Clumsy-Stone — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$89

Unrealized P&L

-$2

Hit rate

79.2%

Resolved

828

Trades

1,796

lifetime

Volume

$5.17K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-03-08

last 05-11 00:19

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 49 days

Categories

Other

70% 64% +$70

Crypto

16% 68% -$18

Politics

7% 40% +$48

Sports

6% 50% -$10

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-11).

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes		-333	-$2	1¢	$-4	-$2	05-07 14:15
Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes		-286	-$2	0¢	$-1	+$1	05-10 12:33

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
nba okc lal 2026 04 07 points rui hachimura 14pt5	7	$145	112	110	+1	Yes	+$8	04-08 04:15
will another country strike iran by march 31 833	4	$115	165	165	+0	No	+$15	03-08 12:04
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	4	$90	523	523	+0	Yes	+$78	03-12 19:36
Will Trump visit China by April 30?	6	$85	146	146	+0	No	+$39	03-21 15:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-01 19:10 UTC	6	$27	19	19	+0	Down	+$1	04-01 19:14
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-29 06:35 UTC	4	$26	38	37	+0	Down	+$6	03-29 06:39
nba okc lac 2026 04 08 points chet holmgren 14pt5	6	$23	15	15	+0	Yes	+$7	04-09 02:56
highest temperature in austin on march 27 2026 88 89f	5	$23	14	14	+0	No	+$1	03-27 21:49
trump announces end of military operations against iran by march 31st	12	$21	27	27	+0	No	+$3	03-13 02:13
nba por sas 2026 04 08 points deaaron fox 18pt5	4	$19	11	11	+0	Yes	+$3	04-09 03:35
us x iran ceasefire by april 30	6	$18	20	20	+0	Yes	+$0	03-13 11:23
will iran strike israel on march 10	11	$17	25	25	+0	Yes	-$1	03-13 10:46
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-03 02:45 UTC	3	$16	10	10	+0	Up	+$4	04-03 02:54
us x iran ceasefire by march 15	25	$16	169	169	+0	No	-$2	03-13 02:18
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 70°F or higher on April 28?	2	$15	11	10	+0	No	+$6	04-28 22:49
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 78-79°F on April 27?	2	$15	11	10	+0	No	+$6	04-27 20:45
highest temperature in houston on april 18 2026 84forhigher	2	$15	10	10	+0	Yes	+$5	04-18 18:56
nba det orl 2026 04 06 rebounds paolo banchero 7pt5	4	$15	14	5	+9	No	-$5	04-07 01:36
highest temperature in miami on april 20 2026 82 83f	4	$15	10	10	+0	No	+$5	04-20 16:27
highest temperature in shanghai on april 14 2026 18c	2	$14	10	10	+0	No	+$5	04-14 09:06
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 78-79°F on May 4?	2	$14	9	9	+0	No	+$4	05-04 22:06
highest temperature in london on april 19 2026 16c	2	$14	10	9	+0	No	+$5	04-19 16:53
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 86-87°F on April 28?	2	$14	10	9	+0	No	+$5	04-28 20:56
epl bre eve 2026 04 11 bre	2	$14	9	9	+0	No	+$4	04-11 15:55
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on May 4?	2	$14	9	9	+0	No	+$4	05-04 17:58
highest temperature in atlanta on april 15 2026 86 87f	2	$13	9	9	+0	No	+$4	04-15 22:49
highest temperature in munich on april 12 2026 14c	2	$13	9	8	+0	No	+$4	04-12 13:38
highest temperature in milan on april 15 2026 21c	2	$13	8	8	+0	No	+$3	04-15 14:25
highest temperature in sao paulo on april 14 2026 27c	2	$13	8	8	+0	No	+$3	04-14 18:22
highest temperature in shanghai on april 15 2026 19c	2	$13	8	8	+0	No	+$3	04-15 08:01

