Starchy-Thunderbolt — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$4

Unrealized P&L

-$5

Hit rate

68.3%

Resolved

203

Trades

523

lifetime

Volume

$5.65K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

$16

3 positions

First seen

2026-05-19

last 11-05 19:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 72 days

Categories

Other

95% 44% -$76

Sports

5% 67% +$69

Politics

0% — —

Crypto

0% 50% +$3

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

26 active days in 12wk • peak 29 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	+22	$10	46¢	$10	+$0	10-27 14:00
Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?	Yes	+9	$5	58¢	$5	+$0	08-20 12:44
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	Yes	+0	$6	2¢	$0	-$6	06-04 22:01

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?	4	$312	214	214	+0	Yes	+$113	06-30 18:58
fifwc bra nor 2026 07 05 team to advance	10	$192	275	30	+245	Norway	-$165	07-05 21:41
fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 team to advance	6	$172	110	110	+0	England	+$47	07-11 23:46
Will Canada win on 2026-06-28?	9	$163	124	124	+0	Yes	+$64	06-28 20:52
ufc cir ale30 2026 06 14	4	$156	105	105	+0	Ciryl Gane	+$51	06-15 04:05
fifwc can qat 2026 06 18 total 3pt5	4	$141	83	83	+0	Over	+$23	06-18 23:26
val gm nrg 2026 07 09	13	$141	113	113	+0	NRG	+$53	07-09 18:10
fifwc che col 2026 07 07 team to advance	3	$136	100	100	+0	Switzerland	+$62	07-07 22:51
Will France win on 2026-07-09?	6	$132	115	115	+0	Yes	+$0	07-09 21:16
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	4	$106	245	245	+0	open	—	06-04 22:01
Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-02?	2	$91	62	62	+0	Yes	+$31	07-03 04:56
val edg1 pr1 2026 06 19	9	$89	78	78	+0	Paper Rex	+$8	06-19 16:06
val pr1 lev1 2026 06 12	4	$87	50	50	+0	Paper Rex	+$12	06-12 15:40
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?	6	$84	239	239	+0	Yes	-$46	06-29 18:55
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?	1	$80	123	0	+123	Yes	+$43	06-13 23:24
Will France win on 2026-06-16?	10	$72	125	30	+95	Yes	+$53	06-16 20:27
Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?	7	$64	83	83	+0	Yes	+$1	07-06 20:42
fifwc bel sen 2026 07 01 team to advance	3	$63	40	40	+0	Belgium	+$17	07-01 22:47
codmw tex faz 2026 07 18	6	$63	59	59	+0	FaZe Vegas	+$40	07-18 23:15
fifwc par fra 2026 07 04 total 2pt5	5	$62	85	85	+0	Under	-$30	07-04 22:19
fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	3	$61	80	80	+0	Spain	$0	07-19 20:52
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-24?	3	$59	55	55	+0	Yes	+$26	06-24 20:41
fifwc prt hrv 2026 07 02 total 2pt5	2	$58	38	38	+0	Over	+$18	07-03 01:08
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?	5	$56	105	0	+105	No	-$56	06-21 22:25
fifwc jpn swe 2026 06 25 btts	2	$55	97	0	+97	Yes	+$42	06-25 21:56
val edg1 fut1 2026 06 13	5	$55	78	20	+58	EDward Gaming	-$39	06-13 14:20
fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 total 2pt5	2	$54	39	39	+0	Over	+$24	07-15 20:59
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?	2	$54	34	34	+0	Yes	+$14	07-03 01:08
will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	4	$54	39	39	+0	Yes	+$4	07-06 21:06
fifwc aus egy 2026 07 03 team to advance	3	$53	100	0	+100	Egypt	+$46	07-03 20:36

