621	584	+37	open	—	04-16 18:45
lal rea gir 2026 04 10 rea	2	$199	428	418	+10	open	—	04-07 19:00
Will Trump visit China by May 31?	8	$197	537	537	+0	open	—	03-27 18:22
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	26	$161	341	341	+0	open	—	03-28 16:57
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April?	6	$157	776	748	+28	open	—	04-22 08:20
will ludvig aberg win the 2026 masters tournament	2	$139	1,352	1,352	+0	open	—	04-07 11:11
will another country conduct military action against iran by april 15 2026	2	$138	576	576	+0	open	—	04-07 16:21
bitcoin above 72k on april 5	3	$128	1,312	1,223	+89	open	—	04-02 02:10
us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by april 15	2	$126	839	839	+0	open	—	04-02 02:34
bitboy convicted	8	$124	724	724	+0	open	—	03-26 15:32
will the virginia redistricting referendum pass	16	$121	343	343	+0	open	—	04-18 16:48
elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 340 359	17	$111	1,145	1,145	+0	open	—	03-23 19:02
elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 320 339	9	$111	791	791	+0	open	—	03-27 23:47

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-03 22:50:37	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	18	17¢	$3	0x940b7d…
05-19 20:42:54	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	Yes	SELL	63	15¢	$9	0x98eaff…
05-19 14:54:23	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	Yes	SELL	46	22¢	$10	0x0aa66c…
05-19 09:04:23	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	63	18¢	$11	0x018a94…
05-19 08:00:18	Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in May?	Yes	SELL	96	7¢	$7	0x5d1bf9…
05-19 07:57:49	Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in May?	Yes	SELL	5	7¢	$0	0xacfdf7…
05-18 15:57:08	Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in May?	Yes	BUY	101	12¢	$12	0x3ebd4f…
05-18 14:53:08	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	Yes	BUY	46	23¢	$11	0xced6f2…
05-12 07:09:54	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	Yes	SELL	154	4¢	$6	0x5d7cdb…
05-11 16:39:48	Paris: Chloe Paquet vs Maya Joint	Chloe Paquet	SELL	66	50¢	$33	0x692260…
05-11 16:21:24	Paris: Chloe Paquet vs Maya Joint	Chloe Paquet	BUY	66	15¢	$10	0xeea863…
05-09 22:05:42	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	Yes	BUY	154	6¢	$10	0xcfd5a4…
05-09 21:00:00	NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Cavaliers vs. Pistons	Cavs	SELL	40	22¢	$9	0x58c31e…
05-08 19:37:54	NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Cavaliers vs. Pistons	Cavs	BUY	40	21¢	$8	0x5f75a5…
05-08 15:58:26	Epstein suicide note released by May 8?	Yes	SELL	71	1¢	$1	0xd4f330…
05-08 15:58:17	Epstein suicide note released by May 8?	Yes	SELL	7	1¢	$0	0x1f8a07…
05-08 04:04:26	Epstein suicide note released by May 8?	Yes	BUY	79	15¢	$12	0x6e28bf…
05-02 00:02:52	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	Yes	SELL	126	6¢	$8	0x53137e…
05-02 00:01:38	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	Yes	SELL	28	6¢	$2	0x0ef357…
05-02 00:01:26	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	Yes	SELL	31	6¢	$2	0x2b538c…
05-02 00:00:34	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	6¢	$0	0xbc274d…
05-01 20:13:12	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	Yes	BUY	186	7¢	$14	0x480300…
04-30 14:58:04	NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Lakers vs. Rockets	Rockets	SELL	48	24¢	$11	0xca0008…
04-28 22:02:04	NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Lakers vs. Rockets	Rockets	BUY	48	11¢	$5	0x27781c…
04-27 16:33:38	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	245	3¢	$7	0x2d807b…
04-27 05:37:18	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	257	5¢	$13	0x35e204…