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-11 00:19:41	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on May 11?	Yes	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x534add…
05-11 00:07:28	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on May 11?	No	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x620574…
05-11 00:01:55	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on May 11?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x23e479…
05-10 12:35:17	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 71°F or below on May 10?	Yes	SELL	111	0¢	$0	0x7e8454…
05-10 12:34:52	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 17°C on May 10?	No	SELL	2	79¢	$2	0xd37171…
05-10 12:33:14	Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	286	1¢	$2	0xbe6a50…
05-10 05:36:32	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on May 10?	No	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xd30490…
05-10 05:36:06	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 17°C on May 10?	No	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xc8ff92…
05-10 05:34:05	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C on May 10?	Yes	BUY	21	5¢	$1	0xa19b2f…
05-10 05:30:14	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on May 10?	No	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x9f72b0…
05-10 05:22:41	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on May 9?	Yes	SELL	143	0¢	$0	0x0c2572…
05-10 05:21:57	Will the highest temperature in Houston be 86°F or higher on May 10?	No	SELL	0	9¢	$0	0xe4ed6f…
05-10 05:21:20	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 12°C on May 10?	Yes	SELL	11	4¢	$0	0xf0ef18…
05-10 05:20:40	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on May 10?	No	SELL	4	10¢	$0	0xbd5d85…
05-10 05:20:16	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 23°C on May 10?	Yes	SELL	14	5¢	$1	0x2bee84…
05-10 05:19:34	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on May 10?	No	SELL	2	56¢	$1	0x95b683…
05-10 05:19:07	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 23°C on May 10?	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x8e56e8…
05-10 05:19:04	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on May 10?	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x3aeae8…
05-10 05:18:50	Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 34°C on May 10?	No	SELL	3	58¢	$2	0x688826…
05-10 05:18:32	Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on May 10?	No	SELL	2	44¢	$1	0xcff109…
05-10 03:04:52	Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 34°C on May 10?	No	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xa244ca…
05-10 02:46:21	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on May 10?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xbad02d…
05-10 02:45:09	Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on May 10?	No	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x152931…
05-10 02:33:38	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on May 10?	No	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x87e932…
05-10 02:31:44	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on May 10?	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x6de5c1…
05-10 02:31:16	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on May 10?	No	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x703904…
05-10 02:17:07	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on May 10?	Yes	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x7caa14…
05-10 02:15:29	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on May 10?	No	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xfe267f…
05-10 02:02:08	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on May 10?	No	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0x230179…
05-10 00:39:07	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on May 10?	Yes	BUY	77	1¢	$1	0x0448ca…
05-10 00:21:25	Will the highest temperature in Houston be 86°F or higher on May 10?	No	BUY	0	16¢	$0	0xb3772c…
05-10 00:20:26	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on May 10?	Yes	BUY	18	5¢	$1	0x2b2203…
05-10 00:18:23	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on May 10?	No	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x0b2063…
05-10 00:18:00	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on May 10?	No	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x39c0c4…
05-10 00:16:45	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on May 10?	Yes	BUY	6	2¢	$0	0xfb4940…
05-09 06:55:51	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 71°F or below on May 10?	Yes	BUY	111	1¢	$1	0x8b5c52…
05-09 06:55:09	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 12°C on May 10?	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x9ac556…
05-09 06:54:50	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 22°C on May 9?	Yes	BUY	31	3¢	$1	0xf1eade…
05-09 05:05:33	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 21°C on May 9?	No	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x0d8ec6…
05-09 05:05:31	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 37°C on May 9?	No	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x1ce929…
05-09 05:04:28	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 24°C on May 9?	Yes	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x00c89c…
05-09 05:01:50	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on May 9?	No	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x37090a…
05-09 05:00:23	Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 32°C on May 9?	Yes	BUY	1	13¢	$0	0xf7af47…
05-09 03:32:34	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on May 9?	No	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x9fd6c3…
05-09 01:52:35	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on May 9?	Yes	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x3e9bea…
05-09 01:04:13	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on May 9?	Yes	BUY	73	1¢	$1	0x4309b6…
05-09 00:27:54	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on May 9?	No	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x3c0d42…
05-09 00:27:30	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on May 9?	No	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x0a62f3…
05-09 00:26:20	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C or higher on May 9?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xd050c0…
05-09 00:15:43	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on May 9?	Yes	BUY	62	2¢	$1	0x0bc880…
05-09 00:14:35	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on May 9?	Yes	BUY	39	3¢	$1	0x655c2c…
