Cavernous-Candidacy — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$2

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

65.8%

Resolved

Trades

342

lifetime

Volume

$554

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-23

last 05-10 17:24

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

90% 71% +$3

Other

6% 100% +$5

Politics

4% 0% $-6

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

13 active days in 12wk • peak 93 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (8) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 29?	2	$16	12	12	+0	open	—	04-29 03:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	2	$13	14	0	+14	open	—	04-27 01:03
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 30?	2	$12	11	11	+0	open	—	04-29 16:01
Will Google (GOOGL) finish week of May 4 above $395?	2	$12	7	7	+0	Yes	+$2	05-08 21:49
Will Amazon (AMZN) finish week of May 4 above $270?	2	$12	7	7	+0	Yes	+$2	05-08 21:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	2	$12	8	8	+0	open	—	04-27 05:22
Will Fidelity National Information Services (FIS) beat quarterly earnings?	2	$11	6	6	+0	Yes	+$1	05-08 11:48
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 11?	2	$10	6	6	+0	No	$-0	05-10 17:24
Will Trump post "Venezuela" on Truth Social this week?	2	$9	7	7	+0	No	$-1	05-10 13:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	3	$9	12	4	+8	open	—	04-26 20:49
Will Trump be photographed every day this week? (5/11-5/17)	2	$8	7	7	+0	open	—	05-10 13:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	4	$6	5	5	+0	open	—	04-29 14:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	2	$5	4	4	+0	open	—	04-26 18:07
Will Trump say "Scam" or "Fraud" this week?	2	$5	8	8	+0	Yes	$-5	05-10 16:14
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 9?	1	$5	6	0	+6	Yes	+$1	05-09 09:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	1	$5	10	0	+10	open	—	04-26 21:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	1	$5	9	0	+9	open	—	04-27 01:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	1	$5	17	0	+17	open	—	04-27 01:45
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 9?	1	$5	7	0	+7	Yes	+$2	05-09 15:10
Ethereum Up or Down - April 26, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	3	$5	8	4	+3	open	—	04-26 23:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	5	$4	154	143	+11	open	—	04-27 01:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	2	$4	6	6	+0	open	—	04-27 16:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	2	$4	5	5	+0	open	—	04-25 08:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	open	—	04-26 15:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	3	$3	22	2	+20	open	—	04-27 14:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	3	$3	3	2	+1	open	—	04-27 12:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	1	$3	4	0	+4	open	—	04-25 06:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	1	$3	5	0	+5	open	—	04-25 10:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	1	$3	3	0	+3	open	—	04-25 06:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	1	$3	4	0	+4	open	—	04-25 02:12

