Teeming-Manufacturer — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2.03K

Unrealized P&L

-$2

Hit rate

37.0%

Resolved

505

Trades

1,276

lifetime

Volume

$6.62K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$53

5 positions

First seen

2026-02-27

last 10-31 18:04

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 83 days

Categories

Other

56% 31% -$907

Crypto

31% 44% -$832

Politics

11% 31% -$274

Sports

1% 33% -$17

Tech

0% 0% -$4

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

9 active days in 12wk • peak 11 trades/day

Open positions (5) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026	No	+26	$20	94¢	$25	+$5	08-10 05:51
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	No	+15	$10	96¢	$15	+$5	08-02 07:11
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	Yes	+83	$15	8¢	$6	-$9	08-14 09:03
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	+7	$5	90¢	$6	+$1	08-01 08:46
Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay	Yes	+50	$5	3¢	$2	-$3	08-14 09:05

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	16	$352	254	254	+0	Yes	+$91	03-30 18:34
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	13	$329	177	177	+0	No	+$19	03-25 00:48
will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	65	$284	40,682	0	+40,682	No	-$284	03-27 13:55
will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	15	$229	372	156	+216	No	-$55	03-30 22:44
will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	17	$218	523	523	+0	No	$0	03-31 05:20
will crude oil cl hit high 95 by end of march 479 558	3	$161	117	117	+0	Yes	+$61	03-27 18:28
will wti reach 95 in july 2026	11	$142	1,009	1,009	+0	No	-$131	07-31 14:05
will mrbeasts million dollar puzzle be solved by march 15	9	$115	1,303	0	+1,303	Yes	-$115	03-06 18:03
will ethereum dip to 1400 in june 2026	7	$115	250	0	+250	No	-$115	06-25 05:38
will wti reach 90 in july 2026 from july 27	8	$110	612	0	+612	No	-$110	07-30 07:54
will ethereum dip to 1500 in june 2026	9	$105	150	0	+150	No	-$105	06-25 05:38
will crude oil cl hit high 150 by end of march 138 937 747	14	$95	2,651	2,651	+0	No	-$90	03-31 05:22
will wti reach 100 in july 2026 928	6	$93	882	882	+0	No	-$91	07-31 14:06
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	3	$90	55	54	+1	Yes	+$19	04-02 13:39
Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the July Meeting?	5	$89	210	0	+210	Yes	+$121	07-23 11:38
will crude oil cl hit low 80 by end of march 459 543 676 456 138 869 867 397	8	$74	234	234	+0	No	-$4	03-26 12:19
will iran strike dimona by march 31	12	$72	1,309	1,409	-100	No	-$61	03-31 19:53
yabloko effectively banned from 2026 russian elections by september 17 20260807161302974	2	$72	37	37	+0	Yes	$0	08-14 09:00
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	14	$71	87	85	+2	No	-$9	04-30 10:04
will ethereum dip to 1600 in june 2026	3	$67	37	37	+0	Yes	+$7	06-05 15:13
will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in june 2026	5	$64	101	0	+101	No	-$64	06-25 05:41
will ethereum dip to 1300 in june 2026	6	$63	207	0	+207	No	-$63	06-25 05:38
will wti reach 85 in july 2026	3	$60	137	0	+137	Yes	+$77	07-14 11:20
will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	10	$57	255	255	+0	No	-$53	03-31 03:34
Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the September Meeting?	3	$52	139	0	+139	No	-$52	09-04 06:02
will wti reach 90 in july 2026 334	4	$50	203	0	+203	Yes	+$153	07-22 08:01
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in April?	8	$50	445	429	+16	No	-$20	04-27 20:40
will trump visit china by march 31	6	$49	31	31	+0	No	+$11	03-17 18:00
us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	5	$49	478	0	+478	No	-$49	08-17 18:59
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?	9	$44	99	96	+3	No	-$12	04-30 10:03