05-09 00:12:20	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C or higher on May 9?	Yes	BUY	10	4¢	$0	0xb1a9a1…
05-09 00:11:43	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on May 9?	Yes	BUY	67	1¢	$1	0x282dda…
05-09 00:08:48	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on May 9?	Yes	BUY	143	1¢	$1	0xc9c022…
05-08 16:54:45	Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on May 9?	No	SELL	1	82¢	$1	0xbe2465…
05-08 16:53:50	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 72°F or higher on May 8?	No	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0x25ef93…
05-08 16:52:56	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 29°C on May 8?	No	SELL	2	65¢	$1	0x016be0…
05-08 16:51:55	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 28°C on May 9?	No	SELL	2	67¢	$1	0x7c0583…
05-08 14:34:55	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on May 9?	No	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xc11729…
05-08 14:05:28	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 14°C on May 8?	No	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x45b242…
05-08 12:36:38	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 15°C on May 8?	No	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x1e1a19…
05-08 09:03:50	Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 33°C on May 8?	No	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x99a1fd…
05-08 08:42:15	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on May 8?	No	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0xe0a27a…
05-08 07:52:10	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 30°C on May 9?	Yes	BUY	6	6¢	$0	0xd29e4e…
05-08 07:39:01	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 56°F or higher on May 9?	No	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xcce759…
05-08 07:32:43	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on May 9?	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x8e894a…
05-08 07:30:49	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 28°C on May 9?	No	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x61c545…
05-08 07:17:08	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on May 8?	No	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x0c1632…
05-08 07:16:54	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 33°C on May 8?	Yes	BUY	18	2¢	$0	0x7102dd…
05-08 07:12:30	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on May 8?	Yes	BUY	27	4¢	$1	0xf33cd5…
05-08 07:04:01	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on May 9?	No	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x837059…
05-08 07:00:20	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 24°C on May 8?	Yes	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0x86109a…
05-08 06:45:45	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on May 8?	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xe7dd09…
05-08 06:29:59	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on May 8?	No	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x3cec98…
05-08 06:24:49	Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 35°C on May 8?	Yes	BUY	11	2¢	$0	0x64e67f…
05-08 06:15:15	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on May 9?	No	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x05fff3…
05-08 06:12:39	Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on May 9?	No	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x891195…
05-08 06:10:52	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 13°C on May 8?	No	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xe7ee46…
05-08 05:58:32	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 29°C on May 8?	No	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xb27eae…
05-08 05:57:19	Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 34°C on May 8?	No	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x6cf12a…
05-08 05:48:48	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on May 8?	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x1db32a…
05-08 05:46:56	Will the highest temperature in Houston be 71°F or below on May 8?	Yes	BUY	106	1¢	$1	0x0274fe…
05-08 05:29:13	Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 32°C on May 8?	No	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x218d90…
05-08 05:24:32	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C or higher on May 8?	No	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x5b6c74…
05-08 05:20:58	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on May 8?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x061ae2…
05-08 05:06:42	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 64°F or higher on May 8?	No	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xb74826…
05-08 04:59:14	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on May 8?	No	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x938316…
05-08 04:31:58	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 23°C on May 8?	No	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xa60256…
05-08 04:17:20	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on May 8?	No	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x46204d…
05-08 04:05:12	Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 33°C on May 8?	No	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x6e1966…
05-08 04:04:14	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on May 8?	No	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x76ab3f…
05-08 03:52:13	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 13°C on May 8?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x58ab2d…
05-08 03:49:00	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on May 8?	Yes	BUY	31	3¢	$1	0xeccd99…
05-08 03:48:55	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on May 8?	No	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xa8a800…
05-08 03:47:17	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 24°C on May 8?	No	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x2118e3…
05-08 03:41:59	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C or higher on May 8?	No	SELL	3	98¢	$3	0x79d7c8…
05-08 03:35:41	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C on May 8?	No	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xe157b8…
05-08 03:23:01	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 36°C on May 8?	No	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x308478…
05-08 03:22:47	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on May 8?	No	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xd164b2…
05-08 03:15:54	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on May 8?	No	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x1f9da2…