Multicolored-Duty — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$168

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

45.4%

Resolved

567

Trades

1,402

lifetime

Volume

$8.19K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-24

last 09-22 13:31

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 50 days

Categories

Crypto

66% 30% -$243

Other

33% 40% +$483

Politics

1% 0% -$66

Tech

0% 0% -$6

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
solana up or down on february 10	4	$125	94	94	+0	Down	+$27	02-10 14:13
will bitcoin dip to 60k in february 2026 394 616	3	$121	100	100	+0	Yes	+$79	02-06 00:33
will silver si hit high 130 by end of february 915 491 526 914 543 364	2	$115	108	108	+0	No	+$75	02-02 08:22
spx opens up or down on january 26 2026	2	$110	90	90	+0	Up	+$70	01-26 16:55
rut up or down on february 2 2026	2	$108	100	100	+0	Up	+$68	02-02 15:31
bitcoin up or down on february 17	1	$100	0	100	-100	Down	$0	02-17 18:49
will the price of ethereum be between 2900 3000 on january 26	2	$94	74	74	+0	Yes	+$54	01-26 17:07
ETH Up/Down 4h · 2026-02-08 01:00 UTC	3	$90	100	100	+0	Up	+$48	02-08 03:56
Will Apple (AAPL) close above $345 on September 22?	1	$80	100	0	+100	No	+$20	09-22 13:31
ethereum up or down on january 28	3	$71	79	67	+12	Up	+$24	01-28 06:03
dji up or down on february 2 2026	3	$65	50	50	+0	Up	+$30	02-02 16:17
googl up or down on february 12 2026	2	$61	50	50	+0	Down	+$39	02-13 03:38
si hit 120 high jan 2026 313 822 269	2	$60	100	100	+0	No	+$18	01-28 01:41
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-10 11:15 UTC	2	$59	40	39	+1	Up	+$20	02-10 11:31
ETH Up/Down 4h · 2026-02-10 01:00 UTC	6	$58	50	50	+0	Down	+$34	02-10 03:53
ethereum up or down on february 10	2	$56	40	40	+0	Down	+$18	02-10 11:39
will the price of ethereum be between 2800 2900 on january 27	2	$56	200	0	+200	No	-$56	01-27 12:59
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-02-06 05:00 UTC	4	$55	50	50	+0	Down	+$4	02-06 08:29
will ethereum dip to 2800 january 19 25	2	$53	100	100	+0	Yes	+$33	01-25 19:05
bitcoin up or down february 9 12am et	11	$52	80	0	+80	Up	-$52	02-09 05:34
bitcoin up or down february 9 5pm et	2	$50	50	50	+0	Down	+$10	02-09 22:53
bitcoin above 68k on february 16	1	$50	70	0	+70	No	-$50	02-16 05:02
nvda above 180 on february 6 2026	2	$48	100	100	+0	Yes	+$2	02-06 14:39
solana up or down february 7 5pm et	7	$47	200	200	+0	Up	-$7	02-07 22:58
bitcoin up or down on february 14	1	$46	100	0	+100	Up	-$46	02-14 04:21
spx opens up or down on february 5 2026	2	$46	40	40	+0	Down	+$2	02-05 11:57
spx opens up or down on february 10 2026	3	$45	101	0	+101	Up	-$45	02-10 09:53
will meta reach 730 in february	2	$44	100	100	+0	No	+$14	02-02 15:32
will the price of ethereum be between 2100 2200 on february 7	5	$42	100	100	+0	No	+$20	02-06 22:36
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-02-10 01:00 UTC	4	$41	40	40	+0	Down	+$24	02-10 03:57

