Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on May 11?
open
Total volume
$170
$1,096 in 24h
Trades
43
Unique wallets
32
Liquidity
$2,587
Latest YES mid
6¢
Latest NO mid
94¢
End date
2026-05-11
First seen
2026-05-09
last 05-10 08:58
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐟 Fish | 2 | — | $9 | $9 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 30 | $16 | $136 | $120 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 5 | $6 | $14 | $8 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 5 | $1 | $10 | $8 |
| Median | 9 | $2 | $14 | $12 |
| Below median | 5 | $2 | $10 | $7 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 2 | — | $4 | $4 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 3 | — | $10 | $10 |
| unranked | 3 | $4 | $84 | $80 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Common-Thousand 0x572e…872b | No | +91 | $84 | $84 | 3 | 05-10 06:58 |
| Reflecting-Ancestor 0xc9d9…07e7 | Yes | +71 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-10 07:47 |
| Worse-Trinket 0x70cb…f527 | Yes | +33 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-10 00:00 |
| (anonymous) 0xa5ec…26ee | Yes | +12 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-10 06:02 |
| (anonymous) 0xb157…1808 | Yes | +10 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-10 06:11 |
| Agreeable-Harvester 0xb732…6900 | No | +9 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 05-10 02:32 |
| Offbeat-Sardine 0xf1eb…0071 | Yes | +8 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-10 06:43 |
| Angry-Anywhere 0x724f…a426 | Yes | +8 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-09 17:25 |
| Small-Showstopper 0x2277…f2d4 | Yes | +8 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-09 17:39 |
| Ripe-Loss-Advancement 0xe12c…def5 | Yes | +8 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-09 13:33 |
| Scented-Aunt 0xb701…1994 | Yes | +7 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-09 13:18 |
| Lovable-Permafrost 0x7e4b…ac6b | No | +7 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-10 04:57 |
| (anonymous) 0x7903…57f6 | No | +6 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-09 13:33 |
| Buzzing-Vertigo 0x3cd4…ea0e | No | +6 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-10 02:21 |
| Imaginative-Puppet 0xbdbb…7bb8 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-10 08:29 |
| Entire-Trim 0x7047…9cd2 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-10 08:58 |
| Flamboyant-Warming 0xc7d0…1f8a | Yes | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-10 08:58 |
| Excellent-Depressive 0xb6c1…a400 | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-10 01:36 |
| Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-10 07:24 |
| Necessary-Pentagon 0xfd55…f905 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-10 00:00 |
| Voluminous-Asymmetry 0x527a…6ce2 | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-09 21:35 |
| Granular-Lamb-Item 0x0ba3…57bc | No | +4 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-10 06:52 |
| Sneaky-Food 0x189d…51d3 | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-10 08:11 |
| (anonymous) 0x4783…9860 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-10 01:14 |
| (anonymous) 0xe073…25f9 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-10 01:15 |
| (anonymous) 0x7459…e588 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-10 01:18 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-10 08:58:13 | Entire-Trim 0x7047…9cd2 | No | BUY | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0x9ce790… |
| 05-10 08:58:12 | Flamboyant-Warming 0xc7d0…1f8a | Yes | BUY | 5 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x095f6e… |
| 05-10 08:58:12 | Troubled-Bulk-Vanadyl 0xd0a1…73db | Yes | SELL | 5 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x0c749c… |
| 05-10 08:48:01 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x6ce9fe… |
