Great-Squirrel — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$347

Unrealized P&L

-$25

Hit rate

49.4%

Resolved

Trades

118

lifetime

Volume

$2.23K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$19

Open exposure

$73

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-06

last 05-18 11:24

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 20 days

Categories

Crypto

52% 33% -$371

Other

44% 32% +$26

Tech

2% 100% +$8

Politics

1% 0% -$10

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-18).

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No		-52	-$23	82¢	$-43	-$19	05-18 07:26
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?	No		-31	-$25	97¢	$-30	-$5	05-10 12:07

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-05-17?	5	$168	147	147	+0	Yes	+$61	05-17 12:05
Will Sweden be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	3	$165	441	0	+441	No	-$165	05-16 21:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	2	$142	73	73	+0	Down	+$2	05-18 09:04
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-05-17?	2	$138	100	100	+0	Yes	+$62	05-17 20:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	3	$130	853	0	+853	Down	-$130	05-18 07:14
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-05-17?	2	$124	106	106	+0	Yes	+$88	05-17 18:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	1	$100	217	0	+217	Down	-$100	05-18 07:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	4	$80	251	0	+251	Up	-$80	05-18 11:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	5	$70	128	94	+34	Down	-$1	05-18 07:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	1	$70	81	0	+81	Down	+$11	05-18 11:09
Will Sweden win Eurovision 2026?	11	$58	3,488	3,488	+0	No	+$12	05-16 21:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	3	$57	953	0	+953	Down	-$57	05-18 07:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	3	$55	111	0	+111	Up	+$56	05-17 18:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	2	$54	83	83	+0	Up	+$44	05-18 07:04
epl wol ast 2026 02 27 ast	1	$53	100	0	+100	No	-$53	02-27 12:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	2	$52	27	27	+0	Up	+$2	05-17 18:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	3	$50	41	41	+0	Up	+$0	05-18 07:30
will chatgpt be 1 free app in the us apple app store on february 20	2	$48	29	29	+0	Yes	+$8	02-20 08:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	2	$45	93	93	+0	Up	-$5	05-18 07:49
uef ukr swe 2026 03 26 swe	1	$42	100	0	+100	Yes	+$58	03-26 12:21
epl bri che 2026 04 21 che	1	$38	102	0	+102	No	-$38	04-21 08:00
Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	7	$31	355	0	+355	Up	-$31	05-18 07:53
ucl atm1 fcb1 2026 04 14 atm1	1	$26	100	0	+100	No	-$26	04-14 18:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	1	$25	36	0	+36	Up	+$11	05-17 18:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	1	$25	69	0	+69	Down	-$25	05-18 08:08
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?	1	$25	0	31	-31	open	—	05-10 12:07
Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	3	$24	55	55	+0	Down	+$4	05-18 07:36
uel por1 not 2026 04 09 not	1	$24	100	0	+100	No	-$24	04-09 18:24
Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch?	1	$23	0	52	-52	open	—	05-18 07:26
ucl bay1 rma1 2026 04 15 rma1	1	$22	100	0	+100	No	-$22	04-15 18:46