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-22 13:31:10	Will Apple (AAPL) close above $345 on September 22?	No	BUY	100	80¢	$80	0x75851c…
05-25 23:45:17	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on May 27?	Yes	BUY	9	17¢	$2	0x35d42c…
05-25 23:33:27	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on May 27?	Yes	BUY	7	17¢	$1	0x071e72…
05-25 23:15:34	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on May 27?	Yes	BUY	1	17¢	$0	0x25b65d…
05-25 22:53:19	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on May 27?	Yes	BUY	2	17¢	$0	0x079f6b…
05-25 20:07:53	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on May 27?	Yes	BUY	38	17¢	$7	0xd4c8a9…
05-25 15:09:51	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on May 26?	Yes	BUY	13	23¢	$3	0x730fbe…
05-25 14:59:37	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on May 26?	Yes	BUY	11	23¢	$3	0xc3a3a7…
05-25 14:48:37	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on May 27?	Yes	BUY	12	17¢	$2	0x65972d…
05-25 14:37:02	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on May 27?	Yes	BUY	5	17¢	$1	0x2a0b9a…
05-25 14:16:02	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on May 26?	Yes	BUY	1	23¢	$0	0x583613…
05-25 14:07:59	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on May 26?	Yes	BUY	1	23¢	$0	0x895356…
05-25 13:25:51	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on May 26?	Yes	BUY	2	23¢	$0	0xdabef5…
05-25 13:16:11	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on May 26?	Yes	BUY	14	23¢	$3	0xff1ff1…
05-25 13:12:33	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on May 26?	Yes	BUY	2	23¢	$0	0x05ed16…
05-25 13:07:12	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on May 26?	Yes	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0x6750e6…
05-25 12:51:57	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on May 27?	Yes	BUY	12	17¢	$2	0x14e3c0…
05-25 12:42:46	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on May 27?	Yes	BUY	5	17¢	$1	0x6a6743…
05-25 12:38:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	17	21¢	$4	0xe2ef83…
05-25 12:38:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	18	21¢	$4	0xbccd3e…
05-25 12:38:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	4	21¢	$1	0x65ca7e…
05-25 12:38:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	11	21¢	$2	0x027a1b…
05-25 12:33:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xe2b414…
05-25 12:33:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	3	21¢	$1	0xc15083…
05-25 12:33:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	28	21¢	$6	0x5a6be7…
05-25 12:33:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x487cc0…
05-25 12:33:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	9	21¢	$2	0x403eaf…
05-25 12:29:49	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on May 27?	Yes	BUY	9	17¢	$2	0xe78b6c…
05-25 12:25:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2,500	1¢	$25	0xa1c33a…
05-25 12:00:02	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	18¢	$18	0x18eca8…
05-09 10:37:07	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on May 9?	Yes	BUY	100	14¢	$14	0xb085d8…
05-07 17:16:09	Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $65 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	77	21¢	$16	0x5961e6…
05-07 14:58:11	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 7?	Down	BUY	76	21¢	$16	0xf9b83d…
05-07 14:58:11	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 7?	Down	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0x068a4f…
05-07 14:44:08	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $420 in May?	No	BUY	100	15¢	$15	0xc8daca…
05-07 14:20:57	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on May 8?	Yes	BUY	65	15¢	$10	0x2295e6…
05-07 13:54:08	Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $65 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	23	21¢	$5	0x6eba36…
05-07 13:51:43	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close at $200-$205 on the final day of trading of the week of May 4 – May 8?	Yes	BUY	100	21¢	$21	0xbf99ab…
05-07 13:41:10	Meta (META) Up or Down on May 7?	Down	BUY	100	13¢	$13	0x770678…
05-07 13:39:19	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on May 8?	Yes	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0x733479…
05-07 13:33:54	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on May 8?	Yes	BUY	6	15¢	$1	0xea8239…
05-07 13:29:40	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on May 8?	Yes	BUY	6	15¢	$1	0x32f142…
05-07 13:28:41	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on May 8?	Yes	BUY	1	15¢	$0	0x3c5f48…
05-07 13:28:30	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on May 8?	Yes	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0xbe8840…
05-07 12:41:48	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on May 8?	Yes	BUY	12	15¢	$2	0xbdab3f…
05-06 09:17:24	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $725 on May 6?	No	BUY	100	21¢	$21	0xaa7938…
05-06 00:58:14	Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	21¢	$21	0x98096f…
05-05 22:32:24	Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $140 in May?	Yes	BUY	91	20¢	$18	0xb41547…
05-05 17:05:46	Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $140 in May?	Yes	BUY	1	20¢	$0	0x2d4423…
05-05 17:05:44	Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $140 in May?	Yes	BUY	8	20¢	$2	0x4b7ab8…