| 05-10 08:29:35 | Imaginative-Puppet 0xbdbb…7bb8 | No | BUY | 5 | 94¢ | $5 | 0xd1ffe5… |
| 05-10 08:27:29 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | SELL | 30 | 6¢ | $2 | 0x9dd2e0… |
| 05-10 08:11:33 | Sneaky-Food 0x189d…51d3 | No | BUY | 2 | 93¢ | $2 | 0x4afd24… |
| 05-10 07:47:24 | Reflecting-Ancestor 0xc9d9…07e7 | Yes | BUY | 71 | 7¢ | $5 | 0xfdf068… |
| 05-10 07:33:02 | Dimpled-Technologist 0x16d4…a868 | Yes | SELL | 16 | 7¢ | $1 | 0xe8321d… |
| 05-10 07:31:29 | Dimpled-Technologist 0x16d4…a868 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x8c510f… |
| 05-10 07:28:58 | Dimpled-Technologist 0x16d4…a868 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x5ad8f7… |
| 05-10 07:28:44 | Dimpled-Technologist 0x16d4…a868 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x90e072… |
| 05-10 07:28:15 | Dimpled-Technologist 0x16d4…a868 | Yes | SELL | 7 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x88c471… |
| 05-10 07:24:13 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0x2bc80a… |
| 05-10 06:58:23 | Common-Thousand 0x572e…872b | No | BUY | 43 | 93¢ | $40 | 0xb8586b… |
| 05-10 06:58:09 | Common-Thousand 0x572e…872b | No | BUY | 30 | 92¢ | $28 | 0x255959… |
| 05-10 06:58:03 | Common-Thousand 0x572e…872b | No | BUY | 18 | 91¢ | $16 | 0xfdc921… |
| 05-10 06:52:57 | Granular-Lamb-Item 0x0ba3…57bc | No | BUY | 4 | 91¢ | $4 | 0x9af0cc… |
| 05-10 06:43:53 | Offbeat-Sardine 0xf1eb…0071 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 12¢ | $1 | 0xd2cc50… |
| 05-10 06:11:27 | (anonymous) 0xb157…1808 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 10¢ | $1 | 0x28f4e8… |
| 05-10 06:02:26 | (anonymous) 0xa5ec…26ee | Yes | BUY | 12 | 10¢ | $1 | 0x87558c… |
| 05-10 06:01:55 | Dimpled-Technologist 0x16d4…a868 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 9¢ | $0 | 0x39571d… |
| 05-10 05:56:40 | Dimpled-Technologist 0x16d4…a868 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 8¢ | $0 | 0x5ae027… |
| 05-10 05:53:08 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 9¢ | $0 | 0x4b6bf3… |
| 05-10 04:57:38 | Broken-Consensus 0xc90b…7190 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 9¢ | $0 | 0xecbdae… |
| 05-10 04:57:36 | Troubled-Cloth 0x9009…1621 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 9¢ | $0 | 0x51f003… |
| 05-10 04:57:27 | Lovable-Permafrost 0x7e4b…ac6b | No | BUY | 7 | 91¢ | $6 | 0x628e0c… |
| 05-10 02:32:19 | Agreeable-Harvester 0xb732…6900 | No | BUY | 9 | 89¢ | $8 | 0xd04a2f… |
| 05-10 02:21:33 | Buzzing-Vertigo 0x3cd4…ea0e | No | BUY | 6 | 90¢ | $5 | 0x329ef4… |
| 05-10 02:21:33 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 10¢ | $0 | 0xac70ca… |
| 05-10 01:36:31 | Excellent-Depressive 0xb6c1…a400 | No | BUY | 5 | 89¢ | $4 | 0x82c66a… |
| 05-10 01:18:11 | (anonymous) 0x7459…e588 | No | BUY | 1 | 90¢ | $1 | 0x9181c9… |
| 05-10 01:15:24 | (anonymous) 0xe073…25f9 | No | BUY | 1 | 89¢ | $1 | 0x3ac793… |
| 05-10 01:14:53 | (anonymous) 0x4783…9860 | No | BUY | 1 | 89¢ | $1 | 0x7523bf… |
| 05-10 00:00:29 | Worse-Trinket 0x70cb…f527 | Yes | BUY | 33 | 10¢ | $3 | 0xd9862b… |
| 05-10 00:00:29 | Necessary-Pentagon 0xfd55…f905 | No | BUY | 5 | 92¢ | $5 | 0x3b1a5f… |
| 05-09 21:35:24 | Voluminous-Asymmetry 0x527a…6ce2 | No | BUY | 5 | 88¢ | $4 | 0xd25bbd… |
| 05-09 19:13:29 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 12¢ | $1 | 0xdbed8b… |
| 05-09 17:39:55 | Small-Showstopper 0x2277…f2d4 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 14¢ | $1 | 0x5ac54e… |
| 05-09 17:25:02 | Angry-Anywhere 0x724f…a426 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 14¢ | $1 | 0xa5f300… |
| 05-09 13:33:27 | (anonymous) 0x7903…57f6 | No | BUY | 6 | 86¢ | $5 | 0x69c98a… |
| 05-09 13:33:27 | Ripe-Loss-Advancement 0xe12c…def5 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 16¢ | $1 | 0xa71f45… |
| 05-09 13:18:15 | Scented-Aunt 0xb701…1994 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 14¢ | $1 | 0x3b86e1… |