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-18 11:24:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	BUY	71	28¢	$20	0xb8606a…
05-18 11:24:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	BUY	74	27¢	$20	0x88af19…
05-18 11:24:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	BUY	63	32¢	$20	0xe1aa1b…
05-18 11:22:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	BUY	43	47¢	$20	0xaaae56…
05-18 11:09:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	BUY	81	86¢	$70	0x63d4e6…
05-18 09:04:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	SELL	73	99¢	$72	0x3d3c91…
05-18 09:03:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	73	96¢	$70	0x394c4a…
05-18 09:02:49	Will FC Nantes win on 2026-05-17?	Yes	SELL	94	2¢	$2	0xfce99f…
05-18 09:01:15	Will FC Nantes win on 2026-05-17?	Yes	BUY	94	4¢	$4	0x8e697a…
05-18 08:58:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	74	27¢	$20	0x8ac348…
05-18 08:55:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	60	8¢	$5	0xb97d4c…
05-18 08:19:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	10	39¢	$4	0xf8b2b8…
05-18 08:08:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	69	36¢	$25	0xe5a785…
05-18 07:53:15	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x7704f7…
05-18 07:53:14	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x95bf18…
05-18 07:53:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x876ac4…
05-18 07:53:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x3deaf6…
05-18 07:53:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xdc35cd…
05-18 07:53:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xcbca35…
05-18 07:50:13	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	205	12¢	$25	0x39c4ee…
05-18 07:49:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Down	SELL	93	22¢	$20	0x1d3d05…
05-18 07:49:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	93	27¢	$25	0x3384a1…
05-18 07:41:11	Solana Up or Down - May 18, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x31a916…
05-18 07:41:11	Solana Up or Down - May 18, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x212854…
05-18 07:41:09	Solana Up or Down - May 18, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xe29f7f…
05-18 07:41:09	Solana Up or Down - May 18, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x7ec87e…
05-18 07:41:09	Solana Up or Down - May 18, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x2d132d…
05-18 07:41:07	Solana Up or Down - May 18, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x98990f…
05-18 07:41:07	Solana Up or Down - May 18, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x26575b…
05-18 07:39:07	HYPE Up/Down 5m · 2026-05-18 07:35 UTC	Up	SELL	31	2¢	$1	0x217887…
05-18 07:38:49	HYPE Up/Down 5m · 2026-05-18 07:35 UTC	Up	SELL	7	4¢	$0	0x398037…
05-18 07:38:46	HYPE Up/Down 5m · 2026-05-18 07:35 UTC	Up	SELL	50	5¢	$3	0x6aa6db…
05-18 07:37:37	HYPE Up/Down 5m · 2026-05-18 07:35 UTC	Up	BUY	10	17¢	$2	0x7554f6…
05-18 07:37:36	HYPE Up/Down 5m · 2026-05-18 07:35 UTC	Up	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0xe09c7f…
05-18 07:37:36	HYPE Up/Down 5m · 2026-05-18 07:35 UTC	Up	BUY	32	13¢	$4	0x79a68b…
05-18 07:37:36	HYPE Up/Down 5m · 2026-05-18 07:35 UTC	Up	BUY	11	14¢	$2	0x6cb5cc…
05-18 07:36:38	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	SELL	55	27¢	$14	0x56a9e1…
05-18 07:36:20	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0xa17a83…
05-18 07:36:19	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0x15f6d0…
05-18 07:33:32	DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-05-18 07:30 UTC	Down	BUY	56	9¢	$5	0x3d594e…
05-18 07:33:32	DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-05-18 07:30 UTC	Down	BUY	33	13¢	$4	0x2e1aff…
05-18 07:30:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Down	SELL	4	72¢	$3	0x7f3d08…
05-18 07:30:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Down	SELL	37	60¢	$22	0xc4eb6d…
05-18 07:30:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Down	BUY	41	61¢	$25	0x40a331…
05-18 07:27:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	250	2¢	$5	0x2f173b…
05-18 07:26:50	Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	SELL	52	45¢	$23	0xff37c2…
05-18 07:26:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	SELL	9	94¢	$9	0xa932c4…
05-18 07:25:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	9	86¢	$8	0xc8de52…
05-18 07:23:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	BUY	34	35¢	$12	0xcd026c…
05-18 07:23:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	SELL	29	46¢	$13	0x8db44f…
05-18 07:22:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	BUY	29	42¢	$12	0x663ea1…
05-18 07:22:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	SELL	65	33¢	$21	0x8f704d…
