Cheap-Ton — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$73

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

42.5%

Resolved

Trades

180

lifetime

Volume

$7.19K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$40

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-04

last 05-10 22:33

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 24% $-69

Politics

0% 50% $-1

Sports

0% 0% $-3

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 96 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	3	$472	453	235	+219	open	—	05-04 14:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	5	$462	722	265	+458	open	—	05-04 12:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	3	$427	311	311	+0	open	—	05-04 13:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	3	$422	773	124	+649	open	—	05-04 15:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	4	$407	328	328	+0	open	—	05-04 13:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	5	$372	1,437	103	+1,334	open	—	05-04 12:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	4	$366	639	236	+403	open	—	05-04 13:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	3	$360	351	222	+129	open	—	05-04 13:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	3	$318	343	200	+143	open	—	05-04 14:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	3	$317	238	238	+0	open	—	05-04 14:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	4	$279	301	301	+0	open	—	05-04 12:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	3	$260	524	0	+524	open	—	05-04 13:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	4	$208	141	141	+0	open	—	05-04 11:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	8	$201	129	129	+0	open	—	05-04 10:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	1	$200	334	0	+334	open	—	05-04 14:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	2	$130	1,003	0	+1,003	open	—	05-04 14:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	2	$130	370	0	+370	open	—	05-04 14:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	1	$120	300	0	+300	open	—	05-04 14:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	2	$120	517	0	+517	open	—	05-04 13:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	3	$119	268	51	+217	open	—	05-04 11:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	3	$114	136	64	+71	open	—	05-04 12:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	1	$105	0	106	-106	open	—	05-04 11:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	2	$104	704	0	+704	open	—	05-04 14:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	1	$100	353	0	+353	open	—	05-04 15:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	1	$100	220	0	+220	open	—	05-04 13:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	1	$100	278	0	+278	open	—	05-04 14:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	4	$100	217	0	+217	open	—	05-04 12:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	2	$85	460	0	+460	open	—	05-04 14:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	3	$70	148	0	+148	open	—	05-04 11:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	2	$70	217	0	+217	open	—	05-04 11:22