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-31 18:04:09	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	58	0¢	$0	0x409598…
09-04 06:03:10	Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the September Meeting?	Yes	SELL	3	59¢	$2	0xb2d18a…
09-04 06:02:33	Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the September Meeting?	Yes	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x11b410…
09-04 06:00:58	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0xf58a5a…
09-04 06:00:18	Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the September Meeting?	Yes	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x009901…
09-02 08:31:09	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x2c1a85…
08-28 06:41:10	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	6	69¢	$4	0xbc6e73…
08-25 05:38:00	bitcoin above 80k on august 26 2026	Yes	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0x3967e5…
08-25 05:37:18	bitcoin above 82k on august 25 2026	Yes	BUY	6	20¢	$1	0xab22a1…
08-25 05:36:07	ethereum above 2400 on august 31 2026	Yes	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0x3c34eb…
08-25 05:35:55	ethereum above 2500 on august 31 2026	Yes	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x1d89a1…
08-21 08:43:40	ethereum above 2500 on august 26 2026	Yes	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0x718a81…
08-21 08:43:09	ethereum above 2600 on august 27 2026	Yes	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x104f70…
08-21 08:43:01	ethereum above 2700 on august 27 2026	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xc79bc6…
08-21 08:42:15	bitcoin above 78k on august 26 2026	Yes	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x56f4cd…
08-21 08:41:45	bitcoin above 82k on august 27 2026	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x220efa…
08-21 08:41:33	bitcoin above 80k on august 27 2026	Yes	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x97bc6b…
08-21 08:41:24	bitcoin above 78k on august 27 2026	Yes	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x23cb45…
08-21 08:38:01	will bitcoin reach 82pt5k in august 2026	Yes	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0xa59ce4…
08-21 08:37:54	will bitcoin reach 80k in august 2026	Yes	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0x0f6617…
08-17 18:59:46	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	Yes	BUY	326	3¢	$11	0x8d8892…
08-17 18:58:25	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0xe2eeb6…
08-14 09:07:12	russia x ukraine ceasefire by october 31 2026	Yes	BUY	58	10¢	$6	0xc632ff…
08-14 09:05:36	Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay	Yes	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0x58735f…
08-14 09:04:33	will russia and ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by september 30 2026	Yes	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0xb91b73…
08-14 09:03:42	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	Yes	BUY	83	18¢	$15	0xff00dd…
08-14 09:00:45	yabloko effectively banned from 2026 russian elections by september 17 20260807161302974	Yes	SELL	37	97¢	$36	0x49bbeb…
08-13 14:16:57	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	Yes	BUY	32	25¢	$8	0xbf4ac7…
08-13 14:15:10	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	Yes	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0x860203…
08-13 14:10:31	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	45	67¢	$30	0xa3e66f…
08-13 14:08:31	ethereum above 1900 on august 13 2026	Yes	BUY	57	18¢	$10	0x5941e3…
08-13 14:07:40	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	Yes	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0x714252…
08-13 14:07:07	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	BUY	62	16¢	$10	0x3cea5e…
08-13 14:06:28	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	No	SELL	13	84¢	$11	0xe114da…
08-13 14:03:46	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	Yes	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0x27bef9…
08-13 14:03:01	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	BUY	62	16¢	$10	0x6fe89e…
08-13 13:31:31	ethereum above 1900 on august 13 2026	Yes	BUY	30	20¢	$6	0x9f4648…
08-13 08:26:52	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0xab9ab6…
08-10 19:09:42	yabloko effectively banned from 2026 russian elections by september 17 20260807161302974	Yes	BUY	37	98¢	$36	0xcde498…
08-10 19:07:37	Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on August 11?	Yes	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x3d9c5c…
08-10 13:10:21	bitcoin above 64k on august 10 2026	No	BUY	28	4¢	$1	0x168f90…
08-10 10:06:12	Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on August 10?	Yes	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0x721166…
08-10 07:55:55	Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on August 10?	Yes	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x9e2eb5…
08-10 06:19:40	bitcoin above 66k on august 10 2026	No	BUY	7	91¢	$6	0x55e63c…
08-10 06:05:33	bitcoin above 66k on august 10 2026	No	BUY	6	93¢	$6	0x82585b…
08-10 05:51:31	us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026	No	BUY	26	76¢	$20	0x211e89…
08-06 06:05:26	Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on August 6?	Yes	BUY	111	1¢	$1	0xf93ddb…
