Realized P&L
+$8
Unrealized P&L
+$3
Hit rate
90.8%
Resolved
63
Trades
261
lifetime
Volume
$838
lifetime
Avg / trade
$3
Open exposure
$33
7 positions
First seen
2026-05-03
last 10-26 09:07
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 38 days
Categories
Politics
56% 73% +$6
Other
43% 82% +$1
Sports
2% 80% +$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
51 active days in 12wk • peak 13 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 31? No +7 $7 97¢ $7 +$0 10-22 05:13
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +7 $6 96¢ $7 +$1 10-24 08:23
Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31? No +5 $4 98¢ $5 +$1 10-01 06:12
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31? No +5 $4 98¢ $5 +$1 10-10 18:18
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +5 $4 82¢ $4 $0 10-24 08:24
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by November 30, 2026? No +4 $3 92¢ $3 +$0 10-22 05:11
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026? No +2 $1 97¢ $2 +$1 10-22 04:30