Sorrowful-Toffee — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$5

Unrealized P&L

+$2

Hit rate

40.5%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$327

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-05-04

last 05-06 05:09

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 33% +$5

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 30 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (12) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Down		+7	$5	100¢	$7	+$2	05-06 05:09

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	2	$100	118	59	+59	open	—	05-05 15:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	3	$22	12	18	-6	open	—	05-05 10:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	3	$21	12	17	-6	Up	+$6	05-05 02:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	2	$13	15	8	+7	open	—	05-06 02:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	1	$12	0	12	-12	open	—	05-05 07:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	1	$11	0	12	-12	Up	$-0	05-05 03:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	1	$11	0	11	-11	Down	$-0	05-05 04:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	2	$10	12	7	+5	open	—	05-05 13:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	2	$10	12	6	+6	open	—	05-05 09:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	2	$10	12	6	+6	open	—	05-05 07:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	2	$10	11	6	+6	open	—	05-05 06:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	1	$9	0	9	-9	Up	$-0	05-04 23:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	2	$9	10	6	+4	Down	+$3	05-04 22:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	1	$9	0	26	-26	open	—	05-06 04:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	1	$6	0	6	-6	Down	$-0	05-04 23:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	1	$6	0	6	-6	open	—	05-05 10:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	1	$6	0	6	-6	open	—	05-05 09:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	1	$6	0	6	-6	Down	$-0	05-04 21:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	1	$6	0	6	-6	Up	$-0	05-05 00:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	1	$5	7	0	+7	open	—	05-06 05:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	1	$5	7	0	+7	open	—	05-06 03:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	1	$4	6	0	+6	open	—	05-05 11:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	1	$4	6	0	+6	Down	$-4	05-05 05:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	1	$4	6	0	+6	Down	+$2	05-05 05:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	1	$4	6	0	+6	open	—	05-05 06:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	1	$4	6	0	+6	open	—	05-05 10:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	1	$4	6	0	+6	Up	+$2	05-05 02:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	1	$4	6	0	+6	Up	$-4	05-05 04:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	1	$4	6	0	+6	open	—	05-05 08:30

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-06 05:09:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0xa07428…
05-06 04:14:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Down	SELL	26	34¢	$9	0x7aaab1…
05-06 03:04:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x5118b9…
05-06 02:38:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Down	SELL	8	34¢	$3	0xa641fc…
05-06 02:38:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0x727ff7…
05-05 15:39:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	118	68¢	$80	0x840050…
05-05 15:39:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Up	SELL	59	33¢	$20	0xaaa6aa…
05-05 13:22:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	12	67¢	$8	0x9be00a…
05-05 13:22:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Down	SELL	7	33¢	$2	0x35a134…
05-05 11:15:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	68¢	$4	0xd374b0…
05-05 10:41:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Up	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0xae4784…
05-05 10:16:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	66¢	$4	0x1d2521…
05-05 10:10:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Up	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0x0abba8…
05-05 10:05:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	12	67¢	$8	0x451086…
05-05 10:05:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Down	SELL	6	34¢	$2	0x0b3fa7…
05-05 09:51:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	12	68¢	$8	0x6a594c…
05-05 09:51:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Up	SELL	6	33¢	$2	0x4f058c…
05-05 09:10:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Down	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0xc7f063…
05-05 08:30:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	65¢	$4	0xdab102…
05-05 07:35:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Down	SELL	6	31¢	$2	0x07ecfb…
05-05 07:35:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	12	69¢	$8	0x1fcdde…
05-05 07:15:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Up	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0x500e18…
05-05 06:45:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	66¢	$4	0x8b8bd0…
05-05 06:40:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	11	70¢	$8	0x733964…
05-05 06:40:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Up	SELL	6	30¢	$2	0xd406ee…
05-05 05:35:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	67¢	$4	0x2795bf…
05-05 05:00:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	67¢	$4	0x12c8a8…
05-05 04:45:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	65¢	$4	0xc215be…
05-05 04:30:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Down	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0x43d45c…
05-05 03:25:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Up	SELL	12	100¢	$11	0x77dc53…
05-05 02:35:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	66¢	$4	0x76e695…
05-05 02:30:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Up	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0xc36ccc…
05-05 02:25:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	12	67¢	$8	0x0bcd73…
05-05 02:25:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Down	SELL	6	33¢	$2	0x722df1…
05-05 00:35:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Up	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0xb4d2e7…
05-04 23:29:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Up	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0x0fafc9…
05-04 23:09:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Down	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x867f60…
05-04 22:54:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Up	SELL	6	21¢	$1	0x14c247…
05-04 22:54:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	79¢	$8	0x43bd13…
05-04 21:29:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0xfeb19a…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30	28	$30.8K	189	05-06 05:10
Good-Natured-Angora 0x6748…ee08	27	$824	151	05-06 05:10
Youthful-Movement 0x8da4…f3d1	24	$1.50K	135	05-06 05:14
Minty-Complicity 0xee55…7b04	23	$1.28K	136	05-06 05:10
Constant-Relation 0x01b7…2eca	23	$1.22K	59	05-06 05:05
Zesty-Mosque 0xdf65…c36d	22	$1.32K	62	05-06 05:05
Barren-Strand 0x4d4e…1867	21	$1.77K	109	05-06 05:14
(anonymous) 0x20d2…e29d	21	$749	66	05-06 04:04