Realized P&L
-$6.53K
Unrealized P&L
+$13
Hit rate
60.5%
Resolved
959
Trades
5,194
lifetime
Volume
$282.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$54
Open exposure
$2.46K
12 positions
First seen
2026-01-19
last 10-05 17:34
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 43 days
Categories
Other
50% 52% -$1,288
Sports
36% 52% -$3,974
Politics
14% 60% -$2,836
Pop-Culture
0% 50% +$1,571
Tech
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
1 active day in 12wk • peak 14 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 Yes -975 -$799 82¢ $-795 +$5 10-05 17:34
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? No -728 -$708 97¢ $-707 +$1 10-05 17:34
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No -500 -$489 97¢ $-487 +$2 10-05 17:34
OpenAI IPO before 2027? No -138 -$134 97¢ $-133 +$1 10-05 17:34
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes -100 -$92 94¢ $-94 -$2 10-05 17:34
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -500 -$100 19¢ $-94 +$6 10-05 17:34
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes -64 -$61 97¢ $-62 -$1 10-05 17:34
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -54 -$53 97¢ $-53 $0 10-05 17:34
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.0% or lower before 2027? No -22 -$21 98¢ $-22 $0 10-05 17:34
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No -10 -$10 98¢ $-10 $0 10-05 17:34
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? Yes -12 -$5 18¢ $-2 +$2 10-05 17:34
Trump out as President before 2027? Yes -10 $0 3¢ $-0 +$0 10-05 17:34