Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on May 9?
open
Total volume
$486
$936 in 24h
Trades
42
Unique wallets
21
Liquidity
$12,401
Latest YES mid
0¢
Latest NO mid
100¢
End date
2026-05-09
First seen
2026-05-06
last 05-09 15:49
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-14.9¢
(top1%: 4% YES on $28
vs crowd: 18% YES on $398)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐬 Dolphin | 3 | $53 | $175 | $122 |
| 🐟 Fish | 3 | $3 | $90 | $87 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 15 | $18 | $60 | $42 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 2 | $1 | $27 | $26 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 3 | $5 | $68 | $63 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 1 | — | $3 | $3 |
| Median | 4 | $1 | $11 | $10 |
| Below median | 5 | $4 | $13 | $9 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | $9 | — | +$9 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 1 | — | — | +— |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 3 | $53 | $202 | $150 |
| unranked | 1 | — | $1 | $1 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Impressive-Steak 0x06dc…4524 | No | +218 | $170 | $170 | 4 | 05-09 15:14 |
| Impressive-Steak 0x06dc…4524 | Yes | +106 | $33 | $33 | 8 | 05-09 15:09 |
| (anonymous) 0xe907…cff6 | Yes | +100 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 05-09 14:28 |
| Unconscious-Collection 0x5f65…2a00 | No | +64 | $63 | $63 | 2 | 05-09 15:31 |
| Intelligent-Length 0xdb5a…3965 | No | +37 | $33 | $33 | 1 | 05-09 04:06 |
| Tepid-Monopoly 0x28bf…4a4e | No | +29 | $27 | $27 | 1 | 05-09 12:48 |
| (anonymous) 0x50af…76f4 | Yes | +20 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-06 08:34 |
| (anonymous) 0x1d5f…18c5 | Yes | +20 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 05-07 15:11 |
| Unwelcome-Update 0x227d…1a26 | Yes | +19 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-09 09:50 |
| Unconscious-Collection 0x5f65…2a00 | Yes | +18 | $2 | $2 | 3 | 05-09 14:53 |
| Cavernous-Candidacy 0x75d9…c56e | No | +7 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-09 15:13 |
| Deserted-Bitter 0x3690…e16f | Yes | +6 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-09 15:09 |
| Affectionate-Variable 0x1e76…7b84 | Yes | +5 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-09 15:09 |
| Intentional-Facsimile 0x3eac…fe52 | Yes | +5 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-09 15:09 |
| Variable-Verification 0x3d5a…4c29 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-09 15:49 |
| Muted-Midnight 0x1be5…3add | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-09 15:04 |
| Wise-Keyboard 0x27ab…e521 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-09 15:49 |
| Giddy-Skywalk 0x7fe2…2ee1 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-09 15:03 |
| Amusing-Pathogenesis 0xb341…5838 | No | +3 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-09 15:38 |
| Cultured-Disregard 0x76a1…4652 | No | +3 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-09 04:06 |
| Mixed-Antiquity 0xc991…c2b8 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-09 15:49 |
| Damp-Ligula 0x26d2…ed55 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-09 13:58 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-09 15:49:06 | Mixed-Antiquity 0xc991…c2b8 | No | BUY | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0xf45969… |
| 05-09 15:49:06 | Variable-Verification 0x3d5a…4c29 | No | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x571077… |
| 05-09 15:49:06 | Wise-Keyboard 0x27ab…e521 | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x3265bb… |
| 05-09 15:38:05 | Amusing-Pathogenesis 0xb341…5838 | No | BUY | 3 | 98¢ | $3 | 0xaaa034… |
| 05-09 15:31:00 | Unconscious-Collection 0x5f65…2a00 | No | BUY | 33 | 98¢ | $32 | 0x06b5cf… |
