Realized P&L (24h)
-$1
Unrealized P&L
-$2
Hit rate
60.8%
Resolved (24h)
2
Trades (24h)
2
271 lifetime
Volume (24h)
$6
$866 lifetime
Avg / trade
$3
Open exposure
$28
7 positions
First seen
2026-05-03
last 11-02 21:19
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 42 days
Categories
Politics
57% 74% +$9
Other
42% 83% +$2
Sports
2% 80% +$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
47 active days in 12wk • peak 13 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 2? No +9 $8 99¢ $8 +$0 11-01 06:28
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +10 $8 82¢ $8 $0 11-02 18:34
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +7 $6 76¢ $5 $0 10-24 08:23
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by November 30, 2026? No +4 $3 94¢ $3 +$0 10-22 05:11
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2? Yes +2 $2 74¢ $2 $0 10-31 13:43
US imports Russian diesel by November 30? Yes +2 $1 55¢ $1 $0 11-02 06:29
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 3? Yes +2 $2 7¢ $0 -$2 11-02 21:19