Mundane-Creativity — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$154

Unrealized P&L

-$23

Hit rate

54.8%

Resolved

1,159

Trades

2,785

lifetime

Volume

$5.76K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$12

7 positions

First seen

2026-04-23

last 10-08 04:14

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 92 days

Categories

Other

95% 25% -$139

Politics

3% 44% +$0

Sports

2% 36% -$7

Crypto

1% 0% -$8

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions (7) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	No	+25	$10	14¢	$4	-$6	05-23 07:31
will ukraine recapture crimean territory by december 31 2026	Yes	+110	$9	3¢	$3	-$6	07-17 05:44
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	+40	$5	6¢	$2	-$3	06-05 13:32
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	+30	$4	6¢	$2	-$3	07-21 05:28
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?	Yes	+20	$3	5¢	$1	-$2	05-23 07:31
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	Yes	+14	$2	3¢	$0	-$1	05-19 07:39
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+20	$2	2¢	$0	-$1	05-17 01:03

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 18°C or below on May 8?	3	$117	70	70	+0	No	+$9	05-08 13:36
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on May 14?	5	$86	55	55	+0	Yes	-$1	05-14 04:14
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C or higher on May 8?	4	$76	45	45	+0	No	+$1	05-08 03:16
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	6	$72	105	40	+65	Yes	+$44	05-19 13:57
fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 team to advance	2	$63	40	40	+0	Argentina	-$9	07-07 17:44
fifwc bra nor 2026 07 05 team to advance	5	$61	60	45	+15	Norway	-$11	07-05 16:06
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	1	$48	55	0	+55	No	+$7	05-25 15:35
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on May 12?	2	$46	25	25	+0	No	+$4	05-12 16:09
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on May 7?	2	$44	25	25	+0	No	+$5	05-07 05:21
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 23°C on May 10?	8	$44	55	55	+0	Yes	+$36	05-10 06:08
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C or higher on May 13?	6	$40	32	32	+0	Yes	-$7	05-13 06:39
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on May 7?	5	$40	31	31	+0	No	+$1	05-07 05:55
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C or higher on May 23?	5	$40	26	26	+0	Yes	+$12	05-23 02:52
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C or higher on June 6?	4	$40	50	50	+0	No	+$34	06-06 05:41
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on May 9?	2	$40	35	35	+0	Yes	-$14	05-09 05:32
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on May 11?	4	$39	23	23	+0	Yes	+$4	05-11 03:33
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	1	$38	50	0	+50	No	+$12	05-27 06:12
fifwc nzl egy 2026 06 21 spread away 1pt5	3	$38	50	50	+0	Egypt	-$28	06-22 02:46
Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on May 29?	4	$36	32	32	+0	No	+$28	05-30 00:32
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?	4	$35	40	40	+0	Yes	-$13	07-07 17:22
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on June 10?	3	$35	25	20	+5	No	-$1	06-10 03:54
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on May 7?	3	$33	20	20	+0	No	+$7	05-07 05:22
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 22°C on May 13?	4	$32	18	18	+0	No	+$4	05-13 07:30
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 6?	5	$32	40	40	+0	Yes	+$27	06-06 05:41
Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?	2	$30	45	0	+45	Yes	+$15	06-21 02:42
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on May 13?	8	$27	50	50	+0	No	-$6	05-13 07:47
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?	2	$27	40	0	+40	No	-$27	06-21 13:57
fifwc esp ksa 2026 06 21 spread home 3pt5	1	$27	40	0	+40	Spain	-$27	06-21 13:31
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on May 11?	2	$27	15	15	+0	No	+$3	05-11 13:30
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	2	$27	35	35	+0	Yes	-$16	10-08 04:14