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-05 19:00:07	LoL: Dplus KIA vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs	Dplus KIA	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0x13c9e9…
11-04 20:00:33	Will SK Slavia Praha vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	67	15¢	$10	0x8237f4…
11-04 19:24:55	Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-11-04?	Yes	SELL	7	62¢	$4	0x4ab967…
11-04 19:20:51	Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-11-04?	Yes	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x92aac9…
10-28 17:01:07	Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	Spirit	BUY	1	32¢	$0	0x3bbe14…
10-28 17:01:02	Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	Spirit	BUY	29	32¢	$9	0xe4b26d…
10-27 22:08:02	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 28?	Down	BUY	6	37¢	$2	0xaf906f…
10-27 14:19:21	Swiss Indoors Basel: Jerome Kym vs Arthur Rinderknech	Arthur Rinderknech	BUY	2	30¢	$1	0xf11b54…
10-27 14:18:50	Swiss Indoors Basel: Jerome Kym vs Arthur Rinderknech	Arthur Rinderknech	BUY	12	30¢	$3	0xa0b416…
10-27 14:18:42	Swiss Indoors Basel: Jerome Kym vs Arthur Rinderknech	Arthur Rinderknech	BUY	1	30¢	$0	0xf58411…
10-27 14:00:06	Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0x698840…
10-26 22:37:44	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	43	5¢	$2	0x4476f9…
10-26 22:05:29	LoL: Team Liquid vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage	Anyone's Legend	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x633270…
10-26 16:21:02	Counter-Strike: Spirit vs FURIA (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	Spirit	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xf485ec…
10-26 15:00:24	Counter-Strike: Spirit vs FURIA (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	FURIA	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x0d94e8…
10-24 17:43:18	UFC 333: Alexander Volkov vs. Rizvan Kuniev (Heavyweight, Main Card)	Alexander Volkov	BUY	36	55¢	$20	0xdfccdb…
10-24 09:30:23	Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs TheMongolz (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	Aurora Gaming	BUY	15	39¢	$6	0xb3cf35…
10-24 09:29:23	Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs TheMongolz (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	Aurora Gaming	BUY	10	45¢	$4	0x418571…
10-24 09:28:08	Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs TheMongolz (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	Aurora Gaming	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0xdad065…
10-21 20:54:30	Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia (PSG) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 Ligue 1 season?	Yes	SELL	128	0¢	$0	0x209ae2…
10-21 20:53:36	Will Lens win the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship?	Yes	SELL	202	1¢	$1	0xfd989f…
10-21 20:42:20	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-21?	Yes	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x0972f4…
10-21 20:42:11	Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-21?	Yes	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xe9ed3b…
10-21 20:41:27	FC Bayern München vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 3.5	Over	SELL	14	99¢	$14	0x246b38…
10-21 20:20:17	Will Real Madrid CF vs. RB Leipzig end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	50	3¢	$1	0xc2f5ae…
10-21 19:52:50	Will Real Madrid CF vs. RB Leipzig end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x9d5164…
10-21 19:38:29	FC Bayern München vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 4.5	Over	SELL	11	30¢	$3	0x692e41…
10-21 19:06:15	Will Real Madrid CF vs. RB Leipzig end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	42	12¢	$5	0xfa8dae…
10-21 19:05:45	Will Club Brugge KV vs. Racing Club de Lens end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0xbd5f7c…
10-21 19:04:39	FC Bayern München vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 4.5	Over	BUY	11	18¢	$2	0xe10c7d…