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-10 17:24:30	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 11?	No	SELL	6	77¢	$5	0x671a02…
05-10 17:24:02	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 11?	No	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x222e60…
05-10 16:14:19	Will Trump say "Scam" or "Fraud" this week?	No	SELL	8	1¢	$0	0xd0692b…
05-10 13:04:43	Will Trump post "Venezuela" on Truth Social this week?	No	SELL	7	57¢	$4	0xa38b07…
05-10 13:04:25	Will Trump be photographed every day this week? (5/11-5/17)	No	SELL	7	42¢	$3	0x7bede7…
05-09 19:08:19	Will Trump post "Venezuela" on Truth Social this week?	No	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0x5a59b0…
05-09 15:10:28	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 9?	Yes	BUY	7	77¢	$5	0x89daf9…
05-09 09:33:58	Will Trump be photographed every day this week? (5/11-5/17)	No	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0xa835d6…
05-09 09:16:30	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 9?	Yes	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x4eb83d…
05-09 09:06:38	Will Trump say "Scam" or "Fraud" this week?	No	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x4b302d…
05-08 21:49:51	Will Amazon (AMZN) finish week of May 4 above $270?	Yes	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x393467…
05-08 21:49:46	Will Google (GOOGL) finish week of May 4 above $395?	Yes	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x2fed4b…
05-08 13:16:34	Will Amazon (AMZN) finish week of May 4 above $270?	Yes	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0x6bb4a1…
05-08 11:48:44	Will Google (GOOGL) finish week of May 4 above $395?	Yes	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0x961fe7…
05-08 11:48:06	Will Fidelity National Information Services (FIS) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xc7c04a…
05-08 09:02:28	Will Fidelity National Information Services (FIS) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x220ac7…
05-08 08:28:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xad4456…
05-08 07:19:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x314c0d…
05-08 06:58:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x692e3a…
05-08 06:44:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x665bd9…
05-04 15:54:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	SELL	3	12¢	$0	0xf6861d…
05-04 15:53:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0x62a839…
05-04 15:39:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	SELL	3	2¢	$0	0xe82b8c…
05-04 15:38:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0xd45637…
05-04 15:24:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	SELL	1	60¢	$1	0x75a03a…
05-04 15:20:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xfd8639…
05-04 15:17:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x748fd7…
05-04 15:11:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	SELL	1	89¢	$1	0x7ae794…
05-04 15:11:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x8dd65e…
05-04 15:04:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	SELL	2	32¢	$1	0x4fbbbb…
05-04 15:00:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xe37aee…
05-04 14:55:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x755bbd…
05-04 14:51:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	SELL	2	91¢	$2	0x4f0b89…
05-04 14:50:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x8b6ae8…
05-04 14:44:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xc6e2d8…
05-04 14:43:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x5e9c08…
05-04 14:29:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	SELL	2	29¢	$0	0x76404a…
05-04 14:25:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x08715e…
05-04 14:11:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0x620376…
05-04 14:10:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xd087d4…
05-04 14:09:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x3f3635…
05-04 14:09:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x6196cc…
05-04 13:43:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	SELL	2	94¢	$1	0xbb8604…
05-04 13:40:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x206e4f…
05-04 13:38:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	SELL	2	97¢	$2	0x7675ea…
05-04 13:37:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xed435c…
05-04 13:33:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x4d7277…
05-04 13:33:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xf18724…
05-04 13:19:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0xc38138…
05-04 13:18:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x5512c0…
05-04 13:05:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x169079…
05-04 11:04:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	SELL	1	41¢	$1	0x7feb02…
05-04 11:01:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x8079ce…
05-04 10:59:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	SELL	1	12¢	$0	0xb3fe02…
05-04 10:58:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x492481…
05-04 10:48:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x417dc3…
05-04 10:45:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x5bcf90…
05-04 10:40:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x311eb0…
05-04 10:30:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x04bee8…
05-04 10:25:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0xe37b10…
05-04 10:24:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	SELL	2	97¢	$2	0xedc6cb…
05-04 10:21:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x4fff98…
05-04 10:17:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x2519ef…
05-04 10:15:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x63bc42…
05-04 10:06:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x29b5b2…
05-04 10:05:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x2aba31…
05-04 09:34:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xa985dd…
05-04 09:33:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x926b01…
05-04 08:13:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x848141…
05-04 08:13:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x761099…
05-04 07:44:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0xe7e37e…
05-04 07:43:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x8b9359…
05-04 06:34:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	SELL	2	37¢	$1	0x3dc851…
05-04 06:33:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x1f1b48…
05-04 06:17:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xc89811…
05-04 06:15:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x010ae6…
05-04 05:13:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Down	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x89954f…
05-04 05:11:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x55074d…
05-04 04:58:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0xe473e6…
05-04 04:35:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Up	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x04c6ac…
05-04 04:34:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down	SELL	1	8¢	$0	0x546ee7…
05-04 04:19:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Down	SELL	1	1¢	$0	0xe06e24…
05-04 04:17:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Down	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xcbaede…
05-04 04:03:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Up	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x817a11…
05-04 04:03:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Up	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0xf7cebb…
05-04 03:53:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Down	SELL	1	88¢	$1	0x48de1e…
05-04 03:53:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Down	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x88ae46…
05-04 03:28:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Down	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x9773f4…
05-04 03:27:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0xe60a72…
05-04 03:24:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	SELL	1	1¢	$0	0x824731…
05-04 03:21:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0xd7fbdc…
05-04 03:17:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x3d4674…
05-04 03:15:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xb8e8b5…
05-04 03:03:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Down	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x7fbd78…
05-04 03:03:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Down	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x1a0a36…
05-04 02:47:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	SELL	2	95¢	$1	0xa77c7b…
05-04 02:45:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xd0bde3…
05-04 02:34:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	SELL	2	93¢	$1	0xfb5995…
05-04 02:33:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x994034…
05-04 02:15:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	SELL	1	45¢	$1	0xb06213…