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-10 22:33:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	683	4¢	$26	0x5f17a0…
05-10 22:32:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	SELL	30	94¢	$29	0xc4033a…
05-10 22:31:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	30	37¢	$11	0xdd7a8a…
05-09 17:11:48	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,190	0¢	$1	0x3b13c7…
05-09 16:56:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	13	53¢	$7	0x75e6c0…
05-09 16:56:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0x8b26d1…
05-09 16:52:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	13	31¢	$4	0x9574c4…
05-09 16:45:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xa180c5…
05-09 16:44:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x735e46…
05-09 16:44:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	SELL	10	51¢	$5	0xb61afd…
05-09 16:43:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xcd0f9c…
05-09 16:42:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	7	41¢	$3	0xbc4c91…
05-07 22:56:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	8	37¢	$3	0x4772f8…
05-07 22:55:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	59	17¢	$10	0x8b1ee2…
05-07 22:48:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	26	39¢	$10	0x67414a…
05-07 22:48:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	51	39¢	$20	0x6f055c…
05-07 22:40:45	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x251510…
05-07 22:40:27	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0xc99c9d…
05-07 22:37:53	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	BUY	14	14¢	$2	0xb5553c…
05-07 22:37:43	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	BUY	30	10¢	$3	0x79ff91…
05-07 22:35:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	SELL	67	99¢	$66	0x3cfe5d…
05-07 22:33:22	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	67	3¢	$2	0xe9eea1…
05-07 22:17:46	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x3422d1…
05-07 22:17:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	9	32¢	$3	0xdf588b…
05-07 22:14:56	Cavaliers vs. Pistons	Cavaliers	BUY	7	41¢	$3	0xf6e62e…
05-07 22:02:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0xd7859c…
05-07 19:56:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x0aeece…
05-07 19:19:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x21d5bf…
05-07 19:01:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x09388f…
05-07 18:55:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xc5cb72…
05-07 18:51:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x8711e3…
05-07 18:50:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x63ee97…
05-07 18:46:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x596f38…
05-07 18:24:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xb3732b…
05-07 18:00:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x9b10f2…
05-07 18:00:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0xe4e186…
05-07 17:38:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x74cd08…
05-07 17:35:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0x853ebe…
05-07 17:25:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xd539a8…
05-07 17:24:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x82102e…
05-07 17:10:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x4c4aae…
05-07 17:08:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	SELL	9	3¢	$0	0xfad974…
05-07 17:07:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xa24feb…
05-07 17:07:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	SELL	2	88¢	$1	0x5a45f7…
05-07 17:05:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x56e2e1…
05-07 17:03:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	SELL	2	79¢	$2	0x731c61…
05-07 17:00:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x04a999…
05-07 16:55:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x2fee39…
05-07 16:53:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x5bb044…
05-07 16:53:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	SELL	1	88¢	$1	0x273c97…
05-07 16:52:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x7ad145…
05-07 16:50:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x1d67a3…
05-07 16:49:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x122da5…
05-07 16:46:19	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	Yes	SELL	18	6¢	$1	0x5c8d14…
05-06 22:20:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x6860e9…
05-06 22:16:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0x237ba8…
05-06 22:10:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x69131e…
05-06 22:09:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	SELL	22	99¢	$22	0x04d3fe…
05-06 22:07:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	22	89¢	$20	0x880a84…
05-06 16:05:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x81cbce…
05-06 16:04:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	SELL	2	88¢	$2	0x96dab6…
05-06 16:03:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x09af03…
05-06 16:03:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	SELL	7	7¢	$0	0x3f44f4…
05-06 16:02:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x6d6425…
05-06 16:00:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x73f76f…
05-06 16:00:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xebfd2c…
05-06 15:57:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0xf93a22…
05-06 15:53:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	SELL	3	86¢	$3	0xb653d3…
05-06 15:50:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	3	49¢	$2	0x86bf77…
05-06 15:41:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	8	40¢	$3	0xd4b5a3…
05-06 15:39:37	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	18	6¢	$1	0xabbde6…
05-06 15:36:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0xced92e…
05-06 15:31:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xfe85dd…
05-06 15:30:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x26877c…
05-06 15:28:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x5b11ab…
05-06 15:27:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x22d3ce…
05-06 11:15:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x6fe908…
05-06 08:25:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	11	64¢	$7	0xea05ca…
05-06 08:22:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0xbe4a0e…
05-06 08:21:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0xd7f01e…
05-06 07:40:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	16	45¢	$7	0x021f1a…
05-06 07:38:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x4b18ae…
05-06 07:37:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0xa22aa1…
05-06 07:36:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0xae9d84…
05-04 15:26:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0x4ffc14…
05-04 15:23:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	47	42¢	$20	0x5d27b7…
05-04 15:22:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	73	55¢	$40	0x272361…
05-04 15:15:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	19	81¢	$15	0x81d4ce…
05-04 15:13:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	60	50¢	$30	0x72661d…
05-04 15:11:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	353	28¢	$100	0x6631dc…
05-04 15:10:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	SELL	124	99¢	$122	0x8eef75…
05-04 15:09:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	124	81¢	$100	0x664b7f…
05-04 15:06:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	649	31¢	$200	0x03d66c…
05-04 14:55:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	334	60¢	$200	0xb2f236…
05-04 14:53:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	400	1¢	$4	0x2ef218…
05-04 14:50:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	304	33¢	$100	0x396e85…
05-04 14:46:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	250	12¢	$30	0x71c8e3…
05-04 14:46:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	753	13¢	$100	0x92a69d…
05-04 14:32:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	143	21¢	$30	0xd2af4f…
05-04 14:31:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	227	44¢	$100	0x15e384…