Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$8.14K

Unrealized P&L

+$630

Hit rate

66.2%

Resolved

253

Trades

2,290

lifetime

Volume

$471.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$206

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-06-08

last 09-02 12:19

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 60 days

Categories

Politics

52% 62% +$5,418

Other

46% 37% -$15,932

Sports

3% 79% +$2,374

Crypto

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

7 active days in 12wk • peak 19 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
US strike on Cuba by December 31?	No		+0	-$630	92¢	$0	+$630	06-24 12:38

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	115	$54.9K	40,000	40,000	+0	open	—	08-22 19:48
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	56	$29.8K	15,863	15,863	+0	No	+$651	06-13 20:38
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	29	$24.5K	28,750	28,750	+0	Yes	+$4,850	06-17 15:23
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	52	$19.8K	45,059	45,059	+0	No	-$7,925	07-13 12:20
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	184	$11.3K	15,000	14,999	+1	No	-$565	06-26 12:46
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	31	$10.6K	8,000	8,000	+0	Yes	+$3,320	06-14 22:59
us and iran sign an agreement by july 31 2026 20260611221049854	8	$9.8K	5,097	5,097	+0	Yes	+$348	06-15 15:38
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.0T and $1.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?	8	$9.3K	10,000	0	+10,000	No	+$747	06-24 14:29
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	26	$8.9K	4,711	4,711	+0	Yes	+$368	06-18 18:38
will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	40	$8.6K	10,015	10,015	+0	Yes	-$6,004	07-13 14:20
israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	23	$7.7K	5,010	5,010	+0	Yes	+$349	08-01 07:04
bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	8	$7.5K	4,000	4,000	+0	No	+$156	08-02 20:52
us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	47	$7.4K	7,000	7,000	+0	No	+$203	08-05 10:00
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	65	$7.4K	28,200	28,200	+0	No	-$2,718	08-10 06:56
iran full airspace closure by july 15 20260625195254149	17	$7.1K	4,000	4,000	+0	No	+$334	07-15 13:11
israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	38	$7.1K	5,165	5,165	+0	Yes	-$338	08-11 21:29
will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	9	$6.9K	6,000	3,000	+3,000	No	+$554	07-01 16:07
us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	4	$6.8K	4,000	4,000	+0	Yes	+$1,036	06-17 01:00
us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 436	13	$6.6K	4,479	3,000	+1,479	Yes	+$311	06-20 17:20
us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	32	$6.6K	11,333	2,991	+8,342	Yes	+$3,258	08-02 03:04
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 12 2482	13	$6.0K	3,314	3,314	+0	No	+$402	06-14 03:32
israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968 384 155 519 798 243	18	$5.9K	3,500	3,500	+0	Yes	+$680	07-31 21:11
iran full airspace closure by august 15	32	$5.9K	4,368	4,368	+0	No	-$397	08-10 23:12
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	13	$5.8K	5,106	5,106	+0	No	-$1,271	06-25 15:03
US strike on Cuba by December 31?	83	$5.8K	6,000	6,000	+0	open	—	06-24 12:38
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.5T and $3.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?	52	$5.8K	3,000	3,000	+0	No	+$216	06-29 14:12
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 13	11	$5.7K	3,000	3,000	+0	No	+$255	06-16 12:40
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	7	$5.6K	3,000	3,000	+0	No	+$148	06-13 15:16
will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	8	$5.1K	5,352	5,352	+0	Yes	-$3,845	08-12 20:59
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	33	$4.8K	26,000	26,000	+0	No	-$856	06-24 13:16

