Sorrowful-Toffee — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2.72K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

63.9%

Resolved

2,230

Trades

6,413

lifetime

Volume

$126.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$20

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-05

last 08-27 14:15

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 115 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 66% -$2,717

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

13 active days in 12wk • peak 101 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-09 08:00 UTC	72	$3.0K	2,239	2,224	+15	Up	+$62	03-09 08:15
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-09 04:00 UTC	76	$3.0K	2,239	2,194	+45	Down	+$55	03-09 04:15
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-01 02:45 UTC	5	$1.6K	1,776	234	+1,542	Up	-$586	04-01 03:00
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-06 11:15 UTC	33	$1.5K	1,119	1,097	+22	Up	+$37	03-06 11:30
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-06 09:30 UTC	57	$1.5K	1,119	1,104	+15	Up	+$38	03-06 09:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-17 18:15 UTC	2	$1.3K	1,066	1,066	+0	Down	+$145	07-17 18:17
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-25 14:15 UTC	8	$1.2K	920	902	+18	Down	+$37	03-25 14:30
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-18 16:15 UTC	18	$1.2K	925	918	+7	Down	+$0	03-18 16:28
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-27 19:30 UTC	8	$1.1K	801	785	+16	Down	-$109	03-27 19:45
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-17 14:00 UTC	6	$1.1K	1,050	1,029	+21	Up	-$338	06-17 14:12
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-09 20:30 UTC	11	$1.1K	611	608	+3	Down	+$57	03-09 20:44
bitcoin up or down june 22 2026 4am et	6	$1.1K	1,053	1,032	+21	Down	-$343	06-22 08:47
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-25 03:00 UTC	6	$994	993	973	+20	Down	-$401	06-25 03:12
bitcoin up or down june 22 2026 9am et	6	$962	1,153	1,147	+7	Up	-$431	06-22 13:45
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-23 14:30 UTC	7	$949	1,077	560	+517	Down	-$139	06-23 14:44
bitcoin up or down june 22 2026 4pm et	5	$850	1,023	449	+575	Down	+$19	06-22 20:50
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-13 13:30 UTC	14	$841	727	727	+0	Up	+$41	03-13 13:36
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-10 19:30 UTC	5	$840	1,028	431	+597	Up	+$31	08-10 19:43
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-22 01:00 UTC	5	$833	981	461	+520	Down	-$54	06-22 01:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	22	$816	554	554	+0	Down	+$15	07-21 08:18
bitcoin up or down june 15 2026 2am et	5	$789	896	438	+458	Down	-$159	06-15 06:58
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-06 07:45 UTC	19	$715	522	512	+10	Down	+$22	03-06 08:00
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-09 07:45 UTC	6	$686	857	773	+84	Down	-$450	04-09 07:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-09 03:15 UTC	22	$683	522	516	+7	Down	+$3	03-09 03:22
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-06 21:45 UTC	9	$669	522	521	+1	Up	-$20	03-06 21:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-24 07:00 UTC	14	$641	561	561	+0	Up	+$1	03-24 07:02
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-09 10:00 UTC	6	$613	522	516	+7	Down	-$64	03-09 10:12
bitcoin up or down june 17 2026 9am et	18	$612	455	452	+3	Up	+$12	06-17 13:41
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-17 14:45 UTC	13	$568	458	455	+3	Down	-$29	06-17 14:52
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-18 03:30 UTC	8	$556	463	460	+3	Up	-$44	06-18 03:42