10-21 19:04:06	FC Bayern München vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0xad9003…
10-20 20:50:05	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	25	2¢	$0	0x8d9075…
10-20 19:10:47	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0xc11d95…
10-18 21:14:12	Counter-Strike: FURIA vs BetBoom Team (BO5) - Thunderpick World Championship Playoffs	FURIA	SELL	13	92¢	$12	0xc41e66…
10-18 19:02:45	Counter-Strike: FURIA vs BetBoom Team (BO5) - Thunderpick World Championship Playoffs	FURIA	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0xf7677d…
10-17 18:51:20	Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship Playoffs	BetBoom Team	SELL	6	19¢	$1	0x23998b…
10-17 18:35:44	Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship Playoffs	BetBoom Team	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x39086a…
10-17 10:14:15	val vit 100t1 2026 10 17 total games 4pt5	Over	SELL	14	59¢	$8	0x46abd7…
10-17 10:14:06	val vit 100t1 2026 10 17	Team Vitality	SELL	15	61¢	$9	0xfe9b6c…
10-16 21:14:08	val vit 100t1 2026 10 17 total games 4pt5	Over	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0x2f1029…
10-16 21:13:56	val vit 100t1 2026 10 17	Team Vitality	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0x367328…
10-14 19:20:01	cs2 furia bb3 2026 10 14	FURIA	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0x9bbb6d…
10-14 18:42:24	cs2 furia bb3 2026 10 14	FURIA	BUY	10	70¢	$7	0xf0efd7…
10-14 10:54:44	cs2 9z aur1 2026 10 14	Aurora Gaming	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0x27caef…
10-14 10:47:14	cs2 9z aur1 2026 10 14	Aurora Gaming	BUY	10	45¢	$4	0x7ea7f6…
10-08 10:34:23	Valorant: 100 Thieves vs G2 Esports (BO3) - VCT Champions Playoffs	100 Thieves	BUY	20	30¢	$6	0xab1fee…
10-03 13:16:59	Valorant: Karmine Corp vs Nongshim RedForce (BO3) - VCT Champions Group D	Karmine Corp	BUY	20	52¢	$10	0x34053b…
09-29 09:52:42	val g21 pr1 2026 09 29	Paper Rex	BUY	40	35¢	$14	0x7f5e94…
09-29 09:51:53	val g21 pr1 2026 09 29	Paper Rex	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0xe59db6…
09-25 20:53:24	Valorant: Global Esports vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT Champions Group B	Team Vitality	BUY	27	55¢	$15	0x2ccd2f…
09-18 20:41:54	Will AS Monaco FC win on 2026-09-18?	Yes	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xa9921f…
09-18 20:38:55	Will AS Monaco FC win on 2026-09-18?	Yes	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0x86c782…
09-18 20:31:49	Will AS Monaco FC vs. Racing Club de Lens end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xc8a5e2…
09-16 20:18:28	rl nip fut 2026 09 16	Ninjas in Pyjamas	BUY	12	14¢	$2	0x62646a…
09-16 20:18:27	rl nip fut 2026 09 16	Ninjas in Pyjamas	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x10eb41…
09-16 20:18:09	rl nip fut 2026 09 16	Ninjas in Pyjamas	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x9ba9e8…
09-16 20:18:09	rl nip fut 2026 09 16	Ninjas in Pyjamas	BUY	5	14¢	$1	0x636407…
09-16 20:18:09	rl nip fut 2026 09 16	Ninjas in Pyjamas	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x509396…
09-16 20:18:09	rl nip fut 2026 09 16	Ninjas in Pyjamas	BUY	5	14¢	$1	0x3efc42…
09-16 20:17:30	rl nip fut 2026 09 16	Ninjas in Pyjamas	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xbbae66…
09-16 16:41:02	rl nip furia 2026 09 16	Ninjas in Pyjamas	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0xf706ea…
09-16 16:41:02	rl nip furia 2026 09 16	Ninjas in Pyjamas	BUY	15	8¢	$1	0x21ec61…
09-16 16:41:02	rl nip furia 2026 09 16	Ninjas in Pyjamas	BUY	8	8¢	$1	0x0f2711…
09-16 16:41:00	rl nip furia 2026 09 16	Ninjas in Pyjamas	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0xfac35b…
09-16 16:41:00	rl nip furia 2026 09 16	Ninjas in Pyjamas	BUY	15	8¢	$1	0xeb8dba…
09-16 16:41:00	rl nip furia 2026 09 16	Ninjas in Pyjamas	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0xc3cf62…
09-16 16:41:00	rl nip furia 2026 09 16	Ninjas in Pyjamas	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0xbf0c60…