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-02 12:19:01	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	51	57¢	$29	0xb08a3f…
08-22 19:48:57	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	798	29¢	$231	0x132aaf…
08-22 19:12:36	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	1,064	29¢	$309	0xb428b5…
08-22 17:23:16	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	20	29¢	$6	0xb665ff…
08-22 15:58:33	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	50	29¢	$14	0x11a82b…
08-22 15:57:09	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	50	29¢	$14	0x3c7c80…
08-22 15:40:13	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	1,000	29¢	$290	0xbf3b30…
08-22 15:40:06	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	1,000	29¢	$290	0xa7ec94…
08-22 15:39:52	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	1,000	29¢	$290	0x7f447a…
08-22 15:38:46	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	10	29¢	$3	0x846b99…
08-22 15:38:39	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	582	29¢	$169	0x144b9c…
08-22 15:14:10	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	51	56¢	$29	0x274329…
08-22 15:11:45	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	60	29¢	$17	0xf655f4…
08-22 15:11:40	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	117	29¢	$34	0x9c07b7…
08-22 15:11:28	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	4	29¢	$1	0xd3322d…
08-22 15:11:28	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	7	29¢	$2	0x8bfd2e…
08-22 15:11:27	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	40	29¢	$12	0x58ba79…
08-22 15:11:27	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	9	29¢	$3	0x1ddf82…
08-22 15:11:24	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	20	29¢	$6	0xd84416…
08-22 15:11:24	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	14,170	29¢	$4,109	0x7ad17f…
08-15 04:34:15	ufc isl ian1 2026 08 15	Islam Makhachev	BUY	1,000	75¢	$750	0xf7b25b…
08-13 08:08:55	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	SELL	738	16¢	$118	0xa286fd…
08-13 07:50:15	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	SELL	5	16¢	$1	0xe96780…
08-13 06:47:19	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	SELL	125	16¢	$20	0xf5b425…
08-13 06:36:55	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	SELL	12	16¢	$2	0xfb44bb…
08-13 06:10:36	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	SELL	94	16¢	$15	0xa985f6…
08-13 05:41:24	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	SELL	50	16¢	$8	0xdf6ddb…
08-13 04:56:28	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	SELL	50	16¢	$8	0x3a2ed7…
08-13 04:45:25	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	SELL	19	16¢	$3	0x1ac0de…
08-13 03:09:00	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	SELL	3,907	16¢	$625	0x6f2c8e…
08-12 20:59:39	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	No	SELL	4,990	12¢	$599	0x249ad3…
08-12 20:53:57	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	No	SELL	362	12¢	$43	0x8cf830…
08-11 21:35:01	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	No	BUY	1,652	79¢	$1,305	0x755ec7…
08-11 21:29:27	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	Yes	SELL	1,300	97¢	$1,258	0x2e4d45…
08-11 15:51:21	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	BUY	259	18¢	$47	0xb9535a…
08-11 15:47:13	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	BUY	3,171	18¢	$571	0xd2231b…
08-11 15:43:15	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	Yes	SELL	80	97¢	$77	0xf9dd17…
08-11 15:42:37	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	Yes	SELL	10	97¢	$10	0xe3bc81…
08-11 15:42:21	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	Yes	SELL	10	97¢	$10	0xe37a53…
08-11 15:41:57	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	Yes	SELL	100	97¢	$97	0xf17fbe…
08-11 15:41:30	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	Yes	SELL	100	97¢	$97	0x476c0a…
08-11 15:41:19	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	Yes	SELL	100	97¢	$97	0x3f0448…
08-11 15:40:46	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	Yes	SELL	300	97¢	$290	0xedc91f…
08-11 15:40:04	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	BUY	476	18¢	$86	0x672857…
08-11 15:39:33	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	BUY	980	18¢	$176	0xce959f…
08-11 15:38:06	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 2	No	SELL	360	78¢	$281	0xe4b191…
08-11 05:53:06	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 2	No	BUY	360	82¢	$295	0x7625c3…
08-10 23:12:13	iran full airspace closure by august 15	No	SELL	303	96¢	$292	0x7a4897…
08-10 20:35:06	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	No	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0x0e21bd…
08-10 19:56:40	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	No	BUY	92	84¢	$78	0xbb8285…
08-10 19:42:55	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	No	BUY	211	84¢	$177	0x2bfe2e…
