Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on May 9?
open
Total volume
$242
$655 in 24h
Trades
25
Unique wallets
23
Liquidity
$2,219
Latest YES mid
1¢
Latest NO mid
99¢
End date
2026-05-09
First seen
2026-05-07
last 05-08 20:26
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐟 Fish | 2 | — | $37 | $37 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 21 | $4 | $200 | $195 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 1 | — | $30 | $30 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 8 | $2 | $83 | $81 |
| Median | 8 | $0 | $49 | $49 |
| Below median | 2 | $1 | $2 | $1 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | — | $6 | $6 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 1 | $1 | — | +$1 |
| unranked | 2 | — | $67 | $67 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Frugal-Vibration 0xa8ae…7f3e | Yes | +200 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-08 13:54 |
| Outlying-Tritone 0x4095…2e31 | Yes | +90 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-08 12:39 |
| Stunning-Barbeque 0xc80f…6147 | Yes | +87 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-08 15:22 |
| Unhappy-Parameter-Atelier 0x4fc3…3af9 | No | +67 | $66 | $66 | 1 | 05-08 07:40 |
| Disguised-Validity 0x1230…8e43 | No | +51 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 05-08 18:33 |
| Broken-Idea 0x9f20…12c3 | No | +30 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 05-08 08:45 |
| (anonymous) 0xcd86…1f6d | No | +26 | $26 | $26 | 1 | 05-08 18:32 |
| Granular-Lamb-Item 0x0ba3…57bc | No | +13 | $13 | $13 | 1 | 05-08 05:14 |
| Kooky-Sousaphone 0xec8d…e83a | Yes | +12 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-08 20:26 |
| Fair-Pat 0x29a5…fe58 | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-08 13:50 |
| Lovable-Permafrost 0x7e4b…ac6b | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-07 23:56 |
| (anonymous) 0xdaae…1884 | No | +8 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 05-07 15:04 |
| Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | +8 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 05-07 23:56 |
| Stark-Lieutenant 0x6de9…a8e5 | No | +6 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-08 18:32 |
| Criminal-Uncertainty 0x87a2…2250 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-08 18:32 |
| (anonymous) 0xf021…245e | No | +3 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-08 18:32 |
| Political-Nasal 0x5a1a…2983 | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-08 18:32 |
| Drab-Affect 0x695c…85dd | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-08 18:33 |
| (anonymous) 0x83f7…1907 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-08 18:32 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-08 20:26:33 | Kooky-Sousaphone 0xec8d…e83a | Yes | BUY | 12 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x842880… |
| 05-08 18:33:06 | Drab-Affect 0x695c…85dd | No | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0xdaf70d… |
| 05-08 18:33:00 | Disguised-Validity 0x1230…8e43 | No | BUY | 51 | 99¢ | $50 | 0x226ccd… |
| 05-08 18:32:59 | (anonymous) 0xcd86…1f6d | No | BUY | 26 | 99¢ | $26 | 0xc2b5b6… |
| 05-08 18:32:55 | (anonymous) 0xf021…245e | No | BUY | 3 | 99¢ | $3 | 0xa41053… |
| 05-08 18:32:55 | Stark-Lieutenant 0x6de9…a8e5 | No | BUY | 6 | 99¢ | $6 | 0x931052… |
| 05-08 18:32:55 | Political-Nasal 0x5a1a…2983 | No | BUY | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0x6dcf9e… |
| 05-08 18:32:55 | (anonymous) 0x83f7…1907 | No | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x8a4c7c… |
| 05-08 18:32:55 | Criminal-Uncertainty 0x87a2…2250 | No | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x9675f0… |
| 05-08 15:22:24 | Broken-Idea 0x9f20…12c3 | Yes | SELL | 0 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xde0da2… |
| 05-08 15:22:23 | Stunning-Barbeque 0xc80f…6147 | Yes | BUY | 87 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x604da2… |
| 05-08 13:54:44 | Frugal-Vibration 0xa8ae…7f3e | Yes | BUY | 200 | 1¢ | $2 | 0x1a9681… |
| 05-08 13:50:02 | Fair-Pat 0x29a5…fe58 | No | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0x4a5884… |
| 05-08 12:39:31 | Outlying-Tritone 0x4095…2e31 | Yes | BUY | 90 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x266165… |
| 05-08 08:45:45 | Broken-Idea 0x9f20…12c3 | No | BUY | 30 | 99¢ | $30 | 0xc12fc1… |
| 05-08 08:45:43 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xdf129c… |
| 05-08 08:45:43 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x51bc1b… |
| 05-08 08:45:43 | Troubled-Cloth 0x9009…1621 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x0a5c50… |
| 05-08 07:40:56 | Unhappy-Parameter-Atelier 0x4fc3…3af9 | No | BUY | 67 | 99¢ | $66 | 0x321030… |
| 05-08 05:54:50 | Dimpled-Technologist 0x16d4…a868 | Yes | SELL | 13 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xbb84c4… |
| 05-08 05:14:09 | Granular-Lamb-Item 0x0ba3…57bc | No | BUY | 13 | 99¢ | $13 | 0xf6b3c8… |
| 05-08 05:14:09 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x0b7d82… |
| 05-07 23:56:42 | Lovable-Permafrost 0x7e4b…ac6b | No | BUY | 10 | 98¢ | $10 | 0xe87b61… |
| 05-07 23:56:28 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 8 | 98¢ | $8 | 0x81c161… |
| 05-07 15:04:49 | (anonymous) 0xdaae…1884 | No | BUY | 8 | 94¢ | $8 | 0xa911f3… |