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-08 04:14:38	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	15	7¢	$1	0xe20061…
10-08 04:14:19	Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	30	4¢	$1	0x67d850…
10-08 04:14:14	Will Solana dip to $40 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	30	3¢	$1	0xcb42e1…
10-08 04:14:04	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	35	15¢	$5	0xa44211…
08-26 08:00:00	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	35	62¢	$22	0x968669…
07-27 07:53:57	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on July 27?	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0x4dae2c…
07-27 07:53:54	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on July 27?	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0xd89a1b…
07-27 07:53:51	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on July 27?	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0x5517a1…
07-27 07:53:48	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on July 27?	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0xa5170b…
07-27 07:53:46	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on July 27?	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0xb1c8ce…
07-27 07:53:42	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on July 27?	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0x842aa3…
07-27 07:53:39	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on July 27?	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0x55f260…
07-27 07:53:37	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on July 27?	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0xc49fca…
07-27 07:53:34	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on July 27?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xec630b…
07-25 02:33:34	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 35°C on July 25?	No	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x4a77a4…
07-25 02:20:57	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on July 25?	Yes	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x05cbcf…
07-25 02:04:24	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on July 25?	No	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x39f6ca…
07-22 01:32:27	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	15	82¢	$12	0xc4e959…
07-21 05:28:34	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	30	15¢	$4	0xc8ace8…
07-19 21:15:37	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Spain	BUY	20	74¢	$15	0x975950…
07-19 14:24:06	Exact Score: Spain 2 - 1 Argentina?	Yes	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x81120e…
07-19 14:24:00	Exact Score: Spain 1 - 2 Argentina?	Yes	BUY	20	8¢	$2	0x2c7c60…
07-19 14:23:52	Exact Score: Spain 1 - 0 Argentina?	Yes	BUY	20	12¢	$2	0xd69a15…
07-19 14:23:34	Exact Score: Spain 0 - 1 Argentina?	Yes	BUY	20	9¢	$2	0xbf88b7…
07-19 07:51:03	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	30	59¢	$18	0xd727ba…
07-19 07:50:00	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 corners total 8pt5	Under	BUY	15	56¢	$8	0xb1701f…
07-19 07:46:34	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 btts	Yes	BUY	15	54¢	$8	0x4cc7b9…
07-19 07:42:48	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 total 3pt5	Under	BUY	25	78¢	$19	0x399e6a…
07-17 05:44:19	will ukraine recapture crimean territory by december 31 2026	Yes	BUY	37	8¢	$3	0x394561…
07-17 05:44:01	will ukraine recapture crimean territory by december 31 2026	Yes	BUY	16	8¢	$1	0x0dcaaa…
07-17 05:43:33	will ukraine recapture crimean territory by december 31 2026	Yes	BUY	6	8¢	$0	0x5419d1…
07-17 05:43:21	will ukraine recapture crimean territory by december 31 2026	Yes	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0xe61259…
07-17 05:43:21	will ukraine recapture crimean territory by december 31 2026	Yes	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0xa3c02e…
07-15 04:42:46	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on July 15?	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x8bb2bd…
07-15 02:51:56	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on July 15?	Yes	BUY	2	20¢	$0	0x78b07e…
07-15 02:51:52	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on July 15?	Yes	BUY	2	20¢	$0	0x64948f…
07-15 02:50:41	Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	10	31¢	$3	0xb3357a…
07-14 15:03:50	Will France vs. Spain end in a draw?	No	BUY	20	69¢	$14	0xf786f3…
07-14 10:45:28	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 26°C on July 14?	Yes	BUY	30	1¢	$0	0x74118e…
07-14 07:22:40	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 14?	Yes	SELL	11	85¢	$9	0xc2978b…
07-14 03:31:49	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 14?	Yes	BUY	6	28¢	$2	0x4738b3…
07-14 03:29:55	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 14?	Yes	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0x507d24…
07-13 04:30:17	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C on July 13?	Yes	BUY	10	6¢	$1	0x674b1a…
07-12 14:34:10	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on July 12?	Yes	BUY	6	15¢	$1	0xa89f2a…
07-12 14:30:14	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on July 12?	Yes	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0xa1700c…
07-12 14:00:05	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on July 12?	No	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x622335…
07-12 02:18:55	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?	Yes	BUY	25	80¢	$20	0x691120…
07-10 15:53:35	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on July 10?	Yes	BUY	8	33¢	$3	0x0e159b…
07-10 15:03:29	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on July 10?	Yes	BUY	0	4¢	$0	0x0cd81f…
07-10 15:01:29	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on July 10?	Yes	BUY	10	4¢	$0	0x05b303…