08-10 19:40:42	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	No	BUY	923	84¢	$775	0x32454a…
08-10 15:47:49	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	SELL	4,000	16¢	$640	0xd9014d…
08-10 15:46:55	iran full airspace closure by august 15	No	SELL	205	96¢	$198	0xe7ebd7…
08-10 15:46:34	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 9 20260727170733638	Yes	SELL	200	100¢	$200	0xf2bad6…
08-10 11:46:55	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	No	BUY	2,470	87¢	$2,148	0xe8d4ad…
08-10 07:03:45	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	No	SELL	1,000	87¢	$870	0x2457e9…
08-10 06:56:49	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	SELL	4,462	4¢	$178	0x3d3c14…
08-10 06:55:27	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	SELL	25	4¢	$1	0x4c775f…
08-10 06:47:03	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	SELL	95	4¢	$4	0xde013e…
08-10 06:47:01	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	SELL	6	4¢	$0	0x80f341…
08-10 06:46:46	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	SELL	3,612	4¢	$144	0xc688c6…
08-08 14:19:12	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	BUY	1,209	26¢	$314	0x70845c…
08-08 13:58:16	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	BUY	200	26¢	$52	0x66a952…
08-08 13:38:03	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	BUY	2,591	26¢	$674	0xacde2f…
08-07 10:46:51	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	3,462	13¢	$450	0x3f9525…
08-07 10:42:10	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	12	13¢	$2	0xb229b7…
08-07 10:42:01	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	4,725	13¢	$614	0x54a74f…
08-06 20:15:36	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347	No	BUY	2,000	44¢	$880	0x2f217a…
08-05 17:50:35	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 9 20260727170733638	Yes	BUY	200	96¢	$192	0x56de43…
08-05 13:09:51	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	Yes	BUY	20	89¢	$18	0x202092…
08-05 12:41:08	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	Yes	BUY	1,340	89¢	$1,193	0x207dca…
08-05 10:00:21	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	Yes	SELL	2,000	70¢	$1,400	0x66d10c…
08-05 08:03:54	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	Yes	BUY	640	89¢	$570	0x3063ef…
08-04 00:07:45	Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 350m and 360m?	Yes	SELL	60	0¢	$0	0xa0809d…
08-03 23:52:59	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	Yes	BUY	308	58¢	$179	0xfa918c…
08-03 21:20:00	Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 350m and 360m?	Yes	SELL	4	0¢	$0	0x1cbdcc…
08-03 20:03:18	US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?	Yes	BUY	0	58¢	$0	0xfaa66d…
08-03 20:03:18	US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?	Yes	BUY	0	58¢	$0	0xae3555…
08-03 20:03:18	US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?	Yes	BUY	1	58¢	$1	0x94c2fe…
08-03 19:32:17	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	Yes	BUY	333	58¢	$193	0x1878f1…
08-03 18:18:11	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	Yes	BUY	20	58¢	$12	0x938a9c…
08-03 18:13:36	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	Yes	BUY	0	58¢	$0	0x386acd…
08-03 18:09:47	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	Yes	BUY	50	58¢	$29	0xabab70…
08-03 18:07:54	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	Yes	BUY	95	58¢	$55	0x504f09…
08-03 18:07:27	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	Yes	BUY	8	58¢	$5	0x31eb59…
08-03 18:06:14	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	Yes	BUY	0	58¢	$0	0x918665…
08-03 18:05:48	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	Yes	BUY	0	58¢	$0	0x7dfd74…
08-03 18:05:48	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	Yes	BUY	0	58¢	$0	0x2d0b76…
08-03 18:05:48	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	Yes	BUY	0	58¢	$0	0x2cea8d…
08-03 15:13:57	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	Yes	BUY	500	58¢	$290	0x948516…
08-03 15:05:39	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	Yes	BUY	6	58¢	$3	0x59743f…
08-03 14:50:50	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	Yes	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0x449f52…
08-03 14:44:41	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	Yes	BUY	600	58¢	$348	0x781036…
08-03 14:39:53	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	Yes	BUY	75	58¢	$44	0x540665…
08-02 20:52:09	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	No	SELL	1,800	96¢	$1,728	0x1ffea5…
08-02 13:12:24	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	No	SELL	200	94¢	$188	0xeefac6…
08-02 11:47:06	Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 350m and 360m?	Yes	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x2d93d8…
08-02 10:45:20	Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 350m and 360m?	Yes	BUY	500	74¢	$368	0x56479a…
08-02 10:31:11	Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 350m and 360m?	Yes	BUY	2,649	73¢	$1,937	0xad8bec…