Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 28°C on May 9?
open
Total volume
$105
$433 in 24h
Trades
29
Unique wallets
21
Liquidity
$1,087
Latest YES mid
41¢
Latest NO mid
59¢
End date
2026-05-09
First seen
2026-05-07
last 05-08 09:54
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐟 Fish | 1 | — | $10 | $10 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 20 | $16 | $57 | $42 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ✅ Top 10% | 7 | $4 | $27 | $23 |
| Median | 3 | — | $10 | $10 |
| Below median | 1 | — | $1 | $1 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 2 | $8 | $20 | $12 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 2 | — | $4 | $4 |
| unranked | 6 | $4 | $7 | $3 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Few-Bankruptcy 0x8cd6…092a | No | +31 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 05-08 07:30 |
| Buzzing-Diffuse 0x3da3…0fdc | Yes | +24 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 05-08 06:25 |
| Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | +17 | $10 | $10 | 3 | 05-08 07:15 |
| Bland-Dynamite 0x496f…fa5d | Yes | +9 | $4 | $4 | 3 | 05-08 09:54 |
| Numb-Timber 0xb70d…253a | No | +9 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-08 07:30 |
| Bony-Retailer 0xa259…6597 | No | +8 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-08 04:32 |
| Hollow-Commitment 0x11a4…f434 | No | +8 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-08 08:39 |
| (anonymous) 0xfc7a…73c0 | No | +8 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-08 07:30 |
| Infatuated-Domain 0xa581…b552 | No | +5 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-08 06:44 |
| (anonymous) 0xbcb3…9920 | Yes | +5 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-07 21:02 |
| Glorious-Foam 0xe54c…2c69 | Yes | +5 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-08 09:25 |
| Costly-Fail 0x52d7…0ff9 | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-08 03:36 |
| Near-Science 0x2706…c6be | No | +3 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 05-07 21:07 |
| (anonymous) 0xb157…1808 | No | +3 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-08 07:30 |
| Cavernous-Lag 0x232a…4895 | No | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-08 00:01 |
| Impartial-Parade 0xb2b4…7f52 | No | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-08 07:30 |
| Clumsy-Stone 0xfa0b…54e5 | No | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-08 07:30 |
| Embarrassed-Caption 0x1c52…c733 | No | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-08 07:30 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-08 09:54:19 | Bland-Dynamite 0x496f…fa5d | Yes | BUY | 3 | 37¢ | $1 | 0x0af8e8… |
| 05-08 09:39:21 | Bland-Dynamite 0x496f…fa5d | Yes | BUY | 3 | 37¢ | $1 | 0x7cd897… |
| 05-08 09:25:04 | Glorious-Foam 0xe54c…2c69 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 37¢ | $2 | 0x08bdd7… |
| 05-08 09:24:20 | Bland-Dynamite 0x496f…fa5d | Yes | BUY | 3 | 37¢ | $1 | 0xf8f80c… |
| 05-08 08:39:27 | Hollow-Commitment 0x11a4…f434 | No | BUY | 8 | 64¢ | $5 | 0x3691cc… |
| 05-08 08:15:14 | Thin-Gratitude 0x1fc4…7ae7 | No | SELL | 21 | 61¢ | $13 | 0x35ec18… |
| 05-08 07:30:54 | (anonymous) 0xb157…1808 | No | BUY | 3 | 64¢ | $2 | 0xcdaf2d… |
| 05-08 07:30:54 | Embarrassed-Caption 0x1c52…c733 | No | BUY | 2 | 65¢ | $1 | 0xc47fbb… |
| 05-08 07:30:53 | (anonymous) 0xfc7a…73c0 | No | BUY | 8 | 64¢ | $5 | 0xaea953… |
| 05-08 07:30:51 | Numb-Timber 0xb70d…253a | No | BUY | 9 | 64¢ | $6 | 0x2b6d3d… |
| 05-08 07:30:51 | Impartial-Parade 0xb2b4…7f52 | No | BUY | 2 | 64¢ | $1 | 0x3bf280… |
| 05-08 07:30:49 | Few-Bankruptcy 0x8cd6…092a | No | BUY | 31 | 64¢ | $20 | 0xd6fdc1… |
| 05-08 07:30:49 | Clumsy-Stone 0xfa0b…54e5 | No | BUY | 2 | 64¢ | $1 | 0x61c545… |
| 05-08 07:15:46 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 3 | 61¢ | $2 | 0x1cae6f… |
| 05-08 07:14:55 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 7 | 61¢ | $4 | 0xc884ab… |
| 05-08 07:14:43 | (anonymous) 0x0364…a709 | Yes | SELL | 3 | 39¢ | $1 | 0xac7ece… |
| 05-08 07:14:41 | Dimpled-Technologist 0x16d4…a868 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 39¢ | $3 | 0x9b1f7d… |
| 05-08 07:00:20 | Dimpled-Technologist 0x16d4…a868 | Yes | SELL | 2 | 40¢ | $1 | 0x1fa95b… |
| 05-08 07:00:19 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 7 | 60¢ | $4 | 0x5cafd6… |
| 05-08 07:00:05 | Dimpled-Technologist 0x16d4…a868 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 40¢ | $2 | 0x9bf7f4… |
| 05-08 06:44:46 | Infatuated-Domain 0xa581…b552 | No | BUY | 5 | 62¢ | $3 | 0x13a798… |
| 05-08 06:25:31 | Buzzing-Diffuse 0x3da3…0fdc | Yes | BUY | 24 | 35¢ | $8 | 0x89e342… |
| 05-08 04:32:44 | Bony-Retailer 0xa259…6597 | No | BUY | 8 | 68¢ | $5 | 0x8fa1e8… |
| 05-08 03:36:09 | Costly-Fail 0x52d7…0ff9 | No | BUY | 5 | 71¢ | $4 | 0xadd9a4… |
| 05-08 03:12:28 | Dimpled-Technologist 0x16d4…a868 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 32¢ | $2 | 0x4f4b22… |
| 05-08 00:01:06 | Cavernous-Lag 0x232a…4895 | No | BUY | 2 | 68¢ | $1 | 0xc84bdb… |
| 05-07 21:07:19 | Near-Science 0x2706…c6be | No | BUY | 2 | 68¢ | $1 | 0x7247f1… |
| 05-07 21:02:17 | (anonymous) 0xbcb3…9920 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 36¢ | $2 | 0xa9a16f… |
| 05-07 20:46:35 | Near-Science 0x2706…c6be | No | BUY | 2 | 70¢ | $1 | 0xc78129… |