| 05-09 15:30:21 | Unconscious-Collection 0x5f65…2a00 | No | BUY | 31 | 98¢ | $30 | 0xabe810… |
| 05-09 15:14:52 | Impressive-Steak 0x06dc…4524 | No | BUY | 110 | 74¢ | $81 | 0x993d35… |
| 05-09 15:13:59 | Cavernous-Candidacy 0x75d9…c56e | No | BUY | 7 | 77¢ | $5 | 0xc4444b… |
| 05-09 15:12:16 | Impressive-Steak 0x06dc…4524 | No | BUY | 5 | 60¢ | $3 | 0x4cc018… |
| 05-09 15:12:16 | Impressive-Steak 0x06dc…4524 | No | BUY | 20 | 60¢ | $12 | 0x620e7b… |
| 05-09 15:09:09 | Affectionate-Variable 0x1e76…7b84 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 20¢ | $1 | 0x4fa763… |
| 05-09 15:09:07 | Intentional-Facsimile 0x3eac…fe52 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 20¢ | $1 | 0x0d5c75… |
| 05-09 15:09:07 | Impressive-Steak 0x06dc…4524 | Yes | BUY | 19 | 17¢ | $3 | 0xb9bbbc… |
| 05-09 15:09:07 | Deserted-Bitter 0x3690…e16f | Yes | BUY | 6 | 17¢ | $1 | 0xe66a1f… |
| 05-09 15:04:10 | Muted-Midnight 0x1be5…3add | No | BUY | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0xb7c710… |
| 05-09 15:03:54 | Giddy-Skywalk 0x7fe2…2ee1 | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x4b1960… |
| 05-09 14:53:31 | Unconscious-Collection 0x5f65…2a00 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 10¢ | $1 | 0xbd0e29… |
| 05-09 14:28:43 | (anonymous) 0xe907…cff6 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 19¢ | $20 | 0x3d6c2d… |
| 05-09 14:27:12 | Wet-Map 0x3bc3…0900 | Yes | SELL | 146 | 14¢ | $21 | 0xc7a776… |
| 05-09 14:27:00 | Wet-Map 0x3bc3…0900 | Yes | SELL | 43 | 13¢ | $6 | 0xda1826… |
| 05-09 14:26:15 | Wet-Map 0x3bc3…0900 | Yes | SELL | 148 | 12¢ | $18 | 0x24feb3… |
| 05-09 14:25:31 | Wet-Map 0x3bc3…0900 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 12¢ | $1 | 0xc14432… |
| 05-09 14:24:03 | Unconscious-Collection 0x5f65…2a00 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 10¢ | $0 | 0xe52940… |
| 05-09 14:23:56 | Unconscious-Collection 0x5f65…2a00 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 8¢ | $0 | 0xd3f75c… |
| 05-09 13:58:06 | Damp-Ligula 0x26d2…ed55 | No | BUY | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0x18bcbc… |
| 05-09 12:48:08 | Tepid-Monopoly 0x28bf…4a4e | No | BUY | 29 | 94¢ | $27 | 0x61a125… |
| 05-09 11:05:05 | Impressive-Steak 0x06dc…4524 | No | BUY | 83 | 89¢ | $74 | 0x7e7f30… |
| 05-09 09:50:28 | Unwelcome-Update 0x227d…1a26 | Yes | BUY | 19 | 16¢ | $3 | 0xfe55da… |
| 05-09 04:06:27 | Intelligent-Length 0xdb5a…3965 | No | BUY | 37 | 88¢ | $33 | 0x6edcf6… |
| 05-09 04:06:25 | Cultured-Disregard 0x76a1…4652 | No | BUY | 3 | 88¢ | $3 | 0xb47d65… |
| 05-08 20:31:36 | Impressive-Steak 0x06dc…4524 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 33¢ | $3 | 0x5f0bc2… |
| 05-08 20:31:36 | Impressive-Steak 0x06dc…4524 | Yes | BUY | 25 | 33¢ | $8 | 0x2cf83b… |
| 05-08 13:14:49 | Impressive-Steak 0x06dc…4524 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 63¢ | $6 | 0xbb68b0… |
| 05-07 15:11:59 | (anonymous) 0x1d5f…18c5 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 47¢ | $9 | 0x798f0f… |
| 05-07 12:10:41 | (anonymous) 0x50af…76f4 | No | SELL | 23 | 62¢ | $14 | 0xc39452… |
| 05-07 12:10:29 | (anonymous) 0x50af…76f4 | No | SELL | 5 | 69¢ | $3 | 0x3576e2… |
| 05-07 11:50:58 | Impressive-Steak 0x06dc…4524 | Yes | BUY | 28 | 29¢ | $8 | 0xd4958b… |
| 05-07 11:50:58 | Impressive-Steak 0x06dc…4524 | Yes | BUY | 0 | 29¢ | $0 | 0x1dfce3… |
| 05-07 11:30:42 | Impressive-Steak 0x06dc…4524 | Yes | BUY | 13 | 27¢ | $4 | 0xfb9e19… |
| 05-07 11:30:42 | Impressive-Steak 0x06dc…4524 | Yes | BUY | 0 | 27¢ | $0 | 0x529fbd… |
| 05-07 10:54:18 | (anonymous) 0x50af…76f4 | No | SELL | 43 | 60¢ | $26 | 0x320c47… |
| 05-06 08:34:44 | (anonymous) 0x50af…76f4 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 17¢ | $3 | 0x8912ce… |