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-27 14:15:04	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-27 14:15 UTC	Up	BUY	45	55¢	$25	0x647b3e…
08-27 14:13:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	SELL	20	2¢	$0	0x23594c…
08-27 14:00:21	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-27 14:00 UTC	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xbbb4a5…
08-27 13:00:30	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-27 13:00 UTC	Up	BUY	19	55¢	$10	0x9063b8…
08-27 13:00:30	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-27 13:00 UTC	Up	BUY	3	55¢	$2	0x658edc…
08-27 12:00:33	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-27 12:00 UTC	Up	BUY	22	55¢	$12	0xaf7590…
08-27 11:00:21	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-27 11:00 UTC	Up	BUY	18	42¢	$7	0xb6ae94…
08-27 08:48:28	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-27 08:45 UTC	Down	SELL	151	69¢	$104	0x75739b…
08-27 08:45:21	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-27 08:45 UTC	Down	BUY	151	47¢	$71	0xa98e09…
08-27 08:00:22	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-27 08:00 UTC	Up	BUY	179	43¢	$77	0x185aac…
08-27 06:24:48	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-27 06:15 UTC	Up	BUY	151	66¢	$100	0xc40ed3…
08-26 23:36:10	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-26 23:30 UTC	Up	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0x5f51cb…
08-26 23:26:19	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-26 23:15 UTC	Up	BUY	131	76¢	$100	0xed0cc7…
08-26 22:58:37	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-26 22:45 UTC	Up	BUY	27	73¢	$20	0xde1d8a…
08-26 22:58:37	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-26 22:45 UTC	Down	SELL	15	35¢	$5	0xce10b5…
08-26 22:53:25	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-26 22:45 UTC	Down	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0xfbd5d3…
08-26 12:00:16	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-26 12:00 UTC	Down	BUY	17	40¢	$7	0x875059…
08-26 11:00:28	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-26 11:00 UTC	Down	BUY	11	54¢	$6	0x925eb7…
08-26 11:00:27	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-26 11:00 UTC	Down	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x1f4e5a…
08-26 11:00:24	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-26 11:00 UTC	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x764f15…
08-26 10:14:06	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-26 10:00 UTC	Up	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0xa22c12…
08-26 03:36:46	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-26 03:30 UTC	Up	BUY	152	66¢	$100	0x138320…
08-26 03:33:34	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-26 03:30 UTC	Down	BUY	147	68¢	$100	0x0a6d2e…
08-26 03:28:36	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-26 03:15 UTC	Up	SELL	61	8¢	$5	0x275098…
08-26 03:27:18	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-26 03:15 UTC	Up	BUY	61	66¢	$40	0xa6ef22…
08-26 03:27:18	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-26 03:15 UTC	Down	SELL	28	33¢	$9	0x1f55db…
08-26 03:27:13	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-26 03:15 UTC	Up	SELL	15	32¢	$5	0x964467…
08-26 03:27:13	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-26 03:15 UTC	Down	BUY	29	70¢	$20	0x3c08f6…
08-26 03:24:12	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-26 03:15 UTC	Up	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0x454831…
08-26 03:05:19	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-26 03:00 UTC	Down	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0x112b2d…
08-26 02:49:55	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-26 02:45 UTC	Down	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0xc104e7…
08-26 02:48:18	bitcoin up or down august 25 2026 10pm et	Up	SELL	45	99¢	$45	0xb4f7fa…
08-26 02:40:55	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-26 02:30 UTC	Down	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0x619010…
08-26 02:14:24	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-26 02:00 UTC	Down	BUY	264	76¢	$200	0xea450b…
08-26 02:14:24	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-26 02:00 UTC	Up	SELL	145	31¢	$45	0xe37963…
08-26 02:14:12	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-26 02:00 UTC	Up	BUY	148	67¢	$100	0x6e2c78…
08-26 02:14:10	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-26 02:00 UTC	Down	SELL	77	34¢	$26	0x879085…
08-26 02:07:55	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-26 02:00 UTC	Down	BUY	78	64¢	$50	0x8d7bba…
08-26 02:00:10	bitcoin up or down august 25 2026 10pm et	Up	BUY	45	54¢	$25	0x3f4f86…
08-26 01:50:36	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-26 01:45 UTC	Down	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0xbc58b8…
08-26 01:00:22	bitcoin up or down august 25 2026 9pm et	Up	BUY	45	54¢	$25	0x0e7f7d…
08-26 00:21:28	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-26 00:15 UTC	Up	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0x9447e9…
08-25 07:00:04	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-25 07:00 UTC	Down	BUY	19	43¢	$8	0x17d7fe…
08-25 06:29:31	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-25 06:15 UTC	Down	SELL	38	51¢	$19	0x99675f…
08-25 06:15:04	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-25 06:15 UTC	Down	BUY	38	49¢	$19	0x7a9e28…
08-25 06:03:21	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-25 06:00 UTC	Down	BUY	19	48¢	$9	0xfc1f1f…
08-25 05:21:19	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-25 05:15 UTC	Down	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0xc0eaf6…
08-25 03:18:39	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-25 03:15 UTC	Down	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0x645562…
08-24 13:09:48	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-24 13:00 UTC	Up	BUY	30	66¢	$20	0x5cb21d…