09-16 16:41:00	rl nip furia 2026 09 16	Ninjas in Pyjamas	BUY	15	8¢	$1	0xa914ce…
09-16 16:41:00	rl nip furia 2026 09 16	Ninjas in Pyjamas	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0xa0845a…
09-16 16:41:00	rl nip furia 2026 09 16	Ninjas in Pyjamas	BUY	11	8¢	$1	0x9964ca…
09-16 16:41:00	rl nip furia 2026 09 16	Ninjas in Pyjamas	BUY	15	8¢	$1	0x95e91a…
09-16 16:41:00	rl nip furia 2026 09 16	Ninjas in Pyjamas	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0x92a943…
09-16 16:41:00	rl nip furia 2026 09 16	Ninjas in Pyjamas	BUY	15	8¢	$1	0x75a04f…
09-16 16:41:00	rl nip furia 2026 09 16	Ninjas in Pyjamas	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0x7249eb…
09-16 16:41:00	rl nip furia 2026 09 16	Ninjas in Pyjamas	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0x53eef7…
09-16 16:41:00	rl nip furia 2026 09 16	Ninjas in Pyjamas	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0x4de5ae…
09-16 16:41:00	rl nip furia 2026 09 16	Ninjas in Pyjamas	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0x47e19e…
09-16 16:41:00	rl nip furia 2026 09 16	Ninjas in Pyjamas	BUY	15	8¢	$1	0x47dd8e…
09-16 16:41:00	rl nip furia 2026 09 16	Ninjas in Pyjamas	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0x33e1b3…
09-16 16:41:00	rl nip furia 2026 09 16	Ninjas in Pyjamas	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0x2eb26f…
09-16 16:41:00	rl nip furia 2026 09 16	Ninjas in Pyjamas	BUY	11	8¢	$1	0x2208d7…
09-16 16:41:00	rl nip furia 2026 09 16	Ninjas in Pyjamas	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0x175014…
09-13 20:32:04	atp zverev shelton 2026 09 13	Ben Shelton	SELL	50	11¢	$6	0x740f90…
09-13 20:12:46	atp zverev shelton 2026 09 13	Ben Shelton	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0xd00fc3…
09-08 19:05:43	Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-09-08?	Yes	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0x5e2eb7…
09-05 10:57:09	val ge1 t1 2026 09 05	T1	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0x6b0f28…
09-05 09:37:39	val ge1 t1 2026 09 05	T1	BUY	76	39¢	$30	0xf31b7a…
08-28 14:22:33	val tl1 ff3 2026 08 28	Team Liquid	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0xe01811…
08-28 08:15:37	Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia (PSG) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 Ligue 1 season?	Yes	BUY	71	7¢	$5	0x0777d9…
08-28 08:15:28	Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia (PSG) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 Ligue 1 season?	Yes	BUY	29	7¢	$2	0xb0b424…
08-27 19:02:28	AS Monaco FC vs. Górnik Zabrze: Both Teams to Score	Yes	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0x86282e…
08-27 17:03:51	Exact Score: AS Monaco FC 3 - 1 Górnik Zabrze?	Yes	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xc782ad…
08-27 17:03:01	Will AS Monaco FC vs. Górnik Zabrze end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	143	21¢	$30	0x039aac…
08-27 17:02:49	AS Monaco FC vs. Górnik Zabrze: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x80bc26…
08-25 21:27:55	val pr1 ns1 2026 08 26	Paper Rex	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0x2d7094…
08-23 17:53:01	Valorant: BBL Esports vs Fire Flux Esports (BO3) - VCT EMEA Playoffs	BBL Esports	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x2941c8…
08-23 17:50:22	Valorant: BBL Esports vs Fire Flux Esports (BO3) - VCT EMEA Playoffs	BBL Esports	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x93f9e8…
08-20 12:48:42	Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia (PSG) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 Ligue 1 season?	Yes	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0x7a7907…
08-20 12:46:28	Will Lens win the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship?	Yes	BUY	202	5¢	$10	0xd61775…
08-20 12:45:28	will athletic club qualify for the 2027 28 uefa conference league	Yes	BUY	16	38¢	$6	0x4e3a53…