04-27 00:16:48	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on April 28?	Yes	SELL	154	7¢	$10	0xf77dff…
04-27 00:16:04	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on April 28?	Yes	BUY	165	7¢	$11	0x47b67a…
04-27 00:00:26	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	SELL	135	8¢	$11	0x05fa9d…
04-26 00:55:24	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	135	9¢	$12	0xf4b913…
04-24 15:55:14	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	BUY	61	12¢	$7	0x4b8835…
04-23 23:34:18	nba nyk atl 2026 04 23	Knicks	SELL	10	33¢	$3	0xbc8b78…
04-23 19:15:36	nba nyk atl 2026 04 23	Knicks	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xae7b44…
04-23 14:16:14	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	Yes	SELL	130	12¢	$16	0xe74d39…
04-22 23:31:38	New York Yankees vs. Boston Red Sox	Boston Red Sox	SELL	99	10¢	$10	0x952ac2…
04-22 23:07:06	New York Yankees vs. Boston Red Sox	Boston Red Sox	BUY	102	19¢	$19	0x2ec9f3…
04-22 15:57:32	Will France win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	SELL	99	11¢	$11	0x58ee2e…
04-22 14:15:04	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	Yes	BUY	130	16¢	$21	0x0b54b9…
04-22 08:20:30	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April?	Yes	SELL	94	9¢	$8	0x6b87eb…
04-22 00:43:16	Minnesota Twins vs. New York Mets	Minnesota Twins	SELL	119	20¢	$24	0xf3f987…
04-22 00:40:12	Minnesota Twins vs. New York Mets	Minnesota Twins	SELL	54	24¢	$13	0x2f3fd4…
04-22 00:11:40	Minnesota Twins vs. New York Mets	Minnesota Twins	BUY	179	10¢	$18	0xa28a2d…
04-21 23:17:14	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in April?	Yes	SELL	84	16¢	$14	0x7e50fd…
04-21 21:39:46	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?	Yes	SELL	226	4¢	$10	0xaebcbc…
04-21 20:47:36	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in April?	Yes	BUY	87	27¢	$23	0xab5da7…
04-21 19:43:44	Will Russia enter Verkhnia Tersa by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	114	2¢	$2	0x81061f…
04-21 19:40:42	Will Russia enter Verkhnia Tersa by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	2	3¢	$0	0xd88e75…
04-21 19:40:42	Will Russia enter Verkhnia Tersa by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	100	3¢	$3	0x0c3d92…
04-21 19:30:46	Savannah: Michael Antonius vs Mitchell Krueger	Michael Antonius	SELL	82	7¢	$6	0xcd9eb6…
04-21 19:14:26	Savannah: Michael Antonius vs Mitchell Krueger	Michael Antonius	BUY	85	12¢	$10	0xdeed21…
04-21 16:31:10	Will Russia enter Verkhnia Tersa by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	216	6¢	$13	0xa64209…
04-21 14:01:12	Oeiras 4: Matilde Jorge vs Lucia Bronzetti	Matilde Jorge	SELL	437	2¢	$9	0xe90767…
04-21 13:57:26	Oeiras 4: Matilde Jorge vs Lucia Bronzetti	Matilde Jorge	BUY	450	4¢	$18	0xbf74d8…
04-21 12:21:02	Will France win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	99	12¢	$12	0xeeb043…
04-21 08:48:38	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 25?	No	SELL	329	3¢	$9	0xbea9a7…
04-21 08:29:52	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 25?	No	BUY	353	5¢	$19	0x97e17a…
04-21 08:17:54	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April?	Yes	BUY	98	13¢	$13	0xfffbf4…
04-20 20:06:48	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	SELL	54	27¢	$15	0xf075dd…
04-20 20:02:36	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	242	8¢	$20	0xf7aa8b…
04-20 12:08:42	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?	No	SELL	82	10¢	$8	0xd502fa…
04-20 08:18:18	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?	No	BUY	82	17¢	$14	0x29ba20…
04-19 20:05:24	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	BUY	54	24¢	$13	0x206ff9…
04-18 16:48:52	will the virginia redistricting referendum pass	No	SELL	154	12¢	$18	0x7321d3…