05-18 07:22:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	BUY	65	18¢	$12	0xcce8ef…
05-18 07:19:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0xf1253c…
05-18 07:18:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	BUY	334	7¢	$25	0x652ec7…
05-18 07:16:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	BUY	119	23¢	$27	0xb56ad9…
05-18 07:14:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	669	15¢	$100	0x7b4787…
05-18 07:12:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0xa962c2…
05-18 07:10:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	134	19¢	$25	0x4f9028…
05-18 07:06:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	BUY	217	46¢	$100	0x820008…
05-18 07:04:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Down	SELL	83	59¢	$49	0x2cb14d…
05-18 07:03:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Down	BUY	83	6¢	$5	0x43c235…
05-18 06:59:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0xf9c1a4…
05-17 20:46:25	Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-05-17?	Yes	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x47e72b…
05-17 19:25:22	Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-05-17?	Yes	BUY	100	38¢	$38	0x67d6fc…
05-17 18:39:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0x2a4d98…
05-17 18:38:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	47	54¢	$25	0xe52e0a…
05-17 18:37:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	43	58¢	$25	0xfb73f9…
05-17 18:29:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	36	69¢	$25	0x3398eb…
05-17 18:28:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	SELL	27	98¢	$27	0xe60d91…
05-17 18:27:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	27	92¢	$25	0x8b01ee…
05-17 18:23:46	Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-05-17?	Yes	SELL	106	100¢	$106	0x6ff61a…
05-17 15:18:25	Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-05-17?	Yes	BUY	106	17¢	$18	0x75adf8…
05-17 12:47:44	Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-05-17?	Yes	BUY	100	4¢	$4	0x280d52…
05-17 12:05:28	Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-05-17?	Yes	SELL	87	100¢	$87	0x3b64b5…
05-17 11:37:51	Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-05-17?	Yes	BUY	59	46¢	$27	0x82cd64…
05-17 11:37:27	Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-05-17?	Yes	SELL	0	45¢	$0	0x1a2f1e…
05-17 11:36:22	Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-05-17?	Yes	SELL	60	47¢	$28	0x081fe6…
05-17 10:54:11	Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-05-17?	Yes	BUY	88	30¢	$26	0x7ad53d…
05-16 21:05:13	Will Sweden be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	44¢	$4	0x145a4d…
05-16 21:04:26	Will Sweden be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	93	44¢	$41	0xd4aeb6…
05-16 21:04:24	Will Sweden win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	SELL	387	1¢	$4	0x786a80…
05-16 21:03:59	Will Sweden win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	SELL	287	1¢	$3	0x65ab65…
05-16 21:02:56	Will Sweden win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	SELL	861	1¢	$9	0x5be840…
05-16 21:02:39	Will Sweden win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	SELL	53	1¢	$1	0x639111…
05-16 21:01:25	Will Sweden win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	SELL	500	1¢	$5	0x8e0b7e…
05-16 21:01:24	Will Sweden win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	SELL	300	1¢	$3	0x9baa99…
05-16 21:00:45	Will Sweden win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,000	1¢	$10	0xb83444…
05-16 21:00:43	Will Sweden win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	1¢	$1	0x605fa2…
05-16 20:39:15	Will Sweden be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	339	35¢	$120	0x490072…
05-16 20:20:09	Will Sweden win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,362	0¢	$9	0x43ad9c…
05-14 09:34:38	Will Sweden win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	459	1¢	$4	0x2e4ebc…
05-12 19:48:58	Will Sweden win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	667	1¢	$10	0xd428f7…
05-12 19:36:03	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	Yes	SELL	200	5¢	$10	0x00a332…
05-12 18:49:10	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	Yes	BUY	200	5¢	$10	0xcecb2e…
05-10 12:07:47	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on May 10?	No	BUY	260	4¢	$10	0xc63cae…
05-10 12:07:27	Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	31	80¢	$25	0x6d8271…
04-22 17:55:28	epl bou lee 2026 04 22 lee	Yes	BUY	44	25¢	$11	0xfe0128…
04-21 08:00:12	epl bri che 2026 04 21 che	Yes	BUY	102	37¢	$38	0x9485f5…
04-15 18:46:44	ucl bay1 rma1 2026 04 15 rma1	Yes	BUY	100	22¢	$22	0x72ace3…