Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on May 10?
open
Total volume
$232
$1,020 in 24h
Trades
38
Unique wallets
31
Liquidity
$3,276
Latest YES mid
36¢
Latest NO mid
64¢
End date
2026-05-10
First seen
2026-05-08
last 05-09 14:38
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐟 Fish | 2 | — | $22 | $22 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 29 | $41 | $149 | $108 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 2 | — | $48 | $48 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 3 | — | $5 | $5 |
| Median | 5 | $6 | $8 | $2 |
| Below median | 7 | $17 | $43 | $26 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 7 | $7 | $45 | $37 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 3 | $8 | $22 | $15 |
| unranked | 4 | $4 | — | +$4 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coarse-Gas 0xae68…064a | No | +56 | $48 | $48 | 3 | 05-09 00:26 |
| Massive-Bookend 0x2c47…79f8 | Yes | +50 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 05-08 05:29 |
| Trustworthy-Beret 0xad42…c918 | No | +33 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 05-08 05:19 |
| Necessary-Pentagon 0xfd55…f905 | No | +30 | $22 | $22 | 1 | 05-09 03:59 |
| Sure-Footed-Cherry 0xa98a…a5a8 | No | +25 | $22 | $22 | 1 | 05-08 12:59 |
| Remorseful-Relish 0x2a87…a55a | Yes | +24 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-09 02:50 |
| Sweet-Derrick 0x6409…9411 | No | +20 | $13 | $13 | 1 | 05-09 14:38 |
| Average-Zampone 0x2a25…8055 | No | +17 | $12 | $12 | 2 | 05-09 11:25 |
| Substantial-Setting 0xd92f…acac | Yes | +16 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-09 12:28 |
| Favorable-Place 0x6f0b…8202 | Yes | +15 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-09 14:03 |
| Merry-Compass 0xf38e…1917 | Yes | +14 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-09 07:10 |
| Slippery-Cable 0x01f2…c3de | No | +8 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-09 10:14 |
| Humming-Owner 0xe0d2…7222 | Yes | +8 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-09 11:10 |
| Hairy-Chives-Soy 0x4167…f99a | No | +8 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-09 05:34 |
| Specific-Rent 0xa498…727b | Yes | +7 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-09 09:19 |
| Fickle-Talk 0x67e9…7827 | Yes | +7 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-09 12:23 |
| (anonymous) 0xf7f6…712f | Yes | +7 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-09 04:05 |
| Blissful-Ferret 0xa1bd…940e | No | +7 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-09 04:34 |
| Warped-Barracks 0xff74…5de4 | Yes | +7 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-09 03:15 |
| Shrill-Public 0xb73c…a44e | Yes | +6 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-09 10:45 |
| Fitting-Greens 0x6136…64f8 | Yes | +5 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-09 12:23 |
| Tame-Scalp 0x3164…3c65 | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-08 09:50 |
| Slippery-Cable 0x01f2…c3de | Yes | +4 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-09 00:25 |
| Near-Science 0x2706…c6be | No | +3 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-09 04:10 |
| Famous-Moody 0x988e…d0d0 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-08 23:21 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-09 14:38:24 | Sweet-Derrick 0x6409…9411 | No | BUY | 20 | 64¢ | $13 | 0x67164f… |
| 05-09 14:03:10 | Favorable-Place 0x6f0b…8202 | Yes | BUY | 15 | 35¢ | $5 | 0x361155… |