08-06 06:02:51	Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on August 6?	Yes	BUY	102	1¢	$1	0xbe215d…
08-06 06:02:39	Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on August 6?	Yes	BUY	200	0¢	$1	0x6257eb…
08-02 07:13:39	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	Yes	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0xec516b…
08-02 07:12:32	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0x9d80a8…
08-02 07:11:15	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	No	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0xd4b0a0…
08-02 06:58:39	will wti reach 100 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	42	24¢	$10	0x999098…
08-02 06:58:32	will wti reach 95 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	26	39¢	$10	0xab9fa3…
08-02 06:58:23	will wti reach 90 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0xac04c6…
08-02 06:43:17	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	No	BUY	13	76¢	$10	0x875d7f…
08-01 08:46:32	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0xc3c560…
08-01 08:45:51	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	No	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0x13e104…
08-01 08:44:48	will wti reach 100 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	24	41¢	$10	0x086be7…
08-01 08:44:36	will wti reach 95 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0x3704eb…
08-01 08:44:27	will wti reach 90 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0xdd5c84…
07-31 14:08:26	will bitcoin dip to 55k in july 2026 381	Yes	SELL	33	0¢	$0	0xfa7988…
07-31 14:08:12	will wti dip to 75 in july 2026 from july 20	Yes	SELL	12	0¢	$0	0x143a08…
07-31 14:07:48	will wti reach 105 in july 2026	Yes	SELL	160	0¢	$0	0xdf90ce…
07-31 14:07:32	will ethereum dip to 1700 in july 2026 from july 6	Yes	SELL	56	0¢	$0	0x23a710…
07-31 14:07:17	will ethereum dip to 1600 in july 2026 from july 6	Yes	SELL	109	0¢	$0	0x93eff1…
07-31 14:07:03	will bitcoin dip to 60000 in july 20260706151220612 754	Yes	SELL	26	1¢	$0	0xfa0a1e…
07-31 14:06:54	will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in july 2026 618	Yes	SELL	77	0¢	$0	0x3bc48f…
07-31 14:06:42	will ethereum dip to 1500 in july 2026 446 668	Yes	SELL	36	0¢	$0	0x03e568…
07-31 14:06:06	will wti reach 100 in july 2026 928	Yes	SELL	882	0¢	$1	0xe47c8e…
07-31 14:05:56	will wti reach 95 in july 2026	Yes	SELL	1,009	0¢	$5	0x7ec620…
07-30 20:26:45	will wti reach 85 in july 2026 from july 30	Yes	BUY	20	75¢	$15	0xf5e3fb…
07-30 07:55:47	will wti dip to 80 in july 2026 from july 29	No	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0xfcc99f…
07-30 07:54:56	will wti reach 95 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	161	6¢	$10	0x97a9aa…
07-30 07:54:44	will wti reach 90 in july 2026 from july 27	Yes	BUY	35	28¢	$10	0xc10c25…
07-29 17:16:42	will wti dip to 80 in july 2026 from july 29	No	BUY	8	75¢	$6	0x9d5914…
07-29 17:16:27	will wti dip to 80 in july 2026 from july 29	No	BUY	13	76¢	$10	0x828567…
07-29 17:08:24	will wti reach 95 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	269	7¢	$20	0x42b496…
07-29 17:08:06	will wti reach 90 in july 2026 from july 27	Yes	BUY	103	29¢	$30	0xe353c4…
07-29 14:20:59	will wti reach 90 in july 2026 from july 27	Yes	BUY	70	28¢	$20	0x26317c…
07-29 14:20:47	will wti reach 85 in july 2026 from july 27	Yes	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0x8a6a21…
07-29 13:11:09	will wti reach 90 in july 2026 from july 27	Yes	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0xdcd0cb…
07-29 13:10:47	will wti reach 95 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	40	13¢	$5	0xbb9231…
07-29 13:10:33	will wti reach 95 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	40	13¢	$5	0xad48cc…
07-29 13:10:11	will wti reach 90 in july 2026 from july 27	Yes	BUY	60	33¢	$20	0x19e0af…
07-29 13:09:54	will wti reach 90 in july 2026 from july 27	Yes	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0x64c6dc…
07-29 13:09:15	will wti reach 85 in july 2026 from july 27	Yes	BUY	16	93¢	$15	0xfefd55…
07-28 16:51:55	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	12	81¢	$10	0x41216d…
07-28 16:50:23	will wti reach 90 in july 2026 from july 27	Yes	BUY	141	4¢	$5	0xdfcf2b…
07-28 16:50:10	will wti reach 90 in july 2026 from july 27	Yes	BUY	143	3¢	$5	0x061d6c…
07-28 16:50:02	will wti reach 85 in july 2026 from july 27	Yes	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0x1dbbc6…
07-28 16:49:50	will wti dip to 75 in july 2026 from july 20	Yes	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0x1217c0…
07-27 14:14:04	will ethereum reach 2100 in july 2026	No	BUY	13	79¢	$10	0x4a648e…
07-27 14:13:48	will ethereum dip to 1700 in july 2026 from july 6	Yes	BUY	22	4¢	$1	0x4f964d…
07-27 14:13:37	will ethereum dip to 1600 in july 2026 from july 6	Yes	BUY	91	1¢	$1	0x12202b…
07-27 14:13:18	will ethereum dip to 1700 in july 2026 from july 6	Yes	BUY	22	4¢	$1	0x9bc19e…
07-27 14:12:55	will ethereum dip to 1800 in july 2026 from july 14	Yes	BUY	72	14¢	$10	0x21887d…
07-27 14:12:43	will ethereum reach 2000 in july 2026	No	BUY	18	30¢	$5	0x53a84f…
07-24 12:44:58	Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the September Meeting?	Yes	BUY	77	39¢	$30	0xabb8b8…
07-23 11:38:18	Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the July Meeting?	Yes	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0xbb14bf…