07-10 15:01:19	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on July 10?	Yes	BUY	10	4¢	$0	0xf9e92f…
07-10 14:49:44	fifwc esp bel 2026 07 10 team to advance	Spain	BUY	20	75¢	$15	0xf83e9f…
07-10 14:40:16	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on July 10?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xdcf2f3…
07-10 14:29:56	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 22°C on July 10?	No	SELL	5	72¢	$4	0x896484…
07-10 09:25:26	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 22°C on July 10?	No	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xf96223…
07-10 09:13:37	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 22°C on July 10?	No	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0xa14808…
07-10 01:56:20	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 28°C on July 10?	Yes	BUY	10	7¢	$1	0x49bd8f…
07-10 01:56:11	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 28°C on July 10?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x7091ed…
07-09 15:29:56	kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	Yes	BUY	35	5¢	$2	0x84746c…
07-09 15:28:38	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	Yes	BUY	80	2¢	$2	0x501e5c…
07-09 13:49:35	fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 btts	Yes	BUY	20	60¢	$12	0x5e1e7c…
07-09 13:48:55	fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 goals erling haaland gte1	Yes	BUY	12	44¢	$5	0xeae244…
07-09 13:27:38	fifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	14	74¢	$10	0x06f8c9…
07-09 13:26:38	Will France win on 2026-07-09?	Yes	BUY	15	62¢	$9	0xf77f0d…
07-09 11:36:44	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 31°C on July 9?	Yes	BUY	19	2¢	$0	0x05ddb6…
07-09 11:36:43	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 31°C on July 9?	Yes	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0x68f42d…
07-09 08:46:43	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	No	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x0a18e8…
07-09 08:29:53	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	No	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xa97d4c…
07-09 08:12:31	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	No	BUY	0	51¢	$0	0xd000a7…
07-09 06:35:01	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on July 9?	Yes	BUY	3	13¢	$0	0xb4591e…
07-09 06:32:29	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on July 9?	Yes	BUY	5	13¢	$1	0xe7c2a3…
07-09 06:25:16	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on July 9?	Yes	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xfd7ea2…
07-09 06:09:58	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 25°C on July 9?	Yes	SELL	6	5¢	$0	0x3ae7ef…
07-09 04:38:11	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 28°C on July 9?	Yes	SELL	11	80¢	$9	0xf31854…
07-09 04:26:08	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 25°C on July 9?	Yes	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x4b8480…
07-09 03:49:31	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 28°C on July 9?	Yes	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x78baf8…
07-09 03:30:53	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on July 9?	Yes	BUY	12	3¢	$0	0x8c9385…
07-09 03:23:32	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 28°C on July 9?	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x8aec95…
07-09 02:17:28	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on July 9?	Yes	BUY	8	9¢	$1	0x6d69eb…
07-09 02:16:49	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on July 9?	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x710290…
07-09 02:01:20	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 25°C on July 9?	Yes	BUY	1	40¢	$1	0x2dc43e…
07-08 15:38:32	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C on July 8?	Yes	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0x4e84d9…
07-08 15:35:38	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on July 8?	No	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x79ceea…
07-08 06:50:11	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on July 8?	No	SELL	8	21¢	$2	0xc07215…
07-08 04:14:44	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on July 8?	No	BUY	8	77¢	$6	0x81e917…
07-07 18:07:46	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	20	18¢	$4	0x963522…
07-07 17:55:29	fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 total 1pt5	Over	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x55e003…
07-07 17:44:13	Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07?	Yes	SELL	15	57¢	$9	0x24ea0c…
07-07 17:44:07	fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 team to advance	Egypt	SELL	40	67¢	$27	0x17e99d…
07-07 17:41:35	Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07?	Yes	BUY	15	86¢	$13	0x1446d0…
07-07 17:40:52	fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 team to advance	Egypt	BUY	40	90¢	$36	0xe7a9e3…
07-07 17:32:23	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	35	2¢	$1	0x31db03…
07-07 17:22:26	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?	Yes	SELL	15	9¢	$1	0x970ce6…
07-07 17:07:11	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?	Yes	BUY	15	40¢	$6	0xe1adc3…
07-07 17:00:05	fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 total 3pt5	Under	BUY	25	76¢	$19	0x94624b…
07-07 16:54:49	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?	Yes	SELL	25	39¢	$10	0xdc128b…
07-07 15:07:11	fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	15	75¢	$11	0xb475a7…
07-07 06:34:13	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?	Yes	BUY	25	73¢	$18	0x658815…
07-07 06:13:14	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on July 7?	Yes	SELL	10	79¢	$8	0x553ebb…
07-07 04:16:47	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C or higher on July 7?	No	BUY	10	67¢	$7	0x040b89…