05-05 14:36:58	Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $284 Week of May 4 2026?	No	BUY	100	20¢	$20	0xdd5385…
05-05 13:33:22	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $345 in May?	Yes	BUY	100	22¢	$22	0xc1ab99…
05-05 13:31:20	Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $169 Week of May 4 2026?	No	BUY	100	15¢	$15	0x452aff…
05-05 13:29:00	Will Google (GOOGL) finish week of May 4 above $370?	No	BUY	73	21¢	$15	0x8066f3…
05-05 12:15:10	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	37	21¢	$8	0x635f18…
05-05 12:15:08	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	63	21¢	$13	0x612f82…
05-05 11:54:32	Will Google (GOOGL) finish week of May 4 above $370?	No	BUY	25	21¢	$5	0x2dd334…
05-05 11:45:28	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	7¢	$7	0x59eb2d…
05-05 10:53:52	Will Google (GOOGL) finish week of May 4 above $370?	No	BUY	1	21¢	$0	0xc83cee…
05-05 08:42:40	Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (HIGH) $7.00 in May?	Yes	BUY	100	20¢	$20	0xa124f7…
05-05 02:54:34	Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on May 5?	Yes	BUY	100	15¢	$15	0x697ed1…
05-04 14:47:46	Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $280 in May?	No	BUY	40	21¢	$9	0x7d3958…
05-04 14:45:08	Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $280 in May?	No	BUY	55	21¢	$11	0x1aa1f2…
05-04 14:42:42	Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $280 in May?	No	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xf0a125…
05-04 14:38:16	Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $276 Week of May 4 2026?	No	BUY	100	22¢	$22	0x58bad6…
05-04 13:32:08	Will Meta (META) close above $610 on May 4?	Yes	BUY	50	33¢	$16	0x234e53…
05-04 13:31:12	Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $167 Week of May 4 2026?	No	BUY	100	22¢	$22	0x98ab35…
05-04 12:28:42	Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $166 in May?	No	BUY	100	11¢	$11	0x6a7122…
05-04 10:53:02	Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $390 in May?	No	BUY	45	13¢	$6	0x0b8337…
05-04 08:50:26	Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $390 in May?	No	BUY	55	13¢	$7	0x6b4a94…
05-03 18:42:16	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.40 in May?	Yes	BUY	100	20¢	$20	0x485e58…
05-03 08:04:08	Will Uber (UBER) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	1	12¢	$0	0x2f99b2…
05-03 07:58:42	Will Uber (UBER) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	1	12¢	$0	0x709b97…
05-03 06:18:46	Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	Yes	BUY	88	18¢	$16	0x4cc282…
05-03 06:12:10	Will Uber (UBER) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	7	12¢	$1	0x30bc21…
05-03 06:11:46	Will Uber (UBER) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	91	12¢	$11	0xf80475…
05-03 04:15:30	Sharjah announces secession from UAE by May 31?	Yes	BUY	1,000	2¢	$15	0x3dca0d…
05-03 04:12:02	Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	18¢	$2	0x16edf4…
05-03 04:08:16	Will Coinbase (COIN) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	100	9¢	$9	0xdc8790…
04-26 20:42:40	Will SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (SPY) hit (HIGH) $720 in April?	No	BUY	90	20¢	$18	0xfd3433…
04-26 20:22:04	Will SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (SPY) hit (HIGH) $720 in April?	No	BUY	4	20¢	$1	0xc7b816…
04-26 09:15:30	Will SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (SPY) hit (HIGH) $720 in April?	No	BUY	6	20¢	$1	0x3b3343…
04-03 20:14:39	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-03 20:00 UTC	Down	BUY	18	11¢	$2	0xca992c…
04-03 20:14:39	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-03 20:00 UTC	Down	BUY	18	11¢	$2	0x5f7b64…
04-03 20:14:39	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-03 20:00 UTC	Down	BUY	14	11¢	$1	0x3b9a9a…
04-03 20:14:39	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-03 20:00 UTC	Down	BUY	0	11¢	$0	0x0b7008…
03-02 22:30:59	elon musk of tweets february 24 march 3 200 219	Yes	BUY	10	39¢	$4	0x477bfd…
03-02 22:27:53	us x iran ceasefire by march 6	Yes	BUY	100	7¢	$7	0xf830bc…
03-01 15:57:43	Will the US strike 4 countries in 2026?	Yes	BUY	45	10¢	$4	0xd914aa…
03-01 15:56:13	Will the US strike 4 countries in 2026?	Yes	BUY	55	10¢	$5	0x5d82db…
03-01 15:54:43	Will the US strike Yemen next?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$5	0x217f75…
02-28 10:58:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-28 10:55 UTC	Down	BUY	10	22¢	$2	0x962bc8…
02-28 10:49:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-28 10:45 UTC	Down	BUY	10	59¢	$6	0x19990a…
02-28 08:37:43	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-28 08:35 UTC	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xeb0f81…
02-28 08:37:43	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-28 08:35 UTC	Down	BUY	2	22¢	$0	0xabbaf0…
02-28 08:37:43	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-28 08:35 UTC	Down	BUY	2	22¢	$0	0x8ae53e…
02-28 08:37:43	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-28 08:35 UTC	Down	BUY	1	22¢	$0	0x7c7838…
02-28 08:31:21	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-28 08:30 UTC	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xe39a83…
02-28 08:31:21	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-28 08:30 UTC	Down	BUY	1	22¢	$0	0x716fd6…
02-28 08:31:21	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-28 08:30 UTC	Down	BUY	2	22¢	$0	0x5f675d…