08-24 13:09:48	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-24 13:00 UTC	Down	SELL	15	35¢	$5	0x4fecfc…
08-24 13:06:58	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-24 13:00 UTC	Down	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0xd5dbae…
08-24 10:30:04	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-24 10:30 UTC	Down	BUY	95	58¢	$55	0x045265…
08-24 10:15:04	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-24 10:15 UTC	Down	BUY	41	53¢	$22	0x86ab27…
08-24 10:02:18	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-24 10:00 UTC	Down	BUY	19	50¢	$10	0x8ee737…
08-20 23:15:04	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-20 23:15 UTC	Down	BUY	33	47¢	$16	0xc3b9bf…
08-20 23:02:16	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-20 23:00 UTC	Down	BUY	17	40¢	$7	0xd5293c…
08-20 22:00:21	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-20 22:00 UTC	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xffe7c1…
08-20 21:15:06	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-20 21:15 UTC	Down	BUY	38	46¢	$17	0xc0a7a1…
08-20 21:00:36	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-20 21:00 UTC	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x8a1240…
08-20 20:30:55	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-20 20:30 UTC	Down	BUY	19	55¢	$11	0xe72835…
08-20 20:30:55	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-20 20:30 UTC	Down	BUY	6	55¢	$3	0xa827cf…
08-20 20:30:55	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-20 20:30 UTC	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x4d3d77…
08-20 20:30:55	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-20 20:30 UTC	Down	BUY	0	55¢	$0	0x18da09…
08-20 20:30:27	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-20 20:30 UTC	Down	BUY	53	55¢	$29	0xcf0110…
08-20 20:15:06	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-20 20:15 UTC	Down	BUY	38	46¢	$17	0x6a41fc…
08-20 20:00:27	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-20 20:00 UTC	Down	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x9b2b63…
08-20 19:37:04	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-20 19:30 UTC	Up	BUY	152	66¢	$100	0xc5a22f…
08-20 19:30:10	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-20 19:30 UTC	Down	BUY	75	55¢	$41	0xf13714…
08-20 19:30:10	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-20 19:30 UTC	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x431c0b…
08-20 19:30:09	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-20 19:30 UTC	Down	BUY	33	55¢	$18	0x13382c…
08-20 19:15:04	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-20 19:15 UTC	Down	BUY	45	53¢	$24	0x1503a3…
08-20 19:01:16	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-20 19:00 UTC	Down	BUY	14	55¢	$8	0xb1e401…
08-20 19:01:15	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-20 19:00 UTC	Down	BUY	8	55¢	$4	0xde47b6…
08-20 19:01:15	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-20 19:00 UTC	Down	BUY	0	55¢	$0	0x527354…
08-20 07:12:52	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-20 07:00 UTC	Up	SELL	31	60¢	$19	0xaea589…
08-20 07:12:09	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-20 07:00 UTC	Down	SELL	14	28¢	$4	0x50e0ab…
08-20 07:12:07	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-20 07:00 UTC	Up	BUY	31	65¢	$20	0x71bfa3…
08-20 07:11:10	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-20 07:00 UTC	Down	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0xa0393a…
08-20 07:08:28	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-20 07:00 UTC	Up	SELL	31	89¢	$27	0x47aaad…
08-20 07:05:22	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-20 07:00 UTC	Down	SELL	15	35¢	$5	0xbafea7…
08-20 07:05:22	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-20 07:00 UTC	Up	BUY	31	65¢	$20	0x2ac168…
08-20 07:04:00	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-20 07:00 UTC	Down	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0x82e9b3…
08-20 03:01:54	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-20 03:00 UTC	Down	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0xa4ba5e…
08-20 02:00:27	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-20 02:00 UTC	Down	BUY	22	54¢	$12	0xbd92f5…
08-20 01:00:21	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-20 01:00 UTC	Down	BUY	22	54¢	$12	0xf60472…
08-20 00:42:04	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-20 00:30 UTC	Up	SELL	156	3¢	$5	0xd3468e…
08-20 00:39:33	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-20 00:30 UTC	Up	BUY	156	64¢	$100	0xca2161…
08-20 00:30:07	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-20 00:30 UTC	Down	BUY	11	52¢	$6	0x5fac06…
08-20 00:30:07	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-20 00:30 UTC	Down	BUY	21	52¢	$11	0x53cf4a…
08-20 00:30:06	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-20 00:30 UTC	Down	BUY	21	52¢	$11	0x86dfc5…
08-20 00:30:04	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-20 00:30 UTC	Down	BUY	15	52¢	$8	0xd2dd20…
08-20 00:15:04	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-20 00:15 UTC	Down	BUY	32	44¢	$14	0xecad88…
08-20 00:00:27	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-20 00:00 UTC	Down	BUY	18	43¢	$8	0xf10603…
08-19 23:30:13	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-19 23:30 UTC	Down	BUY	0	55¢	$0	0xf60502…
08-19 23:30:13	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-19 23:30 UTC	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xc4ef91…
08-19 23:30:13	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-19 23:30 UTC	Down	BUY	0	55¢	$0	0xa71d60…
08-19 23:30:13	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-19 23:30 UTC	Down	BUY	11	55¢	$6	0x958f08…
08-19 23:30:13	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-19 23:30 UTC	Down	BUY	17	55¢	$9	0x682ad2…
08-19 23:30:13	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-19 23:30 UTC	Down	BUY	1	55¢	$1	0x137408…
08-19 23:30:04	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-19 23:30 UTC	Down	BUY	7	55¢	$4	0xd61ae8…