| 05-09 12:28:21 | Broken-Idea 0x9f20…12c3 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 29¢ | $0 | 0xf56822… |
| 05-09 12:28:21 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 10 | 29¢ | $3 | 0x37f2a7… |
| 05-09 12:28:21 | Substantial-Setting 0xd92f…acac | Yes | BUY | 16 | 29¢ | $5 | 0xe45d24… |
| 05-09 12:23:39 | Fitting-Greens 0x6136…64f8 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 28¢ | $1 | 0xdbdd62… |
| 05-09 12:23:36 | Fickle-Talk 0x67e9…7827 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 29¢ | $2 | 0x4ae3c7… |
| 05-09 12:00:07 | Dimpled-Technologist 0x16d4…a868 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 30¢ | $2 | 0xd9e322… |
| 05-09 12:00:05 | Average-Zampone 0x2a25…8055 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 31¢ | $2 | 0xcbb7f1… |
| 05-09 11:25:12 | Average-Zampone 0x2a25…8055 | No | BUY | 8 | 72¢ | $6 | 0x804fdb… |
| 05-09 11:10:34 | Humming-Owner 0xe0d2…7222 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 32¢ | $3 | 0xbc207c… |
| 05-09 10:45:15 | Shrill-Public 0xb73c…a44e | Yes | BUY | 6 | 31¢ | $2 | 0x3997da… |
| 05-09 10:14:46 | Slippery-Cable 0x01f2…c3de | No | BUY | 8 | 70¢ | $6 | 0x5ee05c… |
| 05-09 09:30:19 | Average-Zampone 0x2a25…8055 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 30¢ | $3 | 0x31a3c0… |
| 05-09 09:19:46 | Specific-Rent 0xa498…727b | Yes | BUY | 7 | 29¢ | $2 | 0x6ee381… |
| 05-09 08:10:03 | Average-Zampone 0x2a25…8055 | No | BUY | 9 | 73¢ | $7 | 0xbdb351… |
| 05-09 07:10:03 | Merry-Compass 0xf38e…1917 | Yes | BUY | 14 | 25¢ | $4 | 0xb6ea8b… |
| 05-09 05:44:39 | Unrealistic-Personal 0xfd5a…1857 | Yes | SELL | 3 | 24¢ | $1 | 0x8a44d8… |
| 05-09 05:34:44 | Hairy-Chives-Soy 0x4167…f99a | No | BUY | 8 | 75¢ | $6 | 0xc99abe… |
| 05-09 04:34:38 | Blissful-Ferret 0xa1bd…940e | No | BUY | 7 | 72¢ | $5 | 0xcb9003… |
| 05-09 04:10:23 | Near-Science 0x2706…c6be | No | BUY | 3 | 72¢ | $2 | 0x8756c8… |
| 05-09 04:05:21 | (anonymous) 0xf7f6…712f | Yes | BUY | 7 | 29¢ | $2 | 0xd6b035… |
| 05-09 03:59:50 | Dimpled-Technologist 0x16d4…a868 | Yes | SELL | 15 | 26¢ | $4 | 0x699cc9… |
| 05-09 03:59:50 | Necessary-Pentagon 0xfd55…f905 | No | BUY | 30 | 74¢ | $22 | 0x4eac7a… |
| 05-09 03:59:34 | Outlandish-Fireman 0x208e…2349 | No | SELL | 3 | 71¢ | $2 | 0x3e8da3… |
| 05-09 03:15:44 | Warped-Barracks 0xff74…5de4 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 28¢ | $2 | 0x2d2dfa… |
| 05-09 02:50:27 | Remorseful-Relish 0x2a87…a55a | Yes | BUY | 24 | 23¢ | $5 | 0x7f7def… |
| 05-09 00:26:08 | Coarse-Gas 0xae68…064a | No | BUY | 26 | 86¢ | $22 | 0x09e79a… |
| 05-09 00:25:50 | Slippery-Cable 0x01f2…c3de | Yes | BUY | 4 | 15¢ | $1 | 0x219055… |
| 05-09 00:25:50 | Coarse-Gas 0xae68…064a | No | BUY | 23 | 86¢ | $20 | 0x5ee856… |
| 05-09 00:14:26 | Coarse-Gas 0xae68…064a | No | BUY | 8 | 82¢ | $6 | 0xafc64e… |
| 05-08 23:21:38 | (anonymous) 0x28f8…b5f7 | No | SELL | 1 | 84¢ | $1 | 0xb4319a… |
| 05-08 23:21:37 | Famous-Moody 0x988e…d0d0 | No | BUY | 1 | 85¢ | $1 | 0x15dc25… |
| 05-08 14:40:14 | Rusty-Tiger 0xb6d3…bc0a | Yes | SELL | 5 | 8¢ | $0 | 0x8ab353… |
| 05-08 12:59:40 | Sure-Footed-Cherry 0xa98a…a5a8 | No | BUY | 25 | 86¢ | $22 | 0xd27354… |
| 05-08 09:50:11 | Tame-Scalp 0x3164…3c65 | No | BUY | 5 | 89¢ | $4 | 0x89eb9c… |
| 05-08 05:29:12 | Massive-Bookend 0x2c47…79f8 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 15¢ | $8 | 0x0013a4… |
| 05-08 05:19:11 | Trustworthy-Beret 0xad42…c918 | No | BUY | 33 | 91¢ | $30 | 0xe78dcb… |