04-18 16:46:50	Will Denmark win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	SELL	255	10¢	$26	0xc1f2ab…
04-18 12:30:50	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	SELL	388	4¢	$16	0xa3c894…
04-18 03:14:00	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in April?	Yes	SELL	272	4¢	$11	0x04eb1f…
04-18 01:11:48	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in April?	Yes	BUY	283	7¢	$20	0x7d90ff…
04-17 13:05:38	trump announces us x iran ceasefire end by april 21 2026	Yes	SELL	241	5¢	$12	0xd1ca51…
04-17 12:57:00	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April?	Yes	SELL	361	16¢	$58	0xedbe32…
04-17 12:46:46	trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 21st	Yes	SELL	214	32¢	$69	0xeafc08…
04-17 09:12:26	Will Denmark win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	255	11¢	$27	0x9c98a2…
04-17 08:46:18	elon musk of tweets april 14 april 21 220 239	Yes	SELL	174	4¢	$7	0xd24230…
04-16 18:45:36	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?	Yes	SELL	584	15¢	$88	0xc26069…
04-16 18:37:20	mlb laa nyy 2026 04 16	Los Angeles Angels	SELL	101	21¢	$21	0xb582ac…
04-16 15:30:48	epl mac ars 2026 04 19 ars	Yes	SELL	501	21¢	$105	0xcae545…
04-16 13:12:26	mlb laa nyy 2026 04 16	Los Angeles Angels	BUY	103	29¢	$30	0xb1a180…
04-16 13:03:50	trump announces us x iran ceasefire end by april 21 2026	Yes	BUY	241	8¢	$19	0xe1b47a…
04-16 13:02:50	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April?	Yes	BUY	375	8¢	$30	0x8e4173…
04-16 13:02:34	Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	411	6¢	$25	0xea9df6…
04-16 13:02:20	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	388	6¢	$23	0xaf8c5e…
04-16 12:51:46	trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 21st	Yes	BUY	214	14¢	$30	0xf3a8c6…
04-16 12:31:12	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	SELL	518	18¢	$93	0xab19c6…
04-16 04:31:02	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	BUY	518	25¢	$130	0x6e3805…
04-15 21:45:58	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	621	18¢	$112	0x970e71…
04-15 19:56:42	Will Arsenal reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?	No	SELL	128	9¢	$11	0xe7823c…
04-15 19:46:18	Will Sporting CP reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?	Yes	SELL	167	9¢	$15	0x2f430d…
04-15 19:44:34	Will Sporting CP reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?	Yes	SELL	0	10¢	$0	0x892e9a…
04-15 19:43:00	Will Sporting CP reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?	Yes	SELL	15	10¢	$2	0x4a3b02…
04-15 19:29:40	elon musk of tweets april 14 april 21 220 239	Yes	BUY	182	11¢	$20	0x0192c9…
04-15 19:07:44	Will Real Madrid reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?	Yes	SELL	0	30¢	$0	0x99106b…
04-15 19:04:36	Will Real Madrid reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?	Yes	SELL	945	32¢	$302	0x42d5f8…
04-15 19:04:30	Will Real Madrid reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?	Yes	SELL	6	32¢	$2	0x214281…
04-15 18:38:00	will the virginia redistricting referendum pass	No	BUY	154	13¢	$20	0xdca5ad…
04-15 17:50:22	Will Arsenal reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?	No	BUY	128	11¢	$14	0xb30f06…
04-15 15:37:48	Will Sporting CP reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?	Yes	BUY	182	11¢	$20	0x36bbd0…
04-15 08:47:52	Will Real Madrid reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?	Yes	BUY	951	15¢	$143	0x0eeb33…
04-14 18:49:16	sea int cag 2026 04 17 int	No	SELL	598	18¢	$108	0x0be48d…
04-14 07:37:07	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	SELL	397	22¢	$87	0x982056…
04-14 07:36:51	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	SELL	5	22¢	$1	0x493070…
04-14 07:36:27	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	SELL	308	22¢	$68	0x4ca65b…